Why Trump Gets a Second Term (and the market knows it)

The media continues to act as though Joe Biden is already President.

He’s not. In fact, technically, he’s not even President elect.

By law, unless President Trump formally concedes, Joe Biden could NOT be President elect until December 14th at the earliest (that’s when states formally cast their electoral college votes).

That’s how things normally work. And this year’s election is anything but normal.

There has now been considerable evidence presented by witnesses and experts to voting fraud occurring in Pennsylvania, Georgia and Arizona.

The media thinks that because they don’t broadcast the hearings in which the evidence is being presented, that somehow magically the hearings and the evidence don’t exist.

They do. 

Saying “there’s no evidence” of voting fraud at this point is like saying there’s no evidence that the sky is blue because you refuse to look up. The sky is blue. You’re simply refusing to look up so you can claim otherwise.

Media lies aside, multiple lawsuits have been filed concerning voting fraud. Once lawsuits are filed, the election is now in the court system.

This means that what I think, what you think, what the media thinks, what Joe Biden thinks, what anyone thinks but the judge ruling the case is irrelevant. The only items that matter are the evidence and what the judge rules on the case.

On top of this, what any particular judge rules is irrelevant to some degree because the Trump campaign can appeal a ruling, or take the case to a higher court, and ultimately to the Supreme Court. 

This is why those pundits and media types who applauding the fact that an-Obama appointed judge or a particular state’s supreme court ruled against the Trump campaign in Pennsylvania are myopic at best and simply ignorant at worst.

Applauding a particular court ruling as a big deal at this point is like applauding a field goal in the first three minutes of the Super Bowl: there is a LOT of time between now and when the game ends and a LOT of things can happen.

Ultimately, President Trump can take his case to the Supreme Court. If his campaign and prove significant voter fraud (they have several more weeks to build their case), then the SCOTUS can rule to have the federal vote audited, invalidated (meaning state legislators pick the president) or any number of specific rulings on specific states.

All of this FAVORS Trump.

Everyone knows fraud occurs during elections. It’s not a question of if, but how much. And with the SCOTUS now stacked 6-3, or at least 5-4 conservatives to liberals, the likelihood of President Trump winning this election are MUCH HIGHER than most people realize.

And the markets know it.

President Trump has made it clear he wants fracking and all domestic production of oil pushed aggressively in his second term. By way of contrast, Joe Biden has made it clear he is against fracking and wants to push for clean energy in the U.S.

With that in mind, take a look at how Energy stocks (XLE) have performed compared to Green Energy stocks (TAN) since election night.

Even with yesterday’s bloodbath in Oil prices, energy and oil stocks have absolutely CRUSHED green energy stocks.

Who do you think the market is predicting as winner of this election? The pro-Oil candidate or the pro-climate change candidate?

With that in mind, I stand by my original forecast that President Trump will end up winning this election. And our clients are already doing this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five unique investments that we expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Trump Will Win the Election in the Courts


The media continues to act as though Joe Biden is already President.

He’s not. In fact, technically, he’s not even President elect.

By law, unless President Trump formally concedes, Joe Biden could NOT be President elect until December 14th at the earliest (that’s when states formally cast their electoral college votes).

That’s how things normally work. And this year’s election is anything but normal.

There has now been considerable evidence presented by witnesses and experts to voting fraud occurring in Pennsylvania, Georgia and Arizona.

The media thinks that because they don’t broadcast the hearings in which the evidence is being presented, that somehow magically the hearings and the evidence don’t exist.

They do. 

Saying “there’s no evidence” of voting fraud at this point is like saying there’s no evidence that the sky is blue because you refuse to look up. The sky is blue. You’re simply refusing to look up so you can claim otherwise.

Media lies aside, multiple lawsuits have been filed concerning voting fraud. Once lawsuits are filed, the election is now in the court system.

This means that what I think, what you think, what the media thinks, what Joe Biden thinks, what anyone thinks but the judge ruling the case is irrelevant. The only items that matter are the evidence and what the judge rules on the case.

On top of this, what any particular judge rules is irrelevant to some degree because the Trump campaign can appeal a ruling, or take the case to a higher court, and ultimately to the Supreme Court. 

This is why those pundits and media types who applauding the fact that an-Obama appointed judge or a particular state’s supreme court ruled against the Trump campaign in Pennsylvania are myopic at best and simply ignorant at worst.

