Crisis Archive

Bond Yields Are Rising in Germany, Japan, and Worst of All, the US

As if we didn’t have enough reasons to be concerned about stocks already, the bond market is blowing up again. Why does this matter? Because the entire move in the financial markets since 2008 has been based on Central Banks cornering the bond market. In the simplest of terms, Central Banks dealt with the crash

Bubble Watch: The Sovereign Bond Bubble is Getting Dangerously Close to Its “Needle”

As if we didn’t have enough reasons to be concerned about stocks already, the bond market is blowing up again. Why does this matter? Because the entire move in the financial markets since 2008 has been based on Central Banks cornering the bond market. In the simplest of terms, Central Banks dealt with the crash

$SPX to $EEM Ratio suggests a shift is coming. $EEM to outperform

S&P 500 Outperforming Russell 2000 Since June. Suggests Growth Slowing $IWM $SPY

The False Breakout Was a Warning… Will This Breakdown Be the One? $AMZN $SPX

The single most important stock in the world is Amazon (AMZN) AMZN has become a proxy for the entire stock market. If you overlay AMZN’s chart with the S&P 500 (below) AMZN has lead the S&P 500 beautifully during this latest bull run. Indeed, AMZN’s chart is effectively the same move as the broader market,

By the Time the Fed Hits Its Goals, the Markets Will Be Crashing

The Powell Fed has set one goal and one goal only for its policy… Hitting the “neutral rate of interest.” The neutral rate of interest is when the Fed has rates equal to the pace of inflation. While this is technically what the Fed is SUPPOSED to be doing, NO Fed (or any other Central Bank for

The Everything Bubble Has Already Burst in Turkey and Argentina, Who’s Next?

Yesterday’s piece generated a lot of interest, so we’re going to develop this theme some more. The key item of note is that while US stocks are holding up, the Fed’s hawkishness has already blown up much of the global financial system. In particular, Emerging Market Stocks have already entered full-blown bear markets. That’s the

Bubble Watch: the Fed has Burst the Everything Bubble

The Fed has burst the Everything Bubble. No one has noticed it. Indeed, everyone in the US seems to be blissfully unaware. But the reality is that the massive bubble created between 2008 and 2018 is in the process of bursting. And the Fed was the needle. If you think I’m being dramatic, consider what

Stocks Face Three Potential Outcomes: Pretty Bad, Bad and Horrific

Something has changed in the market. The momentum-driven rally that pushed stocks to new all-time highs completely floundered a few weeks ago. What should have been a monster breakout on massive buying power ended up being a feeble push to new highs before stocks promptly rolled over. More and more, that is looking like a

Contagion Risk is Now Spreading, And the US is NOT Immune

As we noted yesterday, the global financial system is beginning to experience its first taste of “contagion” risk in years. US stocks remains clueless to this… but it’s doubtful that will continue China (black line in chart below) has imploded and is in a full-blown bear market. The odds that the US stock market (blue

China Sneezed… Will the World Catch Cold?

The markets are getting downright ugly. If things don’t turn up soon we could be at the point at which the Everything Bubble begins to burst. While US stocks have performed relatively well recently, globally things are looking worse and worse. Germany’s DAX never reclaimed its former high established back in January. Instead it’s been

Labor Day Special Extended on the Kindle Version of My Book

Dear Reader, If you’re looking for answers as to why the US financial system is the way it is… or have questions about what’s coming down the pike in the financial markets, pick up a copy of our bestselling book The Everything Bubble: The End Game For Central Bank Policy on KINDLE today. If you’ve

The US Dollar is Breaking Down Against Every Major Currency

More and more it looks like a major turn is at hand in the markets. That turn concerns the US Dollar. The greenback peaked three weeks ago. It has since taken out support (red line), undoing the entire breakout move. It’s not on the verge of taking out its bullish trendline (blue line). This, in

Is the US Dollar About to Trigger a Stock Market Meltdown?

One of the greatest Fed gaffes in history was former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke’s 2007 claim that the subprime meltdown was “contained” and would not “seriously hurt the economy.” What followed was the 2008-Crisis… the largest, most systemic crisis in 80 years. Fast forward to today, and this time around Fed Chair Jerome Powell seems

Is Jerome Powell Just as Clueless to Market Risks Today as Ben Bernanke Was in 2007?

One of the greatest Fed gaffes in history was former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke’s 2007 claim that the subprime meltdown was “contained” and would not “seriously hurt the economy.” What followed was the 2008-Crisis… the largest, most systemic crisis in 80 years. Fast forward to today, and this time around Fed Chair Jerome Powell seems

Someone Please Buy the Fed a Stockcharts Account… Unless You’d Like a Crisis

The Powell Fed is playing with matches next to over $60 trillion in $USD-denominated debt. The $USD is the reserve currency of the world. As such it is the currency of choice if you are going to issue debt. As a result of this, entities around the globe, whether they be corporations or countries will

Witness the Fed’s Policy Error in One Staggering Chart

The Powell Fed is playing with matches next to over $60 trillion in $USD-denominated debt. The $USD is the reserve currency of the world. As such it is the currency of choice if you are going to issue debt. As a result of this, entities around the globe, whether they be corporations or countries will

The Everything Bubble Has Founds Its Pin. The Pin’s Name is Jerome Powell.

The Powell Fed is playing with matches next to over $60 trillion in $USD-denominated debt. The $USD is the reserve currency of the world. As such it is the currency of choice if you are going to issue debt. As a result of this, entities around the globe, whether they be corporations or countries will

Watch Out Bulls, QT is Coming

The stock market is in serious trouble. Yes, I know that FANG stocks are going to infinity and nothing can bring this market down. But the reality is that “beneath the surface” there are plenty of signs of a significant “risk off” event coming. First and foremost, the Russell 2000 is DRAMATICALLY falling behind on

Are We in “Late 2007” For the Next Crisis?

The US bond market is going the wrong way… As I outlined in my bestselling book The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policy, when the US completely severed the US dollar from the Gold Standard in 1971, US sovereign bonds, also called Treasuries, became the bedrock of the financial system. From this point
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What Happens When the Everything Bubble Bursts?
  • By trying to corner the bond market (risk-free rate)
  • the Fed has created a bubble in everything
  • We call this THE EVERYTHING BUBBLE
  • Reserve your copy of our Executive Summary
  • To prepare for what's coming down the pike!