Phoenix Capital Research

Well we got right to the trendline noted in earlier articles. We’re now beginning to roll over as we predicted.

The number of major problems hitting the system right now is truly staggering. Off the cuff I note:

1)   Egypt falling into governmental collapse and a possible coup.

2)   China entering a liquidity crisis.

3)   Japan’s economy slowing despite record QE.

4)   Multiple indicators flashing “recession” for the US.

5)   Corporate profits falling.

6)   EU back in crisis mode with both Portugal and Greece facing another round of collapse (with Spain and Italy waiting in the wings).

And those are just the major headline grabbing issues. Those banking on the market rallying even harder have got a lot of obstacles to overcome.

This is just the start. I warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers in our most recent issue that higher rates were coming noting a collapse in bonds in Europe and the emerging market space.

This could easily become truly catastrophic. The world is in a massive debt bubble and the Central banks are now officially losing control. The stage is now set for a collapse that could make 2008 look like a joke.

If you are not preparing in advance for this, the time to get started is NOW.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.

As I write this, all of them are SOARING. In fact we just closed another bringing our new winning streak to NINE trades.

Are you ready for another Collapse in the markets? Could your portfolio stomach another Crash? If not, take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start protecting your hard earned wealth today!

We produced 72 straight winning trades (and not a SINGLE LOSER) during the first round of the EU Crisis. We’re now preparing for more carnage in the markets… To join us…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yesterday was another day of bad economic data with the ISM report showing the worst employment figure since September 2009.

The bulls believe that bad economic data means more QE. The problem with this is that they’re ignoring the fact that this current spat of bad data is coming out while QE 3 and QE 4 are occurring.

At any other time in the last four years, bad news could open the door to more QE as every QE plan had a fixed timeline in place. So there was always the possibility of more QE coming if economic data worsened once a particular program came to an end.

However, today the Fed is already running two QE programs that are correctively pumping $85+ billion into the system per month. So the fact that bad economic data is coming out now indicates QE is losing is effect.

This does NOT open the door to more QE now. If the Fed tapers QE in the future then yes, it might engage in more QE later down the road. But the idea that the Fed will increase QE when it’s already running $85 billion a month is misguided.

Copper, the commodity with a PhD in economics, gets this. Stocks do not.

Guess which asset class is in for a surprise in the coming months?

This is just the start. I warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers in our most recent issue that higher rates were coming noting a collapse in bonds in Europe and the emerging market space.

This could easily become truly catastrophic. The world is in a massive debt bubble and the Central banks are now officially losing control. The stage is now set for a collapse that could make 2008 look like a joke.

If you are not preparing in advance for this, the time to get started is NOW.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.

As I write this, all of them are SOARING (one is up 12% this today alone). In fact we just closed another yesterday bringing our new winning streak to NINE trades.

Are you ready for another Collapse in the markets? Could your portfolio stomach another Crash? If not, take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start protecting your hard earned wealth today!

We produced 72 straight winning trades (and not a SINGLE LOSER) during the first round of the EU Crisis. We’re now preparing for more carnage in the markets… To join us…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As noted last week, the markets will likely rally into the Fourth of July. Most “analysts” will view this as a sign that the initial drop down from two weeks ago was a fluke and it’s time to “buy the dip.”

However this move was to be expected based on technical formations alone. As I noted last week,

This move could take us as high as 1,625. However, if the market fails to reclaim its trendline we’re going down as far as 1,500 in short notice. And if we take out that level we’re in BIG TROUBLE.

Watch the below line. If we can’t get above it, we’re going DOWN fast.

There’s no shortage of reasons…

For starters, Japan’s economy is imploding, despite a record QE in place: domestic car sales plunged 15% from the year before.  So much for the view that the economy was improving courtesy of Japan announcing its NINTH QE effort equal to over 20% of its GDP.

In Europe, the powers that be have decided to make what happened in Cyprus (steal people’s money to fund a bailout) the template for all banking crises going forward. Anyone with an iota of common sense knows is going to lead to banking runs… which in a banking system with leverage at 26-to-1 is that last thing Europe needs.

And then there’s the US where GDP growth was revised SHARPLY lower due to a drop in consumer spending. Consumer spending accounts for 70% of GDP in the US. Guess how this will play out going forward?

This is just the start. I warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers in our most recent issue that higher rates were coming noting a collapse in bonds in Europe and the emerging market space.

This could easily become truly catastrophic. The world is in a massive debt bubble and the Central banks are now officially losing control. The stage is now set for a collapse that could make 2008 look like a joke.

