Sentiment is a strange thing.
Investors are human beings. And human beings are irrational, particularly when it comes to money related issues. The notion that the market, as a collection of irrational people, is somehow rational is ludicrous.
With that in mind, sentiment can be a powerful tool for timing market turns. If sentiment changes, but price doesn’t confirm the shift, then you know you’re near a turn.
Case in point, two weeks ago I noted to Private Wealth Advisory subscribers that investors were insanely bullish despite the fact the S&P 500 was nearly 5% of its previous peak of a month ago!
At that time I noted that this indicated we were very close to a short-term TOP and that stocks would soon crater.
Fast forward a week and stocks did indeed crater, falling to retest the February lows.
Which brings us to today. Sentiment is once again at EXTREME levels with investors 100% certain stocks are about to crash. Everywhere I look I see talk of a bear market starting.
This is happening at a time when stocks are actually HIGHER than they were in February.
Which tells me stocks are about to rally in a big way. I believe we’re about to have a final blow off top for this bull market with stocks going to new all-time highs.
At that point, THE top will be in.
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Chief Market Strategist
Phoenix Capital Research