Month: November 2019

26
Nov
2019

The Fed is now expanding its balance sheet at a pace of $100 billion per month.

Yes, $100 billion, despite the fact its official QE program is only $60 billion.

On an annualized basis this means the Fed is now funneling over $1 trillion into the financial system every year.

And it’s igniting the last great bull market of our lifetimes.

The German DAX just hit a new 52-week high.

Ditto for the Nikkei:

In the US most major indexes have hit new all-time highs. Even the laggards are now playing catch up.

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The Russell 2000 just hit a new 52-week high in the US.

Look, there’s no reason to overthink this. Central Banks are panicked and have started the printing presses again.

And it’s going to lead to the last great bull market of our lifetimes. 

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Best Regards   

Graham Summers   
Chief Market Strategist   
Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan
25
Nov
2019
Three Reasons Stocks Are Going to Explode To the Upside

Three Reasons Stocks Are Going to Explode To the Upside

There is no recession.

The investment herd bought heavily into the “a recession is about to hit” narrative earlier this year.

They did this based on:

1)   A sharp dip in economic activity in the first half of 2019.

2)   A yield curve inversion in the Treasury market.

3)   Hatred of the Trump administration and hopes that a recession would increase the odds of him losing the 2020 election.

Regarding #1, it’s now clear that the dip in economic activity is rebounding. Both US manufacturing and service sectors PMIs both surprised to the upside in October. We also saw a sharp rebound in consumer confidence and existing home sales.

Bottom-line: the data is rebounding.

Regarding #2, countless pundits noted that the Treasury yield curve inverted earlier this year. For those unfamiliar with this idea, a yield curve inversion is when short-term Treasuries yield more than long-term Treasuries. It’s happened before most recessions in the last 50 years. And so the investment herd assumed that this time it was the same.

Except it’s not.

Central banks effectively cornered the bond market from 2008-2017 with over 600 interest rate cuts and $14 trillion in QE. Never before in history have we seen a coordinated attempt to control the bond market like this. And it has rendered historical comparisons weak if not useless.

Put simply, any analysis of the bond market that doesn’t account for the fact that the bond market is now artificial is not worth the paper it’s written on. For this reason alone, the yield curve inversion is no longer a guaranteed indicator of a looming recession.

Regarding #3, I don’t have anything to add. Politics is a toxic topic and frankly if you hate a political figure so much that you hope millions of Americans will lose their jobs so that he or she will lose an election you need professional help. And if you’re investing based on this kind of thinking, you’re going broke.

Add it all up and the “a recession is coming” crowd is dead wrong. Stocks have known this for some time, which is why they’ve broken out to the upside of their consolidation range.

Mind you, this happened at a time when investors were sitting on $3.4 trillion in cash.

So what happens when hedge funds who are desperate to improve their 2019 performance to halt redemptions… and individual investors who went “into cash” based on recession forecasts, both realize that they were wrong?

We get 4,000 on the S&P 500.

Again, the market has already signaled this is coming.

With that in mind, we’ve just published an investment report titled Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles.

It outlines how the market is entering yet another bubble, driven by funny money from the Federal Reserve.

It also outlines a unique investment that could easily triple as the Fed unleashes a tsunami of liquidity pushing stocks to nosebleed levels.

The last time the Fed began an easing cycle, this investment rose over 1,439%. And this time around we could see similar gains.

To pick up your copy of Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles go to:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MOAB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in The Markets, WHITE Swan
18
Nov
2019

How to Maximize Your Gains As the S&P 500 Hits 4,000

Stocks touched 3,100 last week and then gapped even higher into the low 3100s.

We’ve now broken the bullish channel that has outlined most of the 2019’s price action (blue lines in the chart below). And while the odds continue to favor a pullback in the near future (possibly to support at the red line), the momentum is UP.

Big picture stocks have entered a new bull market, The argument for months has been that stocks have effectively gone nowhere since early 2018 (blue rectangle in the chart below). That argument has now been invalidated.

