interest rates Archive
In 2008, the world experienced the worst economic collapse in 80+ years. This collapse triggered a stock market crash that erased $30 trillion in wealth. Since that time, collectively Central Banks have cut interest rates over 600 times and have printed over $15 trillion in new money… money that has failed to generate sustained economic
The US Federal Reserve is obsessed with market reactions to its policies. Because of this, anytime the Fed plans to announce a major change in policy, it preps the markets via numerous leaks and hints… oftentimes for months in advance. An excellent example of this concerns the Fed’s decision to taper QE back in 2013.
Let’s talk briefly about China. China is thought to be the great growth story of the post-2008 era. China’s economy not only bottomed before the developed world, but by most accounts, China was thought to be the engine that pulled the world out of recession, thanks to its near-clocklike hitting of 7%+ in GDP growth
For six years, the world has operated based on faith and hope that Central Banks somehow fixed the issues that caused the 2008 Crisis. All of the arguments supporting this defied common sense. A 5th grader knows that you cannot solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. If the below chart was a problem
The stock market is rapidly running out of props. First off, corporate sales and profits are rolling over. As Charlie Bilello recently noted, we’ve had two straight quarters of Year over Years drops in corporate revenues. Moreover, corporate profits are also falling at a pace usually associated with recessions: Profit growth for the S&P 500
Another Fed FOMC meetings has come and gone and interest rates remain at zero. The investing world is obsessed with guessing when the Fed will raise rates and by how much. The Fed has been dangling the “rate hike” over the markets since the beginning of the year. First we were lead to believe a
Earlier this week I outlined how the next Crash will play out. Today we’ll assess why this Crisis will be worse than the 2008 Crisis. By way of explanation, let’s consider how the current monetary system works… The current global monetary system is based on debt. Governments issue sovereign bonds, which a select group of