If you are not preparing in advance for this, the time to get started is NOW.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.

As I write this, all of them are SOARING (one is up 12% this today alone). In fact we just closed another yesterday bringing our new winning streak to NINE trades.

Are you ready for another Collapse in the markets? Could your portfolio stomach another Crash? If not, take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start protecting your hard earned wealth today!

We produced 72 straight winning trades (and not a SINGLE LOSER) during the first round of the EU Crisis. We’re now preparing for more carnage in the markets… To join us…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Today should be the peak of end of the quarter performance gaming.

Stocks have rallied hard for three days. The financial media has seen this as indicating the worst is over. But the fact of the matter is that most of this is performance gaming aided by various Fed officials issue verbal interventions yesterday.

As I’ve noted to Private Wealth Advisory subscribers, there’s a historical pattern here: stocks tend to lead summer rallies into the Fourth of July. With that in mind, the technical pattern we noted earlier this morning remains in play with the S&P 500 rallying to retest support.

As noted on Wednesday, market collapses follow a particular pattern:

1)   The initial drop breaking support

2)   Bouncing to re-test support

3)   The larger drop

As noted on Wednesday, the S&P 500 has completed #1 and is now in #2. I expect the markets will hold up into next week. But at that point we’ll be primed for a serious collapse.

This is just the start. I warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers in our most recent issue that higher rates were coming noting a collapse in bonds in Europe and the emerging market space.

This could easily become truly catastrophic. The world is in a massive debt bubble and the Central banks are now officially losing control. The stage is now set for a collapse that could make 2008 look like a joke.

If you are not preparing in advance for this, the time to get started is NOW.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.

As I write this, all of them are SOARING (one is up 12% this today alone). In fact we just closed another yesterday bringing our new winning streak to NINE trades.

Are you ready for another Collapse in the markets? Could your portfolio stomach another Crash? If not, take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start protecting your hard earned wealth today!

We produced 72 straight winning trades (and not a SINGLE LOSER) during the first round of the EU Crisis. We’re now preparing for more carnage in the markets… To join us…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

 

 

The biggest single most important item in the GDP report yesterday was the collapse in disposable income for Americans.

Most investors will focus on the drop in GDP growth for 1Q13 and view it as opening the door for the Fed to continue with QE 3 and QE 4 without any tapering in sight.

After all, the markets have believed that bad economic news is good news for the markets for four years based on the belief that a weak economy will mean more money printing from the Fed.

However, the real issue in the BEA’s report on GDP growth was the collapse in real per capita disposable income which fell at a annualized rate of 9.21%.

That is a truly staggering collapse in incomes. The last time we say anything even close to this was in the third quarter of 2008.  

That was right after Lehman failed and the entire economy and stock market were melting down. Buckle up, things are getting worse in the US at a truly alarming rate.

I’ve been warning subscribers of Private Wealth Advisory that the economy was going to turn sharply weaker this year. It’s already begun.

Indeed, while most investors will look at the GDP report as indicating more QE is coming, commodities certainly didn’t get that signal at all. The commodity index continues to plunge diverging wildly from the S&P 500.

One of these asset classes is completely mispricing the economy and the likelihood of more QE. Guess which one it is.

This is just the start. I warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers in our most recent issue that higher rates were coming noting a collapse in bonds in Europe and the emerging market space.

This could easily become truly catastrophic. The world is in a massive debt bubble and the Central banks are now officially losing control. The stage is now set for a collapse that could make 2008 look like a joke.

If you are not preparing in advance for this, the time to get started is NOW.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.

As I write this, all of them are SOARING. In fact we just locked in four straight gains of 8%, 12%, 21% and 28% in the last month ALONE. In fact we just closed another yesterday bringing our new winning streak to NINE trades.

Are you ready for another Collapse in the markets? Could your portfolio stomach another Crash? If not, take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start protecting your hard earned wealth today!

We produced 72 straight winning trades (and not a SINGLE LOSER) during the first round of the EU Crisis. We’re now preparing for more carnage in the markets… To join us…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

The markets continue their dead cat bounce while the economic data worsens.

First quarter US GDP was revised down from an annual rate of 2.4% to 1.8%.  The drop was due to lower personal consumption expenditures than initially forecast.

This is the crux of the US’s current economic woes: consumer-spending accounts for roughly 70% of our GDP. And QE does nothing to help incomes, which drive consumption.

The US Federal Government has subsidized a weak economic recovery via food stamps and other social program, but the private sector is lagging with most of its hiring coming in the form of temporary or part-time jobs.

