Market Update: Things Are Heading the WRONG Direction

Posted on June 18, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Yesterday was a whirlwind of news (some fake) concerning the conflict between Israel and Iran. Among the announcements:

  1. That President Trump left the G-7 meeting early to convene with the National Security Council in the Situation Room to discuss the U.S. potentially striking Iran (this was debunked).
  2. That President Trump was pushing for a ceasefire between Israel and Iran (this was also debunked).
  3. That secret nuclear sites were discovered in Iran (not confirmed).
  4. That the U.S.’s aircraft carrier the U.S.S Nimitz is heading to the Middle East with a strike force capable of hitting Iran.
  5. That the Trump administration is seriously considering joining the war and launching a strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities. 
  6. That President Trump is urging people to evacuate Tehran.

At this point, trying to predict what comes next is impossible, particularly when you consider that the Trump administration is known to engage in strategic deception (the leaking of intentionally misleading information) to achieve its goals.

What IS clear is that Iran is growing desperate. Israel has taken out most of the country’s military leaders as well as the Tehran Police headquarters, the Intelligence Ministry, the Iranian Navy’s headquarters, Iran’s Justice Ministry, and the Iranian Air Force’s headquarters.

A desperate Iran is extremely dangerous, particularly if it turns out that the country does in fact have secret nuclear facilities and might in fact already have nuclear weapons. As of Wednesday morning, those reports are unconfirmed… but if true it would certainly explain why the Trump administration appears to be preparing for the U.S. potentially striking Iran.

In terms of the markets, the S&P 500 has broken down out of a rising wedge formation. Typically, this is seen as a bearish development, but thus far sell pressure has been muted.

The perceived weakness in selling pressure is primarily due to the resilience of big tech, which has held up well this week. When you overlay the equal-weighted S&P 500 on top, the breakdown looks more serious.

Moreover, oil continues to spike higher. This is concerning as it suggests something BAD is coming in the Israel/ Iran conflict. If things were about to calm down dramatically, oil would be falling, not rising to new highs.

Put simply, the markets are signaling danger more than peace. Obviously, this is a fluid situation that change at any point, but right now things appear to be heading the WRONG way from a risk perspective.

For more investing insights, join our daily market commentary Gains Pains & Capital. If you do so today, we’ll send you a FREE special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About that details three unique investments designed to profit from the AI revolution.

We made just 99 copies available to the general public. As I write this there are fewer than 50 left. To pick up yours…

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Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Geopolitics, stock collapse? | Comments Off on Market Update: Things Are Heading the WRONG Direction

Investor Alert: The Biggest Opportunities in AI Might NOT Be in Tech

Posted on June 17, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

As I keep emphasizing, the Artificial Intelligence (AI) revolution isn’t just about tech, it’s also about hard assets.

As AI transitions to real world applications with physical AI (robotics, appliances, etc.) demand for commodities/ energy/ hard assets is going to grow exponentially. Every aspect of the AI revolution requires natural resources ranging from copper, cobalt, lithium, natural gas, uranium, and so on.

Consider that depending on its size, a single AI-related data center can require:

  1. One to five tons of lithium
  2. 30-100 tons of copper
  3. Up to 1 ton of silicon.
  4. 10,000-50,000 tons of concrete
  5. 1,000 to 5,000 tons of steel

And so on.

Bear in mind, we’re just talking about data centers here. We’re not even considering the natural resources requirements for robots, electric vehicles, appliances and more.

Some points for consideration:

A single AI-powered robot can require:

  1. 25+ pounds of silicon
  2. 2.5-10 pounds of copper
  3. 25-125 pounds of steel or aluminum
  4. 12-60 pounds of lithium, cobalt and nickel (if it runs on EV batteries)
  5. 5-25 pounds of plastic

And bear in mind, some experts are anticipating hundreds of thousands if not millions of robots to be manufactured by 2030!

So, if you think AI is just about tech, think again. The AI revolution will ignite opportunities in natural resources as well.