Applauding a particular court ruling as a big deal at this point is like applauding a field goal in the first three minutes of the Super Bowl: there is a LOT of time between now and when the game ends and a LOT of things can happen.

Ultimately, President Trump can take his case to the Supreme Court. If his campaign and prove significant voter fraud (they have several more weeks to build their case), then the SCOTUS can rule to have the federal vote audited, invalidated (meaning state legislators pick the president) or any number of specific rulings on specific states.

All of this FAVORS Trump.

Everyone knows fraud occurs during elections. It’s not a question of if, but how much. And with the SCOTUS now stacked 6-3, or at least 5-4 conservatives to liberals, the likelihood of President Trump winning this election are MUCH HIGHER than most people realize.

And the markets know it.

President Trump has made it clear he wants fracking and all domestic production of oil pushed aggressively in his second term. By way of contrast, Joe Biden has made it clear he is against fracking and wants to push for clean energy in the U.S.

With that in mind, take a look at how Energy stocks (XLE) have performed compared to Green Energy stocks (TAN) since election night.

Even with yesterday’s bloodbath in Oil prices, energy and oil stocks have absolutely CRUSHED green energy stocks.

Who do you think the market is predicting as winner of this election? The pro-Oil candidate or the pro-climate change candidate?

With that in mind, I stand by my original forecast that President Trump will end up winning this election. And our clients are already doing this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five unique investments that we expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research


Why Trump Will Win a Second Term (and stocks know it)

The market is closed Thursday for Thanksgiving while Friday is only a half day. As such, this is a holiday week and most of Wall Street will be away from their desks.

This means we can see greater volatility as trading volumes will be very light this week. This means the few traders/funds/ institutions that will be active this week will have a much easier time moving the market.

The bigger news concerns what is happening in the political arena in the U.S.

The mainstream media continues to push the completely false narrative that Joe Biden is the next president of the United States.

The people claiming this are either ignorant or lying. Unless President Trump concedes, Joe Biden has NOT won anything. This is not opinion. This is fact. NO ONE has won the election until the states formally cast their electoral college votes on December 14th.

That is how things work under normal circumstances. However, this election is anything but normal.

First and foremost, the margin of victory for Joe Biden in most swing states is under 0.5%., By law, this means a recount is MANDATORY.

Secondly, there are multiple lawsuits, some from the Trump campaign, others from private citizens, and some from state legislators themselves arguing that there is ample evidence of voter fraud and vote manipulation.

Once lawsuits are filed, the election is now in the court system.

This means that what I think, what you think, what the media thinks, what Joe Biden thinks, what anyone thinks but the judge ruling the case is irrelevant. The only items that matter are the evidence and what the judge rules on the case.

On top of this, what any particular judge rules is irrelevant to some degree because the Trump campaign can appeal a ruling, or take the case to a higher court, and ultimately to the Supreme Court.

This is why those pundits and media types who applauding the fact that an-Obama appointed judge ruled against the Trump campaign in Pennsylvania are myopic at best and simply ignorant at worst.

Applauding a particular court ruling as a big deal at this point is like applauding a field goal in the first three minutes of the Super Bowl: there is a LOT of time between now and when the game ends and a LOT of things can happen.

Ultimately, President Trump can take his case to the Supreme Court. If his campaign and prove significant voter fraud (they have several more weeks to build their case), then the SCOTUS can rule to have the federal vote audited, invalidated (meaning state legislators pick the president) or any number of specific rulings on specific states.

All of this FAVORS Trump.

Everyone knows fraud occurs during elections. It’s not a question of if, but how much. And with the SCOTUS now stacked 6-3, or at least 5-4 conservatives to liberals, the likelihood of President Trump winning this election are MUCH HIGHER than most people realize.

And the markets know it.

The Biden campaign has made it clear that it is in favor of more lockdowns, higher taxes, greater regulations, and the Green New Deal. Arguing that these policies are good for the stocks is LUDICROUS.

Which is why the recent breakout for the S&P 500 suggests a Trump win is coming. The S&P 500 broke out of a three-month consolidation phase last week. It has since back-tested this breakout, which suggests it is the REAL DEAL and the start of the new major leg higher.

