Central Banks Are Going “All In” on Creating the Mother of All Bubbles


Stocks hit a new all-time high yesterday.

The media is trying to attribute this move to Joe Biden picking various people for his cabinet. However, as I’ve stated many times before, Joe Biden has yet to actually win the election. Moreover, the market moves are occurring at totally different times from the announcements of the Biden campaign. So, you can forget this narrative.

What is pushing the market higher?


The Fed and other central banks.

The Fed’s balance sheet exploded by over $60 billion this week, pushing it to new all-time highs of $7.2 trillion.

Chart, line chart

Description automatically generated

All told, the Fed has expanded its balance sheet by $3.1 trillion this year.

To put that into perspective, in response to the Great Financial Crisis, the Fed expanded its balance sheet by this same amount over the course of FIVE YEARS from 2008 to… 2013.

Put another way, it took the Fed FIVE YEARS to spend the same amount of money during the worst financial crisis and recession in 80 years. This time around, the Fed spent it in EIGHT MONTHS. 

If you want a reason for stocks exploding to new all-time highs over and over again, it’s this TSUNAMI of liquidity the Fed has provided.

And the Fed is not the only one.

The European Central Bank’s (ECB) balance sheet ALSO hit a new-all time high this week.

Forget Joe Biden or Donald Trump, globally central banks and governments have spent $14 TRILLION this year. We’re talking about an amount of money equal to the GDPs of China (the 2nd largest economy in the world).

That money has to go somewhere. And much of it has gone into stocks, where it is creating the mother of all bubbles.

On that note, we are putting together an Executive Summary outlining all of these issues as well as what’s coming down the pike when the Everything Bubble bursts.

It will be available exclusively to our clients. If you’d like to have a copy delivered to your inbox when it’s completed, you can join the wait-list here.

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Central Bank Insanity | Comments Off on Central Banks Are Going “All In” on Creating the Mother of All Bubbles

The media has officially called the election for Joe Biden, despite the fact he has yet to actually win anything.

As I’ve noted previously, unless President Trump formally concedes, Joe Biden is NOT the President elect until December 14th at the earliest (that’s when states formally cast their electoral college votes).

Note that the words “media” are not used anywhere in the above paragraph. The media has no say in how elections turn out. And similarly, they have no idea what they’re talking about in terms of who will ultimately win the election.

I say this because the media has begun to claim that every market rally is due to Joe Biden saying or doing something. The media is literally acting as though Biden is now directing the stock market as President of the United States.

But the global markets actually say otherwise.

Regardless of your political affiliation, I believe that practically everyone can agree that President Trump was the first anti-China President in the last 40 years. He most certainly was more anti-China than Joe Biden, who was openly critical of President Trump’s trade war and tariffs. 

And then of course, there is the fact that the Biden family has received millions if not billions of dollars in financing from Chinese business and government-linked entities over the years.

With that in mind, I want to point out that China’s stock market is struggling to make new highs. It initially exploded higher the day after the election when the media called the win for Joe Biden (blue circle), but since that time, it’s basically flatlined (red circle).

If Joe Biden was definitely winning the Presidency, which would mean an end to the Trade War between the U.S. and China, shouldn’t China’s stock market be exploding higher?

With that in mind, I stand by my original forecast that President Trump will end up winning this election. And our clients are already preparing for this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five unique investments that we expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on If Joe Biden Won, Why Isn’t China’s Stock Market Exploding Higher?

Why Trump Will Win a Second Term (and stocks know it)

The market is closed Thursday for Thanksgiving while Friday is only a half day. As such, this is a holiday week and most of Wall Street will be away from their desks.

This means we can see greater volatility as trading volumes will be very light this week. This means the few traders/funds/ institutions that will be active this week will have a much easier time moving the market.

The bigger news concerns what is happening in the political arena in the U.S.

The mainstream media continues to push the completely false narrative that Joe Biden is the next president of the United States.

The people claiming this are either ignorant or lying. Unless President Trump concedes, Joe Biden has NOT won anything. This is not opinion. This is fact. NO ONE has won the election until the states formally cast their electoral college votes on December 14th.

That is how things work under normal circumstances. However, this election is anything but normal.

First and foremost, the margin of victory for Joe Biden in most swing states is under 0.5%., By law, this means a recount is MANDATORY.

Secondly, there are multiple lawsuits, some from the Trump campaign, others from private citizens, and some from state legislators themselves arguing that there is ample evidence of voter fraud and vote manipulation.

Once lawsuits are filed, the election is now in the court system.

This means that what I think, what you think, what the media thinks, what Joe Biden thinks, what anyone thinks but the judge ruling the case is irrelevant. The only items that matter are the evidence and what the judge rules on the case.

On top of this, what any particular judge rules is irrelevant to some degree because the Trump campaign can appeal a ruling, or take the case to a higher court, and ultimately to the Supreme Court.

This is why those pundits and media types who applauding the fact that an-Obama appointed judge ruled against the Trump campaign in Pennsylvania are myopic at best and simply ignorant at worst.

Applauding a particular court ruling as a big deal at this point is like applauding a field goal in the first three minutes of the Super Bowl: there is a LOT of time between now and when the game ends and a LOT of things can happen.

Ultimately, President Trump can take his case to the Supreme Court. If his campaign and prove significant voter fraud (they have several more weeks to build their case), then the SCOTUS can rule to have the federal vote audited, invalidated (meaning state legislators pick the president) or any number of specific rulings on specific states.

All of this FAVORS Trump.

Everyone knows fraud occurs during elections. It’s not a question of if, but how much. And with the SCOTUS now stacked 6-3, or at least 5-4 conservatives to liberals, the likelihood of President Trump winning this election are MUCH HIGHER than most people realize.

And the markets know it.

The Biden campaign has made it clear that it is in favor of more lockdowns, higher taxes, greater regulations, and the Green New Deal. Arguing that these policies are good for the stocks is LUDICROUS.

Which is why the recent breakout for the S&P 500 suggests a Trump win is coming. The S&P 500 broke out of a three-month consolidation phase last week. It has since back-tested this breakout, which suggests it is the REAL DEAL and the start of the new major leg higher.

Chart, histogram

Description automatically generated

If you find that hard to believe, consider that the Energy sector (XLE) has been THE top performing sector since election night. Indeed, XLE has more than TRIPLED the performance of the Tech sector (XLK) which was the former market leader.

Chart, line chart

Description automatically generated

President Trump has made it clear he wants fracking and all domestic production of oil pushed aggressively in his second term. By way of contrast, Joe Biden has made it clear he is against fracking and wants to push for clean energy in the U.S.