The Wall Street Journal ran this graphic yesterday. Anyone who is banking on consumers to continue spending as they have is out of their mind. I’ve been warning Private Wealth Advisory subscribers of this for weeks.

Regarding the stock market, it’s important to note that all market collapses follow a similar pattern of:

1)   The initial drop breaking support

2)   Bouncing to re-test support

3)   The larger drop

The S&P 500 has completed #1 and is now in #2:

This move could take us as high as 1,625. However, if the market fails to reclaim its trendline we’re going down as far as 1,500 in short notice. And if we take out that level we’re in BIG TROUBLE.

This is just the start. I warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers in our most recent issue that higher rates were coming noting a collapse in bonds in Europe and the emerging market space.

This could easily become truly catastrophic. The world is in a massive debt bubble and the Central banks are now officially losing control. The stage is now set for a collapse that could make 2008 look like a joke.

If you are not preparing in advance for this, the time to get started is NOW.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.

As I write this, all of them are SOARING. In fact we just locked in four straight gains of 8%, 12%, 21% and 28% in the last month ALONE. In fact we just closed another yesterday bringing our new winning streak to NINE trades.

Are you ready for another Collapse in the markets? Could your portfolio stomach another Crash? If not, take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start protecting your hard earned wealth today!

We produced 72 straight winning trades (and not a SINGLE LOSER) during the first round of the EU Crisis. We’re now preparing for more carnage in the markets… To join us…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

The global Central Banks are in damage control mode.

The big story here is China, which is fast approaching its “Lehman” moment with interbank liquidity drying up rapidly and overnight rates are soaring.

As I’ve warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers before, China’s shadow banking system equal to over $18 trillion (more than 200% of China’s GDP), so this could be the mother of all bubbles bursting.

Indeed, China’s stock market has now fallen 20% and is in a free fall.

The Central Bank of China spoke yesterday to assure the market that there was ample “liquidity” in the system. But the market isn’t buying it. Smart investors shouldn’t either.

In the US, two Fed Presidents (Fisher and Kocherlakota) engaged in verbal intervention yesterday, trying to convince investors that the market misinterpreted Ben Bernanke last week when he said the Fed could taper QE by late 2013 or the middle of 2014.

There isn’t much to interpret here. The Fed has failed miserably to generate economic growth of any significance. All it’s done is create a stock market bubble while draining high quality collateral from the system. Put another way, it’s created a situation in which leverage is even worse today than it was before 2008.

Bernanke knows this and is desperately trying to let the bubble down easily without it bursting. This is impossible. And as the bond and stock market action of the last week shows us, the very second the Fed backs off the system is at risk.

This is just the start. I warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers in our most recent issue that higher rates were coming noting a collapse in bonds in Europe and the emerging market space.

This could easily become truly catastrophic. The world is in a massive debt bubble and the Central banks are now officially losing control. The stage is now set for a collapse that could make 2008 look like a joke.

If you are not preparing in advance for this, the time to get started is NOW.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.

As I write this, all of them are SOARING. In fact we just locked in four straight gains of 8%, 12%, 21% and 28% in the last month ALONE. In fact we just closed two more winners yesterday.

Are you ready for another Collapse in the markets? Could your portfolio stomach another Crash? If not, take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start protecting your hard earned wealth today!

We produced 72 straight winning trades (and not a SINGLE LOSER) during the first round of the EU Crisis. We’re now preparing for more carnage in the markets… having just started another eight trade winning streak…

To join us…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

The markets are beginning what could in fact be an epic meltdown.

China is on the verge of a “Lehman” moment as its shadow banking system implodes. China had pumped roughly $1.6 trillion in new credit (that’s 21% of GDP) into its economy in the last two quarters… and China GDP growth is in fact slowing.

This is what a credit bubble bursting looks like: the pumping becomes more and more frantic with less and less returns. Check out the collapse in China’s stock market.

We are literally back into 2008 Crash territory here:

Brazil, another “coming economic superpower” is experiencing rampant riots (over two million people in fact) as inflation soars. Here again we are back into 2008 Crash territory:

And the US… well the breakout to new highs is looking more and more like a false breakout. These developments usually result in extreme violent swings in the other direction. In this case… DOWN.

This is just the start. I warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers in our most recent issue that higher rates were coming noting a collapse in bonds in Europe and the emerging market space.

This could easily become truly catastrophic. The world is in a massive debt bubble and the Central banks are now officially losing control. The stage is now set for a collapse that could make 2008 look like a joke.

