GAINS, PAINS &amp; CAPITAL

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

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Shocking Undercover Video Reveals Just How Political the Fed Has Become

Posted on July 2, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

In case you missed it, an undercover journalist sat down with Aurel Hizmo a principal economist from the Federal Reserve who personally writes speeches for Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

During the course of the conversation, Hizmo commented that Jerome Powell’s legacy was that he was “somebody who held the line against Trump” that “Trump is a crazy person” and that conservatives are “dumb.”

Now obviously, these are offhand comments made by someone about Powell, not by Powell himself. But considering that this individual writes speeches for Powell you can safely assume that he spends a decent amount of time with the Fed Chair and has a decent idea of Powell’s views on things.

You can see the video here:

INSIDE THE FEDERAL RESERVE:

A hidden camera captures a Principal Economist at the Federal Reserve admitting that Jerome Powell’s legacy is “somebody who held the line against Trump” — and deliberately hurting the U.S. economy.

Aurel Hizmo, Principal Economist at the Federal… https://t.co/v6uLg45ayo pic.twitter.com/pjho811JYK
— 🇺🇸RealRobert🇺🇸 (@Real_RobN) June 30, 2025

This video, taken along with Jerome Powell’s bizarre foray into social justice issues (climate change, reparations), as well as the Chair’s clearly political views on monetary policy (cutting rates by 0.5% before the 2024 election, but refusing to cut rates once Trump won), builds a pretty compelling case that Jerome Powell is unfit to be Fed Chair.

For those who don’t keep track of these things, below is a list of the more egregious issues that have occurred under Powell’s tenure:

The Fed claimed inflation was transitory, unleashing untold suffering on Americans, until the week that former President Biden nominated Powell for a second term… at which point Powell dropped all references to “transitory” inflation and began urging the Fed to raise rates. This suggests Powell was more concerned for his career than Americans’ financial well-being.

A massive insider trading scandal during which numerous major Fed officials were caught trading on insider information concerning Fed policy. This scandal resulted in several Fed officials resigning and massively damaged the Fed’s reputation. Powell was in charge of the Fed throughout this period.

Powell’s decision to promote climate change, reparations, and other woke political issues that are outsight the Fed’s Dual Mandate as set forth by Congress. There was no reason to do this other than personal preference which suggests Powell is more of a political activist than central banker.

Powell openly criticizing the Trump administration’s trade war/ tariffs after ignoring egregious fiscal policies the Biden administration ran for four years (adding $10 TRILLION to the debt, running emergency levels of deficit spending, relying extensively on issuing short-term debt thereby setting a debt bomb for the next administration).

Powell choosing to torch the Trump administration in a major speech at a time when the financial system was under extreme duress after stocks erased $11 trillion in wealth (remember, the Fed’s primary responsibility is to provide financial stability, NOT issue controversial statements when stocks are collapsing).

In this context, I believe there is ample evidence here that Powell is unfit to serve as Fed Chair. It is one thing for the head of a community bank to do this… it’s something else entirely for the single most powerful central banker in the world to be doing it.

If you think I’m being overly dramatic here, consider that by refusing to cut rates today, the Fed is going to cost the U.S. HUNDREDS of BILLIONS of dollars.

The U.S. needs to roll over $9 trillion in debt in the next 12 months. By refusing to cut rates, the Fed will force the U.S. to refinance this debt at a higher interest rate. This will cost the U.S. hundreds of billions of dollars in debt payments over the coming years. The Fed could literally cut rates now, give the U.S. a chance to lock in lower debt payments, and then raise rates down the road if inflation reappears (as of now, there are NO signs that this is the case, but you never know).

A crisis is coming… and the Fed is 100% responsible. The fact that stocks are oblivious to this is nothing new: stocks were ignorant of the coming crash in 1999 and 2007 too.

To pick one up…

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Central Bank Insanity | Comments Off

The Big Beautiful Bill Will Trigger a Tectonic Shift in the Financial System

Posted on July 1, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

The Big Beautiful Bill is currently in the Senate where it is being debated. If it passes there, it will go back to the House of Representatives before finally making its way to President Trump’s desk to be signed into law.

What’s in this bill?

No one knows. It’s over 1,000 pages. And I can guarantee no one voting on it has bothered to read it.

The one thing we do know about the bill, it is current form, is that it will add $3.3 trillion to the deficit and increase the debt ceiling by $5 trillion. These are NOT small numbers. The U.S. just hit $37 trillion in debt last month. And it is already running the kind of deficit usually associated with major recessions at a time when the economy is still growing!

Let’s be clear here… if the BBB passes in its current form, there is no returning from that point. The U.S. will officially have crossed the “Debt Rubicon.” No matter what the President or his cabinet claim, the U.S. CANNOT grow its way out of this mess.

Remember, there are three means of dealing with a debt issue:

Pay it off.
Default/ restructure.
Inflate it away.

If the BBB passes, then we are heading for #3: inflate it away.

This will involve the U.S. dollar losing purchasing power and inflation hedges soaring. In fact, that process has already begun. Gold recently hit new all-time highs priced against every major currency. The precious metal is now correcting after a blistering run higher. But if the BBB passes in its current form, you can expect gold to break out to new highs.

This is also why stocks continue to climb a wall of worry. Stocks are an inflation hedge… and they will rise in nominal terms as the $USD falls. In fact, you can think of what’s unfolding as the great global melt-up, fueled by money printing to deal with excessive debt (the world just cleared $300 trillion in debt outstanding last month).

There is a LOT of money to be made here with the right investments. Some investments will be erupting higher in the coming months. Others will lose a tremendous amount of value.

On that note, we recently detailed three investments that will profit beautifully from as capital flees fiat currencies for inflation hedges/ non-fiat in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit From Inflation.