Who do you think the market is predicting as winner of this election? The pro-Oil candidate or the pro-climate change candidate?

With that in mind, I stand by my original forecast that President Trump will end up winning this election. And our clients are already doing this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five unique investments that we expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Trump 2020 Landslide | Comments Off on Why Trump Will Win a Second Term (and stocks know it)

Trump Is Winning a Second Term (and the market knows it)

The market is closed Thursday for Thanksgiving while Friday is only a half day. As such, this is a holiday week and most of Wall Street will be away from their desks.

This means we can see greater volatility as trading volumes will be very light this week. This means the few traders/funds/ institutions that will be active this week will have a much easier time moving the market.

The bigger news concerns what is happening in the political arena in the U.S.

The mainstream media continues to push the completely false narrative that Joe Biden is the next president of the United States.

The people claiming this are either ignorant or lying. Unless President Trump concedes, Joe Biden has NOT won anything. This is not opinion. This is fact. NO ONE has won the election until the states formally cast their electoral college votes on December 14th.

That is how things work under normal circumstances. However, this election is anything but normal.

First and foremost, the margin of victory for Joe Biden in most swing states is under 0.5%., By law, this means a recount is MANDATORY.

Secondly, there are multiple lawsuits, some from the Trump campaign, others from private citizens, and some from state legislators themselves arguing that there is ample evidence of voter fraud and vote manipulation.

Once lawsuits are filed, the election is now in the court system.

This means that what I think, what you think, what the media thinks, what Joe Biden thinks, what anyone thinks but the judge ruling the case is irrelevant. The only items that matter are the evidence and what the judge rules on the case.

On top of this, what any particular judge rules is irrelevant to some degree because the Trump campaign can appeal a ruling, or take the case to a higher court, and ultimately to the Supreme Court.

This is why those pundits and media types who applauding the fact that an-Obama appointed judge ruled against the Trump campaign in Pennsylvania are myopic at best and simply ignorant at worst.

Applauding a particular court ruling as a big deal at this point is like applauding a field goal in the first three minutes of the Super Bowl: there is a LOT of time between now and when the game ends and a LOT of things can happen.

Ultimately, President Trump can take his case to the Supreme Court. If his campaign and prove significant voter fraud (they have several more weeks to build their case), then the SCOTUS can rule to have the federal vote audited, invalidated (meaning state legislators pick the president) or any number of specific rulings on specific states.

All of this FAVORS Trump.

Everyone knows fraud occurs during elections. It’s not a question of if, but how much. And with the SCOTUS now stacked 6-3, or at least 5-4 conservatives to liberals, the likelihood of President Trump winning this election are MUCH HIGHER than most people realize.

And the markets know it.

The Biden campaign has made it clear that it is in favor of more lockdowns, higher taxes, greater regulations, and the Green New Deal. Arguing that these policies are good for the stocks is LUDICROUS.

Which is why the recent breakout for the S&P 500 suggests a Trump win is coming. The S&P 500 broke out of a three-month consolidation phase last week. It has since back-tested this breakout, which suggests it is the REAL DEAL and the start of the new major leg higher.

Chart, histogram

Description automatically generated

If you find that hard to believe, consider that the Energy sector (XLE) has been THE top performing sector since election night. Indeed, XLE has more than TRIPLED the performance of the Tech sector (XLK) which was the former market leader.

Chart, line chart

Description automatically generated

President Trump has made it clear he wants fracking and all domestic production of oil pushed aggressively in his second term. By way of contrast, Joe Biden has made it clear he is against fracking and wants to push for clean energy in the U.S.

Who do you think the market is predicting as winner of this election? The pro-Oil candidate or the pro-climate change candidate?

With that in mind, I stand by my original forecast that President Trump will end up winning this election. And our clients are already doing this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five unique investments that we expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Trump 2020 Landslide | Comments Off on Trump Is Winning a Second Term (and the market knows it)

Warning: Stocks Are Three Standard Deviations Away From Their Average Historic Price

Let’s set politics aside today and focus on the stock market.

From a technical analysis perspective, the market has become extremely overstretched and is due for a correction.

The S&P 500 is trading above its monthly Bollinger Bands to the upside (red circle in the chart below). This means the stock market is now three standard deviations above their average historic price.

Any time stocks have performed a similar move in the last three years, it’s been quickly followed by a sharp decline, usually to the tune of 200+ points on the S&P 500.

You can see this for yourself in the chart below. I’ve circled the last similar three occasions in which the S&P 500 was three standard deviations above its average historic price.

In simple terms, stocks are EXTREMELY overstretched and due for a breather. I’ve identified the lines of support at which I would expect stocks to be a “buy” in the coming days. Save your capital for now, and prepare to buy around those levels.

If you’re looking for this kind of precise guidance on how to invest in the markets… where the biggest opportunities are… and how to find unique picks with EXPLOSIVE potential,  I strongly urge you to join our FREE e-letter, Gains Pains & Capital.

You can pick up three special reports (a value of $99) without paying a cent, today at this link:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/evergreen3reports.html

Best

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Head Fake | Comments Off on Warning: Stocks Are Three Standard Deviations Away From Their Average Historic Price

Technical Setup: A Correction is Coming


Let’s set politics aside today and focus on the stock market.

From a technical analysis perspective, the market has become extremely overstretched and is due for a correction.

The S&P 500 is trading above its monthly Bollinger Bands to the upside (red circle in the chart below). This means the stock market is now three standard deviations above their average historic price.

Any time stocks have performed a similar move in the last three years, it’s been quickly followed by a sharp decline, usually to the tune of 200+ points on the S&P 500.

You can see this for yourself in the chart below. I’ve circled the last similar three occasions in which the S&P 500 was three standard deviations above its average historic price.

In simple terms, stocks are EXTREMELY overstretched and due for a breather. I’ve identified the lines of support at which I would expect stocks to be a “buy” in the coming days. Save your capital for now, and prepare to buy around those levels.

If you’re looking for this kind of precise guidance on how to invest in the markets… where the biggest opportunities are… and how to find unique picks with EXPLOSIVE potential,  I strongly urge you to join our FREE e-letter, Gains Pains & Capital.

You can pick up three special reports (a value of $99) without paying a cent, today at this link:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/evergreen3reports.html

Best

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in The Markets | Comments Off on Technical Setup: A Correction is Coming

How Trump Gets the S&P 500 to 8,000 in Just Four Years

As I outlined in yesterday’s article, the odds are relatively high that President Trump will secure a second term courtesy of how the legal system handles contested elections.

With that in mind, we need to ask, “what is the BIG PICTURE outcome for the markets if Trump wins?”

