recession Archive

Will China’s Meltdown Trigger a Crash?

Let’s talk briefly about China. China is thought to be the great growth story of the post-2008 era. China’s economy not only bottomed before the developed world, but by most accounts, China was thought to be the engine that pulled the world out of recession, thanks to its near-clocklike hitting of 7%+ in GDP growth

Recession Watch: We’re Back in One

The Fed has now kept interest rates at zero for 81 months. This is the longest period in the history of the Fed’s existence, lasting longer than even the 1938-1942 period of ZIRP. And the US economy is moving back into recession. Consider that… Industrial production fell five months straight in the first half of

The Market Has Run Out of Props

The stock market is rapidly running out of props. First off, corporate sales and profits are rolling over. As Charlie Bilello recently noted, we’ve had two straight quarters of Year over Years drops in corporate revenues. Moreover, corporate profits are also falling at a pace usually associated with recessions: Profit growth for the S&P 500
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What Happens When the Everything Bubble Bursts?
  • By trying to corner the bond market (risk-free rate)
  • the Fed has created a bubble in everything
  • We call this THE EVERYTHING BUBBLE
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