Monthly Archives: June 2019

Bonds Already Know the China/ US Trade Deal is Dead… It’s Stocks’ Turn Next

Well, that’s that… Anyone who was clinging to hopes of a US/China trade deal at this weekend’s G-20 meeting just woke up to find… 1)   President Trump is already talking about hitting China with MORE tariffs if talks fail. 2)   … Continue reading

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What Happens to Stocks When the US/China Deal Completely Falls Apart?

Well, that’s that… Anyone who was clinging to hopes of a US/China trade deal at this weekend’s G-20 meeting just woke up to find… 1)   President Trump is already talking about hitting China with MORE tariffs if talks fail. 2)   … Continue reading

Posted in Phony "China Deal" | Comments Off on What Happens to Stocks When the US/China Deal Completely Falls Apart?

Whatever You Do, Don’t Read This If You Think a Trade Deal is Coming

Well, that’s that… Anyone who was clinging to hopes of a US/China trade deal at this weekend’s G-20 meeting just woke up to find… 1)   President Trump is already talking about hitting China with MORE tariffs if talks fail. 2)   … Continue reading

Posted in Phony "China Deal" | Comments Off on Whatever You Do, Don’t Read This If You Think a Trade Deal is Coming

This is the Single Most Important Chart for Timing the Next Crash

Stocks are rallying hard this morning based on the fact CNBC misquoted the Treasury Secretary. Let that sink in for a moment. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said, “we were about 90% of the way” done on the China deal… in … Continue reading

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Fake News Gave Us This Rally, and REALITY Will Crash the Markets

Stocks are rallying hard this morning based on the fact CNBC misquoted the Treasury Secretary. Let that sink in for a moment. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said, “we were about 90% of the way” done on the China deal… in … Continue reading

Posted in Head Fake, Phony "China Deal" | Comments Off on Fake News Gave Us This Rally, and REALITY Will Crash the Markets

If You Think a Trade Deal is Coming… Please Don’t Read This…

Stocks are rallying hard this morning based on the fact CNBC misquoted the Treasury Secretary. Let that sink in for a moment. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said, “we were about 90% of the way” done on the China deal… in … Continue reading

Posted in Phony "China Deal" | Comments Off on If You Think a Trade Deal is Coming… Please Don’t Read This…

Is the Market About to Drop? This Chart Says “YES”

Sometimes it’s good to take a big picture look at the stock market. By “big picture” I mean a monthly chart that is at least three years long. Here’s one that caught my eye over the weekend. This is the … Continue reading

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Momentum is Rolling Over… Next Comes Price

Sometimes it’s good to take a big picture look at the stock market. By “big picture” I mean a monthly chart that is at least three years long. Here’s one that caught my eye over the weekend. This is the … Continue reading

Posted in stock collapse? | Comments Off on Momentum is Rolling Over… Next Comes Price

This Chart Really Caught My Attention, You’ll See Why In a Moment

Sometimes it’s good to take a big picture look at the stock market. By “big picture” I mean a monthly chart that is at least three years long. Here’s one that caught my eye over the weekend. This is the … Continue reading

Posted in stock collapse? | Comments Off on This Chart Really Caught My Attention, You’ll See Why In a Moment

Warning: The Fed Didn’t Actually Promise a Rate Cut… At All

Well, that’s that. The markets surged on the Fed announcement of NO rate cuts because the market now believes the Fed is GUARANTEED to make a MASSIVE cut in July. The S&P 500 (blue line in the chart below) hit … Continue reading

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The Markets Are Now Perfectly Primed For Disappointment

Well, that’s that. The markets surged on the Fed announcement of NO rate cuts because the market now believes the Fed is GUARANTEED to make a MASSIVE cut in July. The S&P 500 (blue line in the chart below) hit … Continue reading

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The Final Blow Off Top Just Hit… Next Week Comes the FIREWORKS

Well, that’s that. The markets surged on the Fed announcement of NO rate cuts because the market now believes the Fed is GUARANTEED to make a MASSIVE cut in July. The S&P 500 (blue line in the chart below) hit … Continue reading

Posted in Policy Error | Comments Off on The Final Blow Off Top Just Hit… Next Week Comes the FIREWORKS

Higher Inflation is Coming… Prepare NOW!

The Trump administration just fired a warning shot at Jerome Powell As I noted last week, the President has implicitly told the Fed to start easing now with a tweet concerning inflation.   Ignore the media’s portrayal of the President … Continue reading

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If Jerome Powell Won’t Ease… the President Will Find Someone Who Will

The Trump administration just fired a warning shot at Jerome Powell As I noted last week, the President has implicitly told the Fed to start easing now with a tweet concerning inflation.   Ignore the media’s portrayal of the President … Continue reading

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The President Just Told the Fed, “Inflation NOW or You’re Fired”…

The Trump administration just fired a warning shot at Jerome Powell As I noted last week, the President has implicitly told the Fed to start easing now with a tweet concerning inflation.   Ignore the media’s portrayal of the President … Continue reading

Posted in Inflation | Comments Off on The President Just Told the Fed, “Inflation NOW or You’re Fired”…

Look For a Blow Off Move to 2,950 or So… Then Comes the Big Drop

The Fed meets today and tomorrow. Based on hopes of a rate cut, traders are attempting to force a breakout in the stock market. Having broken their downtrend (blue lines in the chart below) and overcoming resistance (red line in … Continue reading

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Can the Fed Ease the Economy Back to Growth? History Says No

The Fed meets today and tomorrow. Based on hopes of a rate cut, traders are attempting to force a breakout in the stock market. Having broken their downtrend (blue lines in the chart below) and overcoming resistance (red line in … Continue reading

Posted in Central Bank Insanity | Comments Off on Can the Fed Ease the Economy Back to Growth? History Says No

Stocks Are Making a Final Move to the Top… What Comes Next Won’t Be Pretty

The Fed meets today and tomorrow. Based on hopes of a rate cut, traders are attempting to force a breakout in the stock market. Having broken their downtrend (blue lines in the chart below) and overcoming resistance (red line in … Continue reading

Posted in stock collapse? | Comments Off on Stocks Are Making a Final Move to the Top… What Comes Next Won’t Be Pretty

The Big Picture For Stocks Says 2,400 is Coming Soon

The vast majority of investors think the Fed will cut rates at its meeting this Wednesday. Maybe it will, maybe it won’t. The reality is what the Fed does now doesn’t really matter. Globally the economy is contracting… and the … Continue reading

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The Last Two Times the Fed Cut Rates Into a Weak Economy, This Happened

The vast majority of investors think the Fed will cut rates at its meeting this Wednesday. Maybe it will, maybe it won’t. The reality is what the Fed does now doesn’t really matter. Globally the economy is contracting… and the … Continue reading

Posted in stock collapse? | Comments Off on The Last Two Times the Fed Cut Rates Into a Weak Economy, This Happened