Monthly Archive:: June 2018

Silver and Gold Just Figured Out Inflation Has Hit

The Fed  revealed how badly behind the curve it is on inflation yesterday. Sure, everyone believes the Fed was hawkish because it wants to hike rates two more times this year with an additional three es in 2019… but lost amidst that is the fact the Fed upgraded its inflation forecast while emphasizing that policy

When Seven Rate Hikes is Accommodative… Inflation is Out of Control

The Fed revealed how badly behind the curve it is on inflation yesterday. Sure, everyone believes the Fed was hawkish because it wants to hike rates two more times this year with an additional three es in 2019… but lost amidst that is the fact the Fed upgraded its inflation forecast while emphasizing that policy

If Inflation Isn’t a Problem… Why Does the $USD Keep Dropping?

The Fed  revealed how badly behind the curve it is on inflation yesterday. Sure, everyone believes the Fed was hawkish because it wants to hike rates two more times this year with an additional three es in 2019… but lost amidst that is the fact the Fed upgraded its inflation forecast while emphasizing that policy

The Fed Made a Startling Admission Concerning Inflation Yesterday

The Fed  revealed how badly behind the curve it is on inflation yesterday. Sure, everyone believes the Fed was hawkish because it wants to hike rates two more times this year with an additional three es in 2019… but lost amidst that is the fact the Fed upgraded its inflation forecast while emphasizing that policy

The Fed Went Hawkish… Because It’s WAY Behind the Curve

The Fed  revealed how badly behind the curve it is on inflation yesterday. Sure, everyone believes the Fed was hawkish because it wants to hike rates two more times this year with an additional three es in 2019… but lost amidst that is the fact the Fed upgraded its inflation forecast while emphasizing that policy

Will the Fed Choose Inflation or Deflation? Here’s What the $USD is Saying

The Fed meets today, and whatever happens will be a BIG “tell” for the rest of the year. On the one hand, inflation is clearly seeping fully into the financial system. Even the ridiculously massaged CPI measure of inflation shows it is close to 3%. This would suggest the Fed would move aggressively to hike

The $USD Thinks the Fed Will Choose Inflation

The Fed meets today, and whatever happens will be a BIG “tell” for the rest of the year. On the one hand, inflation is clearly seeping fully into the financial system. Even the ridiculously massaged CPI measure of inflation shows it is close to 3%. This would suggest the Fed would move aggressively to hike

Fed Watch: Will We Get a Dove or a Hawk?

The Fed meets today, and whatever happens will be a BIG “tell” for the rest of the year. On the one hand, inflation is clearly seeping fully into the financial system. Even the ridiculously massaged CPI measure of inflation shows it is close to 3%. This would suggest the Fed would move aggressively to hike

Wake Up Fed… Inflation is About to Become a REAL Problem

Inflation is now strong enough that even the heavily massaged CPI metric is showing it well above 2%. Indeed, based on this morning’s release, the CPI is rising at its fastest pace in six years. Year-over-Year, CPI is rising 2.8%. Bear in mind, this metric doesn’t include food prices, energy prices, and other important factors…

CPI is Nearing 3%… Real Inflation? It’s Much Higher

Inflation is now strong enough that even the heavily massaged CPI metric is showing it well above 2%. Indeed, based on this morning’s release, the CPI is rising at its fastest pace in six years. Year-over-Year, CPI is rising 2.8%. Bear in mind, this metric doesn’t include food prices, energy prices, and other important factors…

The Inflationary Rip is About to Begin (Here’s How to Play It)

Inflation is now strong enough that even the heavily massaged CPI metric is showing it well above 2%. Indeed, based on this morning’s release, the CPI is rising at its fastest pace in six years. Year-over-Year, CPI is rising 2.8%. Bear in mind, this metric doesn’t include food prices, energy prices, and other important factors…

Inflation Watch: Even the Highly Gimmicked CPI is Nearing 3%

Inflation is now strong enough that even the heavily massaged CPI metric is showing it well above 2%. Indeed, based on this morning’s release, the CPI is rising at its fastest pace in six years. Year-over-Year, CPI is rising 2.8%. Bear in mind, this metric doesn’t include food prices, energy prices, and other important factors…

QT Has Already Blown Up Emerging Markets… is the US Market Next?

The Fed’s plan of withdrawing $1 trillion in liquidity this year via QT has slammed into a BRIC wall. Year to date, the Fed has shrunken its balance sheet by $116 billion. This sounds like a lot of money until you put it in perspective. —————————————————————- That Makes NINE Straight Double Digit Winners! Our options

The Fed Just Found Out… It Can NEVER Normalize Policy (not without a crisis)

The Fed’s plan of withdrawing $1 trillion in liquidity this year via QT has slammed into a BRIC wall. Year to date, the Fed has shrunken its balance sheet by $116 billion. This sounds like a lot of money until you put it in perspective. —————————————————————- That Makes NINE Straight Double Digit Winners! Our options

Fed Policy Just Slammed Into a BRIC Wall

The Fed’s plan of withdrawing $1 trillion in liquidity this year via QT has slammed into a BRIC wall. Year to date, the Fed has shrunken its balance sheet by $116 billion. This sounds like a lot of money until you put it in perspective.   —————————————————————- That Makes NINE Straight Double Digit Winners! Our

The S&P 500 Is Going to 2,700 Then 3,000

Time for a pullback. As a brief refresher on our track record thus far in 2018, in February and early March when the S&P 500 was at 2770, we warned that stocks would revisit the lows. Then in late March/ early April when the S&P 500 was at 2,600, we said the bottom was in

Time For a Pullback in Stocks

Time for a pullback. As a brief refresher on our track record thus far in 2018, in February and early March when the S&P 500 was at 2770, we warned that stocks would revisit the lows. Then in late March/ early April when the S&P 500 was at 2,600, we said the bottom was in

Our Next Major Market Prediction is Out Now

Time for a pullback. As a brief refresher on our track record thus far in 2018, in February and early March when the S&P 500 was at 2770, we warned that stocks would revisit the lows. Then in late March/ early April when the S&P 500 was at 2,600, we said the bottom was in

The US Dollar Has Already Figured Out That Inflation is Coming

The Fed has gone dovish. In fact, it’s going to allow inflation to explode higher. That, in of itself, is significant… to understand why, we first need to acknowledge how the Fed currently operates to control risk in the financial system. The Fed currently has two primary tools for controlling the financial system. They are:

The Fed Is Going Dovish… And It’s BARELY Normalized Anything of Note

The Fed has gone dovish. In fact, it’s going to allow inflation to explode higher. That, in of itself, is significant… to understand why, we first need to acknowledge how the Fed currently operates to control risk in the financial system. The Fed currently has two primary tools for controlling the financial system. They are:
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