Category Archives: Trading Opportunity

President Trump was about the Federal Reserve being too hawkish with monetary policy in 2018. And he’s correct now to suggest the Fed should be easing more aggressively. To be clear, the Fed was correct to raise rates and attempt … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on President Trump Was Right About the Fed Killing Growth… and About the Coming Economic Boom

The market is telling us that the impeachment process will go nowhere. Very early into his Presidency, Donald Trump branded the stock market’s returns as illustrating the success of his policies. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin even went so far as … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on The Market Tells Us Impeachment is a Dead-End (and Trump Gets a Second Term)

That last post sure caused a ruckus. In case you missed it, the premise was very simple. This is the last bull market of our lifetimes. I realize that sounds like a crazy statement. So, I want you to take … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on What Happens When This Bull Market Finally Ends?

Three Reasons Stocks Are Going to Explode To the Upside

There is no recession. The investment herd bought heavily into the “a recession is about to hit” narrative earlier this year. They did this based on: 1)   A sharp dip in economic activity in the first half of 2019. 2)   … Continue reading

Posted in The Markets, Trading Opportunity, WHITE Swan | Comments Off on Three Reasons Stocks Are Going to Explode To the Upside

The Fed has now cut rates THREE times this year. That’s THREE rate cuts at a time when the stock market is at all-time highs, unemployment is below 4% and the US economy is growing. The last Fed Chair to … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on The Fed Has Unleashed the Greatest Investing Environment in 20+ Years

How to Play the Coming Explosive Move Higher

For those who have been following us the last few weeks, our running forecast is that the markets are entering another bullish stage. The driving force for markets is liquidity. And central banks are again printing money to push markets … Continue reading

Posted in Trading Opportunity | Comments Off on How to Play the Coming Explosive Move Higher

Central Banks Are About to Ignite an EXPLOSIVE Move Higher

For those who have been following us the last few weeks, our running forecast is that the markets are entering another bullish stage. The driving force for markets is liquidity. And central banks are again printing money to push markets … Continue reading

Posted in Trading Opportunity | Comments Off on Central Banks Are About to Ignite an EXPLOSIVE Move Higher

A Tsunami of Liquidity Is About to Ignite An Explosive Move Higher

For those who have been following us the last few weeks, our running forecast is that the markets are entering another bullish stage. The driving force for markets is liquidity. And central banks are again printing money to push markets … Continue reading

Posted in Trading Opportunity | Comments Off on A Tsunami of Liquidity Is About to Ignite An Explosive Move Higher

Stocks broke upwards last week from the consolidation pattern we’ve been watching. Both breadth and credit suggested this move was coming. Stocks had some catching up to do and if you took our analysis from two weeks ago to go … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on The Run to 3,200 is Now Underway

Stocks broke upwards last week from the consolidation pattern we’ve been watching. Both breadth and credit suggested this move was coming. Stocks had some catching up to do and if you took our analysis from two weeks ago to go … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on How to Play the Coming Blow Off Top

Stocks broke upwards last week from the consolidation pattern we’ve been watching. Both breadth and credit suggested this move was coming. Stocks had some catching up to do and if you took our analysis from two weeks ago to go … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on The Three Charts Every Investor Needs to See This Morning

Stocks closed the gap I mentioned on Thursday (the red rectangle), they are now consolidating before their next move. Breadth which leads stocks, suggests it will be a move higher, probably to the 2,800-3,000 range on the S&P 500 (blue … Continue reading

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on We Closed the Gap… Now What?

Is Copper Showing Us Where the Market is Heading?

As I keep stating, a top is forming. Stocks are tired after weeks of promises and promotions by Fed officials and the Trump administration that something BIG is coming. At this point there is little if any real buyers. It’s … Continue reading

Posted in Trading Opportunity | Comments Off on Is Copper Showing Us Where the Market is Heading?

A Top is Forming… Is is THE Top?

A top is forming. Whether it’s THE top of just A top such as the one from May remains to be seen. The big warning comes from junk bonds, which have lead stocks since the December lows. As stock hit … Continue reading

Posted in Trading Opportunity | Comments Off on A Top is Forming… Is is THE Top?

Can Stocks Enter a New Bull Market? Bonds Say NO!

Stocks broke the lower trendline of their bearish rising wedge yesterday. The drop would have been greater, but the investment world is waiting to see what Fed Chair Jerome Powell has to say to Congress today. Powell is in a … Continue reading

Posted in Trading Opportunity | Comments Off on Can Stocks Enter a New Bull Market? Bonds Say NO!

Can Stocks Regain Their Bull Market Trendline?

Stocks broke the lower trendline of their bearish rising wedge yesterday. The drop would have been greater, but the investment world is waiting to see what Fed Chair Jerome Powell has to say to Congress today. Powell is in a … Continue reading

Posted in Trading Opportunity | Comments Off on Can Stocks Regain Their Bull Market Trendline?

The Hype and Hope Ends This Week

The two biggest catalysts for the stock market rally are over. Those catalysts were: 1)   The hope of a Fed rate cut. 2)   The hope of a Trade Deal between China and the US. Regarding #1, the Fed June meeting … Continue reading

Posted in Trading Opportunity | Comments Off on The Hype and Hope Ends This Week

Three Charts That Say the Fed Can’t Save Stocks Here

The vast majority of investors think the Fed will cut rates at its meeting this Wednesday. Maybe it will, maybe it won’t. The reality is what the Fed does now doesn’t really matter. Globally the economy is contracting… and the … Continue reading

Posted in Trading Opportunity | Comments Off on Three Charts That Say the Fed Can’t Save Stocks Here

If You Like Losing Money, Please Ignore This and Focus on What CNBC is Telling You…

Stocks have now cleared the all-important level of 2,900 on the S&P 500. The index just peeked above critical resistance (top red line in the chart below). Overbought and overextended, stocks are now due for a correction/ consolidation. It would … Continue reading

Posted in Trading Opportunity | Comments Off on If You Like Losing Money, Please Ignore This and Focus on What CNBC is Telling You…

The Bond Market Has Already Showed Us What’s Coming After the G-20

Stocks caught a bid yesterday, breaking their downtrend (blue lines in the chart below) and closing the gap from mid-May… the S&P 500 is now challenging critical resistance at 2,860 or so (red line in the chart below). A break … Continue reading

Posted in Trading Opportunity | Comments Off on The Bond Market Has Already Showed Us What’s Coming After the G-20