Month: February 2019

The Fed Can Try to Prop Up the Markets… But It Will Fail

Mark your calendars… January 30 2019, marks the day that Jerome Powell threw in the towel and became a stock market promoter just like Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke before him.

It will also likely mark the day that the Fed began to lose any credibility in terms of monetary policy.

For those of you who missed it, that day the Fed failed to raise interest rates.

This means the Fed believes that with unemployment supposedly at 3.9% and GDP growth at 3.7%… the US economy could not handle a 0.25% interest rate hike to 2.75%

On top of this, the Fed also indicated that it might NOT hike rates again in 2019 AND that it is prepared to adjust its balance sheet normalization or Quantitative Tightening (QT) program if necessary.

This is the single biggest reversal in Fed history.

The Fed went from promising four rates hikes in 2019 and leaving its QT program on autopilot to pushing for NO rate hikes and suggesting that it would “adjust” its QT program if needed. All in the space of a SINGLE QUARTER (3 months).

And unfortunately for those who bought into stocks based on this… it’s going to fail.

The reality is that barring the announcement of a NEW Quantitative Easing (QE) program, the Fed will fail to stop the coming market carnage. Stopping rate hikes and expressing flexibility in terms of QT is VERY different from actually CUTTING rates and HALTING QT.

Remember, the Fed is STILL draining $50 billion in liquidity from the system every month regardless of its verbal interventions. That problem has NOT been fixed.

Also, and this is the REALLY big issue… The reason the Fed is so openly switching to dovish is because something REALLY BAD is unfolding in the financial system.

It’s not as though the Fed simply went from hawkish to dovish on a whim. Fed officials have clearly realized what I was talking about as far back as June 2018… namely that its rate hikes and QT were going to trigger a crisis.

That process is already underway, stocks have taken out their bull market trendline just as they did in 2000 and 2008. It’s now just a matter of time before the crisis hits.

 

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity

Jerome Powell Has Turned Stock Promoter… Just Like Bernanke and Yellen

Mark your calendars… January 30 2019, marks the day that Jerome Powell threw in the towel and became a stock market promoter just like Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke before him.

It will also likely mark the day that the Fed began to lose any credibility in terms of monetary policy.

For those of you who missed it, that day the Fed failed to raise interest rates.

This means the Fed believes that with unemployment supposedly at 3.9% and GDP growth at 3.7%… the US economy could not handle a 0.25% interest rate hike to 2.75%

On top of this, the Fed also indicated that it might NOT hike rates again in 2019 AND that it is prepared to adjust its balance sheet normalization or Quantitative Tightening (QT) program if necessary.

This is the single biggest reversal in Fed history.

The Fed went from promising four rates hikes in 2019 and leaving its QT program on autopilot to pushing for NO rate hikes and suggesting that it would “adjust” its QT program if needed. All in the space of a SINGLE QUARTER (3 months).

And unfortunately for those who bought into stocks based on this… it’s going to fail.

The reality is that barring the announcement of a NEW Quantitative Easing (QE) program, the Fed will fail to stop the coming market carnage. Stopping rate hikes and expressing flexibility in terms of QT is VERY different from actually CUTTING rates and HALTING QT.

Remember, the Fed is STILL draining $50 billion in liquidity from the system every month regardless of its verbal interventions. That problem has NOT been fixed.

Also, and this is the REALLY big issue… The reason the Fed is so openly switching to dovish is because something REALLY BAD is unfolding in the financial system.

It’s not as though the Fed simply went from hawkish to dovish on a whim. Fed officials have clearly realized what I was talking about as far back as June 2018… namely that its rate hikes and QT were going to trigger a crisis.

That process is already underway, stocks have taken out their bull market trendline just as they did in 2000 and 2008. It’s now just a matter of time before the crisis hits.

 

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity

The Fed Has Lost All Credibility In Terms of Monetary Policy

Mark your calendars… January 30 2019, marks the day that Jerome Powell threw in the towel and became a stock market promoter just like Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke before him.

It will also likely mark the day that the Fed began to lose any credibility in terms of monetary policy.

For those of you who missed it, that day the Fed failed to raise interest rates.

This means the Fed believes that with unemployment supposedly at 3.9% and GDP growth at 3.7%… the US economy could not handle a 0.25% interest rate hike to 2.75%

On top of this, the Fed also indicated that it might NOT hike rates again in 2019 AND that it is prepared to adjust its balance sheet normalization or Quantitative Tightening (QT) program if necessary.