This report explains WHY the $USD is so weak, what it means for the markets, and which investments will perform best in this new environment.

We made 99 copies available to the general public. As I write this, there are only 11 left.

To pick up yours…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Inflation | Comments Off

Canada just tapped out.

Late last week, Canada announced that it would NOT cancel the proposed collection of a Digital Service Tax (DTS) on U.S. tech firms. In its simplest rendering, starting Monday (today) Canada intended to hit U.S. tech firms with a 3% levy of any revenues generated from Canadian users above $20 million. The collection would be retroactive in nature, going back to 2022.

It was a bit of a “slap in the face” to the U.S. which was currently negotiating a trade deal with Canada. In response to this, President Trump ended ALL trade negotiations with that country via a furious post on social media.

Fast forward to today, and Canada announced that it is rescinding the digital service tax. Once again, a round of the “trade war” lasted less than 72 hours and was resolved with the other country tapping out to remain in the U.S.’s good graces.

How many times are the markets going to fall for this stuff?

Let’s cut through the B.S. here. The U.S. is the largest, most dynamic economy in the world. U.S. consumers account for nearly $20 TRILLION in spending power. And the entire world wants access to these wallets/ pocketbooks.

Put another way, no country wants to engage in a prolonged trade war with the U.S. This is particularly true now that we have two months’ worth of U.S. inflation/ GDP data showing that the trade war DID NOT trigger an inflationary spike in the U.S., nor did it trigger an economic contraction. It is clear the U.S. can weather any “hiccups” trade negotiations might cause, particularly now that the Trump administration has abandoned any pretense of austerity and is running the economy hot courtesy of Biden-esque deficits.

Put simply, the trade war is a non-issue for stocks investors and has been for weeks now. This is why the stock market continues to rally despite any trade related issues popping up whether they be with China, Canada, or someone else.

Those investors who panicked and sold during the various trade related issues since the April lows have missed out on extraordinary gains. After erasing $11 trillion in wealth during the first round of the trade war, stocks have steadily climbed a “wall of worry” rallying over, 1,000 points to close at new all-time highs last week.

And while the overall markets is up quite a lot, some stocks with specific qualities have done even better, more than DOUBLING in value from the April lows.

I detail four of them in a special investment report titled Tariff Proof Stocks: Four High Growth Companies Unaffected by the Trade War. Over the last month, they’re up: 22%, 32%, 40% and 100%.

To find out what they are, all you need to do is join our daily market commentary Gains Pains & Capital, and we’ll immediately send you a copy of Tariff Proof Stocks absolutely free.

To do so…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted on June 30, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research | Comments Off

The Powell Fed is Going to Trigger Another Crisis

Posted on June 27, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Fed Chair Jerome Powell has no idea what he’s doing.

I’m not saying this for dramatic effect. Powell’s ignorance of basic macroeconomics was on stark display in his testimony before Congress earlier this week (h/t Bill King).

For months now, the Powell Fed has been warning that inflation was about to appear courtesy of the Trump administration’s tariffs/ trade war. Powell personally has commented that he firmly believes that tariffs would ignite inflation… and that it is prudent for the Fed to NOT cut rates because of this.

However, for all his concerns about inflation, the Fed Chair has just revealed he doesn’t even know the breakdown of the official inflation data. And no, I’m not exaggerating here. In one of the most shocking moments in Fed Chair history, earlier this week, Fed Chair Powell was asked by Representative Jim Hines what percentage of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is comprised of energy data.

Powell’s answer?

“I don’t know that off the top of my head.”

Here’s the transcript of the actual interaction along with a link the video on YouTube (the exchange starts at 01:22:20).

Rep Jim Hines (01:22:20): As a technical matter, we tend to refer to CPI, which is a basket of goods and we measure the price changes. Roughly speaking, what percentage of that basket is comprised of energy?

Powell: I don’t have that on the top of my head. It’s much less than it was, of course. Oil consumption is much less than it was in the ’70s as a percent of GDP, but it’s come…

Rep Hines: But energy includes natural gas and gasoline and that sort… It’s a meaningful portion of the basket?

Powell: Yes, of course, we have so much natural gas, so that’ll always be there for us.

Rep Hines: At what price point does the American household begin to feel some inflationary effects?

Powell: I don’t want to throw out a number. Frankly, it’s too early to say that something like that’s going to happen. And I know you know that, but I wouldn’t want to throw out a specific number. If prices went up materially, people would feel that…

So… the Fed Chair doesn’t know the breakdown of the official inflation measure in the U.S.: the Consumer Price Index or Cpi. Moreover, when describing the U.S.’s energy needs and inflationary impact of price increases, he says things like “we have so much natural gas”… and “If prices went up materially, people would feel that.”

This represents a SHOCKINGLY pedestrian understanding of some of the most critical items under the Fed’s purview. Jerome Powell is not some random economist working at a think tank… he’s the single most powerful central banker in the world: the individual most in control of U.S. monetary policy which shapes the trajectory of the largest, most dynamic economy in the world as well as the world’s reserve currency.

And he doesn’t even know the basic breakdown of the inflation data… the very thing he’s been so worried about for months!

This is going to end in disaster. The Fed is taking the WRONG approach with the economy: focusing excessively on a potential risk while REAL risks are appearing in the labor market.

And the Fed Chair is worried about inflation… even though he can’t even breakdown what data comprises it!

Nothing good can come from this. Indeed, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a stock market crash hit some time in the future when the economy finally rolls over, and the Fed realizes that once again, it’s WAY behind the curve on monetary policy,

With this in mind, we’re keeping a close watch on our proprietary Crash Trigger: a signal that has flashed before every major market downturn in the last 50 years.

We detail it, how it works and what it’s saying about the markets today in How to Predict a Crash. Normally we’d sell this report for $499, but in light of what’s happening today, we’re making just 99 copies available to the investing public.

To pick one up…

How to Profit From Inflation: THREE Investments that will outperform in 2025

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Central Bank Insanity, stock collapse? | Comments Off

I Sincerely Hope You Took Advantage of This!

Posted on June 25, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Two days ago, I wrote an article titled “Are the Markets Signaling a Peace Dividend?”

Fast forward to today, and something of a cease fire is in place, though both Israel and Iran are finding it difficult to bring things to a complete halt.

As a strategist, sometimes you just get lucky with the timing of particular article. But the reason I was correct with this call was because I was able to accurately read what the markets were telling me.

Let me explain…

Ever since the strikes between Israel and Iran began in earnest on June 12th 2025, I’ve noted repeatedly that the markets were signaling that this conflict would A) not last long and B) have minimal impact on the global economy/ financial markets.

I am in no way psychic. And I certainly wasn’t making light of the situation as war is horrible. But the financial markets signaled time and again that this conflict wasn’t going to lead to World War III.

For one thing, stocks never really broke down. Sure, you can argue that “manipulation” or some other force intervened to stop stocks from collapsing, but as we learned during the Trade War in April, when sellers show up in droves, there isn’t much anyone can do (unless the Fed formally launches a major QE program).

In this context, the fact that the stock market barely dipped throughout this conflict between Iran and Israel was a strong sign that this situation was going to be resolved relatively quickly.

Indeed, looking at the price action, you can see that stocks were simply in a period of consolidation… which honestly is a perfectly normal development after a rally like the one stocks have staged since the April 9th lows.

Another “tell” concerning this conflict was the fact that oil never really exploded higher beyond the initial attack. Compare what oil did in the last two weeks (purple oval in the chart below) to what it did when Russia invaded Ukraine (blue oval in the chart below) and you’ll see what I mean. During this recent conflict between Israel and Iran, oil didn’t even clear $75 a barrel for more than a few days! Oil knew that this conflict wasn’t going to escalate into something regional or global in nature.

So again, the markets “knew” that this situation would resolve relatively quickly and that peace would prevail. The doom and gloom crowd who talked about World War III were simply not reading the markets correctly. There were numerous signs that wasn’t going to happen.

This just confirms how important it is to have someone with the right framework and understanding of the markets guiding your investments. If you’d like to receive my daily market commentary delivered to your inbox every day before the market’s open, please use the link below. I’d be delighted to help your navigate volatility and profit from the dominant trends!

We offer THREE special investment reports to all new subscribers. Feel free to pick whichever you like!

How to Predict a Crash: The Secret Signal That Flashed Before 2000, 2007, and 2020 (and what it’s saying now).

Tariff Proof Stocks: Four High Growth Companies Unaffected by the Trade War

Best Regards,

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Geopolitics, stock collapse?, The Markets | Comments Off

Are the Markets Signaling a Peace Dividend?

Posted on June 23, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

The U.S. struck Iranian nuclear facilities overnight on Sunday. As President Trump detailed in his Saturday night address, the U.S. “obliterated” three nuclear sites in a single operation.

The implications of this are vast, but the key ones are that global balance of power has now shifted.

As Bill King notes, Iran has had three primary points of leverage/ strength: its nuclear enrichment, its missile defenses, and its terrorist proxies. According to reports, Iran’s nuclear programs have been decimated. And its missile defenses and proxies have been weakened dramatically.

Iran has vowed to retaliate… but given what the U.S. just accomplished, you have to wonder how wise it would be to do so. If the U.S. can enter Iranian airspace, blow up key facilities, and then leave without being detected, it’s likely not a smart move to engage it further.

Reports are circulating that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has appointed three potential successors. And the U.S. is alleged to be discussing the reinstating of Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi once the Islamic regime falls. The writing is on the wall: regime change is very likely coming to Iran.

The markets certainly seem to be unflustered. Oil jumped initially on threats from Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz, but the commodity has since rolled over and retraced most of the move. Looking at the chart you’d be hard pressed to tell ANYTHING had happened from a geopolitical perspective.

Stock futures opened up on Sunday overnight. As I write this they’re effectively flat. Again, this is telling: the markets are signaling a complete lack of concern about this situation. Of course, anything can happen in geopolitics, but right now, Monday morning, the markets are unfazed.

So where do we go from here?

The potential exists for a positive outcome here. Both Russia and China have lost their most important ally in the Middle East. This weakens them from a strategic standpoint and potentially opens the door to LESS global conflict as Russia just lost one of its biggest military/ economic supporters while China has lost one of its primary sources of oil.

Put simply, it is possible that PEACE and prosperity might come out of this ugly chapter. Of course it’s very early, and things can change at any point, but right now, the markets are discounting a positive future.

And there is a LOT of money to be made with the right investments.

One of them is the AI Revolution. Geopolitics has been grabbing the investing public’s attention for two weeks now, but the AI revolution continues. Tesla just launched its Robotaxi: a completely driverless car that can transport passengers wherever they want to go in comfort. Big Pharma is now using AI in drug development, potentially speeding up the development of life saving treatments. Heck, the State of Mississippi just announced it will be partnering with Nvidia to implement AI education to its workforce.

So while Iran has become the #1 focus for the media, investors need to shift their attention back to AI, where game-changing developments are unfolding on a near weekly basis.

On that note, we just published a new special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About that details three unique investments designed to profit from the ongoing revolution in AI. Best of all, Wall Street has little to no idea these companies even exist, let alone their potential.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI, Geopolitics | Comments Off

Market Update: Things Are Heading the WRONG Direction

Posted on June 18, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Yesterday was a whirlwind of news (some fake) concerning the conflict between Israel and Iran. Among the announcements:

That President Trump left the G-7 meeting early to convene with the National Security Council in the Situation Room to discuss the U.S. potentially striking Iran (this was debunked).
That President Trump was pushing for a ceasefire between Israel and Iran (this was also debunked).
That secret nuclear sites were discovered in Iran (not confirmed).
That the U.S.’s aircraft carrier the U.S.S Nimitz is heading to the Middle East with a strike force capable of hitting Iran.
That the Trump administration is seriously considering joining the war and launching a strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities.
That President Trump is urging people to evacuate Tehran.

