Volatility is About to Explode Higher

The next leg down is just around the corner. The markets have been warning of this for some time (as I’ve noted in recent weeks) but the move finally appears to have arrived. The VIX collapse that accompanied the rally in risk assets starting December 24 2018 is about to end; the VIX is coiling

The VIX Is Warning Something Massive is About to Hit

The next leg down is just around the corner. The markets have been warning of this for some time (as I’ve noted in recent weeks) but the move finally appears to have arrived. The VIX collapse that accompanied the rally in risk assets starting December 24 2018 is about to end; the VIX is coiling

The Time to Prepare For a Crash is NOW Before It Hits

Yesterday’s note caught a lot of attention. In it, we argued that investing in stocks today based on the Fed getting dovish is like buying stocks after the Bear Stearns deal: you’re buying based on a development that reveals the financial system is in serious trouble. Remember, the Fed didn’t become dovish for no reason…

The Fed Went Dovish Because It Sees Systemic Risk

Yesterday’s note caught a lot of attention. In it, we argued that investing in stocks today based on the Fed getting dovish is like buying stocks after the Bear Stearns deal: you’re buying based on a development that reveals the financial system is in serious trouble. Remember, the Fed didn’t become dovish for no reason…

The US Corporate Debt Bomb, Europe’s Recession, and Systemic Risk in China

Yesterday’s note caught a lot of attention. In it, we argued that investing in stocks today based on the Fed getting dovish is like buying stocks after the Bear Stearns deal: you’re buying based on a development that reveals the financial system is in serious trouble. Remember, the Fed didn’t become dovish for no reason…

Corporate America Owes $700 Billion This Year… And 60% of Co’s Have Negative Cash Flow

Yesterday’s note caught a lot of attention. In it, we argued that investing in stocks today based on the Fed getting dovish is like buying stocks after the Bear Stearns deal: you’re buying based on a development that reveals the financial system is in serious trouble. Remember, the Fed didn’t become dovish for no reason…

Buying Stocks Today Is Like Buying Stocks Based on the Bear Stearns Deal, Pt 2

Yesterday’s note caught a lot of attention. In it, we argued that investing in stocks today based on the Fed getting dovish is like buying stocks after the Bear Stearns deal: you’re buying based on a development that reveals the financial system is in serious trouble. Remember, the Fed didn’t become dovish for no reason…

The Fed Can Try to Prop Up the Markets… But It Will Fail

Mark your calendars… January 30 2019, marks the day that Jerome Powell threw in the towel and became a stock market promoter just like Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke before him. It will also likely mark the day that the Fed began to lose any credibility in terms of monetary policy. For those of you

Jerome Powell Has Turned Stock Promoter… Just Like Bernanke and Yellen

Mark your calendars… January 30 2019, marks the day that Jerome Powell threw in the towel and became a stock market promoter just like Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke before him. It will also likely mark the day that the Fed began to lose any credibility in terms of monetary policy. For those of you

The Fed Has Lost All Credibility In Terms of Monetary Policy

Mark your calendars… January 30 2019, marks the day that Jerome Powell threw in the towel and became a stock market promoter just like Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke before him. It will also likely mark the day that the Fed began to lose any credibility in terms of monetary policy. For those of you

The Fed Just Gave a MASSIVE Clue About the True State of the Economy

Mark your calendars… January 30 2019, marks the day that Jerome Powell threw in the towel and became a stock market promoter just like Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke before him. It will also likely mark the day that the Fed began to lose any credibility in terms of monetary policy. For those of you

Buying Stocks Today Is Like Buying Stocks Based on the Bear Stearns Deal

Mark your calendars… January 30 2019, marks the day that Jerome Powell threw in the towel and became a stock market promoter just like Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke before him. It will also likely mark the day that the Fed began to lose any credibility in terms of monetary policy. For those of you

Warning, the Big Picture Isn’t Buying This Rally At All

The market is going to crash soon. How do I know? In the last 48 hours we’ve had… 1)   The Trump administration suggest that a China trade deal is close if not almost complete. 2)   The Fed suggest that QE should be used as a regular policy tool, rather than only during extreme situations. 3)  

The Next Crisis is Just Around the Corner

The market is going to crash soon. How do I know? In the last 48 hours we’ve had… 1)   The Trump administration suggest that a China trade deal is close if not almost complete. 2)   The Fed suggest that QE should be used as a regular policy tool, rather than only during extreme situations. 3)  

QE Forever, a Potential China Deal, A Potential Budget Deal… and Stocks Still Below December Lows

The market is going to crash soon. How do I know? In the last 48 hours we’ve had… 1)   The Trump administration suggest that a China trade deal is close if not almost complete. 2)   The Fed suggest that QE should be used as a regular policy tool, rather than only during extreme situations. 3)  

The Fed Talks QE Forever and Stocks Rally… Less Than 2?!?

The market is going to crash soon. How do I know? In the last 48 hours we’ve had… 1)   The Trump administration suggest that a China trade deal is close if not almost complete. 2)   The Fed suggest that QE should be used as a regular policy tool, rather than only during extreme situations. 3)  

The Market is Going to Crash

The market is going to crash soon. How do I know? In the last 48 hours we’ve had… 1)   The Trump administration suggest that a China trade deal is close if not almost complete. 2)   The Fed suggest that QE should be used as a regular policy tool, rather than only during extreme situations. 3)  

The Fed Just Implicitly Admitted a Crash is Coming

If there was any wonder that something truly horrific is brewing in the financial system, the Fed has confirmed it in the last month. Let’s start with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Powell took the reins at the Fed in January 2018. From then until last month, he pushed the most aggressive hawkish policy in Fed

The Fed is Trapped… QE is Coming Soon

If there was any wonder that something truly horrific is brewing in the financial system, the Fed has confirmed it in the last month. Let’s start with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Powell took the reins at the Fed in January 2018. From then until last month, he pushed the most aggressive hawkish policy in Fed

QT on Hold… QE Coming Soon?

If there was any wonder that something truly horrific is brewing in the financial system, the Fed has confirmed it in the last month. Let’s start with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Powell took the reins at the Fed in January 2018. From then until last month, he pushed the most aggressive hawkish policy in Fed
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What Happens When the Everything Bubble Bursts?
  • By trying to corner the bond market (risk-free rate)
  • the Fed has created a bubble in everything
  • We call this THE EVERYTHING BUBBLE
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