This is the single biggest reversal in Fed history.

The Fed went from promising four rates hikes in 2019 and leaving its QT program on autopilot to pushing for NO rate hikes and suggesting that it would “adjust” its QT program if needed. All in the space of a SINGLE QUARTER (3 months).

And unfortunately for those who bought into stocks based on this… it’s going to fail.

The reality is that barring the announcement of a NEW Quantitative Easing (QE) program, the Fed will fail to stop the coming market carnage. Stopping rate hikes and expressing flexibility in terms of QT is VERY different from actually CUTTING rates and HALTING QT.

Remember, the Fed is STILL draining $50 billion in liquidity from the system every month regardless of its verbal interventions. That problem has NOT been fixed.

Also, and this is the REALLY big issue… The reason the Fed is so openly switching to dovish is because something REALLY BAD is unfolding in the financial system.

It’s not as though the Fed simply went from hawkish to dovish on a whim. Fed officials have clearly realized what I was talking about as far back as June 2018… namely that its rate hikes and QT were going to trigger a crisis.

That process is already underway, stocks have taken out their bull market trendline just as they did in 2000 and 2008. It’s now just a matter of time before the crisis hits.

 

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity

The Fed Just Gave a MASSIVE Clue About the True State of the Economy

Mark your calendars… January 30 2019, marks the day that Jerome Powell threw in the towel and became a stock market promoter just like Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke before him.

It will also likely mark the day that the Fed began to lose any credibility in terms of monetary policy.

For those of you who missed it, that day the Fed failed to raise interest rates.

This means the Fed believes that with unemployment supposedly at 3.9% and GDP growth at 3.7%… the US economy could not handle a 0.25% interest rate hike to 2.75%

On top of this, the Fed also indicated that it might NOT hike rates again in 2019 AND that it is prepared to adjust its balance sheet normalization or Quantitative Tightening (QT) program if necessary.

This is the single biggest reversal in Fed history.

The Fed went from promising four rates hikes in 2019 and leaving its QT program on autopilot to pushing for NO rate hikes and suggesting that it would “adjust” its QT program if needed. All in the space of a SINGLE QUARTER (3 months).

And unfortunately for those who bought into stocks based on this… it’s going to fail.

The reality is that barring the announcement of a NEW Quantitative Easing (QE) program, the Fed will fail to stop the coming market carnage. Stopping rate hikes and expressing flexibility in terms of QT is VERY different from actually CUTTING rates and HALTING QT.

Remember, the Fed is STILL draining $50 billion in liquidity from the system every month regardless of its verbal interventions. That problem has NOT been fixed.

Also, and this is the REALLY big issue… The reason the Fed is so openly switching to dovish is because something REALLY BAD is unfolding in the financial system.

It’s not as though the Fed simply went from hawkish to dovish on a whim. Fed officials have clearly realized what I was talking about as far back as June 2018… namely that its rate hikes and QT were going to trigger a crisis.

That process is already underway, stocks have taken out their bull market trendline just as they did in 2000 and 2008. It’s now just a matter of time before the crisis hits.

 

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity

Buying Stocks Today Is Like Buying Stocks Based on the Bear Stearns Deal

Mark your calendars… January 30 2019, marks the day that Jerome Powell threw in the towel and became a stock market promoter just like Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke before him.

It will also likely mark the day that the Fed began to lose any credibility in terms of monetary policy.

For those of you who missed it, that day the Fed failed to raise interest rates.

This means the Fed believes that with unemployment supposedly at 3.9% and GDP growth at 3.7%… the US economy could not handle a 0.25% interest rate hike to 2.75%

On top of this, the Fed also indicated that it might NOT hike rates again in 2019 AND that it is prepared to adjust its balance sheet normalization or Quantitative Tightening (QT) program if necessary.

This is the single biggest reversal in Fed history.

The Fed went from promising four rates hikes in 2019 and leaving its QT program on autopilot to pushing for NO rate hikes and suggesting that it would “adjust” its QT program if needed. All in the space of a SINGLE QUARTER (3 months).

And unfortunately for those who bought into stocks based on this… it’s going to fail.

The reality is that barring the announcement of a NEW Quantitative Easing (QE) program, the Fed will fail to stop the coming market carnage. Stopping rate hikes and expressing flexibility in terms of QT is VERY different from actually CUTTING rates and HALTING QT.

Remember, the Fed is STILL draining $50 billion in liquidity from the system every month regardless of its verbal interventions. That problem has NOT been fixed.