Take a look at some charts to see what I mean.

Copper is in the process of completing a 15-year Cup and Handle formation. There is NOTHING bearish about this chart.

Steel stocks have broken out of a massive consolidation pattern to new highs. Again, there is nothing bearish about this chart.

Uranium is breaking out to the upside after years of consolidation. Here again, this is an extremely bullish chart (many AI companies are opting to supply their energy needs with nuclear power).

This is yet another illustration of our dominant theme: that it is NOT too late to find opportunities to profit from AI-related technological breakthroughs. We are still very much in the adoption phase of AI for many sectors of the economy.

This is great news for investors because it means there’s still a lot of money to be made from this trend. So, if you missed out on the first wave of the AI revolution (the introduction of LLMs) don’t worry, there’s still PLENTY of opportunities to leverage the impact of AI towards profitable investing.

On that note, we just published a new special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About that details three unique investments designed to profit from the revolution in physical AI. Best of all, Wall Street has little to no idea these companies even exist, let alone their potential.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

Click Here Now!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI, Hard Assets | Comments Off on Investor Alert: The Biggest Opportunities in AI Might NOT Be in Tech

AI-based Lab Assistants Will Soon Be Aiding in Drug Development

Posted on June 16, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

As we keep emphasizing, the AI revolution is nowhere near finished. If anything, AI solutions are now being integrated into new sectors (pharmaceuticals, medical device companies).

As we noted last week, Nvidia (NVDA) is partnering with drug giant Novo Nordisk (NVO) for new drug discovery programs. As FirstWord Pharma noted:

Together, the pair (NVDA and NV) will plumb Novo Nordisk’s library of scientific literature to inform biomedical large language models intended to find correlations between genes, proteins and diseases…

On the discovery front, Novo Nordisk will use a range of NVIDIA offerings to build single-cell algorithms capable of predicting cellular responses to drug candidates and structures, as well as models that can build molecules with drug-like properties.

Source: FirstWord Pharma

NVO is not the only pharmaceutical company NVDA is teaming up with. Late last week it was announced that healthcare giant IQVIA (formerly Quintiles and IMS health, stock symbol IQV) will be using NVDA to power AI-based lab assistants to help its scientists in the development of clinical trials.

IQVIA said its AI agents can support a range of applications, including identifying drug targets, reviewing clinical and scientific literature, analysing clinical data, assessing market opportunities and engaging with healthcare providers. 

Source: FirstWord Pharma

As I noted last week, AI has tremendous potential to expedite this process. LLMs can run countless simulations of a specific drug’s development, identifying risks or previously unknown potential where humans cannot.

Both NVO and IQV’s charts are showing promise.

NVO has just broken out of an eight-month downtrend. It is now challenging overhead resistance at $80. A break above that level would open the door to a move to $105.

By way of contrast, IQV shares remain in a downtrend channel (blue lines), but their recent breakout above resistance at $155 opens the door to a run to the top of the channel.

These are yet more illustrations of our dominant theme: that it is NOT too late to find opportunities to profit from AI-related technological breakthroughs. We are still very much in the adoption phase of AI for many sectors of the economy.

This is great news for investors because it means there’s still a lot of money to be made from this trend. So, if you missed out on the first wave of the AI revolution (the introduction of LLMs) don’t worry, there’s still PLENTY of opportunities to leverage the impact of AI towards profitable investing.

On that note, we just published a new special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About that details three unique investments designed to profit from the revolution in physical AI. Best of all, Wall Street has little to no idea these companies even exist, let alone their potential.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

Click Here Now!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI | Comments Off on AI-based Lab Assistants Will Soon Be Aiding in Drug Development

Special Market Update: What’s REALLY Happening in the Middle East

Posted on June 16, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Israel and the U.S. are seeking regime change in Iran.

Initial reports of Israel’s attack on Iran indicated the former nation was simply seeking to deter the latter from developing nuclear weapons. To that end, Israel took out key nuclear scientists from Iran’s regime with targeted strikes, while also destroying nuclear-related facilities.

