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Category Archives: Policy Error
The Fed is Back to Printing Money… With Inflation at 6%
By Graham Summers, MBA The Fed just gave out over $300 BILLION in single week. See for yourself: the Fed’s balance sheet has erupted higher, erasing over HALF of its Quantitative Tightening (QT) efforts. Again, we are talking about $300+ BILLION … Continue reading
Posted in False Breakout, Inflation, Policy Error, stock collapse?
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Investors Are About to Pay the Price for the Fed’s Failures…
By Graham Summers, MBA Throughout this week, I’ve pounded the table on the fact that the economic data the U.S. government has put out recently is a huge pile of BS. We’ve covered everything from the jobs data, to inflation, … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Policy Error
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How Oil Will Trigger a Stock Market Crash
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has laid bare all the misguided, naïve policies our “leaders” have foisted upon us in the last 18 months. Among the more foolish policies enacted by U.S. policymakers is the idea that the U.S. should NOT … Continue reading
Posted in Policy Error, stock collapse?
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This is the Real Reason the Fed is Terrified of Raising Rates From Zero
Why is the Fed so worried about tapering QE and raising rates? Think about it… The Fed launched this current version of QE in a single day. Why does it take SIX months for the Fed to end it… especially … Continue reading
Posted in Debt Bomb, Policy Error, stock collapse?, The Everything Bubble
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Will the Economic Shutdown Drive the US into a Debt Crisis?
The bloated budget of the U.S. is only going to be getting larger. And that means the Powers That Be will be seeking out new sources of capital. Those sources? ANYONE who has money lying around. Let me explain… The … Continue reading
Posted in Policy Error
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Americans Are Earning More Being Unemployed Than By Working (Is a Debt Crisis Coming?)
The bloated budget of the U.S. is only going to be getting larger. And that means the Powers That Be will be seeking out new sources of capital. Those sources? ANYONE who has money lying around. Let me explain… The … Continue reading
Posted in Policy Error
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How Mass Unemployment Will Lead to Cash Grabs, Wealth Taxes, and More
The bloated budget of the U.S. is only going to be getting larger. And that means the Powers That Be will be seeking out new sources of capital. Those sources? ANYONE who has money lying around. Let me explain… The … Continue reading
Posted in Policy Error
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Can the Fed Truly Backstop Everything… And Will There Be a Second Round to the Crisis?
The financial system today is trying to figure out what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object. The Unstoppable Force= the Everything Bubble bursting as debt markets collapse around. The Immovable Object= the Federal Reserve and its decision … Continue reading
Posted in Policy Error
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Stocks broke the uptrend (blue line) last week. They only just held critical support (red line). Had they not, it would have been an absolute bloodbath, The media is blaming the sell-off on coronavirus, but the far more likely candidate … Continue reading
February 3, 2020
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President Trump is worsening the trade war between China and the US in order to force the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy. Before proceeding, I want to stress that none of the following is meant to be political analysis. … Continue reading
August 29, 2019
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The Final Blow Off Top Just Hit… Next Week Comes the FIREWORKS
Well, that’s that. The markets surged on the Fed announcement of NO rate cuts because the market now believes the Fed is GUARANTEED to make a MASSIVE cut in July. The S&P 500 (blue line in the chart below) hit … Continue reading
Posted in Policy Error
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What Are the Odds that Bonds, Copper, and Fed Ex Are Wrong About the Economy?
Stocks have now cleared the all-important level of 2,900 on the S&P 500. The index just peeked above critical resistance (top red line in the chart below). Overbought and overextended, stocks are now due for a correction/ consolidation. It would … Continue reading
Posted in Policy Error
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The Fed Needs a Reason to Cut Rates… and Stocks Will Deliver it Shortly
Yesterday’s Fed meeting had one clear message: The Fed needs a reason to cut rates. The Fed has obviously laid the ground work for a rate cut by hinting at easing… but with the “official” GDP numbers at 3.2% and … Continue reading
Posted in Policy Error
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Sign of a Top: Mom and Pop Investors Finally Piled Back Into Stocks… All Based on BS
So it was all BS. For months now, the Trump administration, through both tweets from the President and countless articles published in the financial media, has proclaimed that a trade deal between the US and China was “just around the … Continue reading
Posted in Phony "China Deal", Policy Error, stock collapse?
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Bull Trap Warning: There Has Been No Real Progress on China-US Trade
So it was all BS. For months now, the Trump administration, through both tweets from the President and countless articles published in the financial media, has proclaimed that a trade deal between the US and China was “just around the … Continue reading
Posted in Policy Error, stock collapse?
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Anyone Who Still Thinks The Fed Has a Clue About Forecasting Needs to See This Chart
Whatever little credibility the Powell Fed still had has been permanently shredded. Throughout the last 15 months, the Powell Fed has maintained that it would be able to normalize Fed policy. This meant interest rates at historic norms (above 3%) … Continue reading
Posted in Policy Error
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Warning: The Fed Has No Idea What It’s Doing
The Fed is officially trapped. For years, I’ve stated that the Fed would never be able to normalize policy. Why? As Japan has shown us, once a Central Bank embarks on the path of extreme monetary policy like ZIRP and … Continue reading
Posted in Central Bank Insanity, Policy Error
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Warning: The Fed Will Be Using YOUR Money to Prop Up the Bubble Soon
The Fed is officially trapped. For years, I’ve stated that the Fed would never be able to normalize policy. Why? As Japan has shown us, once a Central Bank embarks on the path of extreme monetary policy like ZIRP and … Continue reading
Posted in Central Bank Insanity, Policy Error
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The Political Class Needs Capital to Plug the Everything Bubble: Prepare to Be Taxed!
Yesterday’s article caused quite a stir. I wish that represented the worst of what’s to come, but it doesn’t. Prepare to be taxed. The growing mantra from the political class is that “the wealthy aren’t paying their fair share.” While … Continue reading
Posted in Policy Error, The Everything Bubble, Wealth Grab
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The Everything Bubble Has Burst, Now Come the Wealth Grabs, Pt 2
They’re coming for your money. The Everything Bubble has burst and the debt markets are in distress. We’ve already seen yields rise above their long-term downtrend, suggesting that higher debt costs are now a reality. Because any real structural solution … Continue reading
Posted in Policy Error
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