I believe that if President Trump manages to secure a second Presidential term, the stock market will go into an ENORMOUS bubble.

Why?

Because President Trump is OBSESSED with the stock market. He’s mentioned it 54 times on his twitter account this year alone. That’s more than once a week!

Why this obsession?

Because the President knows it’s a simple measure of wealth that appeals to the average person. Talking about boosting incomes or reducing wage disparities sounds nice, but these are vague concepts. Saying “stocks are at record highs!” is a specific measure that anyone can understand and interpret to mean “people are getting rich.”

The President, for all his flaws, understands sales. And by talking about stocks non-stop, he’s “selling” Americans on the idea that he is creating wealth, even if the reality is that the market is rising because the Fed is providing record amounts of liquidity.

Speaking of the Fed, President Trump now effectively decides Fed policy due to his constant bullying via his very same twitter account (and its 87 million followers).

Case in point, take note of how the President hounded the Federal Reserve to ease monetary conditions non-stop throughout 2018. The below tweets are two of literally dozens in which the President harangued the Fed to ease conditions.

When the Fed was slow to act, the President even want so far as the float the idea of FIRING Fed Chair Jerome Powell, leaking the plan to Bloomberg in June of 2018.

I do not expect any of the above issues to change during a Trump second term. If anything, I would expect President Trump’s obsession with stocks to be ever greater. And this means even more pressure on the Fed to create a bubble

Again, I’m NOT saying this is a good thing, nor am I saying I like what the President does. I’m simply pointing out how he sees the stock market and what this means for his attitude towards the ultimate driver of stocks: Fed liquidity.

So… if President Trump does win a second term. What would his obsession with stocks mean price wise?

Well, the Fed has cut interest rates to ZERO and is now running QE programs equal to $125 billion per month. Moreover, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has stated that the Fed will not attempt to normalize Fed policy until the U.S. economy has experienced a full recovery to levels that existed prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. And the Fed as a whole stated that it will keep interest rates at ZERO through 2023.

Yes, 2023.

The last time the Fed held rates at ZERO for years while running aggressive QE programs was from 2008-2015. During that time, the S&P 500 nearly TRIPLED.

Currently stocks are up 50% from the lows March. If the S&P 500 were to follow a similar move, we’d see the mother of all bubbles with the S&P 500 rising to over 6,000 over the next five years.

And if things REALLY get out of control, as they did in the late ‘90s, we could see the S&P 500 running to 10,000 or higher. This sounds ridiculous, but this kind of move has happened before. Indeed, the NASDAQ rose over 140% in just four years during Bill Clinton’s second term as President.

With the S&P 500 around 3,500 today, this would mean a run to 8,400 by the end of 2024.

Again, this sounds ridiculous, but all bubbles do. And we know this President more than any other in the last 50 years is obsessed with stocks. Combine this with a Federal Reserve that is already engaged in the most aggressive QE program in history and suddenly the S&P 500 at 8,000 in four years doesn’t seem so ridiculous.

With that in mind, we recently published a special report titled, The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Trump 2020 Landslide | Comments Off on How Trump Gets the S&P 500 to 8,000 in Just Four Years

What a Trump Second Term Will Look Like For the Markets

As I outlined in yesterday’s article, the odds are relatively high that President Trump will secure a second term courtesy of how the legal system handles contested elections.

With that in mind, we need to ask, “what is the BIG PICTURE outcome for the markets if Trump wins?”

I believe that if President Trump manages to secure a second Presidential term, the stock market will go into an ENORMOUS bubble.

Why?

Because President Trump is OBSESSED with the stock market. He’s mentioned it 54 times on his twitter account this year alone. That’s more than once a week!

Why this obsession?

Because the President knows it’s a simple measure of wealth that appeals to the average person. Talking about boosting incomes or reducing wage disparities sounds nice, but these are vague concepts. Saying “stocks are at record highs!” is a specific measure that anyone can understand and interpret to mean “people are getting rich.”

The President, for all his flaws, understands sales. And by talking about stocks non-stop, he’s “selling” Americans on the idea that he is creating wealth, even if the reality is that the market is rising because the Fed is providing record amounts of liquidity.

Speaking of the Fed, President Trump now effectively decides Fed policy due to his constant bullying via his very same twitter account (and its 87 million followers).

Case in point, take note of how the President hounded the Federal Reserve to ease monetary conditions non-stop throughout 2018. The below tweets are two of literally dozens in which the President harangued the Fed to ease conditions.

When the Fed was slow to act, the President even want so far as the float the idea of FIRING Fed Chair Jerome Powell, leaking the plan to Bloomberg in June of 2018.

I do not expect any of the above issues to change during a Trump second term. If anything, I would expect President Trump’s obsession with stocks to be ever greater. And this means even more pressure on the Fed to create a bubble

Again, I’m NOT saying this is a good thing, nor am I saying I like what the President does. I’m simply pointing out how he sees the stock market and what this means for his attitude towards the ultimate driver of stocks: Fed liquidity.

So… if President Trump does win a second term. What would his obsession with stocks mean price wise?

Well, the Fed has cut interest rates to ZERO and is now running QE programs equal to $125 billion per month. Moreover, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has stated that the Fed will not attempt to normalize Fed policy until the U.S. economy has experienced a full recovery to levels that existed prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. And the Fed as a whole stated that it will keep interest rates at ZERO through 2023.

Yes, 2023.

The last time the Fed held rates at ZERO for years while running aggressive QE programs was from 2008-2015. During that time, the S&P 500 nearly TRIPLED.

Currently stocks are up 50% from the lows March. If the S&P 500 were to follow a similar move, we’d see the mother of all bubbles with the S&P 500 rising to over 6,000 over the next five years.

And if things REALLY get out of control, as they did in the late ‘90s, we could see the S&P 500 running to 10,000 or higher. This sounds ridiculous, but this kind of move has happened before. Indeed, the NASDAQ rose over 140% in just four years during Bill Clinton’s second term as President.

With the S&P 500 around 3,500 today, this would mean a run to 8,400 by the end of 2024.

Again, this sounds ridiculous, but all bubbles do. And we know this President more than any other in the last 50 years is obsessed with stocks. Combine this with a Federal Reserve that is already engaged in the most aggressive QE program in history and suddenly the S&P 500 at 8,000 in four years doesn’t seem so ridiculous.

With that in mind, we recently published a special report titled, The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Trump 2020 Landslide | Comments Off on What a Trump Second Term Will Look Like For the Markets

No, the Election is Not Over, and No Joe Biden Hasn’t Won Anything

I want to stress in advance, that I DO NOT want to be political in this briefing. I am not saying I LIKE any of the recent developments. And I’m certainly NOT saying I want a particular candidate to win.