The door is now open to a major market meltup.

Investors are currently sitting on $3.4 trillion in cash. This might be the single most hated market rally in history.

What happens if even $1 trillion of that $3.4 trillion in cash finally figures out that a recession is not in the cards and stocks are in a new bull market?

We go to 4,000, if not 5,000 on the S&P 500 easily

The bull channel from the 2009 low makes this a real possibility.

With that in mind, we’ve just published an investment report titled Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles.

It outlines what the Fed is doing, why it’s doing it, and a unique investment that could easily triple as the Fed unleashes a tsunami of liquidity pushing stocks to nosebleed levels.

The last time the Fed began an easing cycle, this investment rose over 1,439%. And this time around we could see similar gains.

To pick up your copy of Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles go to:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MOAB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
18
Nov
2019

Stocks Are Now Entering the Mother of All Bubbles

Stocks touched 3,100 last week and then gapped even higher into the low 3100s.

We’ve now broken the bullish channel that has outlined most of the 2019’s price action (blue lines in the chart below). And while the odds continue to favor a pullback in the near future (possibly to support at the red line), the momentum is UP.

Big picture stocks have entered a new bull market, The argument for months has been that stocks have effectively gone nowhere since early 2018 (blue rectangle in the chart below). That argument has now been invalidated.

The door is now open to a major market meltup.

Investors are currently sitting on $3.4 trillion in cash. This might be the single most hated market rally in history.

What happens if even $1 trillion of that $3.4 trillion in cash finally figures out that a recession is not in the cards and stocks are in a new bull market?

We go to 4,000, if not 5,000 on the S&P 500 easily

The bull channel from the 2009 low makes this a real possibility.

With that in mind, we’ve just published an investment report titled Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles.

It outlines what the Fed is doing, why it’s doing it, and a unique investment that could easily triple as the Fed unleashes a tsunami of liquidity pushing stocks to nosebleed levels.

The last time the Fed began an easing cycle, this investment rose over 1,439%. And this time around we could see similar gains.

To pick up your copy of Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles go to:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MOAB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
18
Nov
2019

Stocks Are About to Ignite $3.4 Trillion in Rocket Fuel

Stocks touched 3,100 last week and then gapped even higher into the low 3100s.

We’ve now broken the bullish channel that has outlined most of the 2019’s price action (blue lines in the chart below). And while the odds continue to favor a pullback in the near future (possibly to support at the red line), the momentum is UP.

Big picture stocks have entered a new bull market, The argument for months has been that stocks have effectively gone nowhere since early 2018 (blue rectangle in the chart below). That argument has now been invalidated.

The door is now open to a major market meltup.

Investors are currently sitting on $3.4 trillion in cash. This might be the single most hated market rally in history.

What happens if even $1 trillion of that $3.4 trillion in cash finally figures out that a recession is not in the cards and stocks are in a new bull market?

We go to 4,000, if not 5,000 on the S&P 500 easily

The bull channel from the 2009 low makes this a real possibility.

With that in mind, we’ve just published an investment report titled Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles.

It outlines what the Fed is doing, why it’s doing it, and a unique investment that could easily triple as the Fed unleashes a tsunami of liquidity pushing stocks to nosebleed levels.

The last time the Fed began an easing cycle, this investment rose over 1,439%. And this time around we could see similar gains.

To pick up your copy of Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles go to:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MOAB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
14
Nov
2019
The Last Time the Fed Did This, Stocks Rose 60% in Two Years

The Fed has now cut rates THREE times this year.

That’s THREE rate cuts at a time when the stock market is at all-time highs, unemployment is below 4% and the US economy is growing.

The last Fed Chair to do this was Alan Greenspan in 1998. And those rate cuts were what ignited the great stock market bubble of the late ’90s.

 Stocks rose ~60% over the next two years.

GPC1111194.png

A similar run from today’s levels would mean the S&P 500 approaching 5,000.