However, over the weekend the geopolitical picture became much clearer. Some of the key developments of note:

  1. Israel has destroyed the Tehran Police HQ, Intelligence Ministry, Iranian Navy HQ, Justice Ministry, and Iranian Air Force HQ.
  2. Israel’s intelligence (Mossad) had previously carried out several operations to sabotage Iran’s missile defenses.
  3. Israel destroyed the headquarters for Iran’s “riot police” which have been responsible for suppressing political uprisings against the country’s Islamic leadership.
  4. The U.S. is alleged to have been coordinating with Israel throughout the attacks.

The last revelation is key.

IF the U.S. has been involved in this entire process, then it is clear the goal was regime change in Iran, not simply crippling Iran’s nuclear development programs.

The financial markets appear to be confirming this.

If the markets were discounting a global conflagration/ World War III scenario, stock futures would be collapsing. They’re not. As I write this Monday morning, futures are UP, not down. This suggests that Iran’s current government will fall shortly, and the situation will be resolved without global escalation. Indeed, when you at the chart of the S&P 500’s futures, you’d be hard pressed to even tell there was a major conflict underway!

Having said that, while stocks are not indicating anything major, the currency markets are.

Historically, the $USD has been considered a safe-haven during periods of geopolitical upset or surprise: the greenback rallied 2% during the 9/11 attacks as well as when Russia invaded Ukraine.

Not this time.

The $USD has barely bounced at all since Israel first attacked Iran Thursday night. In fact, as I write this Monday morning, the $USD is DOWN. Looking at the chart you’d never even know that anything had happened on the geopolitical front. And this is during a regime change in Iran that has major geopolitical consequences for the balance of power (Iran is a close ally of Russia, China imports 90% of Iran’s oil, etc.).

So, the fact the $USD hasn’t rallied during this entire episode is very telling. And it is telling investors that the markets are now in a weak $USD regime… even during periods of heightened geopolitical risk.

That is what we in the investing business call a major “tell,” indicative that a new trend is unfolding that has the opportunity for MAJOR returns.

On that note, we recently detailed three investments that will profit beautifully from as capital flees fiat currencies for inflation hedges/ non-fiat in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit From Inflation.

This report explains WHY the $USD is so weak, what it means for the markets, and which investments will perform best in this new environment.

We made 99 copies available to the general public. As I write this, there are only 29 left.

To pick up yours…

CLICK HERE NOW.

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Geopolitics, Inflation, Weak $USD | Comments Off on Special Market Update: What’s REALLY Happening in the Middle East

Is the $USD No Longer a Safe Haven!?!

Posted on June 14, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

The conflict between Israel and Iran is revealing some startling facts about the financial system.

As Zerohedge noted in an excellent write up of recent developments, Iran struck Israel with multiple missile attacks overnight. As of the time of this writing, there are at least 60 Israelis wounded, 78 Iranians dead, and more than 320 Iranians wounded. We have no idea how this will play out as we cannot claim to be experts on Middle Eastern geopolitics.

What we can note however is how the financial system is reacting to this conflict…

On Friday, the day after the attacks by Israel on Iran, the $USD barely rallied. The greenback did jump on the initial news hitting the wires around 8PM but then traded sideways for the remainder of the session. Looking at the chart, you’d be hard pressed to identify that a potential major global conflict was underway.

This is shocking. Historically, the $USD has rallied hard as a safe haven during geopolitical turmoil, e.g. the $USD rallied 2% on 9/11, as well as when Russia invaded Ukraine. That is NOT happening this time. Instead, the $USD is barely rallying at all.

Of course, one single day of weak $USD action in the face of geopolitical conflict doesn’t necessarily translate to anything major. But when you consider how the $USD acted relative to gold, the story becomes more interesting.

Gold erupted higher on Friday. Denominated in $USD, the precious metal hit new all-time highs. Gold also hit new all-time highs when priced in Yen. And it’s not far from doing so when priced in Euros or Swiss Francs.

See for yourself…

This is, effectively, the financial system signaling A) geopolitical risk B) another round of money printing is coming C) gold is now disconnecting from its historical relationships to the fiat currencies and is becoming a standalone asset.

Regarding that last point it was just revealed that gold has surpassed the Euro as the 2nd most owned reserve asset by global central banks. Put another way, central banks want to own gold more than Yen, Euros, Yuan, or any other currency (save the $USD).

That is a tectonic shift. And as investors, our job is to take note of it and invest accordingly.

On that note, we recently detailed three investments that will profit beautifully from as capital flees fiat currencies for inflation hedges/ non-fiat in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit From Inflation.

This report explains WHY the $USD is so weak, what it means for the markets, and which investments will perform best in this new environment.

We made 99 copies available to the general public. As I write this, there are only 39 left.

To pick up yours…

CLICK HERE NOW.

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Weak $USD | Comments Off on Is the $USD No Longer a Safe Haven!?!

Urgent Market Update: the Middle East

Posted on June 13, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Israel bombed Iran last night.

This is a complicated situation and frankly no one (not even the President of the United States, apparently) has all the information. I make that last point because we now know that Israel struck Iran despite President Trump urging them not to.

Israel’s attack was two pronged, focusing on:

  1. Iran’s nuclear facilities.
  2. Key scientists/ leaders involved in Iran’s nuclear enrichment programs.

Israel’s justification for the attack is that Iran was within “weeks” of being capable of building a nuclear weapon. Since Iran has commented previously that it intends to wipe Israel off the face of the earth, this presented an existential threat. I’m not justifying Israel’s actions; I’m merely presenting its leaders’ reasoning for why they did what they did.

The implications of this development are numerous. Some of the bigger ones of note:

  1. The U.S. was not involved in the attack. In fact, Israel acted against the U.S.’s advice.
  2. Israel has stated it will continue its attacks until the “threat is gone.” This is not a single event.
  3. How will Iran respond? Did Israel cripple Iran’s defenses adequately to stop a full-scale response or not?
  4. Iran has political and economic ties to both Russia and China. In this context, Israel’s move has the potential to involve larger nations both of which have tenuous relationships with the U.S. (Russia/ the U.S. are negotiating a ceasefire in Ukraine, while China/ the U.S. are negotiating a trade deal).
  5. Will other countries in the Middle East get involved in the situation?

And more.

Given the countries/ alliances involved, there is the potential for a very serious global conflict here. We can only hope and pray things don’t come to that.

Rather than waxing geopolitical on an extremely complicated topic that even experts frequently get wrong, investors are better served taking note of how the markets responded to this event.

That response…

Stocks dropped. Gold and Oil rallied. And the $USD initially DROPPED and is barely rallying!

That last point is key.

For decades the $USD has been considered a safe haven asset to which capital has flocked during times of global turmoil. During 9/11, the $USD rallied 2%. When Russia invaded Ukraine, it jumped a similar amount.

The $USD is NOT doing that this time. In fact, as I write this, it’s only up 0.6%. Given the geopolitical significance of what has just happened this is an incredibly muted response. Indeed, in the context of the $USD’s typical price action the move is barely noticeable.

This is a major “tell” from the financial system. We are in a new currency regime: one that will be defined by $USD weakness, even during times of geopolitical stress.

With that in mind, investors need to allocate capital accordingly: focusing on those investments that will produce extraordinary gains in face of $USD weakness.

I’m talking about natural resources/ hard assets.

To be clear: this trend was already well underway before Israel struck Iran. Gold has broken out against every major currency and is approaching all-time highs against the $USD.

Other hard assets charts are exhibiting similar signs of bullishness.

To be clear: there is a LOT of money to be made here with the right investments. These kinds of systemic trends only come around once in a blue moon, which is why you NEED to invest accordingly when they show up.

We recently detailed three investments that will profit beautifully from a weak $USD in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit From Inflation.

This report explains WHY the $USD is so weak, what it means for the markets, and which investments will perform best in this new environment.

We made 99 copies available to the general public. As I write this, there are only 39 left.

To pick up yours…

CLICK HERE NOW.

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Geopolitics, The Markets, Weak $USD | Comments Off on Urgent Market Update: the Middle East

AI is Going to Generate a MASSIVE Boom in Hard Assets

Posted on June 12, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

by Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is going to ignite a boom in hard assets.

As I’ve laid out in the last few articles, the AI revolution is moving into its next phase: physical AI. This is the phase in which AI software is integrated with physical hardware (robots, appliances, automobiles, etc.).

Some recent developments:

  1. Tesla (TSLA) is preparing to launch its robotaxis: Full-Self Driving (FSD) cars that can transport a passenger anywhere, even through pedestrian-clogged cities without assistance.
  2. Meta (META) has launched a new AI model, V-JEPA 2 designed to interact with the physical world. The model is capable of understanding physical reality to the point of acknowledging that items out of sight continue to exist and move. META will be integrating this into countless technologies.
  3. Nvidia (NVDA) introduced a physical-AI software update, Isaac GR00T-Dreams, that will be used to synthesize motion data for robotics. Agility Robotics, Boston Dynamics, Fourier, Foxlink, Galbot, Mentee Robotics, NEURA Robotics, General Robotics, Skild AI and XPENG Robotics are all already using this new platform.

Thus far we’ve focused on tech aspect of these developments: namely the tech companies that are investing in and developing this technology. However, there is another component to the physical AI revolution that investors need to know about.

Hard assets and energy

Robots, cars, appliances, etc. all require a tremendous amount of materials and energy for development and manufacturing. The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts a 160% rise in electricity demand by 2030 driven by AI-related items. AI data centers alone are expected to account for 21% of all global energy demand by 2030… and that’s not even accounting for the impact of physical AI!

The AI revolution will also create MASSIVE demand for copper, aluminum, tin, steel, silver and slew of other natural resources. A single data center requires 5,000 to 10,000 metric tons of copper for cabling and equipment. An AI-controlled robot can require anywhere from 50-100lbs of copper… and experts are anticipating MILLIONS of robots to hit market by 2030. Indeed, by some estimates, AI could increase copper demand by 15%-20% annually through 2030.

And on and on.

Put simply, the AI story is not just about advanced tech, it’s also about commodities and hard assets. This is going to ignite a boom that few investors understand: true fortunes created not just in software and robots but ALSO in mining and production.

The markets know this too. Take a look at the extremely bullish formation the commodities index is forming.

How about uranium? Many AI companies are opting for to meet their energy needs with nuclear fuel. Does this chart look bearish to you?

Put simply, investors need to focus on more than just the tech-aspect of AI. The materials demands are going to be massive. In this sense the AI revolution will drive hundreds of billions if not trillions of dollars in capital allocation both on the tech side… and the hard assets demand side.

Smart investors are carefully allocating capital to both trends in anticipation of this.

On that note, we just published a new special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About that details three unique investments designed to profit from the revolution in physical AI. Best of all, Wall Street has little to no idea these companies even exist, let alone their potential.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

Click Here Now!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI, Hard Assets | Comments Off on AI is Going to Generate a MASSIVE Boom in Hard Assets

Why Mark Zuckerberg Just Wrote a $15 BILLION Check

Posted on June 11, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Mark Zuckerberg is getting frustrated.

As I noted yesterday, Apple (AAPL) has dropped out of the AI race. This means that Microsoft/Open AI, Meta, Alphabet and xAI are now competing for the top slot in the development of AI networks/ learning models. And as leadership at MSFT and META have made clear, this is a “winner takes all” situation, which is why these companies are burning through hundreds of billions of dollars as they build out their AI networks in a bid to emerge as THE market leader.

If you believe this story has played out, you’re mistaken.