At this point, trying to predict what comes next is impossible, particularly when you consider that the Trump administration is known to engage in strategic deception (the leaking of intentionally misleading information) to achieve its goals.

What IS clear is that Iran is growing desperate. Israel has taken out most of the country’s military leaders as well as the Tehran Police headquarters, the Intelligence Ministry, the Iranian Navy’s headquarters, Iran’s Justice Ministry, and the Iranian Air Force’s headquarters.

A desperate Iran is extremely dangerous, particularly if it turns out that the country does in fact have secret nuclear facilities and might in fact already have nuclear weapons. As of Wednesday morning, those reports are unconfirmed… but if true it would certainly explain why the Trump administration appears to be preparing for the U.S. potentially striking Iran.

In terms of the markets, the S&P 500 has broken down out of a rising wedge formation. Typically, this is seen as a bearish development, but thus far sell pressure has been muted.

The perceived weakness in selling pressure is primarily due to the resilience of big tech, which has held up well this week. When you overlay the equal-weighted S&P 500 on top, the breakdown looks more serious.

Moreover, oil continues to spike higher. This is concerning as it suggests something BAD is coming in the Israel/ Iran conflict. If things were about to calm down dramatically, oil would be falling, not rising to new highs.

Put simply, the markets are signaling danger more than peace. Obviously, this is a fluid situation that change at any point, but right now things appear to be heading the WRONG way from a risk perspective.

For more investing insights, join our daily market commentary Gains Pains & Capital. If you do so today, we’ll send you a FREE special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About that details three unique investments designed to profit from the AI revolution.

We made just 99 copies available to the general public. As I write this there are fewer than 50 left. To pick up yours…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Geopolitics, stock collapse? | Comments Off

Investor Alert: The Biggest Opportunities in AI Might NOT Be in Tech

Posted on June 17, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

As I keep emphasizing, the Artificial Intelligence (AI) revolution isn’t just about tech, it’s also about hard assets.

As AI transitions to real world applications with physical AI (robotics, appliances, etc.) demand for commodities/ energy/ hard assets is going to grow exponentially. Every aspect of the AI revolution requires natural resources ranging from copper, cobalt, lithium, natural gas, uranium, and so on.

Consider that depending on its size, a single AI-related data center can require:

One to five tons of lithium
30-100 tons of copper
Up to 1 ton of silicon.
10,000-50,000 tons of concrete
1,000 to 5,000 tons of steel

And so on.

Bear in mind, we’re just talking about data centers here. We’re not even considering the natural resources requirements for robots, electric vehicles, appliances and more.

Some points for consideration:

A single AI-powered robot can require:

25+ pounds of silicon
2.5-10 pounds of copper
25-125 pounds of steel or aluminum
12-60 pounds of lithium, cobalt and nickel (if it runs on EV batteries)
5-25 pounds of plastic

And bear in mind, some experts are anticipating hundreds of thousands if not millions of robots to be manufactured by 2030!

So, if you think AI is just about tech, think again. The AI revolution will ignite opportunities in natural resources as well.

Take a look at some charts to see what I mean.

Copper is in the process of completing a 15-year Cup and Handle formation. There is NOTHING bearish about this chart.

Steel stocks have broken out of a massive consolidation pattern to new highs. Again, there is nothing bearish about this chart.

Uranium is breaking out to the upside after years of consolidation. Here again, this is an extremely bullish chart (many AI companies are opting to supply their energy needs with nuclear power).

This is yet another illustration of our dominant theme: that it is NOT too late to find opportunities to profit from AI-related technological breakthroughs. We are still very much in the adoption phase of AI for many sectors of the economy.

This is great news for investors because it means there’s still a lot of money to be made from this trend. So, if you missed out on the first wave of the AI revolution (the introduction of LLMs) don’t worry, there’s still PLENTY of opportunities to leverage the impact of AI towards profitable investing.

On that note, we just published a new special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About that details three unique investments designed to profit from the revolution in physical AI. Best of all, Wall Street has little to no idea these companies even exist, let alone their potential.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI, Hard Assets | Comments Off

AI-based Lab Assistants Will Soon Be Aiding in Drug Development

Posted on June 16, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

As we keep emphasizing, the AI revolution is nowhere near finished. If anything, AI solutions are now being integrated into new sectors (pharmaceuticals, medical device companies).

As we noted last week, Nvidia (NVDA) is partnering with drug giant Novo Nordisk (NVO) for new drug discovery programs. As FirstWord Pharma noted:

Together, the pair (NVDA and NV) will plumb Novo Nordisk’s library of scientific literature to inform biomedical large language models intended to find correlations between genes, proteins and diseases…

On the discovery front, Novo Nordisk will use a range of NVIDIA offerings to build single-cell algorithms capable of predicting cellular responses to drug candidates and structures, as well as models that can build molecules with drug-like properties.

Source: FirstWord Pharma

NVO is not the only pharmaceutical company NVDA is teaming up with. Late last week it was announced that healthcare giant IQVIA (formerly Quintiles and IMS health, stock symbol IQV) will be using NVDA to power AI-based lab assistants to help its scientists in the development of clinical trials.

IQVIA said its AI agents can support a range of applications, including identifying drug targets, reviewing clinical and scientific literature, analysing clinical data, assessing market opportunities and engaging with healthcare providers.

Source: FirstWord Pharma

As I noted last week, AI has tremendous potential to expedite this process. LLMs can run countless simulations of a specific drug’s development, identifying risks or previously unknown potential where humans cannot.