Interestingly enough, the long-term chart suggests this is possible  especially with that recent breakout to the upside.

GPC11519.png

Let’s be clear here… what the Fed is doing today is going to create the MOTHER of All Bubbles.

Stocks are already up 300% from the 2009 bottom in one of the greatest bull markets of all time… And the Fed is now cutting rates AND printing $60 billion in new money every single month.

Again, this is going to be the MOTHER of All Bubbles.

The key now is to determine the best means of profiting from this.

With that in mind, we’ve just published an investment report titled Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles.

It outlines what the Fed is doing, why it’s doing it, and a unique investment that could easily triple, if not quadruple, as the Fed unleashes a tsunami of liquidity pushing stocks to nosebleed levels.

The last time the Fed began an easing cycle, this investment rose over 1,439%. And this time around we could see similar gains.

To pick up your copy of Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles go to:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MOAB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
14
Nov
2019
The Fed Has Unleashed the Greatest Investing Environment in 20+ Years

The Fed has now cut rates THREE times this year.

That’s THREE rate cuts at a time when the stock market is at all-time highs, unemployment is below 4% and the US economy is growing.

The last Fed Chair to do this was Alan Greenspan in 1998. And those rate cuts were what ignited the great stock market bubble of the late ’90s.

 Stocks rose ~60% over the next two years.

GPC1111194.png

A similar run from today’s levels would mean the S&P 500 approaching 5,000.

Interestingly enough, the long-term chart suggests this is possible  especially with that recent breakout to the upside.

GPC11519.png

Let’s be clear here… what the Fed is doing today is going to create the MOTHER of All Bubbles.

Stocks are already up 300% from the 2009 bottom in one of the greatest bull markets of all time… And the Fed is now cutting rates AND printing $60 billion in new money every single month.

Again, this is going to be the MOTHER of All Bubbles.

The key now is to determine the best means of profiting from this.

With that in mind, we’ve just published an investment report titled Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles.

It outlines what the Fed is doing, why it’s doing it, and a unique investment that could easily triple, if not quadruple, as the Fed unleashes a tsunami of liquidity pushing stocks to nosebleed levels.

The last time the Fed began an easing cycle, this investment rose over 1,439%. And this time around we could see similar gains.

To pick up your copy of Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles go to:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MOAB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
05
Nov
2019

The Fed is Going to Push Stocks to Levels You Won’t Believe

Here’s a crazy fact…

The Fed just expanded its balance sheet by $250 BILLION in eight weeks.

Yes, a quarter of a TRILLION dollars… in two months.

The last time the Fed was expanding its balance sheet at this pace was when Lehman Brothers failed in September 2008.

The only difference is that back then the financial system was in the depths of the worst crisis in 80 years… unemployment was over 6% and rising every months… and the U.S. was in the middle of a deep recession.

This time around, stocks are at new all time highs… unemployment is 3.6%… and the U.S. economy is growing at 2%.

And the Fed’s putting $250 BILLION in liquidity into the system in just eight weeks.

We can disagree with this. We might even think it’s outright offensive. But it’s a fact. And it means stocks are going to explode to levels you won’t believe.

Liquidity is what drives stocks. Not the economy. Not earnings. Liquidity.

This is especially true in the post-2008 era which has been defined by central bank intervention more than any other time in history.

So what does this mean for stocks?

Again, it means stocks are going to go parabolic to levels you won’t believe.

I’m talking 4,000 on the S&P 500.

The S&P 500 just broke out of an expanding pattern (purple lines) within its bullish channel (blue lines). The door is now open to 4,000.

We’re putting together an Executive Summary on how to play this move.

It will identify which investments will perform best during the Fed’s next bubble, including a unique play that could more than double the performance of the S&P 500.

This Executive Summary will be available exclusively to subscribers of our Gains Pains & Capital e-letter. To insure you receive a copy when it’s sent out, you can join here:

https://gainspainscapital.com/

Best RegardsGraham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan