Month: September 2016

I Don’t See How Germany Can Contain the Deutsche Bank Collapse

Let’s talk about Deutsche Bank (DB).

Deutsche Bank is the 11th largest bank in the world. It has assets of $1.8 trillion and over ~$60 trillion in derivatives on its books.

From a balance sheet perspective, DB’s balance sheet is 50% the size of Germany’s GDP. By way of comparison, imagine if JP Morgan was a $9 TRILLION bank. That’s effectively DB’s status in Germany.

However, it’s DB’s derivative book that is the real problem as far as the markets are concerned. As I mentioned before, DB has ~$60 trillion in derivatives. And unlike the other derivatives giant of the financial world (JP Morgan with $52 trillion in derivatives), DB is based in Europe.

What are the differences?

Europe is where Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) Brexit and exposure to a banking system that is entirely too laden with debt has proven a disastrous cocktail.

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The Single Best Options Trading Service on the Planet

Yesterday, while 99% of traders were getting killed we locked in THREE new double digit winners.

As a result of this, our options trading newsletter, THE CRISIS TRADER has now produced an astounding 270% return on invested capital thus far in 2016.

We have a success rate of 70% meaning we make money on SEVEN seven out of TEN trades. And thanks to careful risk management we’ve already produced a return on invested capital of over 124% thus far in 2016.

You can try this service for 30 days for just 99 cents.

To take out a $0.99, 30-day trial subscription to THE CRISIS TRADER…

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What precisely has hit DB remains to be seen. But something happened in the first two weeks of September that triggered a market meltdown. DB shares have fallen straight down a total of 27% since that time.

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Now we are in full-blown panic mode. This bank is too big to bailout and too big to bail-in. Moreover that massive derivatives book connects DB to over 200 financial entities. Unwinding it will be catastrophic.

This could very well lead to a 2008 type Crash. To be blunt, I don’t see how Germany or the ECB can contain it.

Seriously at this point, if you’re not taking out a trial subscription to our Private Wealth Advisory newsletter, I don’t know what else to tell you.

First of all, I’ve lead subscribers to close 112 STRAIGHT WINNING TRADES. This is a record in investing, even greater than our 74 trade winning streak back in 2012.

In September alone we’ve closed WINNERS of 6%, 8%, 11%, 14% and 19%.

And the last time we closed a LOSER was in NOVEMBER 2014.

So… you’re talking about closing nothing but winners for nearly TWO YEARS STRAIGHT, SETTING A RECORD FOR LONGEST WINNING STREAK.

If you don’t believe me, you can take out a trial for 30 days for  98 cents.

If you find Private Wealth Advisory is not what you’re looking for, simply email us and you won’t be charged another cent.

However, I have no doubt you, like our other subscribers will stay with us. Most subscribers make enough money on a single one of our trades to cover the cost of an entire YEAR’S subscription (just $199).

Indeed, less than 10% of subscribers choose NOT to stay with us. And the ones that DO cancel do so because they’re simply not active investors and prefer owning a single mutual fund.

I know you’re not that kind of investor. You’re looking for regular market crushing gains and minimal losers to grow your capital like a rocket ship.

To take out a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just…. 98 cents.

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

PS. I almost forgot, a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just 98 cents comes with SIX SPECIAL INVESTMENT REPORTS.

  • The Crash Trigger: The Signal That Flashed Before 1987, 2000, and 2008
  • The War on Cash: the Fed’s Secret Plan to Outlaw Cash
  • Protect Your Portfolio From a Crash
  • Protect Your Savings from a Bank Failure
  • The Inflation Secrets Your Broker Won’t Tell You About
  • Bullion 101: How and Why to Buy Gold and Silver

These reports are yours to keep EVEN IF YOU CHOOSE TO CANCEL YOUR SUBSCRIPTION.

How’s that for a NO RISK offer?

To take out a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just 98 cents.

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

We’re Issuing a Formal Alert: Something Major is Coming in the Markets

Time for a reality check.

The market has had nothing but positives for three months now. BREXIT was contained. The Fed failed to raise rates again. The Bank of Japan and European Central Bank are printing a combined ~$180 billion per month (a record pace) and using it to prop the markets up.

And stocks are DOWN. While the bulls and CNBC shills talk about the markets like they’re in some incredible rally, the fact is that the S&P 500 peaked in mid-August. And if you want to go back further it’s gone absolutely NOWHERE since July 9th.

gpc92916

Seriously, if you cannot manufacture a roaring rally with follow through on the last three months’ worth of news, you’re not going to manufacture one ever.

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The Single Best Options Trading Service on the Planet

Yesterday, while 99% of traders were getting killed we locked in THREE new double digit winners.

As a result of this, our options trading newsletter, THE CRISIS TRADER has now produced an astounding 270% return on invested capital thus far in 2016.

We have a success rate of 70% meaning we make money on SEVEN seven out of TEN trades. And thanks to careful risk management we’ve already produced a return on invested capital of over 124% thus far in 2016.

You can try this service for 30 days for just 99 cents.

To take out a $0.99, 30-day trial subscription to THE CRISIS TRADER…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

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Indeed, Central Banks have never been more aggressive in their easing.

  1. Two of world’s FIVE major Central Banks (ECB and BoJ) are printing $180 billion per month and giving it to the banks.
  1. One of the FIVE (the Swiss National Bank) is openly BUYING stocks outright.
  1. Another of the FIVE (the Bank of England) just cut rates and announce a new QE program.
  1. The last of the FIVE, and the only one that is supposed to be tightening policy (the Fed) hasn’t raised rates in nine months and will not do so until December at the earliest.

And the bulls can’t get it done. So… what do you think is coming next?

Seriously at this point, if you’re not taking out a trial subscription to our Private Wealth Advisory newsletter, I don’t know what else to tell you.

First of all, I’ve lead subscribers to close 112 STRAIGHT WINNING TRADES. This is a record in investing, even greater than our 74 trade winning streak back in 2012.

In September alone we’ve closed WINNERS of 6%, 8%, 11%, 14% and 19%.

And the last time we closed a LOSER was in NOVEMBER 2014.

So… you’re talking about closing nothing but winners for nearly TWO YEARS STRAIGHT, SETTING A RECORD FOR LONGEST WINNING STREAK.

If you don’t believe me, you can take out a trial for 30 days for  98 cents.

If you find Private Wealth Advisory is not what you’re looking for, simply email us and you won’t be charged another cent.

However, I have no doubt you, like our other subscribers will stay with us. Most subscribers make enough money on a single one of our trades to cover the cost of an entire YEAR’S subscription (just $199).

Indeed, less than 10% of subscribers choose NOT to stay with us. And the ones that DO cancel do so because they’re simply not active investors and prefer owning a single mutual fund.

I know you’re not that kind of investor. You’re looking for regular market crushing gains and minimal losers to grow your capital like a rocket ship.

To take out a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just…. 98 cents.

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

PS. I almost forgot, a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just 98 cents comes with SIX SPECIAL INVESTMENT REPORTS.

  • The Crash Trigger: The Signal That Flashed Before 1987, 2000, and 2008
  • The War on Cash: the Fed’s Secret Plan to Outlaw Cash
  • Protect Your Portfolio From a Crash
  • Protect Your Savings from a Bank Failure
  • The Inflation Secrets Your Broker Won’t Tell You About
  • Bullion 101: How and Why to Buy Gold and Silver

These reports are yours to keep EVEN IF YOU CHOOSE TO CANCEL YOUR SUBSCRIPTION.

How’s that for a NO RISK offer?

To take out a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just 98 cents.

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

 

 

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

HSBC’s Chief of Technical Analysis Just Warned of a Potential 1987-Type Crash

The head of HSBC’s Technical Analysis group just issued a major warning.

Unless the markets can take out its September highs, we could very well see a repeated of the 1987 Crash.

Murray Gunn is head of technical analysis for HSBC. In a recent client note, he pointed out the Head and Shoulders top pattern that presaged the 1987 Crash.

In its simplest forms, the Dow Jones Industrial Average formed a Head and Shoulders top when it violated its neckline. We then had a failed attempt to reclaim the neckline, which resulted in the Crash.

gpc92816

———————————————————————–

The Single Best Options Trading Service on the Planet

Yesterday, while 99% of traders were getting killed we locked in THREE new double digit winners.

As a result of this, our options trading newsletter, THE CRISIS TRADER has now produced an astounding 270% return on invested capital thus far in 2016.

We have a success rate of 70% meaning we make money on SEVEN seven out of TEN trades. And thanks to careful risk management we’ve already produced a return on invested capital of over 124% thus far in 2016.

You can try this service for 30 days for just 99 cents.

To take out a $0.99, 30-day trial subscription to THE CRISIS TRADER…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

———————————————————————–

Gunn notes that the Dow is forming a similar pattern today. He also notes that momentum is waning, and Elliot Wave analysis indicates a 1987-Crash could indeed occur.

gpc928162

A big move is coming to the markets. And we’re already preparing for it.

Indeed Private Wealth Advisory subscribers just locked in another two winning trades bringing us to 112 STRAIGHT WINNING TRADES.

Indeed, we haven’t closed a single loser since November 2014.

112 straight winners… and not one closed loser… in 22 months.

Subscribers are pouring into this newsletter, to get these kinds of gains.

However, I cannot maintain this kind of track record with thousands of investors following our recommendations.

So tonight (Wednesday) at midnight, we are closing the doors on our offer to try Private Wealth Advisory for 30 days for just $0.98.

This is it… last call… NO MORE EXTENSIONS!

To lock in one of the remaining slots…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

Is a “$46 TRILLION” Lehman Brothers Event Just Around the Corner?

The financial world is abuzz with talk of the first Presidential debate.

Meanwhile, one of the largest derivatives books in the world is imploding.

Deutsche Bank (DB) is the 11th largest bank in the world. And it has over $61 TRILLION (with a “T”) in derivatives on its books.

AND IT HAS LOST NEARLY A QUARTER OF ITS VALUE IN THE LAST THREE WEEKS.

gpc92716
DB is not alone here. Across the board, we’re getting signs of an impending banking crisis in Eurpoe.

Credit Suisse (CS) is trading BELOW its 2012 banking crisis lows.

gpc927162

So is Barclays (BCS)

gpc927163

The EU banking system is $46 TRILLION in size. This is THREE TIMES larger than the US banking system, which nearly imploded the markets in 2008.

And the EU as a whole is leveraged at 26 to 1. Lehman Brothers was leveraged only slightly higher than this at 30 to 1.

We believe the global markets are on the verge of another Crisis.

2008 was Round 1. This next round, Round 2, will be even worse.

If you’ve yet to take action to prepare for this, we offer a FREE investment report called the Financial Crisis “Round Two” Survival Guide that outlines simple, easy to follow strategies you can use to not only protect your portfolio from it, but actually produce profits.

We made 1,000 copies available for FREE the general public.

As we write this, there are less than 100 left.

To pick up yours, swing by….

http://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/roundtwo.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Our FREE e-letter: www.gainspainscapital.com

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

Will Deutsche Bank’s Collapse Be Worse Than Lehman Brothers?

Few analysts noted it, but the $USD actually staged its second strongest day of the year the Friday before last.

The only other day in which the $USD rallied more was on the day of BREXIT, a black swan event that featured EXTREME currency volatility.

sc-5

This move tells us something BIG is afoot “behind the scenes” in the financial system

I believe that something is a banking crisis in the EU. The clear signal is coming from Deutsche Bank (DB).

DB is the proverbial “canary in the coalmine” for Europe. Perched atop one of the largest derivatives books in Europe, DB has ties to most major financial institutions in the region.

Which is why as soon as DB starts nose-diving, you know something big is up.

DB shares are down 16% since September 15th and nearly 20% from September 9th. Put another way, this bank has lost a FIFTH of its market cap in less than two weeks.

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Bear in mind, Deutsche Bank is considerably larger than Lehman Brothers. It’s derivatives book is 20 times German GDP.

And the long-term chart is VERY disturbing.

sc-1

We believe the global markets are on the verge of another Crisis.

2008 was Round 1. This next round, Round 2, will be even worse.

If you’ve yet to take action to prepare for this, we offer a FREE investment report called the Financial Crisis “Round Two” Survival Guide that outlines simple, easy to follow strategies you can use to not only protect your portfolio from it, but actually produce profits.

We made 1,000 copies available for FREE the general public.

As we write this, there are less than 100 left.

To pick up yours, swing by….

http://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/roundtwo.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Our FREE e-letter: www.gainspainscapital.com

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

The Fed’s Market Myth is Unraveling Before Our Eyes… A Bloodbath is Coming

So much for the narrative.

The latest myth being promoted in economic circles is that median income growth exploded higher last year. The people promoting this myth obviously didn’t bother reading the actual report and don’t understand what the word “median” means.

A big hat tip goes to John Williams who actually DID read the report and found that the Census has adjusted its methodology to include what interest income WOULD be if rates were not at zero.

In this manner, the Census was able to claim interest income INCREASED 111% during a period in which the US interest rate was 0.25%.

By the way, the White House controls the Census. It must be complete coincidence that during an election year suddenly the data got so much better based on fantastical assumptions.

Regardless, the report is just the latest in politically driven economic propaganda. This includes the jobs data.

We are lead to believe that jobs are strong and that the US is “fully employed.” Setting aside the fact that 94 million people are out of the workforce, and 46 million are on food stamps, let’s focus on the notion of “jobs.”

When someone gets a “job” that person begins to pay “income tax.” The Government loves this because it funds revenues. Which is why it’s rather off that if employment is indeed rising, income taxes being withheld have FALLEN for the last two years.

Either those “jobs” don’t actually pay income… or the “jobs” don’t actually exist.

gpc92316

H/T Bawerk.net

The data continues to fall apart here as well. The Rockefeller Institute of Government just released a report showing that state personal income tax revenues are rolling over aggressively.

State personal income tax revenues grew only 1.8% year over year in the first quarter of 2016. The second quarter’s preliminary data shows a decline of 3.3%.

If jobs are being created and personal incomes are growing, income taxes should be RISING. They’re not. This suggests that REAL economic growth is in fact MUCH lower than the mainstream financial media narrative.

Stocks have yet to adjust to this. Stocks believe the hype that the economy is growing rapidly and that we are in a recovery. When stocks finally adjust, we’re in for a rude awakening.

Indeed, we believe the global markets are on the verge of another Crisis, triggered by a crisis of faith in Central Banks.

2008 was Round 1 triggered by Wall Street banks. This next round, Round 2, will be even worse as faith in Central Banks collapses.

If you’ve yet to take action to prepare for this, we offer a FREE investment report called the Financial Crisis “Round Two” Survival Guide that outlines simple, easy to follow strategies you can use to not only protect your portfolio from it, but actually produce profits.

We made 1,000 copies available for FREE the general public.

As we write this, there are less than 100 left.

To pick up yours, swing by….

http://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/roundtwo.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Our FREE e-letter: www.gainspainscapital.com

 

 

 

 

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
Ignore the Fed, Something MASSIVE is Brewing in Europe’s Banks

Ignore the Fed, Something MASSIVE is Brewing in Europe’s Banks

The Bank of Japan failed to announce any new policy initiatives today. The reasons are financial and political.

From a financial perspective, the Bank of Japan is well aware that its current tools cannot and will not generate sustained GDP growth. Bank of Japan head Haruhiko Kuroda implicitly admitted back in January that regardless of what he does, Japan has “potential growth rate of 0.5% or lower.”

That is a HECK of an admission by a Senior Level Central Banker.

Politically, the BoJ’s other primary tool (interest rates) is also a dead end. Japan’s foray into NIRP has proven to be a disaster from a political perspective with a significant media and political backlash. This combined with the fact that Japan’s first round of NIRP resulted in the Yen exploding higher (exactly the opposite of what the BoJ wanted) left the BoJ with little of note.

So the BoJ did what all Central Bankers do in these circumstances and promised it would do more if needed.

Which brings us to the Fed.

The Fed will announce today at 2PM whether or not it will hike interest rates. In the Big Picture, what the Fed does or doesn’t announce really doesn’t matter. The markets have already adjusted as though the Fed was hiking rates with bonds selling off and the US Dollar rallying sharply.

Indeed, few noticed, but the US Dollar just staged its second BIGGEST single day rally of the year on Friday. The only other day in which the $USD rallied more was on BREXIT when the entire global currency system came unhinged.

This kind of move is a clear signal that something MAJOR is underway “behind the scenes” in the financial system. My belief is that the “something” is a European Banking Crisis. Multiple major EU banks hit new record lows yesterday.

The EU Banking System is three times the size of the US’s and leveraged at 26 to 1 (Lehman was leveraged at 30 to 1 when it imploded). THIS is the big issue for the market today. Focusing on what the Fed does is like focusing on the sink while your home is ablaze.

We believe the global markets are on the verge of another Crisis.

2008 was Round 1. This next round, Round 2, will be even worse.

If you’ve yet to take action to prepare for this, we offer a FREE investment report called the Financial Crisis “Round Two” Survival Guide that outlines simple, easy to follow strategies you can use to not only protect your portfolio from it, but actually produce profits.

We made 1,000 copies available for FREE the general public.

As we write this, there are less than 100 left.

To pick up yours, swing by….

http://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/roundtwo.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Our FREE e-letter: www.gainspainscapital.com

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

Ignore the Fed, Something MASSIVE is Brewing in Europe’s Banks

The Bank of Japan failed to announce any new policy initiatives today. The reasons are financial and political.

From a financial perspective, the Bank of Japan is well aware that its current tools cannot and will not generate sustained GDP growth. Bank of Japan head Haruhiko Kuroda implicitly admitted back in January that regardless of what he does, Japan has “potential growth rate of 0.5% or lower.”

That is a HECK of an admission by a Senior Level Central Banker.

Politically, the BoJ’s other primary tool (interest rates) is also a dead end. Japan’s foray into NIRP has proven to be a disaster from a political perspective with a significant media and political backlash. This combined with the fact that Japan’s first round of NIRP resulted in the Yen exploding higher (exactly the opposite of what the BoJ wanted) left the BoJ with little of note.

So the BoJ did what all Central Bankers do in these circumstances and promised it would do more if needed.

Which brings us to the Fed.

The Fed will announce today at 2PM whether or not it will hike interest rates. In the Big Picture, what the Fed does or doesn’t announce really doesn’t matter. The markets have already adjusted as though the Fed was hiking rates with bonds selling off and the US Dollar rallying sharply.

Indeed, few noticed, but the US Dollar just staged its second BIGGEST single day rally of the year on Friday. The only other day in which the $USD rallied more was on BREXIT when the entire global currency system came unhinged.

This kind of move is a clear signal that something MAJOR is underway “behind the scenes” in the financial system. My belief is that the “something” is a European Banking Crisis. Multiple major EU banks hit new record lows yesterday.

The EU Banking System is three times the size of the US’s and leveraged at 26 to 1 (Lehman was leveraged at 30 to 1 when it imploded). THIS is the big issue for the market today. Focusing on what the Fed does is like focusing on the sink while your home is ablaze.

We believe the global markets are on the verge of another Crisis.

2008 was Round 1. This next round, Round 2, will be even worse.

If you’ve yet to take action to prepare for this, we offer a FREE investment report called the Financial Crisis “Round Two” Survival Guide that outlines simple, easy to follow strategies you can use to not only protect your portfolio from it, but actually produce profits.

We made 1,000 copies available for FREE the general public.

As we write this, there are less than 100 left.

To pick up yours, swing by….

http://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/roundtwo.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Our FREE e-letter: www.gainspainscapital.com

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

Three Charts Every Investor Needs to See Now

The markets are in waiting mode as the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve meet this week.

However, smarter markets than stocks are already adjusting to a weak global economy. Oil, which lead the S&P 500 to the upside from the February bottom is now rolling over sharply.

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The High Yield Debt (HYG) market which is the fuse of the global bond bubble is on the verge of taking out its bull market trendline.

gpc920162

And then there’s Deutsche Bank (DB) the 11th largest bank in the world, which has collapsed over 20% in the last eight days. Something VERY bad is brewing in Europe.

gpc920163

We believe the global markets are on the verge of another Crisis.

2008 was Round 1. This next round, Round 2, will be even worse.

If you’ve yet to take action to prepare for this, we offer a FREE investment report called the Financial Crisis “Round Two” Survival Guide that outlines simple, easy to follow strategies you can use to not only protect your portfolio from it, but actually produce profits.

We made 1,000 copies available for FREE the general public.

As we write this, there are less than 100 left.

To pick up yours, swing by….

http://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/roundtwo.html

Best Regards

Phoenix Capital Research

Our FREE e-letter: www.gainspainscapital.com

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

The Fed Has Set Us Up for a Massive 50% Market Collapse

The Fed is running a virtual repeat of 1937.

The common narrative is that the Fed “didn’t do enough” during the Great Depression. This is used to justify the Fed’s use of non-stop extraordinary monetary policy post-2008.

But it’s a total lie.

The Fed went bananas in the aftermath of 1929, expanding its balance sheet by 300%. On a relative basis, the Fed’s balance sheet grew from 5% of US GDP to 23% of GDP.

This is an expansion relative to GDP is IDENTICAL to that which the Fed has accomplished since 2008. And the outcome is looking to be the same.

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The Single Best Options Trading Service on the Planet

THE CRISIS TRADER has produced an astounding 37% return on invested capital thus far in 2016.

We have a success rate of 70% meaning we make money on SEVEN seven out of TEN trades. And thanks to careful risk management we’ve already produced a return on invested capital of over 240% thus far in 2016.

Our next trade goes out this morning… you can get it and THREE others for just 99 cents.

To take out a $0.99, 30-day trial subscription to THE CRISIS TRADER…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

———————————————————————–

In 1933, CPI began erupting higher. By 1937, CPI was 3.6%. The Fed was forced to hike rates to halt inflation, kicking the weak US economy in the teeth and triggering a particularly nasty recession.

Today, the same issue is occurring. Core CPI hit the Fed’s alleged target of 2% in November 2015 and has remained above it ever since. Inflation is rising.

gpc91916

The Fed might be able to put off hiking rates for a time, but eventually this will become a REAL issue. Particularly since CPI cleared 2% when Oil and most commodities were 40% off their highs.

Eventually the Fed will be forced to hike. And when it does, it will kick an already recessionary US economy into a severe contraction. Remember in 1937, the stock market HALVED after the Fed was forced to hike rates.

Indeed, based on this, we’re looking at an incredible set up for some HUGE winners in numerous asset classes.

Indeed, based on this, we’re looking at an incredible set up for some HUGE winners in numerous asset classes.

Last week, Private Wealth Advisory subscribers have locked in another two double digit winners bringing us to 111 STRAIGHT WINNING TRADES.

Indeed, we haven’t closed a single loser since November 2014.

111 straight winners… and not one closed loser… in 22 months.

Subscribers are pouring into this newsletter, to get these kinds of gains.

However, I cannot maintain this kind of track record with thousands of investors following our recommendations.

So tonight (Monday) at midnight, we are closing the doors on our offer to try Private Wealth Advisory for 30 days for just $0.98.

This is it… no more extensions… no more openings.

To lock in one of the remaining slots…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

The Most Political Fed in History

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari wants us to believe that the Fed is not a political entity.

Kashkari is either ignoring reality or simply providing cover for the single most political Fed in history. This is not a Left vs. Right issue, this is an establishment vs. legitimate reform issue.

Consider 2012. Supposed “Republican” Ben Bernanke launched QE 3 as a clear gift to the Obama administration’s re-election bid. The data didn’t warrant another QE program in any way. Moreover, the Fed was already engaged in Operation Twist at the time.

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The Single Best Options Trading Service on the Planet

THE CRISIS TRADER has produced an astounding 37% return on invested capital thus far in 2016.

We have a success rate of 70% meaning we make money on SEVEN seven out of TEN trades. And thanks to careful risk management we’ve already produced a return on invested capital of over 240% thus far in 2016.

Our next trade goes out this morning… you can get it and THREE others for just 99 cents.

To take out a $0.99, 30-day trial subscription to THE CRISIS TRADER…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!


Unemployment had declined steadily since the 2009 recession ended.

united-states-unemployment-rate

GDP growth rate had bumped higher from the 2011 dip.

united-states-gdp-growth-1

Again, there was no real justifiable reason for the Fed to launch another QE program, let alone an open ended one. This was a clear gift from a Fed Chairman to a sitting President regardless of political party affiliation.

Today the politicization is even more obvious. We have Fed Governors openly contributing to Presidential candidate’s campaigns. And Janet Yellen met privately with President Obama in April 2016.

The official reason for this was to discuss “the economy and income inequality” but anyone with a functioning brain knows Obama was giving Yellen her marching orders to prop the markets up until the November election.

Why would two issues that have been in place since 2009 suddenly warrant the first private one on one meeting in 18 months… a mere eight months before Obama leaves office?

Again, the Obama Yellen meeting in April was very likely to put an election year fix in place in the markets. I and others have commented that since that meeting “someone” has very clearly been stepping in to defend the markets any time they take a nose-dive.

Every time this occurs the buying is both urgent and indiscriminate= the hallmarks of manipulation. REAL buyers do NOT panic buy billions of dollars worth of futures in a 1-minute span.

Again, the Fed is indeed a political entity. And this particular Fed is the single most political Fed in history. This is not about Left vs. Right, this is about maintaining the current political/financial power structure in the US at all costs.

If you’re looking for investment strategies to profit from this, I can help you…

Case in point, thus far in 2016 Private Wealth Advisory subscribers have made a killing shorting European banks while also being long various mining companies.