Both NVO and IQV’s charts are showing promise.

NVO has just broken out of an eight-month downtrend. It is now challenging overhead resistance at $80. A break above that level would open the door to a move to $105.

By way of contrast, IQV shares remain in a downtrend channel (blue lines), but their recent breakout above resistance at $155 opens the door to a run to the top of the channel.

These are yet more illustrations of our dominant theme: that it is NOT too late to find opportunities to profit from AI-related technological breakthroughs. We are still very much in the adoption phase of AI for many sectors of the economy.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI | Comments Off

Special Market Update: What’s REALLY Happening in the Middle East

Posted on June 16, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Israel and the U.S. are seeking regime change in Iran.

Initial reports of Israel’s attack on Iran indicated the former nation was simply seeking to deter the latter from developing nuclear weapons. To that end, Israel took out key nuclear scientists from Iran’s regime with targeted strikes, while also destroying nuclear-related facilities.

However, over the weekend the geopolitical picture became much clearer. Some of the key developments of note:

Israel has destroyed the Tehran Police HQ, Intelligence Ministry, Iranian Navy HQ, Justice Ministry, and Iranian Air Force HQ.
Israel’s intelligence (Mossad) had previously carried out several operations to sabotage Iran’s missile defenses.
Israel destroyed the headquarters for Iran’s “riot police” which have been responsible for suppressing political uprisings against the country’s Islamic leadership.
The U.S. is alleged to have been coordinating with Israel throughout the attacks.

The last revelation is key.

IF the U.S. has been involved in this entire process, then it is clear the goal was regime change in Iran, not simply crippling Iran’s nuclear development programs.

The financial markets appear to be confirming this.

If the markets were discounting a global conflagration/ World War III scenario, stock futures would be collapsing. They’re not. As I write this Monday morning, futures are UP, not down. This suggests that Iran’s current government will fall shortly, and the situation will be resolved without global escalation. Indeed, when you at the chart of the S&P 500’s futures, you’d be hard pressed to even tell there was a major conflict underway!

Having said that, while stocks are not indicating anything major, the currency markets are.

Historically, the $USD has been considered a safe-haven during periods of geopolitical upset or surprise: the greenback rallied 2% during the 9/11 attacks as well as when Russia invaded Ukraine.

Not this time.

The $USD has barely bounced at all since Israel first attacked Iran Thursday night. In fact, as I write this Monday morning, the $USD is DOWN. Looking at the chart you’d never even know that anything had happened on the geopolitical front. And this is during a regime change in Iran that has major geopolitical consequences for the balance of power (Iran is a close ally of Russia, China imports 90% of Iran’s oil, etc.).

So, the fact the $USD hasn’t rallied during this entire episode is very telling. And it is telling investors that the markets are now in a weak $USD regime… even during periods of heightened geopolitical risk.

That is what we in the investing business call a major “tell,” indicative that a new trend is unfolding that has the opportunity for MAJOR returns.

This report explains WHY the $USD is so weak, what it means for the markets, and which investments will perform best in this new environment.

We made 99 copies available to the general public. As I write this, there are only 29 left.

To pick up yours…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Geopolitics, Inflation, Weak $USD | Comments Off

Is the $USD No Longer a Safe Haven!?!

Posted on June 14, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

The conflict between Israel and Iran is revealing some startling facts about the financial system.

As Zerohedge noted in an excellent write up of recent developments, Iran struck Israel with multiple missile attacks overnight. As of the time of this writing, there are at least 60 Israelis wounded, 78 Iranians dead, and more than 320 Iranians wounded. We have no idea how this will play out as we cannot claim to be experts on Middle Eastern geopolitics.

What we can note however is how the financial system is reacting to this conflict…

On Friday, the day after the attacks by Israel on Iran, the $USD barely rallied. The greenback did jump on the initial news hitting the wires around 8PM but then traded sideways for the remainder of the session. Looking at the chart, you’d be hard pressed to identify that a potential major global conflict was underway.

This is shocking. Historically, the $USD has rallied hard as a safe haven during geopolitical turmoil, e.g. the $USD rallied 2% on 9/11, as well as when Russia invaded Ukraine. That is NOT happening this time. Instead, the $USD is barely rallying at all.

Of course, one single day of weak $USD action in the face of geopolitical conflict doesn’t necessarily translate to anything major. But when you consider how the $USD acted relative to gold, the story becomes more interesting.

Gold erupted higher on Friday. Denominated in $USD, the precious metal hit new all-time highs. Gold also hit new all-time highs when priced in Yen. And it’s not far from doing so when priced in Euros or Swiss Francs.

See for yourself…

This is, effectively, the financial system signaling A) geopolitical risk B) another round of money printing is coming C) gold is now disconnecting from its historical relationships to the fiat currencies and is becoming a standalone asset.

Regarding that last point it was just revealed that gold has surpassed the Euro as the 2^nd most owned reserve asset by global central banks. Put another way, central banks want to own gold more than Yen, Euros, Yuan, or any other currency (save the $USD).

That is a tectonic shift. And as investors, our job is to take note of it and invest accordingly.

This report explains WHY the $USD is so weak, what it means for the markets, and which investments will perform best in this new environment.

We made 99 copies available to the general public. As I write this, there are only 39 left.

To pick up yours…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

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Urgent Market Update: the Middle East

Posted on June 13, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Israel bombed Iran last night.

This is a complicated situation and frankly no one (not even the President of the United States, apparently) has all the information. I make that last point because we now know that Israel struck Iran despite President Trump urging them not to.

Israel’s attack was two pronged, focusing on:

Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Key scientists/ leaders involved in Iran’s nuclear enrichment programs.

