Month: October 2020

28
Oct
2020

Based on This, Trump Will Win in a Landslide

Disclaimer: none of the following is meant to be political analysis. I am not endorsing nor disparaging any candidate. I’m simply outlining my framework for how I see this election and what the markets are suggesting the outcome will be.

The markets are in a holding pattern until election day.

Retail investors are small fish in a big pond. The real price action occurs when financial institutions make a move. And NO financial institution is going to put capital to work this week with the election looming.

However, some items are clear.

Key market sectors are increasingly pointing to a Trump win.

One of the key differences, between the Biden and Trump campaigns are their attitudes towards green energy. Trump is decidedly pro-fracking and fossil fuels while Biden leans towards green energy (he has formally endorsed the New Green Deal on his website).

With that in mind, the green energy sector has rolled over and is falling rapidly. We’re already into a 10% correction on both $PBW and $TAN.

Of course, much of the market has been red lately, so I would also like to point out that underperformance has occurred relative to the broader stock market. The ratio between $PBW and the S&P 500 is down 9% meaning clean energy ETFs are down 9% relative to the rest of the market.

That’s a heck of an underperformance. Again, this suggests Biden’s odds of winning the election have fallen dramatically.

Meanwhile, we see industrial metals, which are heavily pro-Trump due to his obsession with U.S. manufacturing and industrial production, remain in clear, strong uptrends. Looking at these charts it’s difficult to even see a corrective move.

This strongly suggests the odds of a Trump win have increased dramatically.

Taken together, these two developments STRONGLY suggest Donald Trump will win re-election. In fact, you could argue that based on these issues, the election won’t even be close.

I’m not saying I’m happy about this. I’m simply saying what the markets are telling me right now. Again, I DO NOT care about politics. You can hate President Trump or you can love him. That’s 100% up to you.

But the reality is that under the Trump administration the stock market is giving us a once in a lifetime opportunity to GET RICH from our investments.

My clients are already doing this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, I detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

In it, I detail five unique investments that I expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
28
Oct
2020

The Market is Beginning to Predict a Trump Landslide

The markets are in a holding pattern until election day.

Retail investors are small fish in a big pond. The real price action occurs when financial institutions make a move. And NO financial institution is going to put capital to work this week with the election looming.

However, some items are clear.

Key market sectors are increasingly pointing to a Trump win.

One of the key differences, between the Biden and Trump campaigns are their attitudes towards green energy. Trump is decidedly pro-fracking and fossil fuels while Biden leans towards green energy (he has formally endorsed the New Green Deal on his website).

With that in mind, the green energy sector has rolled over and is falling rapidly. We’re already into a 10% correction on both $PBW and $TAN.

Of course, much of the market has been red lately, so I would also like to point out that underperformance has occurred relative to the broader stock market. The ratio between $PBW and the S&P 500 is down 9% meaning clean energy ETFs are down 9% relative to the rest of the market.

That’s a heck of an underperformance. Again, this suggests Biden’s odds of winning the election have fallen dramatically.

Meanwhile, we see industrial metals, which are heavily pro-Trump due to his obsession with U.S. manufacturing and industrial production, remain in clear, strong uptrends. Looking at these charts it’s difficult to even see a corrective move.

This strongly suggests the odds of a Trump win have increased dramatically.

Taken together, these two developments STRONGLY suggest Donald Trump will win re-election. In fact, you could argue that based on these issues, the election won’t even be close.

I’m not saying I’m happy about this. I’m simply saying what the markets are telling me right now. Again, I DO NOT care about politics. You can hate President Trump or you can love him. That’s 100% up to you.

But the reality is that under the Trump administration the stock market is giving us a once in a lifetime opportunity to GET RICH from our investments.

My clients are already doing this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, I detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

In it, I detail five unique investments that I expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
27
Oct
2020

If Gold is Going to Explode Higher, It Should Happen in the NExt 48 Hours

If gold is going to explode higher, the move should start today or tomorrow.

As I’ve noted preciously, during inflation-driven bull markets in gold, gold miners typically outperform the precious metal. For this reason I like to track the gold miners to gold ratio (GDX: $GOLD).

When gold miners outperform gold, this ratio rises. When gold miners underperform gold this ratio falls.