Chart, histogram

Description automatically generated

If you find that hard to believe, consider that the Energy sector (XLE) has been THE top performing sector since election night. Indeed, XLE has more than TRIPLED the performance of the Tech sector (XLK) which was the former market leader.

Chart, line chart

Description automatically generated

President Trump has made it clear he wants fracking and all domestic production of oil pushed aggressively in his second term. By way of contrast, Joe Biden has made it clear he is against fracking and wants to push for clean energy in the U.S.

Who do you think the market is predicting as winner of this election? The pro-Oil candidate or the pro-climate change candidate?

With that in mind, I stand by my original forecast that President Trump will end up winning this election. And our clients are already doing this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five unique investments that we expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Trump Is Winning a Second Term (and the market knows it)

The market is closed Thursday for Thanksgiving while Friday is only a half day. As such, this is a holiday week and most of Wall Street will be away from their desks.

This means we can see greater volatility as trading volumes will be very light this week. This means the few traders/funds/ institutions that will be active this week will have a much easier time moving the market.

The bigger news concerns what is happening in the political arena in the U.S.

The mainstream media continues to push the completely false narrative that Joe Biden is the next president of the United States.

The people claiming this are either ignorant or lying. Unless President Trump concedes, Joe Biden has NOT won anything. This is not opinion. This is fact. NO ONE has won the election until the states formally cast their electoral college votes on December 14th.

That is how things work under normal circumstances. However, this election is anything but normal.

First and foremost, the margin of victory for Joe Biden in most swing states is under 0.5%., By law, this means a recount is MANDATORY.

Secondly, there are multiple lawsuits, some from the Trump campaign, others from private citizens, and some from state legislators themselves arguing that there is ample evidence of voter fraud and vote manipulation.

Once lawsuits are filed, the election is now in the court system.

This means that what I think, what you think, what the media thinks, what Joe Biden thinks, what anyone thinks but the judge ruling the case is irrelevant. The only items that matter are the evidence and what the judge rules on the case.

On top of this, what any particular judge rules is irrelevant to some degree because the Trump campaign can appeal a ruling, or take the case to a higher court, and ultimately to the Supreme Court.

This is why those pundits and media types who applauding the fact that an-Obama appointed judge ruled against the Trump campaign in Pennsylvania are myopic at best and simply ignorant at worst.

Applauding a particular court ruling as a big deal at this point is like applauding a field goal in the first three minutes of the Super Bowl: there is a LOT of time between now and when the game ends and a LOT of things can happen.

Ultimately, President Trump can take his case to the Supreme Court. If his campaign and prove significant voter fraud (they have several more weeks to build their case), then the SCOTUS can rule to have the federal vote audited, invalidated (meaning state legislators pick the president) or any number of specific rulings on specific states.

All of this FAVORS Trump.

Everyone knows fraud occurs during elections. It’s not a question of if, but how much. And with the SCOTUS now stacked 6-3, or at least 5-4 conservatives to liberals, the likelihood of President Trump winning this election are MUCH HIGHER than most people realize.

And the markets know it.

The Biden campaign has made it clear that it is in favor of more lockdowns, higher taxes, greater regulations, and the Green New Deal. Arguing that these policies are good for the stocks is LUDICROUS.

Which is why the recent breakout for the S&P 500 suggests a Trump win is coming. The S&P 500 broke out of a three-month consolidation phase last week. It has since back-tested this breakout, which suggests it is the REAL DEAL and the start of the new major leg higher.

Chart, histogram

Description automatically generated

If you find that hard to believe, consider that the Energy sector (XLE) has been THE top performing sector since election night. Indeed, XLE has more than TRIPLED the performance of the Tech sector (XLK) which was the former market leader.

Chart, line chart

Description automatically generated

President Trump has made it clear he wants fracking and all domestic production of oil pushed aggressively in his second term. By way of contrast, Joe Biden has made it clear he is against fracking and wants to push for clean energy in the U.S.

Who do you think the market is predicting as winner of this election? The pro-Oil candidate or the pro-climate change candidate?

With that in mind, I stand by my original forecast that President Trump will end up winning this election. And our clients are already doing this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five unique investments that we expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

How Trump Gets the S&P 500 to 8,000 in Just Four Years

As I outlined in yesterday’s article, the odds are relatively high that President Trump will secure a second term courtesy of how the legal system handles contested elections.

With that in mind, we need to ask, “what is the BIG PICTURE outcome for the markets if Trump wins?”

I believe that if President Trump manages to secure a second Presidential term, the stock market will go into an ENORMOUS bubble.

Why?

Because President Trump is OBSESSED with the stock market. He’s mentioned it 54 times on his twitter account this year alone. That’s more than once a week!

Why this obsession?

Because the President knows it’s a simple measure of wealth that appeals to the average person. Talking about boosting incomes or reducing wage disparities sounds nice, but these are vague concepts. Saying “stocks are at record highs!” is a specific measure that anyone can understand and interpret to mean “people are getting rich.”

The President, for all his flaws, understands sales. And by talking about stocks non-stop, he’s “selling” Americans on the idea that he is creating wealth, even if the reality is that the market is rising because the Fed is providing record amounts of liquidity.

Speaking of the Fed, President Trump now effectively decides Fed policy due to his constant bullying via his very same twitter account (and its 87 million followers).

Case in point, take note of how the President hounded the Federal Reserve to ease monetary conditions non-stop throughout 2018. The below tweets are two of literally dozens in which the President harangued the Fed to ease conditions.

When the Fed was slow to act, the President even want so far as the float the idea of FIRING Fed Chair Jerome Powell, leaking the plan to Bloomberg in June of 2018.

I do not expect any of the above issues to change during a Trump second term. If anything, I would expect President Trump’s obsession with stocks to be ever greater. And this means even more pressure on the Fed to create a bubble

Again, I’m NOT saying this is a good thing, nor am I saying I like what the President does. I’m simply pointing out how he sees the stock market and what this means for his attitude towards the ultimate driver of stocks: Fed liquidity.

So… if President Trump does win a second term. What would his obsession with stocks mean price wise?

Well, the Fed has cut interest rates to ZERO and is now running QE programs equal to $125 billion per month. Moreover, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has stated that the Fed will not attempt to normalize Fed policy until the U.S. economy has experienced a full recovery to levels that existed prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. And the Fed as a whole stated that it will keep interest rates at ZERO through 2023.

Yes, 2023.

The last time the Fed held rates at ZERO for years while running aggressive QE programs was from 2008-2015. During that time, the S&P 500 nearly TRIPLED.

Currently stocks are up 50% from the lows March. If the S&P 500 were to follow a similar move, we’d see the mother of all bubbles with the S&P 500 rising to over 6,000 over the next five years.

And if things REALLY get out of control, as they did in the late ‘90s, we could see the S&P 500 running to 10,000 or higher. This sounds ridiculous, but this kind of move has happened before. Indeed, the NASDAQ rose over 140% in just four years during Bill Clinton’s second term as President.

With the S&P 500 around 3,500 today, this would mean a run to 8,400 by the end of 2024.

Again, this sounds ridiculous, but all bubbles do. And we know this President more than any other in the last 50 years is obsessed with stocks. Combine this with a Federal Reserve that is already engaged in the most aggressive QE program in history and suddenly the S&P 500 at 8,000 in four years doesn’t seem so ridiculous.

With that in mind, we recently published a special report titled, The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

What a Trump Second Term Will Look Like For the Markets

As I outlined in yesterday’s article, the odds are relatively high that President Trump will secure a second term courtesy of how the legal system handles contested elections.

With that in mind, we need to ask, “what is the BIG PICTURE outcome for the markets if Trump wins?”

I believe that if President Trump manages to secure a second Presidential term, the stock market will go into an ENORMOUS bubble.

Why?

Because President Trump is OBSESSED with the stock market. He’s mentioned it 54 times on his twitter account this year alone. That’s more than once a week!

Why this obsession?

Because the President knows it’s a simple measure of wealth that appeals to the average person. Talking about boosting incomes or reducing wage disparities sounds nice, but these are vague concepts. Saying “stocks are at record highs!” is a specific measure that anyone can understand and interpret to mean “people are getting rich.”

The President, for all his flaws, understands sales. And by talking about stocks non-stop, he’s “selling” Americans on the idea that he is creating wealth, even if the reality is that the market is rising because the Fed is providing record amounts of liquidity.

Speaking of the Fed, President Trump now effectively decides Fed policy due to his constant bullying via his very same twitter account (and its 87 million followers).

Case in point, take note of how the President hounded the Federal Reserve to ease monetary conditions non-stop throughout 2018. The below tweets are two of literally dozens in which the President harangued the Fed to ease conditions.