Israel’s justification for the attack is that Iran was within “weeks” of being capable of building a nuclear weapon. Since Iran has commented previously that it intends to wipe Israel off the face of the earth, this presented an existential threat. I’m not justifying Israel’s actions; I’m merely presenting its leaders’ reasoning for why they did what they did.

The implications of this development are numerous. Some of the bigger ones of note:

The U.S. was not involved in the attack. In fact, Israel acted against the U.S.’s advice.
Israel has stated it will continue its attacks until the “threat is gone.” This is not a single event.
How will Iran respond? Did Israel cripple Iran’s defenses adequately to stop a full-scale response or not?
Iran has political and economic ties to both Russia and China. In this context, Israel’s move has the potential to involve larger nations both of which have tenuous relationships with the U.S. (Russia/ the U.S. are negotiating a ceasefire in Ukraine, while China/ the U.S. are negotiating a trade deal).
Will other countries in the Middle East get involved in the situation?

And more.

Given the countries/ alliances involved, there is the potential for a very serious global conflict here. We can only hope and pray things don’t come to that.

Rather than waxing geopolitical on an extremely complicated topic that even experts frequently get wrong, investors are better served taking note of how the markets responded to this event.

That response…

Stocks dropped. Gold and Oil rallied. And the $USD initially DROPPED and is barely rallying!

That last point is key.

For decades the $USD has been considered a safe haven asset to which capital has flocked during times of global turmoil. During 9/11, the $USD rallied 2%. When Russia invaded Ukraine, it jumped a similar amount.

The $USD is NOT doing that this time. In fact, as I write this, it’s only up 0.6%. Given the geopolitical significance of what has just happened this is an incredibly muted response. Indeed, in the context of the $USD’s typical price action the move is barely noticeable.

This is a major “tell” from the financial system. We are in a new currency regime: one that will be defined by $USD weakness, even during times of geopolitical stress.

With that in mind, investors need to allocate capital accordingly: focusing on those investments that will produce extraordinary gains in face of $USD weakness.

I’m talking about natural resources/ hard assets.

To be clear: this trend was already well underway before Israel struck Iran. Gold has broken out against every major currency and is approaching all-time highs against the $USD.

Other hard assets charts are exhibiting similar signs of bullishness.

To be clear: there is a LOT of money to be made here with the right investments. These kinds of systemic trends only come around once in a blue moon, which is why you NEED to invest accordingly when they show up.

We recently detailed three investments that will profit beautifully from a weak $USD in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit From Inflation.

This report explains WHY the $USD is so weak, what it means for the markets, and which investments will perform best in this new environment.

We made 99 copies available to the general public. As I write this, there are only 39 left.

To pick up yours…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Geopolitics, The Markets, Weak $USD | Comments Off

AI is Going to Generate a MASSIVE Boom in Hard Assets

Posted on June 12, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

by Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is going to ignite a boom in hard assets.

As I’ve laid out in the last few articles, the AI revolution is moving into its next phase: physical AI. This is the phase in which AI software is integrated with physical hardware (robots, appliances, automobiles, etc.).

Some recent developments:

Tesla (TSLA) is preparing to launch its robotaxis: Full-Self Driving (FSD) cars that can transport a passenger anywhere, even through pedestrian-clogged cities without assistance.
Meta (META) has launched a new AI model, V-JEPA 2 designed to interact with the physical world. The model is capable of understanding physical reality to the point of acknowledging that items out of sight continue to exist and move. META will be integrating this into countless technologies.
Nvidia (NVDA) introduced a physical-AI software update, Isaac GR00T-Dreams, that will be used to synthesize motion data for robotics. Agility Robotics, Boston Dynamics, Fourier, Foxlink, Galbot, Mentee Robotics, NEURA Robotics, General Robotics, Skild AI and XPENG Robotics are all already using this new platform.

Thus far we’ve focused on tech aspect of these developments: namely the tech companies that are investing in and developing this technology. However, there is another component to the physical AI revolution that investors need to know about.

Hard assets and energy

Robots, cars, appliances, etc. all require a tremendous amount of materials and energy for development and manufacturing. The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts a 160% rise in electricity demand by 2030 driven by AI-related items. AI data centers alone are expected to account for 21% of all global energy demand by 2030… and that’s not even accounting for the impact of physical AI!

The AI revolution will also create MASSIVE demand for copper, aluminum, tin, steel, silver and slew of other natural resources. A single data center requires 5,000 to 10,000 metric tons of copper for cabling and equipment. An AI-controlled robot can require anywhere from 50-100lbs of copper… and experts are anticipating MILLIONS of robots to hit market by 2030. Indeed, by some estimates, AI could increase copper demand by 15%-20% annually through 2030.

And on and on.

Put simply, the AI story is not just about advanced tech, it’s also about commodities and hard assets. This is going to ignite a boom that few investors understand: true fortunes created not just in software and robots but ALSO in mining and production.

The markets know this too. Take a look at the extremely bullish formation the commodities index is forming.

How about uranium? Many AI companies are opting for to meet their energy needs with nuclear fuel. Does this chart look bearish to you?

Put simply, investors need to focus on more than just the tech-aspect of AI. The materials demands are going to be massive. In this sense the AI revolution will drive hundreds of billions if not trillions of dollars in capital allocation both on the tech side… and the hard assets demand side.

Smart investors are carefully allocating capital to both trends in anticipation of this.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI, Hard Assets | Comments Off

Why Mark Zuckerberg Just Wrote a $15 BILLION Check

Posted on June 11, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Mark Zuckerberg is getting frustrated.

As I noted yesterday, Apple (AAPL) has dropped out of the AI race. This means that Microsoft/Open AI, Meta, Alphabet and xAI are now competing for the top slot in the development of AI networks/ learning models. And as leadership at MSFT and META have made clear, this is a “winner takes all” situation, which is why these companies are burning through hundreds of billions of dollars as they build out their AI networks in a bid to emerge as THE market leader.