If you are not preparing in advance for this, the time to get started is NOW.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.

As I write this, all of them are SOARING. In fact we just locked in four straight gains of 8%, 12%, 21% and 28% in the last month ALONE. In fact we just closed two more winners this morning.

Are you ready for another Collapse in the markets? Could your portfolio stomach another Crash? If not, take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start protecting your hard earned wealth today!

We produced 72 straight winning trades (and not a SINGLE LOSER) during the first round of the EU Crisis. We’re now preparing for more carnage in the markets… having just started another four trade winning streak…

To join us…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

The technical damage from yesterday’s bloodbath was severe.

Spain, which lead the “Europe is saved” party from the lows last year has just taken out its trendline. So much for the “crisis is over” proclamations. We’re heading back down in a big way.

The S&P 500 has also taken out its trendline. QE Forever is dead and buried. What will hold the market up now?

Copper is indicating that the entire post-2009 “recovery” is ending. We’re moving back into the 2008-collapse.

Real estate is totally imploding. Yesterday’s drop saw a very nasty return to “reality.”

This is just the start. I warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers in our most recent issue that higher rates were coming noting a collapse in bonds in Europe and the emerging market space.

This could easily become truly catastrophic. The world is in a massive debt bubble and the Central banks are now officially losing control. The stage is now set for a collapse that could make 2008 look like a joke.

If you are not preparing in advance for this, the time to get started is NOW.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.

As I write this, all of them are SOARING. In fact we just locked in four straight gains of 8%, 12%, 21% and 28% in the last month ALONE.

Are you ready for another Collapse in the markets? Could your portfolio stomach another Crash? If not, take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start protecting your hard earned wealth today!

We produced 72 straight winning trades (and not a SINGLE LOSER) during the first round of the EU Crisis. We’re now preparing for more carnage in the markets… having just started another four trade winning streak…

To join us…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

The QE Infinite parade officially ended yesterday when Bernanke hinted at tapering QE later this year or in mid-2014.

I first warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers about this in mid-May writing,

If Bernanke is going to step down (as hinted by his decision to skip out on the Jackson Hole meeting) he’s not going to want to leave with the Fed going at QE 3 and QE 4 full throttle.

Instead his best bet would be to take his foot off the gas a little bit, giving his replacement a little room to maneuver if things get ugly.

Source: Private Wealth Advisory

This is precisely what Bernanke is trying to do. However, there is another far larger issue at work here.

The primary driver of stocks for the last four years has been the hope of more Fed stimulus. This hope has put a floor under ALL asset prices as market participants KNEW the Fed was involved in the markets. As a result EVERYTHING (stocks, bond commodities, even currencies) has been artificially propped.

By calling for the end to QE 3 and QE 4, the Fed has begun to remove these market props. Which means that the markets are now going to start adjusting to where assets prices REALLY SHOULD BE.

Take a look at the spike in the 10-year Treasury yield:

This is just the start. I warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers in our most recent issue that higher rates were coming noting a collapse in bonds in Europe and the emerging market space.

This could easily become truly catastrophic. The world is in a massive debt bubble and the Central banks are now officially losing control. The stage is now set for a collapse that could make 2008 look like a joke.

If you are not preparing in advance for this, the time to get started is NOW.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.

As I write this, all of them are SOARING. In fact we just locked in four straight gains of 8%, 12%, 21% and 28% in the last month ALONE.

Are you ready for another Collapse in the markets? Could your portfolio stomach another Crash? If not, take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start protecting your hard earned wealth today!

We produced 72 straight winning trades (and not a SINGLE LOSER) during the first round of the EU Crisis. We’re now preparing for more carnage in the markets… having just started another four trade winning streak…

To join us…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

The Fed will announce its moves today at 2PM.

There’s really no telling what will happen.  The markets have become truly schizophrenic. For instance, stocks continue to rally as though more QE is coming.

However, Gold, which has lead stocks into every major Fed program, continues to fall…

Moreover, Treasuries continue to fall, which indicates that less bond buying is coming…

In simple terms, the markets are all over the place. Some assets are forecasting tapering, some aren’t. It’s really a toss up.

The Fed is known to leak key information to insiders, so for certain “someone” will know before the rest of us.

If you’re looking for actionable investment strategies on playing the markets, take a look at my bi-weekly investment newsletter, Private Wealth Advisory.

Published every other Wednesday after the market closes, Private Wealth Advisory, shows individual investors how to beat the market with well-timed unique investments.