When the Fed was slow to act, the President even want so far as the float the idea of FIRING Fed Chair Jerome Powell, leaking the plan to Bloomberg in June of 2018.

I do not expect any of the above issues to change during a Trump second term. If anything, I would expect President Trump’s obsession with stocks to be ever greater. And this means even more pressure on the Fed to create a bubble

Again, I’m NOT saying this is a good thing, nor am I saying I like what the President does. I’m simply pointing out how he sees the stock market and what this means for his attitude towards the ultimate driver of stocks: Fed liquidity.

So… if President Trump does win a second term. What would his obsession with stocks mean price wise?

Well, the Fed has cut interest rates to ZERO and is now running QE programs equal to $125 billion per month. Moreover, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has stated that the Fed will not attempt to normalize Fed policy until the U.S. economy has experienced a full recovery to levels that existed prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. And the Fed as a whole stated that it will keep interest rates at ZERO through 2023.

Yes, 2023.

The last time the Fed held rates at ZERO for years while running aggressive QE programs was from 2008-2015. During that time, the S&P 500 nearly TRIPLED.

Currently stocks are up 50% from the lows March. If the S&P 500 were to follow a similar move, we’d see the mother of all bubbles with the S&P 500 rising to over 6,000 over the next five years.

And if things REALLY get out of control, as they did in the late ‘90s, we could see the S&P 500 running to 10,000 or higher. This sounds ridiculous, but this kind of move has happened before. Indeed, the NASDAQ rose over 140% in just four years during Bill Clinton’s second term as President.

With the S&P 500 around 3,500 today, this would mean a run to 8,400 by the end of 2024.

Again, this sounds ridiculous, but all bubbles do. And we know this President more than any other in the last 50 years is obsessed with stocks. Combine this with a Federal Reserve that is already engaged in the most aggressive QE program in history and suddenly the S&P 500 at 8,000 in four years doesn’t seem so ridiculous.

With that in mind, we recently published a special report titled, The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

No, the Election is Not Over, and No Joe Biden Hasn’t Won Anything

I want to stress in advance, that I DO NOT want to be political in this briefing. I am not saying I LIKE any of the recent developments. And I’m certainly NOT saying I want a particular candidate to win.

All I am saying is that the election is a mess and from what I can tell, no one in the media is actually outlining what’s to come based on the law. Instead I’m seeing a lot of political opinion, being presented as fact, when it isn’t.

The media wants you to believe the election is over.

By law, it isn’t.

Unless a candidate concedes, the election remains in play until December 14th when states cast their electoral college votes.

So, unless President Trump concedes between now and then, Joe Biden hasn’t won anything, no matter what the media tells you. Indeed, the media has no say in this, anymore than they can decide what color the sky is; they’re simply trying to get you angry so you’ll continue to watch their awful shows so they can sell your eyeballs to advertisers.

With that in mind,  we need to take a step back and assess how this election is likely to play out based on the LAW, not public opinion or media propaganda.

Based on the law, it is highly possible and in fact probable that Donald Trump will end up winning the 2020 Presidential election.

Why?

Because the election is now in the courts. And the courts have a clear precedent for how contested elections play out.

When the courts get involved in an election, it becomes an issue of evidence. Specifically, what a given court decides is compelling versus non-compelling evidence, and how the court chooses to address the issue of voter fraud if indeed there is compelling evidence.

For instance, if President Trump’s legal team goes to court and says, “we want to have a vote audit in Michigan because there was voter fraud” the first thing the court will ask them is, “what evidence do you have to support this claim?”

If the President Trump’s legal team’s answer is “we saw some numbers that looked suspicious,” the court controls its urge to laugh, throws out the case, and that’s that.

However, if the President’s legal team responds, “we have sworn affidavits from 50 witnesses, video evidence, as well as three whistleblowers” then it’s a completely different story.

Once evidence of fraud is introduced to the courts via a lawsuit, the court, NOT the voters and certainly NOT the media, is in charge of the election.

The courts can demand a vote audit of every single vote counted in an election. If, during the vote audit, actual fraud is discovered, the court can rule that those votes are no longer valid, the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.

Even if fraud is not discovered by the audits, but there is a particular problem with vote cards (the wrong type of ink was used, the hole punch didn’t go all the way through the ballot as was the case in Florida in 2000, etc.), the courts can deem those problematic votes as illegitimate.

This again can mean the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.

This process is now underway in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona.

Any one of those states could see Biden end up losing (remember, he only won these states by 0.5% for most of them). That means that if Biden loses even 10,000 votes due to fraud or some technicality (the ballots arrived after the deadline), Trump could be declared the winner.

Again, I am NOT saying I want this to happen. I am simply outlining how this process works. If a court says “jump” you jump, no matter who you are.

Speaking of which…

Two weeks ago, Supreme Court Justice Alito (as in the Supreme Court of the U.S., not of just one state) ORDERED the State of Pennsylvania to segregate and count separately any ballots that arrived after 8PM on election night.

This is a legal order from the Supreme Court of the United States. If you disobey it, you can go to prison. And because it’s a federal violation, the lawsuit isn’t going to be “Joe Schmo vs. John Doe,” it’s “the United States of America vs. Joe Schmo.”

My sources tell me that for Alito to order this without any comment from other justices suggests the Supreme Court as a whole is supportive of his action.

So, this is the Supreme Court of the United States effectively stating, “we are now getting involved in this mess.” That is a big deal.

If you are looking for a reason as to why the media rushed into announcing Joe Biden as the President Elect Saturday (the day after Alito’s order), this is probably it.

The Democrats and their media allies (the media companies that lean left) realize that once the courts get involved, the odds of Biden actually winning drop dramatically. So, they are attempting to mount as much pressure as possible for President Trump to concede so that the election is finished before ever entering a courtroom.

Remember, the only way this election ends right now is if President Trump concedes. 

If he doesn’t, but instead chooses to fight in court, then the process follows the path I outlined a little while ago, where the courts decide which votes count and which ones don’t.

For an election in which multiple states were “won” by less than 0.5%, the odds GREATLY improve for President Trump once these issues are introduced in court. He only needs to have 10,000 or so ballots thrown out in order to flip multiple states.

And bear in mind, that if a given court accepts or rejects a given lawsuit, the situation doesn’t end there.

If either party or candidate is dissatisfied with a lower court’s ruling, they can appeal the ruling, which can result in the lawsuit moving up to a higher court, eventually reaching the Supreme Court, which serves as the ultimate arbiter of election law in the U.S.

This was the case with the 2000 Presidential election, when the Supreme Court ruled that vote cards from Florida that didn’t have clean hole punches were NOT valid, which gave the state to George W. Bush and resulted in Al Gore conceding the election on December 13th.

And the Supreme Court’s justices are currently 6-3 conservative to liberal. Even if Roberts were to side with the liberals, the conservatives still hold the 5-4 majority.

Put simply, the ultimate arbiter in court rulings on elections favors Trump. Provided he DOESN’T concede, the odds greatly favor him winning a second term.

That’s what the law and the courts say. And they’re the ones that matter in this situation.

With that in mind, we recently published a special report titled, The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Why Trump Will Likely Win a Second Term


I want to stress in advance, that I DO NOT want to be political in this briefing. I am not saying I LIKE any of the recent developments. And I’m certainly NOT saying I want a particular candidate to win.

All I am saying is that the election is a mess and from what I can tell, no one in the media is actually outlining what’s to come based on the law. Instead I’m seeing a lot of political opinion, being presented as fact, when it isn’t.

The media wants you to believe the election is over.

By law, it isn’t.

Unless a candidate concedes, the election remains in play until December 14th when states cast their electoral college votes.

So, unless President Trump concedes between now and then, Joe Biden hasn’t won anything, no matter what the media tells you. Indeed, the media has no say in this, anymore than they can decide what color the sky is; they’re simply trying to get you angry so you’ll continue to watch their awful shows so they can sell your eyeballs to advertisers.

With that in mind,  we need to take a step back and assess how this election is likely to play out based on the LAW, not public opinion or media propaganda.

Based on the law, it is highly possible and in fact probable that Donald Trump will end up winning the 2020 Presidential election.

Why?

Because the election is now in the courts. And the courts have a clear precedent for how contested elections play out.

When the courts get involved in an election, it becomes an issue of evidence. Specifically, what a given court decides is compelling versus non-compelling evidence, and how the court chooses to address the issue of voter fraud if indeed there is compelling evidence.