If you believe this story has played out, you’re mistaken.

Mark Zuckerberg is so displeased with META’s progress in the AI race that he’s allocating nearly $15 billion to partner with a start-up Scale AI to develop a superintelligence lab. Superintelligence is the concept of an AI-model that knows more than humanity’s collective intelligence. And Zuckerberg has deemed this project so critical to META’s future that he is personally hiring the people involved in the project, offering compensation packages of seven to NINE figures.

What are the implications for investors?

The AI race is not over by any stretch of the imagination. Sure, companies like Nvidia (NVDA) and Meta (META) may have seen their share prices trade sideways for the last few months, but that is normal price action after a bull run like the one AI companies experienced from 2022-2024. And assuming that this means the AI revolution is over is a BIG mistake.

See for yourself.

Nvidia (NVDA): this chart is NOT bearish by any means. NVDA shares are on the verge of breaking out of a 14-month consolidation pattern. Does anyone really think NVDA shares are about to collapse when demand for its hardware will be increasing dramatically as AI enters its next phase of development (physical AI/ superintelligence)?

Meta (META) shares are roaring higher after a weak start to 2025. It’s rarely a good idea to bet against Mark Zuckerberg, especially given his new aggressive push to catch up in the AI-race. The man is willing to throw his entire company behind a project if it’s a “winner takes all” situation like the AI race. Again, this is a NOT a bearish stock setup by any stretch of the imagination.

Having said that, it’s worth noting that both NVDA and META are already multi-TRILLION dollar companies. Are they really capable of growing exponentially from here? Is the monetary potential for AI really worth adding another trillion dollars in market capitalization for either company?

I don’t have an answer to that.

What is clear is that there are VERY deep pockets looking to acquire/ invest in smaller, rapidly growing players in the AI space (again, Meta is about to allocate $15 BILLION to a single deal). This means that investors have the potential to lock in extraordinary gains as Big Tech continues to be on a buying spree in its hunt for growth and competitive advantages.

Put simply, there is still a LOT of money to be made from investing in the AI space. Which is why subscribers of our elite stock picking service are putting capital to work in AI opportunities that have truly massive upside potential.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI, Big Tech | Comments Off

Forget the Trump/ Elon Divorce, This is Where You Need to Focus

Posted on June 10, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

The breakdown of the relationship between Elon Musk and President Trump has raised many questions for investors.

In case you’ve been living under a rock, the relationship between the world’s wealthiest man, Elon Musk and the world’s most powerful man, President Donald Trump has imploded in spectacular fashion.

In the last five days…

Musk criticized the President’s Big Beautiful Bill publicly, saying it would lead Americans to “debt slavery.”
The President suggested that the U.S. government terminate contracts and subsidies with Musk’s companies.
Musk advocate for the President to be impeached, thereby installing Vice President JD Vance as President.
The President call Musk a “big time drug addict.”
Musk retweet social media posts suggesting the President was a friend of Jeffrey Epstein

And more.

It is not unusual for wealthy, powerful people to get into feuds with other wealthy, powerful people. However, the speed and intensity of the collapse in relations between Musk and Trump is jaw-dropping, especially when you consider just how close the two were prior to this.

Musk openly endorsed Trump, campaigned with him, got him on the Joe Rogan podcast which allowed Trump access to millions of people who might not have listened to him seriously. Musk also spent tens of millions of dollars getting Trump elected. And most importantly, Musk connected the President to numerous Silicon Valley heavy hitters, allowing him (Trump) to get establishment backing from some of the deepest pockets and most connected insiders in the world.

In return, Trump made Musk one of his closest confidants and advisors, installed Musk as the head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), and gave him the proverbial keys to the entire bureaucracy, granting Musk access to data, power, and entities that few if any humans have ever had.

And somehow all of this went down the toilet in the span of a single week. And while Musk has expressed an interest in patching things up, the President has made it clear he wants nothing to do with Musk and has moved on.

This raises the question…was the friendship ever really genuine, or did Trump use Musk to get into office?

The reality is that in order to become President of the U.S. today, a candidate MUST have a relationship to big business, specifically Big Tech. Big Tech, more than any other segment of the economy holds the keys to power. It was Big Tech that hurt Trump the most during the 2020 election, deplatforming Trump and his supporters while suppressing stories that were damaging to the Biden candidacy.

In this context, the friendship with Musk gave Trump the opportunity to get into Big Tech’s graces. And boy did he. One of the most telling photos of the second Trump inauguration was the President being sworn into office while the CEOs of Google, Facebook, Amazon, and other big tech firms sitting in a row just a few feet behind him next to the President’s family and closest cabinet members.

Did Trump play these guys for suckers?

Put another way, was the friendship with Musk real… or was Musk used by Trump to get access to Big Tech, their checkbooks, and their support?

Time will tell. And depending on how this plays out, it could have a dramatic impact on the stock market.

The S&P 500 is HEAVILY weighted towards Tech. Not only is Tech most heavily weighted sector, but it is in more important than the 2^nd and 3^rd heaviest weighted sectors combined!

Big Tech (companies like Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, etc.) accounts for almost 25% of the S&P 500’s weighting. These are the largest, most profitable companies in history. And to be blunt, it is VERY difficult for the stock market to rally without these companies participating.

So… if the Trump/ Elon feud spills over into the rest of Silicon Valley, it could very well decide how the rest of 2025 plays out as far as stock are concerned. The President was already on shaky ground with some of these companies (Apple, Amazon) due to the trade war/ tariff issues.

Having said that, while Big Tech might struggle there are truly spectacular opportunities in tech right, specifically in the AI space. While most of the world focuses on Nvidia, the biggest investment opportunities (and potentially the largest gains) are actually in off the beaten path, unique AI plays few if any investors know about.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

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Apple’s Announcement Could Mean TRIPLE Digit Gains For Investors

Posted on June 10, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Yesterday marked a major moment in the development of Artificial Intelligence (AI).

In case you missed it, yesterday was Apple’s (AAPL) Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC): AAPL’s annual event during which the company unveils new technology, software updates and new features to its product ecosystem.

The company unveiled several new items, specifically the introduction of Liquid Glass: a software update that mimics the translucency and refraction of glass on AAPL device screens. It’s stunning to see rendering images in crisp lucid tones. And for the first time AAPL will be introducing a feature across platforms working on iPads, laptops, desktops and even TVs.

However, the big news from AAPL’s WWDC wasn’t Liquid Glass. In fact, it wasn’t any specific announcement AAPL made. The biggest news was what AAPL didn’tannounce.

AAPL didn’t announce anything related to AI.

AAPL is a $3 trillion tech company. It is the 3rd largest company in the world. And for decades it has been at the forefront of technological innovation, developing the iPod, iPhone, iPad and other groundbreaking devices that have become loved by consumers worldwide.

In this context, the fact AAPL has effectively abandoned any pretensions of developing a major AI infrastructure is extremely telling. Specifically, it tells us that:

The race for dominance in AI infrastructure is now between Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and xAI.
The AI revolution is now pivoting to phase 2: physical AI.

Regarding #1, big tech is currently spending hundreds of billions of dollars developing AI networks/ infrastructure. It is unclear who will ultimately emerge as the leader in this process but based on comments by Meta’s Market Zukerberg and Microsoft’s Satya Nadella, this is a “winner takes all” opportunity. As such, these companies are willing to burn through mountains of cash for the chance to become the dominant player in the space.

Which brings us to #2, which is in fact the BIGGER opportunity for investors. The AI revolution is now pivoting to Phase 2: physical AI.

Put simply, for AAPL to drop out of the AI infrastructure race is a signal that the software phase in AI development is coming to an end. Put another way, the BIG money has already been made here. Indeed, companies like Nvidia and Meta and Amazon all rising triple digits since AI first took the investing world by storm.

This means the next phase of the AI revolution is about to begin. I’m talking about physical AI: where AI software is integrated with hardware (robots, tools and other devices).

Why is this so exciting?

Because investors make BIG money when they move early into a major market trend. And it is clear that the next major market trend is going to be physical AI.

Take a look at Richtech Robotics (RR), a smallcap physical AI robotics company that manufactures robots for the restaurant industry, and you’ll see what I mean. After consolidating for two years the chart broke out the upside in late 2024/ early 2025 (green line in the chart below). And as I write this, RR shares have just broken out of a falling wedge formation signaling that the next leg up is likely about to begin. Please note this is a VERY small company and shares are volatile. So be sure to do your due diligence before putting any capital to work.

We are in the process of putting the final touches on a new special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About. It will detail three investments in the physical AI space that Wall Street has no idea even exist, let alone their potential.

To make sure you receive a copy as soon this report is ready, all you need to do is join our daily market commentary Gains Pains & Capital.

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Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

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Is the U.S. Becoming An Emerging Market?

Posted on June 8, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

LA is being engulfed in riots… again.

Footage shows “protestors” storming ICE centers, destroying property, blocking traffic and worse. The media, as usual, is providing moral cover for these actions because apparently the law shouldn’t apply to you provided you support the correct political causes.

As I watch the footage, a thought keeps coming back to me…

Is the U.S. becoming an emerging market?

Everywhere you look, there are signs.

Endemic corruption… a two-tiered society in which more and more wealth is concentrated in the hands of fewer and fewer individuals… jaw dropping levels of debt in every segment of society (corporate, municipal, personal, and of course, national)… phony government data that has no connection to economic realities… a permanent bureaucracy that really runs things, rendering elections almost useless… a weak currency that buys less and less every year… and of course, a class of media gatekeepers who keep telling us everything is fine and that we need to trust decisionmakers.

Of all these issues, the $USD poses the greatest concern. The only reason the U.S. has been able to get away with its obscene debt levels is because it controls the reserve currency of the world. But the defining characteristic of the $USD is that it loses value every year. Indeed, the greenback has lost over a THIRD of its purchasing power since 2008.

Throughout this period, the U.S. added over $25 trillion in debt on a national level while corporations issued $7 trillion in debt, and the private sector took on over $16 trillion in debt. The typical American has over $7,000 in credit card debt, $252,000 in mortgage debt, and possible $25,000 in auto loans or even more in student loans. And incomes for the bottom 20% of earners haven’t grown 20 years.

This is the real reason people are so Fed up. Sure, much of the “protests” we hear about are organized and funded, not organic, but would people really be signing up to go protest if they were happy with their lot in life? Does anyone with a decent job who doesn’t feel like the system is rigged really want to go lose their mind in public on a weekend?

Who knows. But all of this is feeling more and more like the U.S. has crossed some line… some point at which things no longer make sense when you look at them from the perspective of a civilized society.

What does this mean for the markets?

The defining characteristic for an emerging market economy is higher inflation due to a weak currency. The U.S. certainly looks to be heading that way. Most of the stock markets’ returns in the last decade have been due to the $USD losing so much value, NOT real organic growth. If you price stocks in gold, the S&P 500 is trading at the same levels it hit in 2013!

Put simply, the only way to maintain your purchasing power or better yet, grow your wealth, is to have exposure to investments that profit from inflation.

We recently detailed three such investments in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit From Inflation. It shows you where to put your capital to ensure that your money is working for you, not falling behind due to a weak $USD.

Normally, we’d only share this information with our paying clients, but with the U.S. exhibiting more and more signs of becoming an emerging market, we are making 99 copies available to the general investing public.

To pick up yours…