As a result of this, we’re now at 107 STRAIGHT WINNING TRADES.

Indeed, we haven’t closed a single loser since November 2014.

107 straight winners… and not one closed loser… in 20 months.

We take a careful and calculated approach to investing… which is how we’ve been able to maintain this incredible streak of winners… despite market conditions that can be described as “challenging” at best.

You can join us today by taking out a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just $0.98.

If you find Private Wealth Advisory is not what you’re looking for just drop us a line and you won’t be charged another cent.

To take out a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just $0.98…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
The Era of Centralization is Ending… and the Elites Are Terrified

The Era of Centralization is Ending… and the Elites Are Terrified

The biggest issue in financial political power structure today is the End of Centralization.

In the post 2008 era, the Globalists made a major push to hold the system together. The multi-billionaire class, particularly those who made fortunes from crony capitalism and bubble economics joined forces with the Keynesian media shills to convince the world that the only way we would survive would be if trillions of Dollars were given to those who were deemed “systemically important.”

Warren Buffett was a prime example of this. Buffett amassed a fortune by being a raging capitalist who prided himself on never losing money on an investment. But by the time 2008 rolled around, he faced the very real prospect of seeing his fortune halved.

Somehow he managed to convince the public that he was still a great guy while pushing for bailouts in the very firms in which he had taken large stakes: Goldman, Wells Fargo, etc.

Buffett was not the only one. He’s just the best known.

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Let’s be blunt here: the 2008 bailouts and money pumps completely betrayed capitalism. The outcome was precisely what you’d expect from Central Planning:

  • Economic stagnation.
  • The creation of low quality jobs that offer little upward mobility.
  • Concentration of wealth.

Today, eight years later, the elites are terrified that the game is ending.

You can see this in many ways. The architects of this mess (Ben Bernanke, Larry Summers and others) have resurfaced with revisionist narratives in which they are not responsible.

Meanwhile those currently at the helm of the Central Banks have begun abdicating their responsibility for what’s coming.

This is most evident in Central bank Presidents like Draghi and Yellen dropping all pretenses of being able to hit their goals/ targets and instead passing the blame onto political bodies such as Congress.

  • Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen has begun implicitly pushing for Congress to step up in terms of policy because the Fed is effectively out of ammunition.

These are very critical “tells” from those at the top of the Central Planning economic structure. These individuals know the game is about up and they know what is coming. They also know that politically the tides are now against them.

BREXIT, Trump, Le Pen, Duterte, are all part of a larger global trend away from Centralization towards Nationalism. Whether you like or despise these people/ issues is irrelevant. Their popularity is the product of the last eight years of Cronyism/ Central Planning.

This terrifies the global elites, particularly those who have been riding the crony capitalist gravy train to $ billions. It also terrifies those who link their power and prestige to the current system (Central Bankers, academic economists, and media shills).

This is why you are seeing Keynesian shilling occur on an unprecedented scale in the media. Those who’ve made fortunes from market bubbles (Mark Cuban for one) as well as the usual Keynesian shills (Krugman, etc) are out in full force claiming that if the system doesn’t maintain the status quo, the world will effectively end.

This is just another version of the Great 2008 Lie, that if we didn’t bailout certain people/ prop up certain institutions, the world would end. It was bogus then and it is bogus now.

The fact is that capitalism operates just fine with failures. There were many firms ready to step up to fill the void created by letting key players who made business ending decisions fail.

Consider that over half of the current Fortune 500 were founded during recessions or bear markets in stocks.

Obviously recessions, bear markets and firm failures don’t stop economic progress. If any thing they promote it much as a forest fire wipes out dead debris to make room for the stage of growth.

The last eight years prove Central Planning doesn’t work. Global Central Banks have spent over $14 trillion, and maintained ZIRP/NIRP for seven years, punishing savers and those relying on interest income…

And what has the world got to show for it? The weakest recovery (if you can call it that) in decades, wealth inequality at extremes, and a record number of individuals relaying on welfare/ entitlements.

Never before in history has so much money been spent, accomplishing so little. And it’s set the stage for another massive financial crisis.

If you’re looking for investment strategies to profit from this, I can help you…

Case in point, thus far in 2016 Private Wealth Advisory subscribers have made a killing shorting European banks while also being long various mining companies.

As a result of this, we’re now at 107 STRAIGHT WINNING TRADES.

Indeed, we haven’t closed a single loser since November 2014.

107 straight winners… and not one closed loser… in 20 months.

We take a careful and calculated approach to investing… which is how we’ve been able to maintain this incredible streak of winners… despite market conditions that can be described as “challenging” at best.

You can join us today by taking out a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just $0.98.

If you find Private Wealth Advisory is not what you’re looking for just drop us a line and you won’t be charged another cent.

To take out a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just $0.98…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
Europe Has Just Entered the “END GAME”

Europe Has Just Entered the “END GAME”

It’s GAME OVER for the ECB and for Europe.

The ECB has cut interest rates into negative territory four times. It has also spent €1 trillion in QE bringing its balance sheet to a record high.

These are truly extraordinary policies. Keynesian shills usually claim that the reason their policies don’t work is because a Central bank hasn’t done “enough.” At FOUR NIRP cuts in two years and €1 trillion in QE the ECB has most certainly done enough.