To whit Private Wealth Advisory is the only newsletter to have shown investors 72 straight winning trades and no losers during a 12-month period.

Indeed, in the last month alone we’ve locked in gains of 8%, 12%, 21% and even 28%… with an average holding period of 3-4 weeks.

To find out more about Private Wealth Advisory and how it can help you beat the market with your investments…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

 

 

The big question on every investors’ lips today and tomorrow is: “will the Fed announce or hint at tapering QE?”

Over the last two years, one of the biggest tools in the Fed’s arsenal has been verbal intervention: the act of saying something in order to push the market up. Time and again 2011-2012 saw various Fed Presidents appear at key points to push the market higher by promising more action or stimulus.

With that in mind, we have to keep our eyes on the bond markets. The Fed is most closely linked to the Primary Dealers. These are the banks that help the Fed and the Treasury with Treasury Auctions (when the US issues debt). These banks, more than any other financial entities on the planet, have access to the Fed’s insights.

Here’s the list of Primary Dealers:

1. Bank of America
2. Barclays Capital Inc.
3. BNP Paribas Securities Corp.
4. Cantor Fitzgerald & Co.
5. Citigroup Global Markets Inc.
6. Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC
7. Daiwa Securities America Inc.
8. Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
9. Goldman, Sachs & Co.
10. HSBC Securities (USA) Inc.
11. J. P. Morgan Securities Inc.
12. Jefferies & Company Inc.
13. Mizuho Securities USA Inc.
14. Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated
15. Nomura Securities International Inc.
16. RBC Capital Markets
17. RBS Securities Inc.
18. UBS Securities LLC.

With that in mind, I suggest keeping a close eye on the bond markets. These will be the “tell” of what the Fed is likely to announce.

The 30 Year bond is trending lower in a clear downward channel. We’re now coming up on support at which point we see a rally. This would likely indicate that the Fed will not suggest tapering or will at least word things very carefully.

If you’re looking for actionable investment strategies on playing the markets, take a look at my bi-weekly investment newsletter, Private Wealth Advisory.

Published every other Wednesday after the market closes, Private Wealth Advisory, shows individual investors how to beat the market with well-timed unique investments.

To whit Private Wealth Advisory is the only newsletter to have shown investors 72 straight winning trades and no losers during a 12-month period.

Indeed, in the last month alone we’ve locked in gains of 8%, 12%, 21% and even 28%… with an average holding period of 3-4 weeks.

To find out more about Private Wealth Advisory and how it can help you beat the market with your investments…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

The markets are rallying today because Bernanke and the Fed meet on Wednesday and will announce their new policies (if any).

Someone might want to explain to them that the Nikkei just collapsed in spite of Central Bank policy. The bank of Japan announced it would buy $1.4 trillion worth of assets (roughly 25% of Japan’s GDP) in early April. The Nikkei has already wiped out almost all of the gains since that time.

Still, US bulls continue to hope that Bernanke will engage in even more QE, despite the fact the Fed has an $85 billion per month QE policy in place already, which comes to over $1 trillion in QE per year.

Given that the Fed’s balance sheet is already over $3 trillion and will be over $4 trillion within 12 months, one has to wonder just what Bernanke can do. His best bet is to retire in January and let someone else try and manage the mess he created.

So let’s see what happens on Wednesday. The markets will likely rally until then on hopes of more juice from Bernanke. But if he should disappoint at all (read: not announce something more or at least strongly hint at doing so) then buckle up.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory newsletter that we were heading for a dark period in the stock market. We’ve since taken action to insure that when the market falls, we make money.

Indeed, in the last month alone we’ve seen gains of 8%, 12%, 21%, and 28%… all from basic stocks and bonds. And we’re now preparing with six carefully targeted investments that will pay out when the market falls.

To find out what they are, all you need to do is take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory. You’ll immediately be given access to the Private Wealth Advisory archives outlining our investment strategies.

You’ll also be given access to FIVE Special Reports (an $800 value) outlining the biggest risks to the financial system as well as the best means of protecting yourself and your loved ones from them.

To take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and take action to make sure the coming months are a time of profit, not pain.

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

The markets in the US have entered a mania in which investors look for any and all excuses to push the markets higher.

Case in point, yesterday Japan’s Nikkei fell 6%. This happened in spite of the fact the Bank of Japan is currently engaged in a QE policy equal to over 25% of Japan’s economy.

And yet, despite this collapse (and the obvious implications for other markets that are being juiced by QE… namely the US), traders pushed stocks higher because once again, the Fed’s mouthpiece at the Wall Street Journal, Jon Hilsenrath, published a story about the Fed not wanting higher rates (which they took to mean the Fed will not taper QE).