All I am saying is that the election is a mess and from what I can tell, no one in the media is actually outlining what’s to come based on the law. Instead I’m seeing a lot of political opinion, being presented as fact, when it isn’t.

The media wants you to believe the election is over.

By law, it isn’t.

Unless a candidate concedes, the election remains in play until December 14th when states cast their electoral college votes.

So, unless President Trump concedes between now and then, Joe Biden hasn’t won anything, no matter what the media tells you. Indeed, the media has no say in this, anymore than they can decide what color the sky is; they’re simply trying to get you angry so you’ll continue to watch their awful shows so they can sell your eyeballs to advertisers.

With that in mind,  we need to take a step back and assess how this election is likely to play out based on the LAW, not public opinion or media propaganda.

Based on the law, it is highly possible and in fact probable that Donald Trump will end up winning the 2020 Presidential election.

Why?

Because the election is now in the courts. And the courts have a clear precedent for how contested elections play out.

When the courts get involved in an election, it becomes an issue of evidence. Specifically, what a given court decides is compelling versus non-compelling evidence, and how the court chooses to address the issue of voter fraud if indeed there is compelling evidence.

For instance, if President Trump’s legal team goes to court and says, “we want to have a vote audit in Michigan because there was voter fraud” the first thing the court will ask them is, “what evidence do you have to support this claim?”

If the President Trump’s legal team’s answer is “we saw some numbers that looked suspicious,” the court controls its urge to laugh, throws out the case, and that’s that.

However, if the President’s legal team responds, “we have sworn affidavits from 50 witnesses, video evidence, as well as three whistleblowers” then it’s a completely different story.

Once evidence of fraud is introduced to the courts via a lawsuit, the court, NOT the voters and certainly NOT the media, is in charge of the election.

The courts can demand a vote audit of every single vote counted in an election. If, during the vote audit, actual fraud is discovered, the court can rule that those votes are no longer valid, the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.

Even if fraud is not discovered by the audits, but there is a particular problem with vote cards (the wrong type of ink was used, the hole punch didn’t go all the way through the ballot as was the case in Florida in 2000, etc.), the courts can deem those problematic votes as illegitimate.

This again can mean the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.

This process is now underway in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona.

Any one of those states could see Biden end up losing (remember, he only won these states by 0.5% for most of them). That means that if Biden loses even 10,000 votes due to fraud or some technicality (the ballots arrived after the deadline), Trump could be declared the winner.

Again, I am NOT saying I want this to happen. I am simply outlining how this process works. If a court says “jump” you jump, no matter who you are.

Speaking of which…

Two weeks ago, Supreme Court Justice Alito (as in the Supreme Court of the U.S., not of just one state) ORDERED the State of Pennsylvania to segregate and count separately any ballots that arrived after 8PM on election night.

This is a legal order from the Supreme Court of the United States. If you disobey it, you can go to prison. And because it’s a federal violation, the lawsuit isn’t going to be “Joe Schmo vs. John Doe,” it’s “the United States of America vs. Joe Schmo.”

My sources tell me that for Alito to order this without any comment from other justices suggests the Supreme Court as a whole is supportive of his action.

So, this is the Supreme Court of the United States effectively stating, “we are now getting involved in this mess.” That is a big deal.

If you are looking for a reason as to why the media rushed into announcing Joe Biden as the President Elect Saturday (the day after Alito’s order), this is probably it.

The Democrats and their media allies (the media companies that lean left) realize that once the courts get involved, the odds of Biden actually winning drop dramatically. So, they are attempting to mount as much pressure as possible for President Trump to concede so that the election is finished before ever entering a courtroom.

Remember, the only way this election ends right now is if President Trump concedes. 

If he doesn’t, but instead chooses to fight in court, then the process follows the path I outlined a little while ago, where the courts decide which votes count and which ones don’t.

For an election in which multiple states were “won” by less than 0.5%, the odds GREATLY improve for President Trump once these issues are introduced in court. He only needs to have 10,000 or so ballots thrown out in order to flip multiple states.

And bear in mind, that if a given court accepts or rejects a given lawsuit, the situation doesn’t end there.

If either party or candidate is dissatisfied with a lower court’s ruling, they can appeal the ruling, which can result in the lawsuit moving up to a higher court, eventually reaching the Supreme Court, which serves as the ultimate arbiter of election law in the U.S.

This was the case with the 2000 Presidential election, when the Supreme Court ruled that vote cards from Florida that didn’t have clean hole punches were NOT valid, which gave the state to George W. Bush and resulted in Al Gore conceding the election on December 13th.

And the Supreme Court’s justices are currently 6-3 conservative to liberal. Even if Roberts were to side with the liberals, the conservatives still hold the 5-4 majority.

Put simply, the ultimate arbiter in court rulings on elections favors Trump. Provided he DOESN’T concede, the odds greatly favor him winning a second term.

That’s what the law and the courts say. And they’re the ones that matter in this situation.

With that in mind, we recently published a special report titled, The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Trump 2020 Landslide | Comments Off on No, the Election is Not Over, and No Joe Biden Hasn’t Won Anything

Why Trump Will Likely Win a Second Term


I want to stress in advance, that I DO NOT want to be political in this briefing. I am not saying I LIKE any of the recent developments. And I’m certainly NOT saying I want a particular candidate to win.

All I am saying is that the election is a mess and from what I can tell, no one in the media is actually outlining what’s to come based on the law. Instead I’m seeing a lot of political opinion, being presented as fact, when it isn’t.

The media wants you to believe the election is over.

By law, it isn’t.

Unless a candidate concedes, the election remains in play until December 14th when states cast their electoral college votes.

So, unless President Trump concedes between now and then, Joe Biden hasn’t won anything, no matter what the media tells you. Indeed, the media has no say in this, anymore than they can decide what color the sky is; they’re simply trying to get you angry so you’ll continue to watch their awful shows so they can sell your eyeballs to advertisers.

With that in mind,  we need to take a step back and assess how this election is likely to play out based on the LAW, not public opinion or media propaganda.

Based on the law, it is highly possible and in fact probable that Donald Trump will end up winning the 2020 Presidential election.

Why?

Because the election is now in the courts. And the courts have a clear precedent for how contested elections play out.

When the courts get involved in an election, it becomes an issue of evidence. Specifically, what a given court decides is compelling versus non-compelling evidence, and how the court chooses to address the issue of voter fraud if indeed there is compelling evidence.

For instance, if President Trump’s legal team goes to court and says, “we want to have a vote audit in Michigan because there was voter fraud” the first thing the court will ask them is, “what evidence do you have to support this claim?”