And what has it got to show for it?

The ECB is close to exhausting its ammunition and appears increasingly powerless to do more under the legal constraints of its mandate. It has downgraded its growth forecast for the next two years, citing the uncertainties of Brexit, and admitted that it has little chance of meeting its 2pc inflation target this decade, insisting that it is now up to governments to break out of the vicious circle.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/09/08/ecbs-mario-draghi-has-run-out-of-magic-as-deflation-closes-in/

We all know the ECB wasn’t going to achieve significant GDP growth. The ECB all but admitted this a few years ago when it suddenly changed its language to ignore growth and instead focused on “inflation” and inflation targets.

But now… the EBC is admitting it won’t hit it inflation target “THIS DECADE.”

It’s GAME OVER for the ECB and for Europe.

What’s coming will not occur quickly. I am in no way suggesting that Europe will break apart tomorrow. But the fact the ECB has admitted that even its extraordinary policies have failed to the point that it won’t achieve its goals for a decade indicates it’s the beginning of the end.

Debt deflation is the end game for Europe. Most EU nations are insolvent as soon as their interest rates spike even into the low single digits. And with EU banks leveraged at 26 to 1 with EU sovereign bonds being used as the senior most assets on their balance sheets, you only need a 4% drop in EU bond levels to render most large EU banks insolvent.

And we’re talking about a banking system that is north of $46 TRILLION IN SIZE.

This is more than TWICE the size of the US banking system, which nearly took down the world in 2008. So it Europe goes, it’s going to be exponentially worse than 2008.

If you’re looking for investment strategies to profit from this, I can help you…

Case in point, thus far in 2016 Private Wealth Advisory subscribers have made a killing shorting European banks while also being long various mining companies.

As a result of this, we’re now at 107 STRAIGHT WINNING TRADES.

Indeed, we haven’t closed a single loser since November 2014.

107 straight winners… and not one closed loser… in 20 months.

We take a careful and calculated approach to investing… which is how we’ve been able to maintain this incredible streak of winners… despite market conditions that can be described as “challenging” at best.

You can join us today by taking out a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just $0.98.

If you find Private Wealth Advisory is not what you’re looking for just drop us a line and you won’t be charged another cent.

To take out a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just $0.98…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

Are These Billionaire Bets Ringing Bells at the Top?

The billionaires are coming out of the woodwork.

Carl Icahn paid his way through Princeton playing poker. The man understands risks and has accrued one of the largest fortunes in history playing the markets. Regardless of whether or not you think he’s a shark when it comes to activism, he usually wins and wins big.

Icahn is more bearish now than at any point in his life. He has 149% NET short the market.

Then there is George Soros.

Soros is famous for breaking the Bank of England and banking $1 billion in profits in a single day. However, that is just one trade in a career than spans nearly half a century of making massive returns from the markets. Like Icahn, you may not like Soros as a person, but you cannot deny his ability to play the markets.

Soros recently came out of retirement to place several massive trades betting on a market collapse.

Then there is Stanley Druckenmiller.

Druckenmiller is arguably the greatest money manager alive today. From 1986 onward he maintained average annual returns of 30%. He rarely if ever has had a single down year.

Druckenmiller recently issued a blank statement to investors to get out of the markets.

And finally there is Warren Buffett.

Buffett is the most famous stock market bull of all time. Routinely he is first or second in terms of wealthiest person in the world. And his fortune was built through the financial markets.

Commentators like to point out that Buffett’s largest positions are in Wells Fargo ($23 billion) and Kraft Heinz ($28 billion), but they are wrong.

Buffett has $73 BILLION IN CASH.

This is Buffett’s largest cash position ever. This position has increased from $33 billion in 2008 and has growth virtually every year in the last eight years.

Do you think Buffett is sitting on a record cash position because he’s bullish on stocks right now? His business partner Charlie Munger has admitted that he hasn’t bought a single stock in his personal portfolio in years.

Regardless of how you feel about the economy, Central Banks, or investing in general, the above people are some of the greatest managers of capital in history.

ALL of them are showing signs of being ultra-BEARISH.

And this is happening at a time when stocks hit new all-time highs.

sc-1

You’ve been warned. They say you don’t ring bells at the top, but these billionaires sure seem to be doing so.

If you, like Icahn, Buffett, Soros, and Druckenmiller are worried about a potential stock market meltdown, you’ll love our daily market analysis at www.gainspainscapital.com

Best

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

How I Got Mark Cuban to Concede That Central Banks Have Cornered the Bond Markets

Mark Cuban just conceded to me that Central Banks have cornered the bond market.

Cuban is a billionaire investor, owner of the Dallas Mavericks, and reality TV star from Shark Tank.

He’s also begun making a series of strange media appearances in which he claims that if Donald Trump wins the US Presidency in November, “I have no doubt in my mind that the market tanks.”

Professionally speaking, I don’t have a horse in the race regarding the current US election. But regardless of who wins in November, the US and the rest of the world are primed for a massive Crisis (more on this shortly).

The issue is math, not politics.

However, I couldn’t pass up a chance to respond to Cuban’s tweet…

tweet1.png

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The Single Best Options Trading Service on the Planet

THE CRISIS TRADER has produced an astounding 37% return on invested capital thus far in 2016.