As a result, the S&P 500 bounced off its 50-day exponential moving average, which has become the line to defend for the bulls (see the chart below). When we break this line, the dam breaks…

The key question here is: what exactly is the Fed planning on doing?

Earlier this year, rumors abounded that Hilsenrath might publish an article on the Fed tapering QE. Stocks tanked. Now we get another article from Hilsenrath that the Fed probably won’t taper QE, and stocks rally.

This is the markets we are dealing with: one in which any article published by a man who traders believe is speaking for the Fed will drive the entire market one way or the other. One wonders what would happen if investors ever realized that the Fed actually is just making its policies up on the fly and doesn’t have an exit strategy or worse, could never actually engage in an exit strategy without kicking off another Crash.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory newsletter that we were heading for a dark period in the stock market. We’ve since taken action to insure that when the market falls, we make money.

Indeed, in the last month alone we’ve seen gains of 8%, 12%, 21%, and 28%… all from basic stocks and bonds. And we’re now preparing with six carefully targeted investments that will pay out when the market falls.

To find out what they are, all you need to do is take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory. You’ll immediately be given access to the Private Wealth Advisory archives outlining our investment strategies.

You’ll also be given access to FIVE Special Reports (an $800 value) outlining the biggest risks to the financial system as well as the best means of protecting yourself and your loved ones from them.

To take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and take action to make sure the coming months are a time of profit, not pain.

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

 

Japan continues to implode. We’ve now taken out the trendline that supported this rally since November.

Not a pretty chart. Certainly not a pretty chart for Central Bankers, who believe QE can drive stocks only up. After all, Japan’s Nikkei is in a bear market only two months after the Bank of Japan announced a record QE.

Speaking of trendlines, the S&P 500 is on the ledge of a cliff. Bernanke bought six months’ of market gains with QE 4. Now he’s got a bubble on his hands. And if he even hints at tapering QE at next week’s Fed meeting, the markets could implode.

Investors take note, the markets are sending us MAJOR warning signals. Indeed, I don’t remember seeing this many signs of a major top since 2007/2008.

We all know how that ended.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory newsletter that we were heading for a dark period in the stock market. We’ve since taken action to insure that when the market falls, we make money.

Indeed, in the last month alone we’ve seen gains of 8%, 12%, 21%, and 28%… all from basic stocks and bonds. And we’re now preparing with six carefully targeted investments that will pay out when the market falls.

To find out what they are, all you need to do is take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory. You’ll immediately be given access to the Private Wealth Advisory archives outlining our investment strategies.

You’ll also be given access to FIVE Special Reports (an $800 value) outlining the biggest risks to the financial system as well as the best means of protecting yourself and your loved ones from them.

To take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and take action to make sure the coming months are a time of profit, not pain.

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Wall Street Journal ran an interesting article yesterday. It was about the ECB’s Outright Monetary Transactions or OMT program… the “unlimited” bond buying program the ECB announced last September and which supposedly “ended” the EU Crisis.

Here’s the key section from the article:

The positive effects of the Outright Monetary Transactions, or OMT, program are “already visible,” Joerg Asmussen, a member of the ECB’s governing board, said in testimony before Germany’s Constitutional Court. He added that the program is not aimed at replacing the market, rather to address aberrations, and is limited in scope.

“The design of the OMT makes it obvious that the program is de facto limited, for example by being restricted to short maturities and the therefore limited pool of bonds which can be bought,” he said.

So far the ECB hasn’t bought any government bonds under the OMT program, set up at last fall to lower borrowing costs for Italy and Spain and prevent them from have to leave the euro zone. The mere presence of the program been enough to calm bond markets worried about the countries’ ability to keep paying their debts.

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20130611-706041.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

So… Europe was “saved” by a program that hasn’t officially DONE ANYTHING? Put another way, the OMT program saved Europe simply by “existing?”

Folks, this is the clearest indication of total and complete insanity you will ever see: Central Bankers proclaiming that they saved a €17 trillion economy and €34 TRILLION banking system simply by announcing a program. Not actually doing anything, just announcing a program.

The insanity gets even worse… just a few paragraphs later, we find the following:

He [Asmussen] rejected criticism that the ECB is trying to artificially create interest rate convergence in the euro zone, which critics say would remove incentives from euro zone governments to reform their economies. Instead, he said, the ECB aims to curb “unjustified peaks” in euro zone bond yields.