As you can see in the chart below, this ratio has fallen to test MAJOR support (green line). It should bounce here, which would mean breaking its recent down trend (blue lines). This would mean a period in which gold miners DRAMATICALLY outperform gold.

Another key feature of bull markets in precious metals is that silver outperforms gold. With that in mind, I also like to track the silver to gold ratio ($SILVER: $GOLD).

When silver outperform gold, this ratio rises. When silver underperform gold this ratio falls.

Right now, this ratio has fallen to test key support (green line). We should see a bounce here that finally breaks this triangle formation (blue lines) to the upside.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

As I write this there are just 9 left.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Inflation
26
Oct
2020

Gold Is Holding Support, Will the Next Move Be Up?

Gold continues to hold up surprisingly well despite $USD strength.

The precious metal is coining tighter and tighter into a triangle formation. When the breakout finally comes, it will be violent.

If you need signs of impressive relative strength, look at the gold mining juniors (GDXJ). During selloffs it is not uncommon to see this ETF drop 3% of even 5% in a single day.

It fell just a little over 1% on Friday.

And then there is gold’s long-term chart, where we see the precious metal consolidating at support (green line) an explosive move up. This is very similar to the consolidation period we saw in late 2019 (purple rectangle).

If we hold that green line the next leg up will take your breath away. It might not be this week or next, but when it hits, it will be massive.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

As I write this there are just 17 left.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Inflation
26
Oct
2020

This Coming Move Will Take Your Breath Away

Gold continues to hold up surprisingly well despite $USD strength.

The precious metal is coining tighter and tighter into a triangle formation. When the breakout finally comes, it will be violent.

If you need signs of impressive relative strength, look at the gold mining juniors (GDXJ). During selloffs it is not uncommon to see this ETF drop 3% of even 5% in a single day.

It fell just a little over 1% on Friday.

And then there is gold’s long-term chart, where we see the precious metal consolidating at support (green line) an explosive move up. This is very similar to the consolidation period we saw in late 2019 (purple rectangle).

If we hold that green line the next leg up will take your breath away. It might not be this week or next, but when it hits, it will be massive.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

As I write this there are just 17 left.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Inflation, It's a Bull Market
22
Oct
2020

Three Charts Suggest an Explosive Move Is Coming in Gold

Gold is preparing for a major move in the next two to three weeks.

The precious metal is in a large multi-month triangle formation. The coming move will be violent when it hits.

GPC1022201.png

As I’ve noted preciously, during inflation-driven bull markets in gold, gold miners typically outperform the precious metal. For this reason I like to track the gold miners to gold ratio (GDX: $GOLD).

When gold miners outperform gold, this ratio rises. When gold miners underperform gold this ratio falls.

As you can see, the GDX: Gold ratio is in a clear bull flag formation. This is EXTREMELY bullish and signals that we are about to see an explosive move in which gold miners driver higher, outperforming even gold. We just need a final breakout to the upside.

GPC1022202.png

Another key feature of bull markets in precious metals is that silver outperforms gold. With that in mind, I also like to track the silver to gold ratio ($SILVER: $GOLD). 

When silver outperform gold, this ratio rises. When silver underperform gold this ratio falls. Right now, it’s in a large triangle formation as well. Given that it formed this triangle from below, this too suggests the move will be upwards, but again, it’s a little early here.

GPC1022203.png

Again, this sector is showing us that a MASSIVE move is coming. With the right investments, it could mean windfall profits for investors.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

As I write this there are just 29 left.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Inflation
22
Oct
2020

Something BIG is Brewing in the Gold Markets

Gold is preparing for a major move in the next two to three weeks.

The precious metal is in a large multi-month triangle formation. The coming move will be violent when it hits.

GPC1022201.png

As I’ve noted preciously, during inflation-driven bull markets in gold, gold miners typically outperform the precious metal. For this reason I like to track the gold miners to gold ratio (GDX: $GOLD).

When gold miners outperform gold, this ratio rises. When gold miners underperform gold this ratio falls.

As you can see, the GDX: Gold ratio is in a clear bull flag formation. This is EXTREMELY bullish and signals that we are about to see an explosive move in which gold miners driver higher, outperforming even gold. We just need a final breakout to the upside.

GPC1022202.png

Another key feature of bull markets in precious metals is that silver outperforms gold. With that in mind, I also like to track the silver to gold ratio ($SILVER: $GOLD). 