We have a success rate of 70% meaning we make money on SEVEN seven out of TEN trades. And thanks to careful risk management we’ve already produced a return on invested capital of over 240% thus far in 2016.

Our next trade goes out this morning… you can get it and THREE others for just 99 cents.

To take out a $0.99, 30-day trial subscription to THE CRISIS TRADER…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!


Seriously, let’s cut the crap. Politics are irrelevant here.

The Central banks have set the stage for a massive market meltdown. Globally over $13 trillion in bonds have negative yields. Some sovereign yields are negative out as far as 5, 10, even 30 years.

This has NEVER happened before in the history of humanity.

Sovereign bonds are the senior most assets in the financial system. If they are in a bubble, EVERYTHING is in a bubble.

In this context, there is literally no such thing as real price discovery anywhere in the markets anymore. There are simply dozens of smaller bubbles all created by investors reacting to the bond bubble.

Let me give you an example…

In Europe, we’re about to see our first corporate bond issuance with negative yields. Yes, companies in Europe can now CHARGE you for the right to lend to them. As a result, there is now a bubble in European corporate bonds.

The bond bubble is the mother of all bubbles created by Central Banks. And billionaires like Cuban must know it. But getting him to concede it?

He did in his response…

tweet2.png

Note that Cuban doesn’t even try to debate my claim that Central Banks have cornered the bond market. He completely concedes the point and moves on to assert that he is worried that if Trump wins, Central Banks “may find other bonds” (which I take to mean that they won’t buy US Treasuries anymore).

Folks, we are witnessing the single biggest financial experiment in history.

Central Bankers have literally bet the financial system that their theories are correct. They believe that by cornering the bond market they can prop up asset prices forever.

Market corners never ever end well And billionaires like Cuban know it. He’s right to worry, but it’s a matter of math, not politics.

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

The Election Year Fix is In… But Can Janet Make It To November?

The election year fix is in… and Janet Yellen is praying the markets hold together until November.

President Obama met privately with Yellen in April of this year. It was their first private meeting together since November 2014 (the Congressional election in which the GOP took both houses of Congress).

President Barack Obama met with Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Monday to discuss the U.S. economy amid signs that growth may be slowing as consumers retreat from spending.

Ahead of the afternoon meeting, White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest described Obama as “pleased” with Yellen, who he appointed to lead the Fed in 2014. It is the first time since November 2014 that the Fed chair has met with the president on her own. The meeting was closed to the news media.

Source: Bloomberg

The timing of these meetings is not coincidental. And if you think Obama and Yellen were discussing “signs that growth may be slowing” a mere 8 months before the former left office, I’ve got a bridge to sell you. The economy has been weak for EIGHT years. This is not a new issue.

The fact of the matter is Obama most likely gave Yellen her marching orders: hold the markets up until November.

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The Single Best Options Trading Service on the Planet

THE CRISIS TRADER has produced an astounding 37% return on invested capital thus far in 2016.

We have a success rate of 70% meaning we make money on SEVEN seven out of TEN trades. And thanks to careful risk management we’ve already produced a return on invested capital of over 240% thus far in 2016.

Our next trade goes out this morning… you can get it and THREE others for just 99 cents.

To take out a $0.99, 30-day trial subscription to THE CRISIS TRADER…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

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Since that time, I and others have noted that a mysterious “someone” steps in and PANIC buys stocks anytime they begin to break down. The manipulation has been so obvious that a child could see it.

This has propped the markets up. But because NO ONE believes this current rally, the market fails to break higher because there is no real buying power.

As a result of this, the markets have essentially flatlined, staging nearly 39 days of flat price action. You have to go back to the ‘60s to find a more boring period for stocks.

GPC9116

Again, the election year fix is in. Janet Yellen got her marching orders from the White House. And she will be doing everything possible to hold the markets up going into November.

However, the financial system is already starting to come apart at the seams. The is now $230 TRILLION in debt in the financial system, up 300% from 2007 levels.

You’ll no doubt remember, 2007 was NOT a time in which debt was irrelevant. And over the next 12 months, the markets staged the worst crash in 80 years.

If you’re looking for investment strategies to profit from this, I can help you…

Because I am usually warning about risks in the market, everyone assumes I’m nothing but a bear who has his clients shorting the heck out of the market all the time.

Pointing out the risks to the stock market is very different from actively shorting it. The editorial I publish here is focused on alerting EVERYONE about the problems the financial system faces.

However, when it comes to active investment strategies… I do see opportunities to short… but I also see opportunities to go long.

Case in point, thus far in 2016 Private Wealth Advisory subscribers have made a killing shorting European banks while also being long various mining companies.

As a result of this, we’re now at 107 STRAIGHT WINNING TRADES.

Indeed, we haven’t closed a single loser since November 2014.

107 straight winners… and not one closed loser… in 20 months.

We take a careful and calculated approach to investing… which is how we’ve been able to maintain this incredible streak of winners… despite market conditions that can be described as “challenging” at best.

You can join us today by taking out a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just $0.98.

If you find Private Wealth Advisory is not what you’re looking for just drop us a line and you won’t be charged another cent.

To take out a 30 day trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory for just $0.98…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market