Let’s take a step back and look at the world from a 30,000 foot perspective.
First of all, the US is moving into if not already in recession. I know that the media tells us that we have unemployment below 5% and that things are great.
That is a lie.
The unemployment number in the US is a political propaganda tool and nothing more. This is especially true during election years.
We can debate about economic cycles and services economies all we like. But at the end of the day it is factually impossible that 46 million Americans are on food stamps and unemployment is sub-5%. One of those numbers is a total lie and I’m willing to bet it’s not the one that is in the millions.
If you look at economic data that is NOT used for political purposes (boring manager based items like ISM, inventory to sales ratios, etc.) it is clear the US is in recession.
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Beyond this, the world’s second largest economy (China) is rapidly devaluing the Yuan. Back in August 2015, this triggered a market meltdown. Today the Yuan is significantly lower (exporting even more deflation to the US and West) but somehow this doesn’t matter. The markets have yet to even catch a whiff of this.
And then there’s Europe, where the officials think they can sweep everything under the rug, while the Italian banking system (which is €2.5 trillion in size) is imploding.
The ECB can’t fix Greece, which is less than 20% of this.
A Crash is coming… we all know it. And smart investors are preparing their portfolios for it NOW before it hits.
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Best Regards
Graham Summers
Chief Market Strategist
Phoenix Capital Research