When silver outperform gold, this ratio rises. When silver underperform gold this ratio falls. Right now, it’s in a large triangle formation as well. Given that it formed this triangle from below, this too suggests the move will be upwards, but again, it’s a little early here.

GPC1022203.png

Again, this sector is showing us that a MASSIVE move is coming. With the right investments, it could mean windfall profits for investors.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

As I write this there are just 29 left.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Inflation
21
Oct
2020
Why the S&P 500 is Going to 6,000+

Why the S&P 500 is Going to 6,000+

Jerome Powell is going to create the mother of all bubbles.

The first sign of this came in 2018 when Powell used his first Jackson Hole symposium to glorify former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan’s economic insights and “considerable fortitude” in not raising interest rates back in the late ‘90s.

Yes, Powell believed Greenspan was a genius for not raising rates in the late’ 90s. If you don’t remember what stocks did at that time, it looked like this:

The below quote is quite revealing. And looking back, this speech was a hint of things to come.

The FOMC thus avoided the Great-Inflation-era mistake of overemphasizing imprecise estimates of the stars. Under Chairman Greenspan’s leadership, the Committee converged on a risk-management strategy that can be distilled into a simple request: Let’s wait one more meeting; if there are clearer signs of inflation, we will commence tightening.13 Meeting after meeting, the Committee held off on rate increases while believing that signs of rising inflation would soon appear. And meeting after meeting, inflation gradually declined.

Source: Federal Reserve

In the 12-18 months following this speech, Jerome Powell became one of the biggest monetary easers in history, cutting interest rates while also launching multiple repo programs through which the Fed funneled hundreds of billions of dollars into the financial system despite any indications of a recession. 

Bear in mind, this was before the COVID-19 pandemic. Once COVID-19 hit, Powell would unleashed a tsunami of liquidity that would make even Alan Greenspan blush.

We’ve reviewed the Fed’s recent monetary easing multiple times in recent weeks. However, given the magnitude of what the Fed is about to announce, it’s worth repeating.

To combat the economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic, the Fed:

  • Made its quantitative easing (QE) program “unlimited.” meaning it would simply print money and buy assets ad infinitum.
  • Increased the scope of its QE program from simply buying U.S. Treasuries and mortgage backed securities to include: everything from municipal bonds to corporate junk bonds.
  • Expanded its money market QE to also include a “wider range of securities” including certificates of deposits (CDs).
  • Expanded its commercial paper QE program.
  • Introduced a new QE program to buy any asset-backed security (ABS) including student debt.
  • Began a bailout program for small- and medium-sized business.
  • Lowered the interest rate on its repo programs from 0.15% to LITERAL ZERO (meaning NO interest charged).

At its peak in March 2020, the Fed was pumping $125 billion into the market every day.

Things have since calmed down as stocks rocketed to all-time highs. However, Powell’s recent statements clearly indicate he doesn’t think this is enough.

Indeed, during recent press conferences Powell’s Fed has maintained that the Fed will keep interest rates at ZERO through 2023.

Yes, 2023.

What do you think this is going to do to stocks? The last time the Fed held rates at ZERO for years was from 2008-2015. During that time, the S&P 500 nearly TRIPLED.

Currently stocks are up 50% from the lows. If they were to follow a similar move, we’d see the mother of all bubbles with the S&P 500 rising to over 6,000.

At the end of the day, it all boils down to what I’ve been saying since 2017… that the Fed and other central banks are trapped in a vicious cycle through which it INTENTIONALLY creates bubbles to deal with each successive bust.

With that in mind, we’ve just published an investment report titled Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles.

It outlines what the Fed is doing, why it’s doing it, and a unique investment that could easily triple as the Fed unleashes a tsunami of liquidity pushing stocks to nosebleed levels.

The last time the Fed began an easing cycle, this investment rose over 1,439%. And this time around we could see similar gains.

We are making only 100 copies of this report available to the general public,

To pick up your copy, go to:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MOAB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity
21
Oct
2020
The Fed is Going to Create the Mother Of All Bubbles

The Fed is Going to Create the Mother Of All Bubbles

Jerome Powell is going to create the mother of all bubbles.

The first sign of this came in 2018 when Powell used his first Jackson Hole symposium to glorify former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan’s economic insights and “considerable fortitude” in not raising interest rates back in the late ‘90s.

Yes, Powell believed Greenspan was a genius for not raising rates in the late’ 90s. If you don’t remember what stocks did at that time, it looked like this:

The below quote is quite revealing. And looking back, this speech was a hint of things to come.

The FOMC thus avoided the Great-Inflation-era mistake of overemphasizing imprecise estimates of the stars. Under Chairman Greenspan’s leadership, the Committee converged on a risk-management strategy that can be distilled into a simple request: Let’s wait one more meeting; if there are clearer signs of inflation, we will commence tightening.13 Meeting after meeting, the Committee held off on rate increases while believing that signs of rising inflation would soon appear. And meeting after meeting, inflation gradually declined.

Source: Federal Reserve

In the 12-18 months following this speech, Jerome Powell became one of the biggest monetary easers in history, cutting interest rates while also launching multiple repo programs through which the Fed funneled hundreds of billions of dollars into the financial system despite any indications of a recession. 

Bear in mind, this was before the COVID-19 pandemic. Once COVID-19 hit, Powell would unleashed a tsunami of liquidity that would make even Alan Greenspan blush.

We’ve reviewed the Fed’s recent monetary easing multiple times in recent weeks. However, given the magnitude of what the Fed is about to announce, it’s worth repeating.

To combat the economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic, the Fed:

  • Made its quantitative easing (QE) program “unlimited.” meaning it would simply print money and buy assets ad infinitum.
  • Increased the scope of its QE program from simply buying U.S. Treasuries and mortgage backed securities to include: everything from municipal bonds to corporate junk bonds.
  • Expanded its money market QE to also include a “wider range of securities” including certificates of deposits (CDs).
  • Expanded its commercial paper QE program.
  • Introduced a new QE program to buy any asset-backed security (ABS) including student debt.
  • Began a bailout program for small- and medium-sized business.
  • Lowered the interest rate on its repo programs from 0.15% to LITERAL ZERO (meaning NO interest charged).

At its peak in March 2020, the Fed was pumping $125 billion into the market every day.

Things have since calmed down as stocks rocketed to all-time highs. However, Powell’s recent statements clearly indicate he doesn’t think this is enough.

Indeed, during recent press conferences Powell’s Fed has maintained that the Fed will keep interest rates at ZERO through 2023.

Yes, 2023.

What do you think this is going to do to stocks? The last time the Fed held rates at ZERO for years was from 2008-2015. During that time, the S&P 500 nearly TRIPLED.

Currently stocks are up 50% from the lows. If they were to follow a similar move, we’d see the mother of all bubbles with the S&P 500 rising to over 6,000.

At the end of the day, it all boils down to what I’ve been saying since 2017… that the Fed and other central banks are trapped in a vicious cycle through which it INTENTIONALLY creates bubbles to deal with each successive bust.

With that in mind, we’ve just published an investment report titled Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles.

It outlines what the Fed is doing, why it’s doing it, and a unique investment that could easily triple as the Fed unleashes a tsunami of liquidity pushing stocks to nosebleed levels.

The last time the Fed began an easing cycle, this investment rose over 1,439%. And this time around we could see similar gains.

We are making only 100 copies of this report available to the general public,

To pick up your copy, go to:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MOAB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity
20
Oct
2020

Watch This Stock For Signs of a Market Turn

The markets are preparing for a monster move.

It’s been an exciting couple of months, but despite all the action the S&P 500 has effectively gone nowhere since late August.

Whenever we break out of this range, the move will be explosive. 

The one stock I’m watching closely for signs of the move is Shopify (SHOP).

SHOP bottomed March 18th (blue square) a full FIVE days before the broader market did on March 23rd (purple square).

Put simply, SHOP lead the market by a wide margin out of the March bottom. Similarly, it peaked hours before the broader market did in early September.

Put simply, SHOP has been leading the market at every major turn for months.

So, what’s it saying now?

Despite the recent correction in stocks, SHOP is holding up well and remains close to the top of its consolidation range. If it can finally break that range with conviction, we’ll see a MAJOR bull run start in the broader market.

At the end of the day, it all boils down to what I’ve been saying since 2017… that the Fed and other central banks are trapped in a vicious cycle through which it INTENTIONALLY creates bubbles to deal with each successive bust.

We had the Tech Bubble in the ’90s.

The Housing Bubble in the mid-00s.

And now the Everything Bubble in 2020.

On that note, we’re putting together an Executive Summary on how to play this move.

It will identify which investments will perform best during the Fed’s next bubble, including a unique play that could more than double the performance of the S&P 500.

This Executive Summary will be available exclusively to subscribers of our Gains Pains & Capital e-letter. To insure you receive a copy when it’s sent out, you can join here:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity
20
Oct
2020

This Might Be the One Stock You Need to Watch to Time the Market

The markets are preparing for a monster move.

It’s been an exciting couple of months, but despite all the action the S&P 500 has effectively gone nowhere since late August.

Whenever we break out of this range, the move will be explosive. 

The one stock I’m watching closely for signs of the move is Shopify (SHOP).

SHOP bottomed March 18th (blue square) a full FIVE days before the broader market did on March 23rd (purple square).

Put simply, SHOP lead the market by a wide margin out of the March bottom. Similarly, it peaked hours before the broader market did in early September.

Put simply, SHOP has been leading the market at every major turn for months.

So, what’s it saying now?

Despite the recent correction in stocks, SHOP is holding up well and remains close to the top of its consolidation range. If it can finally break that range with conviction, we’ll see a MAJOR bull run start in the broader market.

At the end of the day, it all boils down to what I’ve been saying since 2017… that the Fed and other central banks are trapped in a vicious cycle through which it INTENTIONALLY creates bubbles to deal with each successive bust.

We had the Tech Bubble in the ’90s.

The Housing Bubble in the mid-00s.

And now the Everything Bubble in 2020.

On that note, we’re putting together an Executive Summary on how to play this move.

It will identify which investments will perform best during the Fed’s next bubble, including a unique play that could more than double the performance of the S&P 500.

This Executive Summary will be available exclusively to subscribers of our Gains Pains & Capital e-letter. To insure you receive a copy when it’s sent out, you can join here:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity
19
Oct
2020

The Fed Has No Choice But to Create Another Even Larger Bubble

The market will likely hit new all-time highs this week.

Stocks held support last week (green line in the chart below). We now have a bull flag forming on the 4-hour chart for the S&P 500 (blue lines in the chart below).

It’s incredible to be writing this: stocks roaring to new all-time highs multiple times after one of the sharpest most violent sell-offs in history hitting in March of this year.

Indeed, by the look of things, we’re going to see a massive stock bubble in the coming months.

And why not? The economy appears to be coming back strongly from the COVID-19 shutdowns. Last week we found out that retail sales rose 1.9% month over month (only 0.3% was expected).

And against this backdrop of growth, central banks and policymakers have unleashed a TSUNAMI of money printing.

Remember, to combat the economic fallout from the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 central banks printed $12 trillion between 2008 and 2016.

Well. they’ve printed more than HALF of this ($7 trillion) in the six months from April to September alone. Throw in stimulus programs from governments and the number balloons over $15 TRILLION.

Put another way, it previously took policymakers EIGHT years for to spend $12 trillion. They’ve already committed to spending MORE than this in less than EIGHT months.

Also, and this is key…between stimulus payments and central bank lending facilities directly to small businesses/ Main Street, much of this money is actually going straight into the economy.

In the U.S., we’ve already seen one stimulus program of $3 trillion. On top of this, the Fed has put over $1.6 TRILLION in actual real money into the U.S. economy in the form of credit facilities. Add that up are you’re talking about $5+ trillion in new money entering the economy this year.

And now Congress is talking about another stimulus program somewhere between $500 million and $1.8 trillion being funneled into the economy sometime in the next three months. That would put the total money printing for 2020 in the ballpark of $7 trillion.

Let’s put this into perspective. The U.S. economy is roughly $22 trillion in size. So, in the span of a single year, policymakers will have funneled an amount of money equal to nearly 33% of U.S. GDP directly into the economy.

This is how you get a MASSIVE bubble. As in the S&P 500 goes to 6,000 or higher in the next 12 months.

I realize that sounds insane. But remember, we’re talking about an amount of liquidity equal to 33% of the U.S. GDP being funneled into the economy in nine months.

As investors, our job is NOT to argue about what the market should do, it’s to make MONEY from what the market IS doing.

At the end of the day, it all boils down to what I’ve been saying since 2017… that the Fed and other central banks are trapped in a vicious cycle through which it INTENTIONALLY creates bubbles to deal with each successive bust.

We had the Tech Bubble in the ’90s.

The Housing Bubble in the mid-00s.

And now the Everything Bubble in 2020.

On that note, we’re putting together an Executive Summary on how to play this move.

It will identify which investments will perform best during the Fed’s next bubble, including a unique play that could more than double the performance of the S&P 500.

This Executive Summary will be available exclusively to subscribers of our Gains Pains & Capital e-letter. To insure you receive a copy when it’s sent out, you can join here:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity
19
Oct
2020

Why Stock Are Going to Go Into a MASSIVE Bubble in the Next 12 Months

The market will likely hit new all-time highs this week.

Stocks held support last week (green line in the chart below). We now have a bull flag forming on the 4-hour chart for the S&P 500 (blue lines in the chart below).

It’s incredible to be writing this: stocks roaring to new all-time highs multiple times after one of the sharpest most violent sell-offs in history hitting in March of this year.

Indeed, by the look of things, we’re going to see a massive stock bubble in the coming months.

And why not? The economy appears to be coming back strongly from the COVID-19 shutdowns. Last week we found out that retail sales rose 1.9% month over month (only 0.3% was expected).

And against this backdrop of growth, central banks and policymakers have unleashed a TSUNAMI of money printing.

Remember, to combat the economic fallout from the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 central banks printed $12 trillion between 2008 and 2016.

Well. they’ve printed more than HALF of this ($7 trillion) in the six months from April to September alone. Throw in stimulus programs from governments and the number balloons over $15 TRILLION.

Put another way, it previously took policymakers EIGHT years for to spend $12 trillion. They’ve already committed to spending MORE than this in less than EIGHT months.

Also, and this is key…between stimulus payments and central bank lending facilities directly to small businesses/ Main Street, much of this money is actually going straight into the economy.

In the U.S., we’ve already seen one stimulus program of $3 trillion. On top of this, the Fed has put over $1.6 TRILLION in actual real money into the U.S. economy in the form of credit facilities. Add that up are you’re talking about $5+ trillion in new money entering the economy this year.

And now Congress is talking about another stimulus program somewhere between $500 million and $1.8 trillion being funneled into the economy sometime in the next three months. That would put the total money printing for 2020 in the ballpark of $7 trillion.

Let’s put this into perspective. The U.S. economy is roughly $22 trillion in size. So, in the span of a single year, policymakers will have funneled an amount of money equal to nearly 33% of U.S. GDP directly into the economy.

This is how you get a MASSIVE bubble. As in the S&P 500 goes to 6,000 or higher in the next 12 months.

I realize that sounds insane. But remember, we’re talking about an amount of liquidity equal to 33% of the U.S. GDP being funneled into the economy in nine months.

As investors, our job is NOT to argue about what the market should do, it’s to make MONEY from what the market IS doing.

At the end of the day, it all boils down to what I’ve been saying since 2017… that the Fed and other central banks are trapped in a vicious cycle through which it INTENTIONALLY creates bubbles to deal with each successive bust.

We had the Tech Bubble in the ’90s.

The Housing Bubble in the mid-00s.

And now the Everything Bubble in 2020.

On that note, we’re putting together an Executive Summary on how to play this move.

It will identify which investments will perform best during the Fed’s next bubble, including a unique play that could more than double the performance of the S&P 500.

This Executive Summary will be available exclusively to subscribers of our Gains Pains & Capital e-letter. To insure you receive a copy when it’s sent out, you can join here:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research


Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
15
Oct
2020

Warning: the Single Best Predictor of Future Inflation is Spiking Higher

Food inflation is spiking.

Yesterday the U.S. PPI and Core PPI (two key metrics of inflation) recorded a 0.4% increase in inflation for the month of September. This sounds like a very small move until you consider that it was largely due to just one component (food inflation) surging 1.2% over the same time period.

Why does this matter?

Because according to the Fed’s own research, food inflation is the single best predictor of future inflation in the U.S. And a 1.2% increase in a single month for food prices across the board (not just one area like meat or dairy) is a BIG deal.

This tells us point blank that higher inflation is seeping into the financial system.The markets know it too. Which is why Gold has erupted higher against every major currency (the $USD, the Euro, the Swiss Franc and the Japanese Yen).

And why not? After all, central banks and policy makers have gone NUCLEAR in their money printing in the last six months.

Consider the following…

In response to the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, central banks printed $7 trillion in new money from 2008 to 2012. 

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, they’ve printed almost as much money ($6 trillion and change) in 2020 alone.

Mind you, I’m just focusing on the U.S. here. Globally, policymakers have announced stimulus programs worth a jaw dropping $15 TRILLION. This comes to 17% of global GDP… in a single year.

All of this is going to unleash an inflationary story worse than anything we’ve seen in decades. And the time to prepare for this is NOW before it truly gets out of control.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

As I write this there are just 37 left.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Inflation
15
Oct
2020

We Now Have Confirmation That Inflation is Starting to Get Out of Control

Food inflation is spiking.

Yesterday the U.S. PPI and Core PPI (two key metrics of inflation) recorded a 0.4% increase in inflation for the month of September. This sounds like a very small move until you consider that it was largely due to just one component (food inflation) surging 1.2% over the same time period.

Why does this matter?

Because according to the Fed’s own research, food inflation is the single best predictor of future inflation in the U.S. And a 1.2% increase in a single month for food prices across the board (not just one area like meat or dairy) is a BIG deal.

This tells us point blank that higher inflation is seeping into the financial system.The markets know it too. Which is why Gold has erupted higher against every major currency (the $USD, the Euro, the Swiss Franc and the Japanese Yen).

And why not? After all, central banks and policy makers have gone NUCLEAR in their money printing in the last six months.

Consider the following…

In response to the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, central banks printed $7 trillion in new money from 2008 to 2012. 

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, they’ve printed almost as much money ($6 trillion and change) in 2020 alone.

Mind you, I’m just focusing on the U.S. here. Globally, policymakers have announced stimulus programs worth a jaw dropping $15 TRILLION. This comes to 17% of global GDP… in a single year.

All of this is going to unleash an inflationary story worse than anything we’ve seen in decades. And the time to prepare for this is NOW before it truly gets out of control.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

As I write this there are just 37 left.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Inflation
08
Oct
2020

Stocks Are About to Reclaim Their Bull Channel

Stocks will break above resistance (red line) today. 

The bullish falling wedge formation (blue lines) now has a confirmed breakout.

This increasingly looks like the next major leg up. Stocks will be reclaiming their bull market channel that has guided the markets since early April. 

This opens the door to a run to 3,600+ on the S&P 500.

At the end of the day, it all boils down to what I’ve been saying since 2017… that the Fed and other central banks are trapped in a vicious cycle through which it INTENTIONALLY creates bubbles to deal with each successive bust.

We had the Tech Bubble in the ’90s.

The Housing Bubble in the mid-00s.

And now the Everything Bubble in 2020.

On that note, we’re putting together an Executive Summary on how to play this move.

It will identify which investments will perform best during the Fed’s next bubble, including a unique play that could more than double the performance of the S&P 500.

This Executive Summary will be available exclusively to subscribers of our Gains Pains & Capital e-letter. To insure you receive a copy when it’s sent out, you can join here:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity
08
Oct
2020

Stocks Are About to Explode… Here’s How We’re Playing It

Stocks will break above resistance (red line) today. 

The bullish falling wedge formation (blue lines) now has a confirmed breakout.

This increasingly looks like the next major leg up. Stocks will be reclaiming their bull market channel that has guided the markets since early April. 

This opens the door to a run to 3,600+ on the S&P 500.

At the end of the day, it all boils down to what I’ve been saying since 2017… that the Fed and other central banks are trapped in a vicious cycle through which it INTENTIONALLY creates bubbles to deal with each successive bust.

We had the Tech Bubble in the ’90s.

The Housing Bubble in the mid-00s.

And now the Everything Bubble in 2020.

On that note, we’re putting together an Executive Summary on how to play this move.

It will identify which investments will perform best during the Fed’s next bubble, including a unique play that could more than double the performance of the S&P 500.

This Executive Summary will be available exclusively to subscribers of our Gains Pains & Capital e-letter. To insure you receive a copy when it’s sent out, you can join here:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity
07
Oct
2020
Our Best Seller is On Sale At Kindle Now

Our Best Seller is On Sale At Kindle Now

Amazon is currently running a special on The Everything Bubble…
an astonishing 85% off on the Kindle version.

So if you’ve yet to pick up a copy… or would like to gift a copy
to family and friends, this is the single best opportunity all year to do so.

To take advantage of these prices… and potentially change someone’s
life with the gift of knowledge and understanding of how our
financial system truly works…

Click Here Now!!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers
Chief Market Strategist
Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in The Everything Bubble
05
Oct
2020

Two Charts Every Trader Needs To Watch This Week

Stocks are up slightly this morning, most likely due to President Trump’s rapid recovery from COVID-19. Remember, futures first plunged on Thursday night/ Friday morning when he announced he and the first lady had tested positive for COVID-19.

Despite all of the excitement, the market remains in a kind of “no man’s land” between resistance (red line) and support (green line). Until we break one of these lines with conviction, stocks are in a chop fest.

GPC10520.png

Stepping back from the day to day, the S&P 500 looks to be forming an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. If we break above that neckline, the upside target is not all-time highs. By the look of things, we’ll know if this will be the case by the end of the week.

GPC105202.png

Why would this happen?

Because the Fed and other major central banks have gone “all in” on their efforts to create a stock market bubble.

Forget politics, forget social issues, forget all of that stuff. The one thing that matters to central banks is keeping the markets elevated.

At the end of the day, it all boils down to what I’ve been saying since 2017… that the Fed and other central banks are trapped in a vicious cycle through which it INTENTIONALLY creates bubbles to deal with each successive bust.

We had the Tech Bubble in the ’90s.

The Housing Bubble in the mid-00s.

And now the Everything Bubble in 2020.

On that note, we’re putting together an Executive Summary on how to play this move.

It will identify which investments will perform best during the Fed’s next bubble, including a unique play that could more than double the performance of the S&P 500.

This Executive Summary will be available exclusively to subscribers of our Gains Pains & Capital e-letter. To insure you receive a copy when it’s sent out, you can join here:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity
02
Oct
2020
The Stock Market is About to Tell Us the Truth About COVID-19

The Stock Market is About to Tell Us the Truth About COVID-19

President Trump has tested positive for COVID-19. And we are about to see a REAL COVID-19 test play out in the stock market.

Let me explain…

The COVID-19 pandemic has been one of the most polarizing issues in American history.

One group of Americans believes it’s one of the worst health crisis in history and that our entire society should be restructured to deal with it.

Another group of Americans believes the entire disease and shutdowns were one gigantic scam designed to cripple the economy to damage President Trump’s chances at reelection.

The stock market is about to find out which one of these is closer to the truth.

President Trump’s obsession with the stock market is almost beyond parody. Very early into his Presidency, Donald Trump branded the stock market’s returns as illustrating the success of his policies. 

This attitude extends well beyond the President himself. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin has stated that the White House views the stock market as a “report card.”

What this means is that the Trump administration views stock prices as representing their performance leading the country and the economy.

With that in mind, it’s not surprising that stocks are DOWN on the news that the President and the First Lady have tested positive for COVID-19.

Keeping in mind that President Trump is 74 and overweight which makes him at greater risk of complications/ more severe illness, stock appear to be extremely worried about the odds of his recovery. 

What comes next will tell us everything.

No other mechanism on the planet is better at discounting the future than stocks. They accurately predicted the government shutdown as well as the V-shaped recovery in the economy in 2020 alone.

So, if the market begins to rebound and rally strongly, that’s a clear signal that the market is discounting a full and rapid recovery from President Trump along with his winning a second term.

If, however, the market begins to REALLY collapse, it’s a clear signal that the market is discounting real problems for President Trump and the possibility that Joe Biden will be the next President of the United States.

On that note, if you’re worried about weathering a potential market crash, we’ve reopened our Stock Market Crash Survival Guide to the general public.

Within its 21 pages we outline which investments will perform best during a market meltdown as well as how to take out “Crash insurance” on your portfolio (these instruments returned TRIPLE digit gains during 2008).

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public.

To pick up your copy of this report, FREE, swing by:

http://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best RegardsParagraph

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market