If the President Trump’s legal team’s answer is “we saw some numbers that looked suspicious,” the court controls its urge to laugh, throws out the case, and that’s that.

However, if the President’s legal team responds, “we have sworn affidavits from 50 witnesses, video evidence, as well as three whistleblowers” then it’s a completely different story.

Once evidence of fraud is introduced to the courts via a lawsuit, the court, NOT the voters and certainly NOT the media, is in charge of the election.

The courts can demand a vote audit of every single vote counted in an election. If, during the vote audit, actual fraud is discovered, the court can rule that those votes are no longer valid, the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.

Even if fraud is not discovered by the audits, but there is a particular problem with vote cards (the wrong type of ink was used, the hole punch didn’t go all the way through the ballot as was the case in Florida in 2000, etc.), the courts can deem those problematic votes as illegitimate.

This again can mean the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.

This process is now underway in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona.

Any one of those states could see Biden end up losing (remember, he only won these states by 0.5% for most of them). That means that if Biden loses even 10,000 votes due to fraud or some technicality (the ballots arrived after the deadline), Trump could be declared the winner.

Again, I am NOT saying I want this to happen. I am simply outlining how this process works. If a court says “jump” you jump, no matter who you are.

Speaking of which…

Two weeks ago, Supreme Court Justice Alito (as in the Supreme Court of the U.S., not of just one state) ORDERED the State of Pennsylvania to segregate and count separately any ballots that arrived after 8PM on election night.

This is a legal order from the Supreme Court of the United States. If you disobey it, you can go to prison. And because it’s a federal violation, the lawsuit isn’t going to be “Joe Schmo vs. John Doe,” it’s “the United States of America vs. Joe Schmo.”

My sources tell me that for Alito to order this without any comment from other justices suggests the Supreme Court as a whole is supportive of his action.

So, this is the Supreme Court of the United States effectively stating, “we are now getting involved in this mess.” That is a big deal.

If you are looking for a reason as to why the media rushed into announcing Joe Biden as the President Elect Saturday (the day after Alito’s order), this is probably it.

The Democrats and their media allies (the media companies that lean left) realize that once the courts get involved, the odds of Biden actually winning drop dramatically. So, they are attempting to mount as much pressure as possible for President Trump to concede so that the election is finished before ever entering a courtroom.

Remember, the only way this election ends right now is if President Trump concedes. 

If he doesn’t, but instead chooses to fight in court, then the process follows the path I outlined a little while ago, where the courts decide which votes count and which ones don’t.

For an election in which multiple states were “won” by less than 0.5%, the odds GREATLY improve for President Trump once these issues are introduced in court. He only needs to have 10,000 or so ballots thrown out in order to flip multiple states.

And bear in mind, that if a given court accepts or rejects a given lawsuit, the situation doesn’t end there.

If either party or candidate is dissatisfied with a lower court’s ruling, they can appeal the ruling, which can result in the lawsuit moving up to a higher court, eventually reaching the Supreme Court, which serves as the ultimate arbiter of election law in the U.S.

This was the case with the 2000 Presidential election, when the Supreme Court ruled that vote cards from Florida that didn’t have clean hole punches were NOT valid, which gave the state to George W. Bush and resulted in Al Gore conceding the election on December 13th.

And the Supreme Court’s justices are currently 6-3 conservative to liberal. Even if Roberts were to side with the liberals, the conservatives still hold the 5-4 majority.

Put simply, the ultimate arbiter in court rulings on elections favors Trump. Provided he DOESN’T concede, the odds greatly favor him winning a second term.

That’s what the law and the courts say. And they’re the ones that matter in this situation.

With that in mind, we recently published a special report titled, The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, we detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Trump 2020 Landslide | Comments Off on Why Trump Will Likely Win a Second Term

Want to Know Who Wins This Election? Ignore the Media. Watch This Instead!


If you want to get your head around the ultimate outcome of the 2020 Presidential election, you should ignore the media, experts, pundits, and focus on one thing.

 The energy sector.

Unlike the pundits, experts and shills in the media, energy investors LOSE money if they’re wrong. They have “skin in the game” so to speak. And because of the distinct differences between the Biden and Trump campaign’s views on oil, the energy sector is an incredible barometer for how things are going with the election.

From a 20,000-foot perspective, this Presidential election is about globalism vs. nationalism.

Globalism, as represented by the Biden campaign, represents the dominant economic trend of the last 40 years. Its key features involve:

1)    The outsourcing of Americans jobs to cheaper, international labor markets.

2)    The U.S. relying extensively on other nations for its energy, commodity, and other needs.

3)    The U.S. as one of several key nations that set global policy via international bodies (the U.N. the G-7, etc.).

By way of contrast, Nationalism, as represented by the Trump administration, represents a complete refutation of Globalism. Its key features involve:

1)    That the domestic production of resources deemed critical to the U.S. economy is a matter of national security.

2)     That outsourcing weakens the U.S. economy from a strategic perspective as it shifts its industrial and manufacturing supply chains to other nations. 

3)    That the U.S. is THE dominant force in the world and as such can set global policy regardless of what other nations desire.

In far simpler words, a Biden win would be BAD for oil production in the U.S., while a Trump win would be GOOD for oil production in the U.S..

With that in mind, take a look at this chart.

Going into election night, the energy sector was in a decided downtrend (blue line) as it looked like Biden would be the presumed winner. However, on election day this trend began to end with energy stocks actually breaking out of this downtrend briefly (red circle).

This suggested that in point of fact, President Trump would potentially pull another historic upset.

We all know what has since happened: the media has declared Biden the winner despite a number of voting irregularities surfacing (and that’s putting it mildly). The media has made it clear that it believes Biden won.

But what is the energy sector telling us?

Energy stocks are up 15% since election night. That is an incredible move. And if you find that surprising, consider the following.

The energy sector is top performing sector since election night.

I don’t know about you, but it sure seems as if energy investors are predicting a Trump win. Nowhere in Joe Biden’s campaign platform does he advocate for the increased production of oil in the U.S.. In fact, on his website he actually endorses the Green New Deal, which advocates for the U.S. completely moving off of fossil fuels!

With that in mind, what do you think energy stocks are telling us today?

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research


Posted in Trading Opportunity | Comments Off on Want to Know Who Wins This Election? Ignore the Media. Watch This Instead!

If you want to get your head around the ultimate outcome of the 2020 Presidential election, you should ignore the media, experts, pundits, and focus on one thing.

 The energy sector.

Unlike the pundits, experts and shills in the media, energy investors LOSE money if they’re wrong. They have “skin in the game” so to speak. And because of the distinct differences between the Biden and Trump campaign’s views on oil, the energy sector is an incredible barometer for how things are going with the election.

