Crisis Archive

China is Now Officially at War With the US and Japan

It is not a war of guns and soldiers, but a war of finance. The Trump White House is aggressively going after China on trade. Every other month we are seeing a new round of tariffs announced on hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth of Chinese exports. China is retaliating by devaluing the Yuan against

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Dear Reader, If you’re looking for answers as to why the US financial system is the way it is… or have questions about what’s coming down the pike in the financial markets, pick up a copy of our bestselling book The Everything Bubble: The End Game For Central Bank Policy on KINDLE today. If you’ve

The US CANNOT Afford the US Dollar at These Levels

The Powell Fed has decided to embark on an aggressive tightening schedule, with five more rates hikes while also draining an amount equal to Sweden’s GDP in liquidity over the next 18 months. The Fed believe it can do this because the economy is strong and inflation is rising. However, it has failed to account

Will Higher Inflation Burst the Everything Bubble?

As we noted on Friday, the official inflation metric, called the Consumer Price Index (or CPI) is designed to HIDE inflation, not measure it. Case in point, over the last two months, the CPI has relied on the collapse in prices of various non-essential items (airline tickets, hotel rooms, etc.) to “cover up” the increase

Warning: The Everything Bubble is in SERIOUS Trouble

As we noted on Friday, the official inflation metric, called the Consumer Price Index (or CPI) is designed to HIDE inflation, not measure it. Case in point, over the last two months, the CPI has relied on the collapse in prices of various non-essential items (airline tickets, hotel rooms, etc.) to “cover up” the increase

What is the Everything Bubble? When Will It Burst?

Dear Reader, If you’re looking for answers as to why the US financial system is the way it is… or have questions about what’s coming down the pike in the financial markets, pick up a copy of our bestselling book The Everything Bubble: The End Game For Central Bank Policy on KINDLE today. If you’ve

The Best Financial Education for Under $15

Dear Reader, If you’re looking for answers as to why the US financial system is the way it is… or have questions about what’s coming down the pike in the financial markets, pick up a copy of our bestselling book The Everything Bubble: The End Game For Central Bank Policy on KINDLE today. If you’ve

Will the Fed Sacrifice Stocks to Save Bonds?

The Everything Bubble hit a new record in 1Q18… with total global Debt to GDP exceeding 318%. All told, the world now has some $247 TRILLION in debt. As I explain in my bestselling book The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policy, when the US abandoned the Gold Standard completely in 1971, it

The Everything Bubble Hits a New Record… Right As Bonds Begin to Drop

The Everything Bubble hit a new record in 1Q18… with total global Debt to GDP exceeding 318%. All told, the world now has some $247 TRILLION in debt. As I explain in my bestselling book The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policy, when the US abandoned the Gold Standard completely in 1971, it

The Fed’s QT Program Increases to $50 Billion Per Month This Month… Stocks Are on THIN Ice

Let’s cut through the market BS. The Fed is the single most important issue for the markets… not tariffs, not trade wars, not even the economy. Remember, from 2008-20015, the US markets were completely driven by Fed policy and little else. It was Fed QE programs, combined with seven years of Zero Interest Rate Policy

Stocks Have Taken Out Critical Support… Is 2,300 Next For the S&P 500?

China has gotten tired of playing “tariff tag” with the Trump administration. It’s now playing a new game called the “devalue stock dump.” It consists of China aggressively devaluing the Yuan in an effort to crash the US stock market. If you think I’m being overly dramatic here, have a look at the below chart.

The Two Most Important Chart Levels for the S&P 500

If you think what’s happening in the markets has ANYTHING to do with tariffs, you need to rethink some things. The single most important factor for the markets is…LIQUIDITY. The Fed is pulling liquidity out of the market at its fastest pace in decades… possibly ever. What started as a $10B per month QT program

At What Stock Level Does the Powell Fed Cry “Uncle”? 2,300 on the S&P 500?

Thus far in his tenure as Fed Chair, Jerome Powell has emphasized that he is more concerned with the real economy than the financial markets. Put another way, the Powell Fed, unlike the Bernanke or Yellen Feds before it, is willing to sacrifice stocks in the name of normalizing monetary policy provided the economy can

The Powell Fed Has a Choice: Walk Back Policy Error, or 2,300 on the S&P 500

Thus far in his tenure as Fed Chair, Jerome Powell has emphasized that he is more concerned with the real economy than the financial markets. Put another way, the Powell Fed, unlike the Bernanke or Yellen Feds before it, is willing to sacrifice stocks in the name of normalizing monetary policy provided the economy can

Warning: If the S&P 500 Drops Like Emerging Markets Have… It’d go to 2,300

Thus far in his tenure as Fed Chair, Jerome Powell has emphasized that he is more concerned with the real economy than the financial markets. Put another way, the Powell Fed, unlike the Bernanke or Yellen Feds before it, is willing to sacrifice stocks in the name of normalizing monetary policy provided the economy can

The $USD Needs to Roll Over NOW Or We’re in Trouble

Last week the Fed announced it intends to hike rates another two times this year, with three more hikes next year. The Fed also announced that it will continue to increase its QT program with the goal of eventually withdrawing $50 billion in liquidity per month, or some $600 billion per year. The market didn’t

The Fed Screwed Up… and the Markets Know It

Last week the Fed announced it intends to hike rates another two times this year, with three more hikes next year. The Fed also announced that it will continue to increase its QT program with the goal of eventually withdrawing $50 billion in liquidity per month, or some $600 billion per year. The market didn’t

The Fed Already Blew Up Emerging Markets… Are US Next?

Last week the Fed announced it intends to hike rates another two times this year, with three more hikes next year. The Fed also announced that it will continue to increase its QT program with the goal of eventually withdrawing $50 billion in liquidity per month, or some $600 billion per year. The market didn’t

Is the Fed Going to Trigger a Market Meltdown?

Last week the Fed announced it intends to hike rates another two times this year, with three more hikes next year. The Fed also announced that it will continue to increase its QT program with the goal of eventually withdrawing $50 billion in liquidity per month, or some $600 billion per year. The market didn’t

If Inflation Isn’t a Problem… Why Does the $USD Keep Dropping?

The Fed  revealed how badly behind the curve it is on inflation yesterday. Sure, everyone believes the Fed was hawkish because it wants to hike rates two more times this year with an additional three es in 2019… but lost amidst that is the fact the Fed upgraded its inflation forecast while emphasizing that policy
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What Happens When the Everything Bubble Bursts?
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  • the Fed has created a bubble in everything
  • We call this THE EVERYTHING BUBBLE
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