Monthly Archives: April 2017

Yesterday’s article caused quite a stir. The basic premise is that when you value the stock market based on objective metrics that cannot be fudged, it’s more overpriced than it was at the 2007 peak and is rapidly approaching the … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Warren Buffet Reveals the Fed’s Entire Game Plan

Yesterday’s article caused quite a stir. The basic premise is that when you value the stock market based on objective metrics that cannot be fudged, it’s more overpriced than it was at the 2007 peak and is rapidly approaching the … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on The Fed Has Bankrupted the US In Order to Create Another Bubble

The US stock market is officially in a massive bubble based on the one valuation metric that cannot be faked. Corporations can engage any number of accounting gimmicks to juice their earnings, cash flow, and dividends… for this reason P/E, … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Bubble Alert: We’ve Passed 2007 and Are On Our Way to 1999

A tsunami of inflation is rapidly moving through the financial system. Most investors only pay attention to the Federal Reserve. And they are missing the BIG PICTURE for Central Bank monetary policy. The Fed is tightening policy by hiking rates. … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Central Banks Are Now Printing $200 Billion Per Month… Without a Crisis

The US has hit its Debt Ceiling. The only reason it has yet to result in a crisis is because the Treasury employed “extraordinary measures” to keep the markets functioning. Those measures end this Friday. Put differently, Congress now has … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Congress Has FOUR Days to Stop a 2011-Type Debt Crisis (Stocks Dumped 17%)

France holds the first round of its Presidential election this weekend. The big worry for the markets is the fact that anti-Euro candidate Marin Le Pen could potentially win. Now, the polls show Le Pen as having NO chance of … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Why the Big Banks Are Terrified of Le Pen Winning in France (but not BREXIT or Trump)

Trump is speaking… but the markets still don’t hear him. On January 17th 2017, the Wall Street Journal published an article in which Trump stated point-blank that the $USD was “too strong.” The US currency took note, falling over 1% … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Is Trump Going to Tweet Gold Prices to Skyscraper Levels?

A tectonic shift is taking place in stocks. And those who have taken notice will be making SERIOUS money from it. Let me explain… Below is a chart of the S&P 500 priced in Emerging Market Stocks. When the black … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Those Looking For Major Returns Need to Look OUTSIDE the US

The market is finally waking up to what we’ve been telling our clients since February… That Trump’s economic proposals, particularly his tax reform plan, would not be hitting in 2017. This is not a political statement… the reality is that … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on By the Time Stocks Digest This… They’ll Be at Least 10% Lower

The economy is now in VERY serious trouble. The Fed’s own GDP models now show 1Q17 growth tracking at just 0.5%. This is DOWN from an original forecast of 3.2% in February. Put another way, the economy has begun contracting … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Warning: Stocks Are At Very Serious Risk of “An Event”

While everyone continues to focus on Trump and his policies, a much larger issue looms. That issue is the US debt ceiling. The US Government hit its debt ceiling on March 16, 2017. The Government employed “extraordinary measures” to keep … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Stocks Are Completely Mis-pricing the Risk of a Another Debt Ceiling Screw Up

The Trump economic utopia is officially dead for now. If you’ll recall, following Trump’s election, the market was lead higher by banks. The reason? The markets believed that the economy would come roaring back, lending would pick up, and bank … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on The Single Most Important Sector Just Told Us Where the Market’s Going

Janet Yellen is playing with matches next to a $20 Trillion Debt Bomb. During her speech at the Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy in Michigan, Yellen stated that the biggest risk to monetary policy is for the Fed … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Yellen’s Setting Up the Markets For Their Third Fed-Fueled Crash

Stocks just triggered a “Sell” Signal. The S&P 500’s weekly MACD indicator has triggered a “sell signal.” For those of you who like technical analysis, this indicator is formed by two interweaving lines. The first line (usually black on the … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on It’s Official: Stocks Are Now On a Weekly “Sell Signal”

It’s commonly said “stocks go up the stairs and then out the window.” Well for three months stocks have climbed the stairs. They’ve now reached the window and are sitting on the ledge. The entire market rally since election night … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on hart Warning: Stocks Have Reached the Window and Are Now Sitting on the Ledge

Stocks are on the ledge of a cliff. The entire market rally since election night has been based on the assumption that the Trump administration would be able to QUICKLY implement massive tax and healthcare reforms. We now know that … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Warning: a Stock Market “Event” Is About to Hit

Stocks are weak, tired, and ready to go. The market has been increasingly relying on just a handful of large cap Tech Names (AAPL, AMZN, etc.) to prop it up. Without these key plays, the overall market is in fact … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on I Hope You’re Paying Attention, This Won’t Be Pretty

The markets are talking but few are listening. Historically, the start of the second quarter is an EXTREMELY bullish day for stocks. But despite this seasonality the market struggled yesterday. It was only through a dramatic intervention from Central banks … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Did Stocks Just Make “the Kiss of Death”?

Stocks are in serious trouble. The market has broken the bull rally trendline that supported it since election night. The bulls now need to ramp the market HARD to reignite stocks here. If they don’t, we could see the market … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Trendline Broken, Momentum Fading, Stocks Are in Serious Trouble