Also, and this is the REALLY big issue… The reason the Fed is so openly switching to dovish is because something REALLY BAD is unfolding in the financial system.

It’s not as though the Fed simply went from hawkish to dovish on a whim. Fed officials have clearly realized what I was talking about as far back as June 2018… namely that its rate hikes and QT were going to trigger a crisis.

That process is already underway, stocks have taken out their bull market trendline just as they did in 2000 and 2008. It’s now just a matter of time before the crisis hits.

 

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity

Warning, the Big Picture Isn’t Buying This Rally At All

The market is going to crash soon.

How do I know?

In the last 48 hours we’ve had…

1)   The Trump administration suggest that a China trade deal is close if not almost complete.

2)   The Fed suggest that QE should be used as a regular policy tool, rather than only during extreme situations.

3)   Congress suggest a deal has been struck regarding the budget.

Despite this, stocks are up less than 1% as of last night, and less than 2% despite the ramp job this morning.

Again, the Fed has openly suggested QE 4… and Congress has potentially removed one of the biggest political risks… and stocks have rallied less than 2%. 

Put another way, the Central Banking/ Political elite have thrown EVERYTHING they have including the kitchen sink at the markets, and stocks haven’t been able to break above their December highs.

Again, the markets are going to crash. The Fed is losing control. No one is buying into this ramp job. And the real sellers, the ones who collapsed the market from October-December 2018 will be back very soon.

You’ve been warned.

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
The Next Crisis is Just Around the Corner

The Next Crisis is Just Around the Corner

The market is going to crash soon.

How do I know?

In the last 48 hours we’ve had…

1)   The Trump administration suggest that a China trade deal is close if not almost complete.

2)   The Fed suggest that QE should be used as a regular policy tool, rather than only during extreme situations.

3)   Congress suggest a deal has been struck regarding the budget.

Despite this, stocks are up less than 1% as of last night, and less than 2% despite the ramp job this morning.

Again, the Fed has openly suggested QE 4… and Congress has potentially removed one of the biggest political risks… and stocks have rallied less than 2%. 

Put another way, the Central Banking/ Political elite have thrown EVERYTHING they have including the kitchen sink at the markets, and stocks haven’t been able to break above their December highs.

Again, the markets are going to crash. The Fed is losing control. No one is buying into this ramp job. And the real sellers, the ones who collapsed the market from October-December 2018 will be back very soon.

You’ve been warned.

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in stock collapse?
QE Forever, a Potential China Deal, A Potential Budget Deal… and Stocks Still Below December Lows

QE Forever, a Potential China Deal, A Potential Budget Deal… and Stocks Still Below December Lows

The market is going to crash soon.

How do I know?

In the last 48 hours we’ve had…

1)   The Trump administration suggest that a China trade deal is close if not almost complete.

2)   The Fed suggest that QE should be used as a regular policy tool, rather than only during extreme situations.

3)   Congress suggest a deal has been struck regarding the budget.

Despite this, stocks are up less than 1% as of last night, and less than 2% despite the ramp job this morning.

Again, the Fed has openly suggested QE 4… and Congress has potentially removed one of the biggest political risks… and stocks have rallied less than 2%. 

Put another way, the Central Banking/ Political elite have thrown EVERYTHING they have including the kitchen sink at the markets, and stocks haven’t been able to break above their December highs.

Again, the markets are going to crash. The Fed is losing control. No one is buying into this ramp job. And the real sellers, the ones who collapsed the market from October-December 2018 will be back very soon.

You’ve been warned.

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

The Fed Talks QE Forever and Stocks Rally… Less Than 2?!?

The market is going to crash soon.

How do I know?

In the last 48 hours we’ve had…

1)   The Trump administration suggest that a China trade deal is close if not almost complete.

2)   The Fed suggest that QE should be used as a regular policy tool, rather than only during extreme situations.

3)   Congress suggest a deal has been struck regarding the budget.

Despite this, stocks are up less than 1% as of last night, and less than 2% despite the ramp job this morning.

Again, the Fed has openly suggested QE 4… and Congress has potentially removed one of the biggest political risks… and stocks have rallied less than 2%. 

Put another way, the Central Banking/ Political elite have thrown EVERYTHING they have including the kitchen sink at the markets, and stocks haven’t been able to break above their December highs.

Again, the markets are going to crash. The Fed is losing control. No one is buying into this ramp job. And the real sellers, the ones who collapsed the market from October-December 2018 will be back very soon.

You’ve been warned.