For instance, if President Trump’s legal team goes to court and says, “we want to have a vote audit in Michigan because there was voter fraud” the first thing the court will ask them is, “what evidence do you have to support this claim?”

If the President Trump’s legal team’s answer is “we saw some numbers that looked suspicious,” the court controls its urge to laugh, throws out the case, and that’s that.

However, if the President’s legal team responds, “we have sworn affidavits from 50 witnesses, video evidence, as well as three whistleblowers” then it’s a completely different story.

Once evidence of fraud is introduced to the courts via a lawsuit, the court, NOT the voters and certainly NOT the media, is in charge of the election.

The courts can demand a vote audit of every single vote counted in an election. If, during the vote audit, actual fraud is discovered, the court can rule that those votes are no longer valid, the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.

Even if fraud is not discovered by the audits, but there is a particular problem with vote cards (the wrong type of ink was used, the hole punch didn’t go all the way through the ballot as was the case in Florida in 2000, etc.), the courts can deem those problematic votes as illegitimate.

This again can mean the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.

This process is now underway in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona.

Any one of those states could see Biden end up losing (remember, he only won these states by 0.5% for most of them). That means that if Biden loses even 10,000 votes due to fraud or some technicality (the ballots arrived after the deadline), Trump could be declared the winner.

Again, I am NOT saying I want this to happen. I am simply outlining how this process works. If a court says “jump” you jump, no matter who you are.

Speaking of which…

Two weeks ago, Supreme Court Justice Alito (as in the Supreme Court of the U.S., not of just one state) ORDERED the State of Pennsylvania to segregate and count separately any ballots that arrived after 8PM on election night.

This is a legal order from the Supreme Court of the United States. If you disobey it, you can go to prison. And because it’s a federal violation, the lawsuit isn’t going to be “Joe Schmo vs. John Doe,” it’s “the United States of America vs. Joe Schmo.”

My sources tell me that for Alito to order this without any comment from other justices suggests the Supreme Court as a whole is supportive of his action.

So, this is the Supreme Court of the United States effectively stating, “we are now getting involved in this mess.” That is a big deal.

If you are looking for a reason as to why the media rushed into announcing Joe Biden as the President Elect Saturday (the day after Alito’s order), this is probably it.

The Democrats and their media allies (the media companies that lean left) realize that once the courts get involved, the odds of Biden actually winning drop dramatically. So, they are attempting to mount as much pressure as possible for President Trump to concede so that the election is finished before ever entering a courtroom.

Remember, the only way this election ends right now is if President Trump concedes. 

If he doesn’t, but instead chooses to fight in court, then the process follows the path I outlined a little while ago, where the courts decide which votes count and which ones don’t.

For an election in which multiple states were “won” by less than 0.5%, the odds GREATLY improve for President Trump once these issues are introduced in court. He only needs to have 10,000 or so ballots thrown out in order to flip multiple states.

And bear in mind, that if a given court accepts or rejects a given lawsuit, the situation doesn’t end there.

If either party or candidate is dissatisfied with a lower court’s ruling, they can appeal the ruling, which can result in the lawsuit moving up to a higher court, eventually reaching the Supreme Court, which serves as the ultimate arbiter of election law in the U.S.

This was the case with the 2000 Presidential election, when the Supreme Court ruled that vote cards from Florida that didn’t have clean hole punches were NOT valid, which gave the state to George W. Bush and resulted in Al Gore conceding the election on December 13th.

And the Supreme Court’s justices are currently 6-3 conservative to liberal. Even if Roberts were to side with the liberals, the conservatives still hold the 5-4 majority.

Put simply, the ultimate arbiter in court rulings on elections favors Trump. Provided he DOESN’T concede, the odds greatly favor him winning a second term.

That’s what the law and the courts say. And they’re the ones that matter in this situation.

With that in mind, we recently published a special report titled, The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Based on This, Trump Will Win in a Landslide

Disclaimer: none of the following is meant to be political analysis. I am not endorsing nor disparaging any candidate. I’m simply outlining my framework for how I see this election and what the markets are suggesting the outcome will be.

The markets are in a holding pattern until election day.

Retail investors are small fish in a big pond. The real price action occurs when financial institutions make a move. And NO financial institution is going to put capital to work this week with the election looming.

However, some items are clear.

Key market sectors are increasingly pointing to a Trump win.