From a 20,000-foot perspective, this Presidential election is about globalism vs. nationalism.

Globalism, as represented by the Biden campaign, represents the dominant economic trend of the last 40 years. Its key features involve:

1)    The outsourcing of Americans jobs to cheaper, international labor markets.

2)    The U.S. relying extensively on other nations for its energy, commodity, and other needs.

3)    The U.S. as one of several key nations that set global policy via international bodies (the U.N. the G-7, etc.).

By way of contrast, Nationalism, as represented by the Trump administration, represents a complete refutation of Globalism. Its key features involve:

1)    That the domestic production of resources deemed critical to the U.S. economy is a matter of national security.

2)     That outsourcing weakens the U.S. economy from a strategic perspective as it shifts its industrial and manufacturing supply chains to other nations. 

3)    That the U.S. is THE dominant force in the world and as such can set global policy regardless of what other nations desire.

In far simpler words, a Biden win would be BAD for oil production in the U.S., while a Trump win would be GOOD for oil production in the U.S..

With that in mind, take a look at this chart.

Going into election night, the energy sector was in a decided downtrend (blue line) as it looked like Biden would be the presumed winner. However, on election day this trend began to end with energy stocks actually breaking out of this downtrend briefly (red circle).

This suggested that in point of fact, President Trump would potentially pull another historic upset.

We all know what has since happened: the media has declared Biden the winner despite a number of voting irregularities surfacing (and that’s putting it mildly). The media has made it clear that it believes Biden won.

But what is the energy sector telling us?

Energy stocks are up 15% since election night. That is an incredible move. And if you find that surprising, consider the following.

The energy sector is top performing sector since election night.

I don’t know about you, but it sure seems as if energy investors are predicting a Trump win. Nowhere in Joe Biden’s campaign platform does he advocate for the increased production of oil in the U.S.. In fact, on his website he actually endorses the Green New Deal, which advocates for the U.S. completely moving off of fossil fuels!

With that in mind, what do you think energy stocks are telling us today?

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research


Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Want to Know Who Wins This Election? Ignore the Media. Watch This Instead!

Where Things Actually Stand in the 2020 Presidential Election

Disclaimer: none of the following is meant to be political analysis. I am not endorsing nor disparaging any candidate. I’m simply outlining the facts pertaining to the U.S. Presidential election.

I want to warn you that the next few months in the U.S. will be extremely ugly.

The country was already deeply divided before this election. And unfortunately, it’s only going to get worse. The fact is that Joe Biden HASN’T actually won this election yet. 

That is not a typo. The media has done the U.S. a great disservice by claiming that Biden is the winner this early in the game.

Everyone needs to take a step back and understand how the actual election process occurs based on federal law, not media reporting.

1)    The election occurs in early November.

2)    Votes are tallied while officials from both parties (Democrat and GOP) are present.

3)    Provided officials from both parties are present during the vote tallies and there are:

  1. No credible accusations of fraud.
  2. No software glitches.

Then the vote tallies are ratified.

4)    If the vote margin between winner and loser is 0.5% or smaller, an automatic recount is required.

5)    If the margin between the winner and loser is larger than 0.5%, but either candidate (or a 3rd candidate for that matter) wants to dispute the results, he or she can pay to have a recount performed. The cost if roughly $3 million per state.

6)    Once the recount is completed, or if a recount is not necessary, the individual states formally declare the winner on December 14th when they officially cast their electoral college votes for him or her.

7)    Then, in early January of the next year, the new congress meets to count the electoral college votes and formally declare the winner.

8)    The new President is sworn into office on January 20th.

This is how Presidential elections work in the U.S. under normal circumstances.

The media cannot decide who wins. The media can simply project who they think will win based on vote totals at a given time. And unless the loser formally concedes prior to December 14ththe election remains in play.

So where are we in terms of the 2020 Presidential election?

For starters, the races in multiple states (Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona) are close enough to require mandatory recounts (within a margin of 0.5%).

On top of this, the Trump administration will be filing lawsuits in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona alleging fraud, illegitimate votes being counted, and GOP officials being barred from witnessing the ballots being tallied.

Whether or not the Trump administration is right about this remains to be seen.

However, the fact lawsuits are being filed means the election will move into the courts. If the courts decide that the evidence the Trump administration presents is compelling, they can require a formal vote audit.

If, during the vote audit, actual fraud is discovered, the court can rule that those votes are no longer valid, the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.

Even if fraud is not discovered by the audits, but there is a particular problem with vote cards (the wrong type of ink was used, the hole punch didn’t go all the way through the ballot as was the case in Florida in 2000, etc.), the courts can deem those problematic votes as illegitimate.

This again can mean the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.

Mind you, that’s if the courts resolve the issue to everyone’s liking on the first go round.

If either party or candidate is dissatisfied with a lower court’s ruling, they can appeal the ruling, which can result in the lawsuit moving up to a higher court, eventually reaching the Supreme Court, which serves as the ultimate arbiter of election law in the U.S.

This was the case with the 2000 election, when the Supreme Court ruled that vote cards from Florida that didn’t have clean hole punches were NOT valid, which gave the state to George W. Bush and resulted in Al Gore conceding the election on December 13th.

None of the above items are conspiracy theory or wishful thinking. These are the actual facts of how Presidential elections are decided in the U.S.

The media doesn’t decide elections. And technically, Joe Biden is NOT the President elect, no matter how much certain people might want him to be.

Remember, he wouldn’t be formally declared the President Elect until December 14th 2020, and that’s under normal circumstances.

And as I mentioned already, this election is anything but normal.

I mention all of this to help you keep a clear head during what is going to be an extremely stressful and psychologically draining four-week period between now and that date.

Again, this election WILL not be decided before December 14th. And it’s possible things run even longer than that.

Graham Summers    
Chief Market Strategist    
Phoenix Capital Research 

Posted in National Security | Comments Off on Where Things Actually Stand in the 2020 Presidential Election

The U.S. Presidential Election is NOT Over. Here’s Where Things Stand Right Now…

Disclaimer: none of the following is meant to be political analysis. I am not endorsing nor disparaging any candidate. I’m simply outlining the facts pertaining to the U.S. Presidential election.

I want to warn you that the next few months in the U.S. will be extremely ugly.

The country was already deeply divided before this election. And unfortunately, it’s only going to get worse. The fact is that Joe Biden HASN’T actually won this election yet. 

That is not a typo. The media has done the U.S. a great disservice by claiming that Biden is the winner this early in the game.

Everyone needs to take a step back and understand how the actual election process occurs based on federal law, not media reporting.

1)    The election occurs in early November.

2)    Votes are tallied while officials from both parties (Democrat and GOP) are present.

3)    Provided officials from both parties are present during the vote tallies and there are:

  1. No credible accusations of fraud.
  2. No software glitches.

Then the vote tallies are ratified.

4)    If the vote margin between winner and loser is 0.5% or smaller, an automatic recount is required.

5)    If the margin between the winner and loser is larger than 0.5%, but either candidate (or a 3rd candidate for that matter) wants to dispute the results, he or she can pay to have a recount performed. The cost if roughly $3 million per state.

6)    Once the recount is completed, or if a recount is not necessary, the individual states formally declare the winner on December 14th when they officially cast their electoral college votes for him or her.

7)    Then, in early January of the next year, the new congress meets to count the electoral college votes and formally declare the winner.

8)    The new President is sworn into office on January 20th.

This is how Presidential elections work in the U.S. under normal circumstances.

The media cannot decide who wins. The media can simply project who they think will win based on vote totals at a given time. And unless the loser formally concedes prior to December 14ththe election remains in play.

So where are we in terms of the 2020 Presidential election?

For starters, the races in multiple states (Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona) are close enough to require mandatory recounts (within a margin of 0.5%).

On top of this, the Trump administration will be filing lawsuits in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona alleging fraud, illegitimate votes being counted, and GOP officials being barred from witnessing the ballots being tallied.

Whether or not the Trump administration is right about this remains to be seen.

However, the fact lawsuits are being filed means the election will move into the courts. If the courts decide that the evidence the Trump administration presents is compelling, they can require a formal vote audit.

If, during the vote audit, actual fraud is discovered, the court can rule that those votes are no longer valid, the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.

Even if fraud is not discovered by the audits, but there is a particular problem with vote cards (the wrong type of ink was used, the hole punch didn’t go all the way through the ballot as was the case in Florida in 2000, etc.), the courts can deem those problematic votes as illegitimate.

This again can mean the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.

Mind you, that’s if the courts resolve the issue to everyone’s liking on the first go round.

If either party or candidate is dissatisfied with a lower court’s ruling, they can appeal the ruling, which can result in the lawsuit moving up to a higher court, eventually reaching the Supreme Court, which serves as the ultimate arbiter of election law in the U.S.

This was the case with the 2000 election, when the Supreme Court ruled that vote cards from Florida that didn’t have clean hole punches were NOT valid, which gave the state to George W. Bush and resulted in Al Gore conceding the election on December 13th.

None of the above items are conspiracy theory or wishful thinking. These are the actual facts of how Presidential elections are decided in the U.S.

The media doesn’t decide elections. And technically, Joe Biden is NOT the President elect, no matter how much certain people might want him to be.

Remember, he wouldn’t be formally declared the President Elect until December 14th 2020, and that’s under normal circumstances.

And as I mentioned already, this election is anything but normal.

I mention all of this to help you keep a clear head during what is going to be an extremely stressful and psychologically draining four-week period between now and that date.

Again, this election WILL not be decided before December 14th. And it’s possible things run even longer than that.

Graham Summers    
Chief Market Strategist    
Phoenix Capital Research 

Posted in National Security | Comments Off on The U.S. Presidential Election is NOT Over. Here’s Where Things Stand Right Now…

The U.S. is in very serious trouble.

The integrity of the U.S. election has been damaged, possibly irreparably. There has been clear and obvious fraud. And everyone who isn’t a partisan hack knows it. Regardless of your political views, it is very clear that NONE of this looks appropriate.

In the last five days we’ve seen:

  1. Multiple states stop counting votes on election night.
  2. Multiple states find tens of thousands of votes that benefit Joe Biden to a degree that is statistically impossibly.
  3. Clear examples of dead people voting.
  4. Counties in which more people voted than were registered.
  5. States called for Biden when a ridiculously low percentage of votes were counties (Virginia 1%, Arizona 7%, etc.).

Regardless of whether you’re a Democrat or a Republican, you cannot with a straight face say that this doesn’t look suspicious. And that’s putting it mildly.

The bigger issue, outside of who actually wins the election, is the fact that the election system has been compromised. That is a MAJOR problem for the Republic.

And the markets know it.

This is why the $USD is rolling over and plunging: capital is reacting to the discovery that the U.S. is now closer to a banana republic than a legitimate first world nation.

Chart, histogram

Description automatically generated

That move doesn’t seem like a big deal, unless you understand the significance of the currency markets.

The financial media like to focus on stocks because they are an extremely volatile asset class. This volatility makes stocks seem “sexy” because entire fortunes can be made… or lost… within a matter of weeks.

However, the reality is that stocks are actually one of the smallest asset classes on the planet.

Globally, the stock market is around $80 trillion in size.

That sounds like a huge amount… until you realize that the bond market is more than THREE times this at $244 trillion.

And the currency markets dwarf even the bond markets!

While it’s impossible to know their full size (every currency trade involves two currencies, so the net size is impossible to measure), we do know that the currency markets trade an astonishing $6.6 trillion per day.

To put this into perspective, the New York Stock Exchange – the single largest stock market in the world – typically trades just $200 billion in volume per day.

Put simply, the currency market, based on volume alone, is 33 times larger than the stock market. The U.S. dollar ($USD) is the reserve currency of the world. And the $USD, is the 800-lb gorilla in this market, accounting for over 90% of all currency transactions.

It also accounts for over 60% of all central bank foreign exchange reserves, while nearly 40% of all global debt is denominated in the $USD.

Put simply, the $USD is THE single most important asset in the entire global financial system, the currency of choice for global central banks and global corporations looking to issue debt.

And the $USD is backed by the single largest economy in the world, representing ~25 of global GDP, along with the U.S. military which has a budget equal to that of China, India, Russia, Saudi Arabia, France, Germany, United Kingdom, Japan, South Korea, and Brazil – combined.

Put simply, whatever happens to the $USD will have systemic implications for the world. So, if the $USD is breaking down because the U.S. Presidential election debacle is signaling that the largest economy in the world is becoming a banana republic, it is a VERY bad thing.

In this environment, everyone should have some exposure to gold. Indeed, it is not surprising that In this environment, everyone should have some exposure to gold. It is not coincidence that the precious metal is EXPLODING higher on this development.In this environment, everyone should have some exposure to gold. Indeed, it is not surprising that

Chart, histogram

Description automatically generated

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

As I write this there are just 9 left.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted on by The Phoenix | Comments Off on Warning, the U.S. is Becoming a Banana Republic

Is the Big Breakout For Precious Metals Finally Here?

Silver is exploding higher this morning. By the look of things, it might finally break out of the triangle formation that has determined price action for the last three months.

More importantly, this move is silver is dramatically stronger than that of gold. This is precisely what we would expect during a major leg up in precious metals. Indeed, the silver to gold ratio could finally break out of its triangle formation to the upside.

This is the signal we’ve been waiting for. If the next leg up is about to hit in precious metals the move will take your breath away.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

As I write this there are just 17 left.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Inflation | Comments Off on Is the Big Breakout For Precious Metals Finally Here?

The BIG Move in Precious Metals Is About to Hit


Silver is exploding higher this morning. By the look of things, it might finally break out of the triangle formation that has determined price action for the last three months.

More importantly, this move is silver is dramatically stronger than that of gold. This is precisely what we would expect during a major leg up in precious metals. Indeed, the silver to gold ratio could finally break out of its triangle formation to the upside.

This is the signal we’ve been waiting for. If the next leg up is about to hit in precious metals the move will take your breath away.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

As I write this there are just 17 left.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Inflation | Comments Off on The BIG Move in Precious Metals Is About to Hit

Based on This, Trump Will Win in a Landslide

Disclaimer: none of the following is meant to be political analysis. I am not endorsing nor disparaging any candidate. I’m simply outlining my framework for how I see this election and what the markets are suggesting the outcome will be.

The markets are in a holding pattern until election day.

Retail investors are small fish in a big pond. The real price action occurs when financial institutions make a move. And NO financial institution is going to put capital to work this week with the election looming.

However, some items are clear.

Key market sectors are increasingly pointing to a Trump win.

One of the key differences, between the Biden and Trump campaigns are their attitudes towards green energy. Trump is decidedly pro-fracking and fossil fuels while Biden leans towards green energy (he has formally endorsed the New Green Deal on his website).

With that in mind, the green energy sector has rolled over and is falling rapidly. We’re already into a 10% correction on both $PBW and $TAN.

Of course, much of the market has been red lately, so I would also like to point out that underperformance has occurred relative to the broader stock market. The ratio between $PBW and the S&P 500 is down 9% meaning clean energy ETFs are down 9% relative to the rest of the market.

That’s a heck of an underperformance. Again, this suggests Biden’s odds of winning the election have fallen dramatically.

Meanwhile, we see industrial metals, which are heavily pro-Trump due to his obsession with U.S. manufacturing and industrial production, remain in clear, strong uptrends. Looking at these charts it’s difficult to even see a corrective move.

This strongly suggests the odds of a Trump win have increased dramatically.

Taken together, these two developments STRONGLY suggest Donald Trump will win re-election. In fact, you could argue that based on these issues, the election won’t even be close.

I’m not saying I’m happy about this. I’m simply saying what the markets are telling me right now. Again, I DO NOT care about politics. You can hate President Trump or you can love him. That’s 100% up to you.

But the reality is that under the Trump administration the stock market is giving us a once in a lifetime opportunity to GET RICH from our investments.

My clients are already doing this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, I detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

In it, I detail five unique investments that I expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Trump 2020 Landslide | Comments Off on Based on This, Trump Will Win in a Landslide

The Market is Beginning to Predict a Trump Landslide


The markets are in a holding pattern until election day.

Retail investors are small fish in a big pond. The real price action occurs when financial institutions make a move. And NO financial institution is going to put capital to work this week with the election looming.

However, some items are clear.

Key market sectors are increasingly pointing to a Trump win.

One of the key differences, between the Biden and Trump campaigns are their attitudes towards green energy. Trump is decidedly pro-fracking and fossil fuels while Biden leans towards green energy (he has formally endorsed the New Green Deal on his website).

With that in mind, the green energy sector has rolled over and is falling rapidly. We’re already into a 10% correction on both $PBW and $TAN.

Of course, much of the market has been red lately, so I would also like to point out that underperformance has occurred relative to the broader stock market. The ratio between $PBW and the S&P 500 is down 9% meaning clean energy ETFs are down 9% relative to the rest of the market.

That’s a heck of an underperformance. Again, this suggests Biden’s odds of winning the election have fallen dramatically.

Meanwhile, we see industrial metals, which are heavily pro-Trump due to his obsession with U.S. manufacturing and industrial production, remain in clear, strong uptrends. Looking at these charts it’s difficult to even see a corrective move.

This strongly suggests the odds of a Trump win have increased dramatically.

Taken together, these two developments STRONGLY suggest Donald Trump will win re-election. In fact, you could argue that based on these issues, the election won’t even be close.

I’m not saying I’m happy about this. I’m simply saying what the markets are telling me right now. Again, I DO NOT care about politics. You can hate President Trump or you can love him. That’s 100% up to you.

But the reality is that under the Trump administration the stock market is giving us a once in a lifetime opportunity to GET RICH from our investments.

My clients are already doing this with our new special report titled…

The MAGA Portfolio: Five Investments That Will Make Fortunes During Trump’s Second Term.

In it, I detail five HIGH OCTANE investments that are primed to EXPLODE higher when President Trump wins a second term.

In it, I detail five unique investments that I expect will produce the most extraordinary gains during President Trump’s second term.

Each one of these investments is in a unique position to profit from the combination of Trump economic reforms and Fed monetary easing, combining high growth opportunities with extreme profitability.

We are offering this report exclusively to subscribers of our e-letter Gains Pains & Capital. To pick up your copy please swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MAGA.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Trump 2020 Landslide | Comments Off on The Market is Beginning to Predict a Trump Landslide

If Gold is Going to Explode Higher, It Should Happen in the NExt 48 Hours

If gold is going to explode higher, the move should start today or tomorrow.

As I’ve noted preciously, during inflation-driven bull markets in gold, gold miners typically outperform the precious metal. For this reason I like to track the gold miners to gold ratio (GDX: $GOLD).

When gold miners outperform gold, this ratio rises. When gold miners underperform gold this ratio falls.

As you can see in the chart below, this ratio has fallen to test MAJOR support (green line). It should bounce here, which would mean breaking its recent down trend (blue lines). This would mean a period in which gold miners DRAMATICALLY outperform gold.

Another key feature of bull markets in precious metals is that silver outperforms gold. With that in mind, I also like to track the silver to gold ratio ($SILVER: $GOLD).

When silver outperform gold, this ratio rises. When silver underperform gold this ratio falls.

Right now, this ratio has fallen to test key support (green line). We should see a bounce here that finally breaks this triangle formation (blue lines) to the upside.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

As I write this there are just 9 left.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Inflation | Comments Off on If Gold is Going to Explode Higher, It Should Happen in the NExt 48 Hours