For the program to be effective, he added, the ECB needs to send a “strong signal” that OMT bond purchases are unrestricted. He said there was no danger that the program, if deployed, would cause inflation.

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20130611-706041.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Here we are told that the Europe which was allegedly already “saved,” will only truly be saved if the ECB can buy ANY and ALL EU sovereign bonds that it wants… Oh, and doing this won’t result in inflation…

It’s ironic because monetizing any and all bonds was precisely what caused Weimar Germany. The fact that the ECB wants to do this in order to curb “unjustified peaks” in totally bankrupt, insolvent EU sovereign nations tells you all you need to know about the EU…

Namely:

1)   The Crisis is not over and will actually get even worse in the coming months.

2)   The folks in charge of solving the Crisis are either totally incompetent or liars.

3)   The EU is doomed.

The writing is right there on the wall for everyone to see: the EU was “saved” by a bluff. And now that it’s time to actually start putting figures to the proposal, ECB officials are lying through their teeth.

If you’re looking for investment strategies on how to play this mess, you simply cannot do better than my Private Wealth Advisory newsletter. During the first round of the EU Crisis, we locked in 72 STRAIGHT winners and NOT ONE single loser over a 12 month period.

Indeed, we’ve just begin a new winning streak, with gains of 6%, 8%, 12%, 21%, and 28%… all in the last month alone.

And we’re doing this with ETFs and stocks… nothing fancy… just expert stock picking and market timing.

To take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start putting my stock picking expertise to work for you…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

 

Few analysts know or admit it, but the only thing that held Europe (and ultimately the financial system) together since May 2012 was the promise of unlimited bond purchases from the ECB.

The reason this worked was because traders poured into European bonds in an effort to front run the coming ECB purchases (much as they have done with Treasuries during every new QE plan in the US).

This in turn became a self-fulfilling prophecy as European bond yields fell which induced more buying… which resulted in politicians proclaiming that the EU Crisis was “over.”

However, none of the structural issues in Europe were solved in any way. And now we’re getting to the details of the ECB’s proposed plan. And they are… nothing. The ECB is asking Germany’s constitutional court to “OK” a plan to buy whatever the ECB wants…without providing any legal details around the deal.

Why is this? How can you ask for unlimited funds without providing any details? Even a mortgage requires contracts. Surely an unlimited bond-buying program would require mountains of documents?

The fact of the matter is that the ECB knows there is no such thing as “unlimited” buying. At some point the bond markets will reject intervention (much as they are in Japan today).

Instead, the ECB used the term “unlimited” because it wanted investors to “imagine” that everything was solved. But Europe doesn’t have much money.

Indeed, Germany initially was going to set the program’s limit at a little over €500 billion… that sounds like a lot, but when you consider that the EU sovereign bond market is over €11 TRILLION and growing monthly, this will only go so far.

Put another way, the entire “unlimited” promise by the ECB was a bluff. The markets are beginning to figure this out which is why Europe is heading back into Crisis.

Take a look at Spanish bank Santander: we have a series of lower highs since the peak in January 2013. Whenever we take out the trendline it’s game over.

Check out the Head and Shoulders forming in Italian bank Intesa Sanpaolo:

If you’re looking for investment strategies on how to play this mess, you simply cannot do better than my Private Wealth Advisory newsletter. During the first round of the EU Crisis, we locked in 72 STRAIGHT winners and NOT ONE single loser over a 12 month period.

Indeed, we’ve just begin a new winning streak, with gains of 6%, 8%, 12%, 21%, and 28%… all in the last month alone.

And we’re doing this with ETFs and stocks… nothing fancy… just expert stock picking and market timing.

To take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start putting my stock picking expertise to work for you…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

 

“Somebody” moved in to support stocks last week on Thursday.

The 50-DMA has become the “line in the sand” on the S&P 500. Anytime the market has come close to breaching this level in the last few months, “someone” has stepped in and propped the market up.

It’s pretty clear who the “someone” is. Given that the Fed is openly citing the stock market as an indication that QE is working… and given that every other metric shows QE is a total failure…

With that in mind, last Thursday’s action and the follow through Friday should be seen as a clear intervention.

This will end very very badly.

• Margin debt levels (meaning debt that investors take on to buy stocks) are at record highs.

• Hedge fund stock ownership is at levels last seen before the 2008 Crash.

• We’ve had multiple Hindenberg Omens (signs of a potential Crash).

All of the signs are in place: the market has become a complete bubble. When you compare the market to its fundamentals, it’s arguably an even worse than the bubble that brought about the 2008 collapse.

