Our Next Major Market Prediction is Out Now

Time for a pullback. As a brief refresher on our track record thus far in 2018, in February and early March when the S&P 500 was at 2770, we warned that stocks would revisit the lows. Then in late March/ early April when the S&P 500 was at 2,600, we said the bottom was in

The US Dollar Has Already Figured Out That Inflation is Coming

The Fed has gone dovish. In fact, it’s going to allow inflation to explode higher. That, in of itself, is significant… to understand why, we first need to acknowledge how the Fed currently operates to control risk in the financial system. The Fed currently has two primary tools for controlling the financial system. They are:

The Fed Is Going Dovish… And It’s BARELY Normalized Anything of Note

The Fed has gone dovish. In fact, it’s going to allow inflation to explode higher. That, in of itself, is significant… to understand why, we first need to acknowledge how the Fed currently operates to control risk in the financial system. The Fed currently has two primary tools for controlling the financial system. They are:

Make No Mistake, An “Inflationary Overshoot” Is Unavoidable at This Point

The Fed has gone dovish. In fact, it’s going to allow inflation to explode higher. That, in of itself, is significant… to understand why, we first need to acknowledge how the Fed currently operates to control risk in the financial system. The Fed currently has two primary tools for controlling the financial system. They are:

The Inflation Trade is About to Ignite. Here’s How to Play It

It never fails. Any time the $USD begins to rally, even a little bit, the deflationists come out in full force proclaiming that it’s the start of some major bull market that will blow up the financial system. Take this latest bounce in the $USD. Having staged one of the worst annual returns in years

Dear Deflationists, the $USD is About to Collapse

It never fails. Any time the $USD begins to rally, even a little bit, the deflationists come out in full force proclaiming that it’s the start of some major bull market that will blow up the financial system. Take this latest bounce in the $USD. Having staged one of the worst annual returns in years

The Dead Cat Bounce in the Dollar is Over

It never fails. Any time the $USD begins to rally, even a little bit, the deflationists come out in full force proclaiming that it’s the start of some major bull market that will blow up the financial system. Take this latest bounce in the $USD. Having staged one of the worst annual returns in years

Inflation is Here… And Here’s How to Play It

Let’s talk about inflation. Inflation enters the economy in stages. It’s not as though the Fed begins to print money and POOF! inflation appears. It takes time. The first stage occurs in the manufacturing/ production segment of the economy when you see producers suddenly paying more for the raw goods and commodities they use to

We Are Now Hitting “Stage 3” For Inflation (the BAD Phase)

Let’s talk about inflation. Inflation enters the economy in stages. It’s not as though the Fed begins to print money and POOF! inflation appears. It takes time. The first stage occurs in the manufacturing/ production segment of the economy when you see producers suddenly paying more for the raw goods and commodities they use to

Remember, Stocks LOVE Inflation at First (New All Time Highs Are Coming)

Let’s talk about inflation. Inflation enters the economy in stages. It’s not as though the Fed begins to print money and POOF! inflation appears. It takes time. The first stage occurs in the manufacturing/ production segment of the economy when you see producers suddenly paying more for the raw goods and commodities they use to

Inflation Has Now Fully Seeped Into the Economy (Here’s How to Play It)

Let’s talk about inflation. Inflation enters the economy in stages. It’s not as though the Fed begins to print money and POOF! inflation appears. It takes time. The first stage occurs in the manufacturing/ production segment of the economy when you see producers suddenly paying more for the raw goods and commodities they use to

Buckle Up Deflationists… You’re Getting Taken to the Cleaners

The current view trending in social media as well as most of the financial media is that Italy is about to trigger a systemic collapse of Europe. Those proposing this theory are using charts of Italy’s bond yields and stock market that focus on the last few years when the country was being priced at

Newsflash… the Russell 2000 Was FLAT Yesterday

The current view trending in social media as well as most of the financial media is that Italy is about to trigger a systemic collapse of Europe. Those proposing this theory are using charts of Italy’s bond yields and stock market that focus on the last few years when the country was being priced at

The Italy Doom is Misguided. PERIOD.

The current view trending in social media as well as most of the financial media is that Italy is about to trigger a systemic collapse of Europe. Those proposing this theory are using charts of Italy’s bond yields and stock market that focus on the last few years when the country was being priced at

Is the EU About to Collapse? Stocks Don’t Think So

The “Italy Crisis” is over. I know the headlines read as though Italy was collapsing and the Euro is about to implode. But the headlines are reporting on yesterday’s news. The collapse of the Italy government means a new election. That, in turn, means a pro-Euro politician heading Italy. And that in turn means the

Forget Italy, Here Comes the White Swan

The “Italy Crisis” is over. I know the headlines read as though Italy was collapsing and the Euro is about to implode. But the headlines are reporting on yesterday’s news. The collapse of the Italy government means a new election. That, in turn, means a pro-Euro politician heading Italy. And that in turn means the

The Italy Crisis is Over, the Run to New All-Time Highs is About to Begin

The “Italy Crisis” is over. I know the headlines read as though Italy was collapsing and the Euro is about to implode. But the headlines are reporting on yesterday’s news. The collapse of the Italy government means a new election. That, in turn, means a pro-Euro politician heading Italy. And that in turn means the

Friday Special Deal! (10% and 23% Off the Normal Price)

Dear Reader, This is just a friendly notice that Amazon is currently running a special…10% off on paperback and 23% off Kindle on my book The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policy. If you haven’t already picked up a copy, this is the best pricing Amazon has run thus far. To pick up

Is the Fed About to Join the ECB and BoJ in Easing?

To recap yesterday’s piece concerning the recent shift in Central Bank policy, from mid-2016 onward: 1)   Central Banks engaging in emergency levels of QE at a time in which their respective economies were growing. 2)   Inflation bottoming then beginning to rise. 3)   Bond markets starting to revolt. 4)   Central Banks opting to walk back their

The Most Important Chart In the World Right Now

To recap yesterday’s piece concerning the recent shift in Central Bank policy, from mid-2016 onward: 1)   Central Banks engaging in emergency levels of QE at a time in which their respective economies were growing. 2)   Inflation bottoming then beginning to rise. 3)   Bond markets starting to revolt. 4)   Central Banks opting to walk back their
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What Happens When the Everything Bubble Bursts?
  • By trying to corner the bond market (risk-free rate)
  • the Fed has created a bubble in everything
  • We call this THE EVERYTHING BUBBLE
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