One of the key differences, between the Biden and Trump campaigns are their attitudes towards green energy. Trump is decidedly pro-fracking and fossil fuels while Biden leans towards green energy (he has formally endorsed the New Green Deal on his website).

With that in mind, the green energy sector has rolled over and is falling rapidly. We’re already into a 10% correction on both $PBW and $TAN.

Of course, much of the market has been red lately, so I would also like to point out that underperformance has occurred relative to the broader stock market. The ratio between $PBW and the S&P 500 is down 9% meaning clean energy ETFs are down 9% relative to the rest of the market.

That’s a heck of an underperformance. Again, this suggests Biden’s odds of winning the election have fallen dramatically.

Meanwhile, we see industrial metals, which are heavily pro-Trump due to his obsession with U.S. manufacturing and industrial production, remain in clear, strong uptrends. Looking at these charts it’s difficult to even see a corrective move.

This strongly suggests the odds of a Trump win have increased dramatically.

Taken together, these two developments STRONGLY suggest Donald Trump will win re-election. In fact, you could argue that based on these issues, the election won’t even be close.

I’m not saying I’m happy about this. I’m simply saying what the markets are telling me right now. Again, I DO NOT care about politics. You can hate President Trump or you can love him. That’s 100% up to you.

But the reality is that under the Trump administration the stock market is giving us a once in a lifetime opportunity to GET RICH from our investments.

My clients are already doing this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, I detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

In it, I detail five unique investments that I expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

The Market is Beginning to Predict a Trump Landslide


The markets are in a holding pattern until election day.

Retail investors are small fish in a big pond. The real price action occurs when financial institutions make a move. And NO financial institution is going to put capital to work this week with the election looming.

However, some items are clear.

Key market sectors are increasingly pointing to a Trump win.

One of the key differences, between the Biden and Trump campaigns are their attitudes towards green energy. Trump is decidedly pro-fracking and fossil fuels while Biden leans towards green energy (he has formally endorsed the New Green Deal on his website).

With that in mind, the green energy sector has rolled over and is falling rapidly. We’re already into a 10% correction on both $PBW and $TAN.

Of course, much of the market has been red lately, so I would also like to point out that underperformance has occurred relative to the broader stock market. The ratio between $PBW and the S&P 500 is down 9% meaning clean energy ETFs are down 9% relative to the rest of the market.

That’s a heck of an underperformance. Again, this suggests Biden’s odds of winning the election have fallen dramatically.

Meanwhile, we see industrial metals, which are heavily pro-Trump due to his obsession with U.S. manufacturing and industrial production, remain in clear, strong uptrends. Looking at these charts it’s difficult to even see a corrective move.

This strongly suggests the odds of a Trump win have increased dramatically.

Taken together, these two developments STRONGLY suggest Donald Trump will win re-election. In fact, you could argue that based on these issues, the election won’t even be close.

I’m not saying I’m happy about this. I’m simply saying what the markets are telling me right now. Again, I DO NOT care about politics. You can hate President Trump or you can love him. That’s 100% up to you.

But the reality is that under the Trump administration the stock market is giving us a once in a lifetime opportunity to GET RICH from our investments.

My clients are already doing this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, I detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

In it, I detail five unique investments that I expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Forget Impeachment, the Market is Discounting a Trump 2020 Landslide

Aside

The impeachment trial officially begins today. 

Like him or hate him, President Trump has branded the stock market as “his.” Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin has even admitted on record that the Trump White House sees the stock market as a “report card.”

With that in mind, the markets are currently suggesting there is ZERO chance of President Trump leaving office. Markets have just surged to new all-time highs after the House passed the Articles of Impeachment into the Senate.

Internals are strong as well, with breadth breaking out to the upside.

Looking at this, it appears the market is NOT discounting President Trump leaving office. If anything, it is discounting the President winning 2020 in a landslide.

At Phoenix Capital Research, we don’t care about politics… we only care about PROFITS!

I hope you are preparing to profit from what’s coming. If you’re not, NOW is the time to do so!

Indeed, I’ve discovered a unique play on stocks… a single investment… that has already returned 1,300%. And we believe it’s poised to more than TRIPLE in the next 24 months as the stock market roars higher.

To find out what it is… pick up a copy of our report…The Last Bull Market of Our Lifetimes

Today is the last day this report is available to the public!

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Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research