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

The Market is Going to Crash

The market is going to crash soon.

How do I know?

In the last 48 hours we’ve had…

1)   The Trump administration suggest that a China trade deal is close if not almost complete.

2)   The Fed suggest that QE should be used as a regular policy tool, rather than only during extreme situations.

3)   Congress suggest a deal has been struck regarding the budget.

Despite this, stocks are up less than 1% as of last night, and less than 2% despite the ramp job this morning.

Again, the Fed has openly suggested QE 4… and Congress has potentially removed one of the biggest political risks… and stocks have rallied less than 2%. 

Put another way, the Central Banking/ Political elite have thrown EVERYTHING they have including the kitchen sink at the markets, and stocks haven’t been able to break above their December highs.

Again, the markets are going to crash. The Fed is losing control. No one is buying into this ramp job. And the real sellers, the ones who collapsed the market from October-December 2018 will be back very soon.

You’ve been warned.

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

The Fed Just Implicitly Admitted a Crash is Coming

If there was any wonder that something truly horrific is brewing in the financial system, the Fed has confirmed it in the last month.

Let’s start with Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Powell took the reins at the Fed in January 2018. From then until last month, he pushed the most aggressive hawkish policy in Fed history, pushing for four rate hikes per year and a QT program through which the Fed would drain $50 billion in liquidity per month.

Then, came the January Fed meeting in which, Powell failed to raise interest rates, suggested that the Fed might NOT hike rates again in 2019 AND that it is prepared to adjust its balance sheet normalization or Quantitative Tightening (QT) program if necessary.

Put another way, Jerome Powell went from promising four rates hikes in 2019 and leaving its QT program on autopilot to pushing for NO rate hikes and suggesting that it would “adjust” its QT program if needed. All in less than two months.

What happened during those months? A crisis started.

Now, SF Fed President Mary Daly is out suggesting that the Fed might want to consider making QE (the process through which the Fed prints new money and funnels it in to the financial system) a ROUTINE policy rather than one used solely during emergencies.

If everything is going great, and there is no risk of another crisis… why is the Fed floating the idea of using EMERGENCY style monetary policies again? What does this Fed see that warrants this kind of panic?

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

The Fed is Trapped… QE is Coming Soon

If there was any wonder that something truly horrific is brewing in the financial system, the Fed has confirmed it in the last month.

Let’s start with Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Powell took the reins at the Fed in January 2018. From then until last month, he pushed the most aggressive hawkish policy in Fed history, pushing for four rate hikes per year and a QT program through which the Fed would drain $50 billion in liquidity per month.

Then, came the January Fed meeting in which, Powell failed to raise interest rates, suggested that the Fed might NOT hike rates again in 2019 AND that it is prepared to adjust its balance sheet normalization or Quantitative Tightening (QT) program if necessary.

Put another way, Jerome Powell went from promising four rates hikes in 2019 and leaving its QT program on autopilot to pushing for NO rate hikes and suggesting that it would “adjust” its QT program if needed. All in less than two months.

What happened during those months? A crisis started.

Now, SF Fed President Mary Daly is out suggesting that the Fed might want to consider making QE (the process through which the Fed prints new money and funnels it in to the financial system) a ROUTINE policy rather than one used solely during emergencies.

If everything is going great, and there is no risk of another crisis… why is the Fed floating the idea of using EMERGENCY style monetary policies again? What does this Fed see that warrants this kind of panic?

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity
QT on Hold… QE Coming Soon?

QT on Hold… QE Coming Soon?

If there was any wonder that something truly horrific is brewing in the financial system, the Fed has confirmed it in the last month.

Let’s start with Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Powell took the reins at the Fed in January 2018. From then until last month, he pushed the most aggressive hawkish policy in Fed history, pushing for four rate hikes per year and a QT program through which the Fed would drain $50 billion in liquidity per month.

Then, came the January Fed meeting in which, Powell failed to raise interest rates, suggested that the Fed might NOT hike rates again in 2019 AND that it is prepared to adjust its balance sheet normalization or Quantitative Tightening (QT) program if necessary.

Put another way, Jerome Powell went from promising four rates hikes in 2019 and leaving its QT program on autopilot to pushing for NO rate hikes and suggesting that it would “adjust” its QT program if needed. All in less than two months.

What happened during those months? A crisis started.

Now, SF Fed President Mary Daly is out suggesting that the Fed might want to consider making QE (the process through which the Fed prints new money and funnels it in to the financial system) a ROUTINE policy rather than one used solely during emergencies.

If everything is going great, and there is no risk of another crisis… why is the Fed floating the idea of using EMERGENCY style monetary policies again? What does this Fed see that warrants this kind of panic?

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity
QE Forever: You Cannot Normalize an Everything Bubble

QE Forever: You Cannot Normalize an Everything Bubble

If there was any wonder that something truly horrific is brewing in the financial system, the Fed has confirmed it in the last month.

Let’s start with Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Powell took the reins at the Fed in January 2018. From then until last month, he pushed the most aggressive hawkish policy in Fed history, pushing for four rate hikes per year and a QT program through which the Fed would drain $50 billion in liquidity per month.

Then, came the January Fed meeting in which, Powell failed to raise interest rates, suggested that the Fed might NOT hike rates again in 2019 AND that it is prepared to adjust its balance sheet normalization or Quantitative Tightening (QT) program if necessary.

Put another way, Jerome Powell went from promising four rates hikes in 2019 and leaving its QT program on autopilot to pushing for NO rate hikes and suggesting that it would “adjust” its QT program if needed. All in less than two months.

What happened during those months? A crisis started.

Now, SF Fed President Mary Daly is out suggesting that the Fed might want to consider making QE (the process through which the Fed prints new money and funnels it in to the financial system) a ROUTINE policy rather than one used solely during emergencies.

If everything is going great, and there is no risk of another crisis… why is the Fed floating the idea of using EMERGENCY style monetary policies again? What does this Fed see that warrants this kind of panic?

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in The Everything Bubble

The Fed Is Freaking Out… But About What?

If there was any wonder that something truly horrific is brewing in the financial system, the Fed has confirmed it in the last month.

Let’s start with Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Powell took the reins at the Fed in January 2018. From then until last month, he pushed the most aggressive hawkish policy in Fed history, pushing for four rate hikes per year and a QT program through which the Fed would drain $50 billion in liquidity per month.

Then, came the January Fed meeting in which, Powell failed to raise interest rates, suggested that the Fed might NOT hike rates again in 2019 AND that it is prepared to adjust its balance sheet normalization or Quantitative Tightening (QT) program if necessary.

Put another way, Jerome Powell went from promising four rates hikes in 2019 and leaving its QT program on autopilot to pushing for NO rate hikes and suggesting that it would “adjust” its QT program if needed. All in less than two months.

What happened during those months? A crisis started.

Now, SF Fed President Mary Daly is out suggesting that the Fed might want to consider making QE (the process through which the Fed prints new money and funnels it in to the financial system) a ROUTINE policy rather than one used solely during emergencies.

If everything is going great, and there is no risk of another crisis… why is the Fed floating the idea of using EMERGENCY style monetary policies again? What does this Fed see that warrants this kind of panic?

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity

If Everything is Great, Why is the Fed Talking About QE Again?

If there was any wonder that something truly horrific is brewing in the financial system, the Fed has confirmed it in the last month.

Let’s start with Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Powell took the reins at the Fed in January 2018. From then until last month, he pushed the most aggressive hawkish policy in Fed history, pushing for four rate hikes per year and a QT program through which the Fed would drain $50 billion in liquidity per month.

Then, came the January Fed meeting in which, Powell failed to raise interest rates, suggested that the Fed might NOT hike rates again in 2019 AND that it is prepared to adjust its balance sheet normalization or Quantitative Tightening (QT) program if necessary.

Put another way, Jerome Powell went from promising four rates hikes in 2019 and leaving its QT program on autopilot to pushing for NO rate hikes and suggesting that it would “adjust” its QT program if needed. All in less than two months.

What happened during those months? A crisis started.  

Now, SF Fed President Mary Daly is out suggesting that the Fed might want to consider making QE (the process through which the Fed prints new money and funnels it in to the financial system) a ROUTINE policy rather than one used solely during emergencies.

If everything is going great, and there is no risk of another crisis… why is the Fed floating the idea of using EMERGENCY style monetary policies again? What does this Fed see that warrants this kind of panic?

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in stock collapse?

Stocks Were Rejected At Former Support, The Next Leg Down Is Here

Yesterday was a wake up call for the bulls.

Unfortunately it’s only going to get worse. The fact is that no matter what verbal interventions Central Banks or the political elite issue, liquidity is now rapidly leaving the financial system.

The Fed continues to drain $50 billion in liquidity via its QT program every month. The ECB is no longer engaged in QE, which means it too is now draining liquidity as bonds on its balance sheet come due.

This leaves the Bank of Japan, which is running out of assets to buy, resulting in it not being able to expand its QE program (the one that has been running since 2013). Finally, China is attempting to launch its own version of a QE program, though given the insane leverage in its financial system (the country is issuing $25 in new debt for every $1 in GDP growth) this will have little effect.

Bottomline: for the first time since 2007, Central Banks are NET draining liquidity rather than adding it.

No matter how you spin this, it means stocks are on borrowed time.

And the markets KNOW it.

Indeed, we’ve broken the bull market trendline from the 2009 lows. The ultimate downside for this collapse is at best 2,000, and more likely than not we’ll go to the high 1,000s (think 1,750-1,800).

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

Buckle Up, the Downturn is Just Beginning

Yesterday was a wake up call for the bulls.

Unfortunately it’s only going to get worse. The fact is that no matter what verbal interventions Central Banks or the political elite issue, liquidity is now rapidly leaving the financial system.

The Fed continues to drain $50 billion in liquidity via its QT program every month. The ECB is no longer engaged in QE, which means it too is now draining liquidity as bonds on its balance sheet come due.

This leaves the Bank of Japan, which is running out of assets to buy, resulting in it not being able to expand its QE program (the one that has been running since 2013). Finally, China is attempting to launch its own version of a QE program, though given the insane leverage in its financial system (the country is issuing $25 in new debt for every $1 in GDP growth) this will have little effect.

Bottomline: for the first time since 2007, Central Banks are NET draining liquidity rather than adding it.

No matter how you spin this, it means stocks are on borrowed time.

And the markets KNOW it.

Indeed, we’ve broken the bull market trendline from the 2009 lows. The ultimate downside for this collapse is at best 2,000, and more likely than not we’ll go to the high 1,000s (think 1,750-1,800).

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

For the First Time Since 2007, Central Banks Are Net DRAINING Liquidity

Yesterday was a wake up call for the bulls.

Unfortunately it’s only going to get worse. The fact is that no matter what verbal interventions Central Banks or the political elite issue, liquidity is now rapidly leaving the financial system.

The Fed continues to drain $50 billion in liquidity via its QT program every month. The ECB is no longer engaged in QE, which means it too is now draining liquidity as bonds on its balance sheet come due.

This leaves the Bank of Japan, which is running out of assets to buy, resulting in it not being able to expand its QE program (the one that has been running since 2013). Finally, China is attempting to launch its own version of a QE program, though given the insane leverage in its financial system (the country is issuing $25 in new debt for every $1 in GDP growth) this will have little effect.

Bottomline: for the first time since 2007, Central Banks are NET draining liquidity rather than adding it.

No matter how you spin this, it means stocks are on borrowed time.

And the markets KNOW it.

Indeed, we’ve broken the bull market trendline from the 2009 lows. The ultimate downside for this collapse is at best 2,000, and more likely than not we’ll go to the high 1,000s (think 1,750-1,800).

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

Three Charts Every Long-Term Investors NEEDS to See Right Now

The next leg down is officially here.

The big picture story for the markets is that the US/China trade deal is no longer important. Even if the two nations did agree on a perfect deal that resolves the structural issues between their economies (highly improbable), the fact is that the global credit cycle has turned and we are entering a contraction/ crisis.

Europe is now officially weakening with most major economies (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) approaching, if not already in, recessions.

The market is fully aware of this. The German DAX has ended its bull market from the 2009 low. This latest rally is a pathetic dead cat bounce in the context of a larger bear market.

The situation is even worse in China. There we have the beginning of complete systemic collapse as the largest pile of garbage debt/ financial fraud finally blows up. China spends $25 in debt for every $1 in GDP growth. And its economy is growing, at best, by 2% per year.

The market similarly knows this which is why China has broken in 20+ year bull market trendline.  The Chinese stock market has been in a series of successive bubbles followed by spectacular crashes for the last two decades. This time around, the Crash will be something truly astonishing to behold.

This leaves the US, where despite all the fanfare, the economy is almost certainly contracting if not already in a full-blown recession.

Maxing out your credit card is very different from getting a raise. What’s happened in the US in the last two years is the country maxing out its credit card on a personal, state, and national level.

Here again the market knows this, which is why we’ve broken the bull market trendline from the 2009 lows. The ultimate downside for this collapse is at best 2,000, and more likely than not we’ll go to the high 1,000s (think 1,750-1,800).

A Crash is coming…

On that note we just published a 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on yesterday’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market