Take a look at the divergence between stocks and Copper. Stocks could fall over 20% before they’d realign.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory newsletter that we were heading for a dark period in the stock market. We’ve since taken action to insure that when the market falls, we make money.

Indeed, in the last month alone we’ve seen gains of 8%, 12%, 21%, and 28%… all from basic stocks and bonds. And we’re now preparing with six carefully targeted investments that will pay out when the market falls.

To find out what they are, all you need to do is take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory. You’ll immediately be given access to the Private Wealth Advisory archives outlining our investment strategies.

You’ll also be given access to FIVE Special Reports (an $800 value) outlining the biggest risks to the financial system as well as the best means of protecting yourself and your loved ones from them.

To take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and take action to make sure the coming months are a time of profit, not pain.

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

 

 

 

 

 

Anyone looking for clues as to what’s coming our way in the markets need only look to Japan where the QE forever policy has finally hit the wall.

Prior to the Prime Minister elections in September 2012, the Bank of Japan had already launched EIGHT QE efforts equal to over 20% of Japan’s GDP.

Throughout this period of money printing, Japan’s rate of GDP growth fell while its unemployment rate barely budged. There was little if any evidence that QE had accomplished anything.

However, this didn’t deter Prime Minister candidate Shinzo Abe from believing that QE was the answer to Japan’s woes. Abe ran on a platform of aggressive monetary expansion. As soon as he was elected he began promising to get the Bank of Japan’s money printers to work. The Japanese stock market, the Nikkei, took the hint and erupted higher, rallying over 70% in less than six months.

Sure enough, in April 2013, the Bank of Japan announced a massive $1.4 trillion QE program (equal to another 24% of Japan’s GDP). And the Nikkei experienced one last blow off top before collapsing:

In a matter of weeks, the Nikkei erased all of its post-QE gains, taking out its critical trendline and entering a bear market.

This is how market bubbles burst: the market enters a blow off top and then implodes violently, taking out all of its gains in a fraction of the time it took to create them.

This is coming our way, whether investors like it or not. The signs are all in place with the economy weakening, corporate profits set to fall, multiple Hindenberg omens and more.

Investors, take note… the financial system is sending us major warnings…

If you are not already preparing for a potential market collapse, now is the time to be doing so.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.

As I write this, all of them are SOARING.

Are you ready for another Collapse in the markets? Could your portfolio stomach another Crash? If not, take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start protecting your hard earned wealth today!

We produced 72 straight winning trades (and not a SINGLE LOSER) during the first round of the EU Crisis. We’re now preparing for more carnage in the markets… having just seen another SIX trade winning streak…

To join us…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,
Graham Summers

 

 

More bad economic data was spilled yesterday.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics or BLS, we had a 3.8% decline in hourly compensation in the first quarter of 2013.  This is the single largest drop going back to 1947.

What does this mean?

People are making less money for their work. And this is happening at a time when costs of living are rising.

The housing market is once again in a bubble relative to incomes. Year over year prices are up 12%. This is not a good thing as the buying that has buoyed the rebound over the last few years has largely been from financial institutions, NOT first time homebuyers.

Put simply, real people are being priced out of the market.

We also have food prices rising. Beef is up 10% year over year. This trend is expected to continue with global food prices to rise 10-40% over the next decade.

On top of this, healthcare costs are spiraling higher as are taxes courtesy of Obamacare. Healthcare costs for the average US family are up 6.5% year over year.

So we have rising costs of living and lower wages. This is a terrible combination, which put tremendous pressure on consumer spending, which accounts for 70% of US GDP.

In other words, the economy is in bad bad shape.

Against this backdrop, stocks are on the edge of a cliff:

If we take out this trendline, stocks could easily go to 1,450. And if things get really ugly we could even see a Crash (though that would likely come later in the Autumn based on historic patterns).

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory newsletter that we were heading for a dark period in the stock market. We’ve since taken action to insure that when the market falls, we make money.

Indeed, in the last month alone we’ve seen gains of 8%, 12%, 21%, and 28%… all from basic stocks and bonds. And we’re now preparing with six carefully targeted investments that will pay out when the market falls.

To find out what they are, all you need to do is take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory. You’ll immediately be given access to the Private Wealth Advisory archives outlining our investment strategies.

You’ll also be given access to FIVE Special Reports (an $800 value) outlining the biggest risks to the financial system as well as the best means of protecting yourself and your loved ones from them.

To take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and take action to make sure the coming months are a time of profit, not pain.

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers