Everywhere one looks, inflation is roaring.

Oil is about to hit $60 a barrel, having risen 10% this year alone.

Moreover, home prices have hit new all-time highs, surpassing even their 2006 peaks.

Don’t forget that inflation expectations are breaking out to the upside as well.

Put simply, inflation is appearing all over the economy. And yet, the Fed continues to peddle the ridiculous assertion that inflation is “too low.”

Why then… are they pushing to hike rates again, for the fourth time in the last 12 months? What do they see?

A $USD collapse like the one below. The Fed is hoping that it’s “not to late” and inflation won’t kick the $USD off a cliff into the low ’80s.

Good luck with that. Inflation is already here. And it’s going to be the biggest threat to capital in 2018.

Put simply, BIG INFLATION is THE BIG MONEY trend today. And smart investors will use it to generate literal fortunes.

Imagine if you’d prepared your portfolio for a collapse in Tech Stocks in 2000… or a collapse in banks in 2008? Imagine just how much money you could have made with the right investments.

THAT is the kind of potential we have today. And if you’re not already taking steps to prepare for this, it’s time to get a move on.

We just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

The Fed claims it’s “confused” as to why inflation remains so low.

The Fed isn’t confused at all. It intentionally measures inflation in ridiculous ways to guarantee that the “official number” remains nowhere near reality.

On top of this, we have factual evidence that Fed is in fact well aware that inflation is clocking in well above its 2% “target.”

Indeed, the New York Fed’s UIG inflation measure (which includes a “full data set,” unlike the ridiculous CPI which ignores most costs of living) records inflation between 2.25% and 3%.

-the UIG measures currently estimate trend CPI inflation to be in the 2.25% to 3.00% range, with both registering above the actual twelve-month change in the CPI.

Source: the New York Fed

So the New York Fed, the branch of the Fed that is in charge of market operations, is well aware that inflation is well over 2%.

It’s not the only Central Bank is aware of this either. The Central Banks of China, Russia, and Germany also know inflation is in fact higher than the Fed claims… which is why ALL of them are loading up on Gold by the ton.

What do they see coming?

A $USD collapse like this:

Put simply, BIG INFLATION is THE BIG MONEY trend today. And smart investors will use it to generate literal fortunes.

Imagine if you’d prepared your portfolio for a collapse in Tech Stocks in 2000… or a collapse in banks in 2008? Imagine just how much money you could have made with the right investments.

THAT is the kind of potential we have today. And if you’re not already taking steps to prepare for this, it’s time to get a move on.

We just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay ou as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Let’s talk about inflation.

There are two types of inflation in the world… the “inflation” that you and I experience in the form of a rising cost of living induced by Central Banks devaluing our currencies…

…and the inflation that Central Banks are “targeting” in the bizarre claim that somehow hitting said targets will unleash economic growth.

Inflation #1 is depicted in the chart below. This is the reason why everything “costs” more today than it used to.

Inflation #2 is some kind of nebulous concept that Central Bankers talk about without ever admitting that they themselves change how they define “inflation” to suit their political purposes.

Indeed, hearing a Central Banker talk about how we need to target inflation in light of the above chart is like hearing a raging drunk talk about targeting an appropriate level of drinking.

Jokes aside, inflation is a painful reality for the world. And the bad news is that it’s about to worsen dramatically.

Why does this matter?

Because the Bond Bubble trades based on inflation.

When inflation rises, so do bond yields to compensate.

When bond yields rise, bond prices FALL..

And when bond prices fall, the Everything Bubble bursts.

The sovereign bond market is over $76 trillion in size. It’s the “smart” money in the financial system. So when it starts to “speak” it’s smart to listen.

With that in mind, take a look at the chart for the 10-Year US Treasury. We’ve already taken out the bull market begun in 2007. The single most important bond in the world is tracking lower just as housing prices did in 2006 before the housing bubble burst.

Put simply, BIG INFLATION is THE BIG MONEY trend today. And smart investors will use it to generate literal fortunes.

Imagine if you’d prepared your portfolio for a collapse in Tech Stocks in 2000… or a collapse in banks in 2008? Imagine just how much money you could have made with the right investments.

THAT is the kind of potential we have today. And if you’re not already taking steps to prepare for this, it’s time to get a move on.

We just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay ou as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Let’s talk about Junk Bonds.

Junk Bonds are corporate debt issued by companies that have a significant chance of defaulting (meaning they don’t pay you back).

Why would anyone want to lend these companies money?

Because these bonds are risky, they typically pay very large yields to compensate for the increased risk. Think yields of 8% or even 10%.

Put simply, these are high risk, high reward bonds. They typically rally more than safer bonds when the bond market is healthy… and conversely, they typically crash a lot harder when the bond market is in trouble.

With that in mind, take a look at this chart:

The Junk Bond Index is beginning to roll over. As I write this, it’s right at THE line for its two-year bull-market run.

This is a MAJOR warning that the bond market is beginning to enter a “risk-off” stage. If we take out this line, Junk Bonds will be in very serious trouble.

What could be triggering this?

Inflation.

As I’ve explained time and again, bonds trade based on inflation expectations among other things. So to see Junk Bonds starting to roll over (meaning Junk Bond yields are rising) “tells” us that the riskiest segment of the bond market is beginning to adjust to the future threat of inflation.

It’s not alone.

The yields on the 10-Year US Treasury are beginning to rise as well, breaking a multi-year downtrend. Remember, this is the single most important bond in the world. And it’s signalling that inflation is on the rise.

Put simply, BIG INFLATION is THE BIG MONEY trend today. And smart investors will use it to generate literal fortunes.

Imagine if you’d prepared your portfolio for a collapse in Tech Stocks in 2000… or a collapse in banks in 2008? Imagine just how much money you could have made with the right investments.

THAT is the kind of potential we have today. And if you’re not already taking steps to prepare for this, it’s time to get a move on.

We just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay ou as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Something truly massive happened in early 2017.

That “something” was the market shifted from deflation towards an inflationary outlook.

If you don’t believe me, you can see for yourself.

Inflation expectations broke out of a multi-year downtrend. Not only that, but  they have since continued higher, bouncing of support.

Investing in the markets is like playing poker, and this was a massive “tell” that the market had changed.

The next big “tell” came when yields on the 10-Year Treasury broke out of a downtrend.

As I’ve explained time and again, bonds trade based on inflation expectations among other things. So to see yields rising like this, breaking a multi-year downtrend, “tells” us that the bond market is adjusting to the future threat of inflation.

Put simply, we are getting numerous signs that the markets are shifting into a new major trend. And when I saw “major” I mean MAJOR.

Put simply, BIG INFLATION is THE BIG MONEY trend today. And smart investors will use it to generate literal fortunes.

Imagine if you’d prepared your portfolio for a collapse in Tech Stocks in 2000… or a collapse in banks in 2008? Imagine just how much money you could have made with the right investments.

THAT is the kind of potential we have today. And if you’re not already taking steps to prepare for this, it’s time to get a move on.

We just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay ou as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

According to the Wall Street Journal, Jerome Powell will be the next Fed Chair.

Whether or not this is fact is difficult to tell. Neither the White House nor Powell himself has confirmed the news.

However, at the end of the day, who leads the Fed is largely irrelevant. Regardless of your position on Fed policy, math is math. So let’s consider the math.

The US finances its budget via taxes. If taxes don’t cover the budget, the US must issue debt. This has been the game for 40+ years.

Today, the US has $20 trillion in sovereign debt. And like all other US budgetary expenses, the interest payments on this debt are covered by taxes… otherwise the US must issue more debt to cover them.

Fortunately, interest payments on the debt take up very little of the US budget because interest rates are at extraordinary lows thanks to the massive bubble in bonds.

And yet, despite the fact rates are so low, the US is STILL running a $500+ deficit.

Put another way,  the US is spending WAY more than it takes in via taxes even with the economy supposedly roaring and interest payments WAY below historical norms.

So what happens if the bond market revolts? What happens if rates begin to rise due to inflation and the US is forced to start paying higher interest rates (and therefore larger debt payments) on its $20 trillion in debt?

We explore these issues in our best-selling book The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policy. On a side note, Amazon is currently running a 10% discount on the price. If you’ve not already bought a copy, you can lock in this discounted price today.

Put simply, take away the bubble in bonds, which permits Governments like the US to issue debt at rates WAY below the historic average, and most major countries are bankrupt in a matter of weeks.

Well guess what? The bond markets are already beginning to revolt. As I write this, the bond yields on FOUR of the largest economies in the world are rising, having broken out of their downtrends of the last few years. The bond markets for US, Japan, Germany and the UK are all in revolt.

And guess what is triggering this?

INFLATION.

Inflation forces bond yields higher as the bond markets adjust to compensate for the fact that future interest payments will be worth less in real terms.

Bond yields higher= bond prices lower. Bond prices lower= the bond bubble is in serious trouble.

The above chart is telling us in very simple terms: the bond market is VERY worried about rising inflation. And if Central Banks don’t move to stop hit now by ending their QE programs and hiking rates, we’re in for a VERY dangerous time in the markets.

Put simply, BIG INFLATION is THE BIG MONEY trend today. And smart investors will use it to generate literal fortunes.

Imagine if you’d prepared your portfolio for a collapse in Tech Stocks in 2000… or a collapse in banks in 2008? Imagine just how much money you could have made with the right investments.

THAT is the kind of potential we have today. And if you’re not already taking steps to prepare for this, it’s time to get a move on.

We just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay ou as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Dear Reader,

If you’re looking for answers as to why the US financial system is the way it is… or have questions about what’s coming down the pike in the financial markets, pick up a copy of our bestselling book The Everything Bubble: The End Game For Central Bank Policy on Amazon today.

If you’ve yet to pick up a copy, grab one now. You’ll immediately know more about how the financial system works (as well as what’s come) than anyone else in your social circle.

If you’ve already bought a copy, PLEASE leave us a review on Amazon. It will help get the word out!

This book is a distillation of over a decade of work. It is divided into two sections (How We Got Here and What’s to Come).

How We Got Here outlines everything you need to know about how the US financial system was created, developed, and currently operates “behind the scenes.” Anyone who reads it will have a better understanding of these issues than 99% of the public.

What’s to Come outlines what the next round of Federal Reserve policy will look like when The Everything Bubble (the bubble in sovereign bonds) bursts. It presents a road map for how the next crisis will play out as well as how the Fed will react to what’s coming.

Again, you can purchase the book by CLICKING HERE.

Thank you for your business. I hope you enjoy reading this book. I simply couldn’t be prouder of it.

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

The One Thing About Tax Reform That NO ONE is Talking About

The markets have been gunning higher on the notion that the Trump Administration is about to unveil a huge tax reform plan.

However, the devil is in the details. And thus far the plan is focusing on corporate tax reform, with the notion that an employer will somehow “pass on” their savings to employees via raises.

First off, while the phrase “corporate taxes” is a great political prop, the reality is that nearly 50% of large corporations pay ZERO corporate income tax.

That is not a typo.

In 2012, the Government Accountability Office performed a study in which it discovered that 43% of companies with $10+ million in assets pay ZERO corporate income tax.

It’s not as if the other 57% are picking up the slack either.

It is well known that large corporations go above and beyond to avoid paying the full, required tax rate. As Forbes noted earlier this year, Apple pays a 25% tax rate (the official US corporate rate is supposed to be 35%).  Microsoft pays a 16% tax rate. Alphabet (Google) pays 19%. General Electric and Exxon Mobil appear to have paid no corporate income tax in 2016.

My point is this: pursuing corporate tax reform is a pointless exercise.  Few if any corporations pay anywhere near the official corporate tax rate of 35%.

So what tax reform should we be talking about?

Individual tax reform.

And why aren’t we talking about it?

Because any discussion of individual tax reform eventually leads to the elephant in the room: entitlements.

The US currently spends 65% of it budget on entitlement spending. Nearly half of American households receive some kind of Government assistance/outlay. Those households that DO pay taxes cover only some of this (which is why the US is running $500+ BILLION deficits every year).

The bond bubble is financing the rest of this.

As I outlined in my best-selling book, The Everything Bubble: the Endgame for Central Bank Policy, politicians promise, but bond markets deliver.

Put simply, the bond bubble is what has financed the enormous entitlement spending of Governments around the world.

Take away the bubble in bonds, which permits Governments to issue debt at rates WAY below the historic average, and most major countries are bankrupt in a matter of weeks.

Well guess what? The bond markets are already beginning to revolt. As I write this, the bond yields on FOUR of the largest economies in the world are rising, having broken out of their downtrends of the last few years. The bond markets for US, Japan, Germany and the UK are all in revolt.

And guess what is triggering this?

INFLATION.

Inflation forces bond yields higher as the bond markets adjust to compensate for the fact that future interest payments will be worth less in real terms.

Bond yields higher= bond prices lower. Bond prices lower= the bond bubble is in serious trouble.

The above chart is telling us in very simple terms: the bond market is VERY worried about rising inflation. And if Central Banks don’t move to stop hit now by ending their QE programs and hiking rates, we’re in for a VERY dangerous time in the markets.

Put simply, BIG INFLATION is THE BIG MONEY trend today. And smart investors will use it to generate literal fortunes.

Imagine if you’d prepared your portfolio for a collapse in Tech Stocks in 2000… or a collapse in banks in 2008? Imagine just how much money you could have made with the right investments.

THAT is the kind of potential we have today. And if you’re not already taking steps to prepare for this, it’s time to get a move on.

We just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay ou as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

The following is an excerpt from our weekly investment service, Private Wealth Advisory.

ECB President Mario Draghi is now walking back QE.

This is not a surprise to subscribers of our investment newsletter Private Wealth Advisory. I’ve been forecasting this exact development, (as well as the Euro’s spike to 120) since August 2016 (by the way, the Euro was at 109 back then everyone thought it would soon reach parity with the $USD as it collapsed).

Still, why is Draghi doing this?

Because the bond market was in revolt, with yields beginning to rise. Rising yields= falling bonds prices. Falling bond prices over time= bear market in bonds. Bear market in bonds = SYSTEMIC reset.

We explain all of this in our bestselling book The Everything Bubble: The End Game For Central Bank Policy. If you’ve yet to pick up a copy, grab one now. You’ll immediately know more about how the financial system works (as well as what’s come) than anyone else in your social circle.

Draghi, like all Central Bankers, cares about just one thing. Bond yields. And as the below chart shows, bonds particularly German Bunds (don’t forget Germany is who controls the real purse strings in Europe) were in revolt, rising above their long-term trendline.

Put simply, the above chart was a MAJOR warning that the bond bubble was in serious trouble. The ECB, like all Central Banks is now cornered: either it stop printing money and let stocks collapse… or they continue to print money, unleash inflation, and pop the bond bubble.

Either way, we’re heading towards another crisis.

The time to prepare your portfolio for this is NOW before this hits truly gets out of control!

Imagine if you’d prepared your portfolio for a collapse in Tech Stocks in 2000… or a collapse in banks in 2008? Imagine just how much money you could have made with the right investments.

THAT’s the kind of potential we have today.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Central Banks are in VERY serious trouble.

By creating a bubble in sovereign bonds, which I call The Everything Bubble, they were hoping to corner all risk.

The problem with this, is that in order to create this bubble, they had to print trillions of dollars worth of money and use this money to buy bonds. And that money printing (now to the tune of $15 trillion) has unleashed inflation.

Why is this a problem?

Because inflation makes bond prices FALL as bond yields rise to accommodate the higher inflation rate. And when bond prices fall, the bond bubble bursts.

Take a look at high yield/junk bonds. We’re right at the bull market trendline.

Emerging market bonds? Ditto.

Worst of all, the 10-Year Treasury has already broken its bull market trendline running back to previous credit cycle peak in 2007.

Put simply, the above charts are a MAJOR warning that the bond bubble is in serious trouble. Central Banks are now cornered: either they stop printing money and let stocks collapse… or they continue to print money, unleash inflation, and pop the bond bubble.

Either way, we’re heading towards another crisis.

The time to prepare your portfolio for this is NOW before this hits truly gets out of control!

Imagine if you’d prepared your portfolio for a collapse in Tech Stocks in 2000… or a collapse in banks in 2008? Imagine just how much money you could have made with the right investments.

THAT’s the kind of potential we have today.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

While the financial media “high fives” over stocks hitting new high, something far more important is brewing in the bond markets.

Bonds are the “smart money” in the financial system. The bond markets are not only much larger, but much more liquid than stocks. As such, when a major change begins to unfold, bonds usually “get it” much faster than stocks.

With that in mind, take a look at the UGLY Head and Shoulders pattern forming in the long-Treasury.

This is a serious topping pattern. And it suggests that bonds are about to reprice much lower.

 

What could cause such a drop?

INFLATION.

Inflation forces bond prices lower as yields have to rise to compensate for a loss of purchasing power (bond yields rise when bond prices fall). In light of this, that topping pattern in bonds is a major warning to the Bond Bubble (which we call The Everything Bubble) that the financial system is going to be in very serious trouble soon.

Globally the Bond Bubble is well north of $200 trillion. And when you include derivatives trade based on bond yields, it’s north of $550 TRILLION.

This is many multiples larger than the housing bubble or the tech bubble of the last 20 years. And because bonds are the bedrock of the financial system, when the Bond Bubble bursts, EVERYTHING will have to adjust accordingly.

The time to prepare your portfolio for this is NOW before this hits truly gets out of control!

Imagine if you’d prepared your portfolio for a collapse in Tech Stocks in 2000… or a collapse in banks in 2008? Imagine just how much money you could have made with the right investments.

We offer a FREE investment report outlining when the market will collapse as well as what investments will pay out massive returns to investors when this happens. It’s called Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

We have reopened this report to the public by one week based on what is happening in stocks today, but after that, we are closing the doors on this offer.

To pick up one of the last remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Dear Subscriber,

I am beyond thrilled to announce that my book The Everything Bubble is now available to purchase at Amazon. You can purchase it by CLICKING HERE.

This book is a distillation of over a decade of work. It is divided into two sections (How We Got Here and What’s to Come).

How We Got Here outlines everything you need to know about how the US financial system was created, developed, and currently operates “behind the scenes.” Anyone who reads it will have a better understanding of these issues than 99% of the public.

What’s to Come outlines what the next round of Federal Reserve policy will look like when The Everything Bubble (the bubble in sovereign bonds) bursts. It presents a road map for how the next crisis will play out as well as how the Fed will react to what’s coming.

Again, you can purchase the book by CLICKING HERE.

Thank you for your business. I hope you enjoy reading this book. I simply couldn’t be prouder of it.

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

This Two Charts Tell You All You Need to Know About What’s Coming In 2018

Inflation is going to annihilate the stock market.

The reason, in fact the BIG reason, that stocks have been soaring since November 2016 is because of the coming inflationary storm. Stocks LOVE inflation at first as it results in asset prices rising.

However, stocks absolutely HATE inflation once it starts eating into profit margins. When this happens, companies begin to lose money as higher operating costs eat into their profits.

On that note, take a look at the following chart of corporate profits pre-tax.

—————————————————————-

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What you are looking at, is an “end of cycle” situation in which corporate profits begin to roll over in a bit way.

Why are corporate profits rolling over?

Profit margins are shrinking as inflation begins eating away at profits. And this is just the beginning.

What happens when inflation REALLY starts to bite into stocks?

Put simply, BIG INFLATION is the THE BIG MONEY trend today. And smart investors will use it to generate literal fortunes.

We just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay ou as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research