Mark Zuckerberg is so displeased with META’s progress in the AI race that he’s allocating nearly $15 billion to partner with a start-up Scale AI to develop a superintelligence lab. Superintelligence is the concept of an AI-model that knows more than humanity’s collective intelligence. And Zuckerberg has deemed this project so critical to META’s future that he is personally hiring the people involved in the project, offering compensation packages of seven to NINE figures.

What are the implications for investors?

The AI race is not over by any stretch of the imagination. Sure, companies like Nvidia (NVDA) and Meta (META) may have seen their share prices trade sideways for the last few months, but that is normal price action after a bull run like the one AI companies experienced from 2022-2024. And assuming that this means the AI revolution is over is a BIG mistake.

See for yourself.

Nvidia (NVDA): this chart is NOT bearish by any means. NVDA shares are on the verge of breaking out of a 14-month consolidation pattern. Does anyone really think NVDA shares are about to collapse when demand for its hardware will be increasing dramatically as AI enters its next phase of development (physical AI/ superintelligence)?

Meta (META) shares are roaring higher after a weak start to 2025. It’s rarely a good idea to bet against Mark Zuckerberg, especially given his new aggressive push to catch up in the AI-race. The man is willing to throw his entire company behind a project if it’s a “winner takes all” situation like the AI race. Again, this is a NOT a bearish stock setup by any stretch of the imagination.

Having said that, it’s worth noting that both NVDA and META are already multi-TRILLION dollar companies. Are they really capable of growing exponentially from here? Is the monetary potential for AI really worth adding another trillion dollars in market capitalization for either company?

I don’t have an answer to that.

What is clear is that there are VERY deep pockets looking to acquire/ invest in smaller, rapidly growing players in the AI space (again, Meta is about to allocate $15 BILLION to a single deal). This means that investors have the potential to lock in extraordinary gains as Big Tech continues to be on a buying spree in its hunt for growth and competitive advantages.

Put simply, there is still a LOT of money to be made from investing in the AI space. Which is why subscribers of our elite stock picking service are putting capital to work in AI opportunities that have truly massive upside potential.

On that note, we just published a new special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About that details three unique investments designed to profit from the revolution in physical AI. Best of all, Wall Street has little to no idea these companies even exist, let alone their potential.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

Click Here Now!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI, Big Tech | Comments Off on Why Mark Zuckerberg Just Wrote a $15 BILLION Check

Forget the Trump/ Elon Divorce, This is Where You Need to Focus

Posted on June 10, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

The breakdown of the relationship between Elon Musk and President Trump has raised many questions for investors.

In case you’ve been living under a rock, the relationship between the world’s wealthiest man, Elon Musk and the world’s most powerful man, President Donald Trump has imploded in spectacular fashion.

In the last five days…

  1. Musk criticized the President’s Big Beautiful Bill publicly, saying it would lead Americans to “debt slavery.”
  2. The President suggested that the U.S. government terminate contracts and subsidies with Musk’s companies.
  3. Musk advocate for the President to be impeached, thereby installing Vice President JD Vance as President.
  4. The President call Musk a “big time drug addict.”
  5. Musk retweet social media posts suggesting the President was a friend of Jeffrey Epstein

And more.

It is not unusual for wealthy, powerful people to get into feuds with other wealthy, powerful people. However, the speed and intensity of the collapse in relations between Musk and Trump is jaw-dropping, especially when you consider just how close the two were prior to this.

Musk openly endorsed Trump, campaigned with him, got him on the Joe Rogan podcast which allowed Trump access to millions of people who might not have listened to him seriously. Musk also spent tens of millions of dollars getting Trump elected. And most importantly, Musk connected the President to numerous Silicon Valley heavy hitters, allowing him (Trump) to get establishment backing from some of the deepest pockets and most connected insiders in the world.

In return, Trump made Musk one of his closest confidants and advisors, installed Musk as the head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), and gave him the proverbial keys to the entire bureaucracy, granting Musk access to data, power, and entities that few if any humans have ever had.

And somehow all of this went down the toilet in the span of a single week. And while Musk has expressed an interest in patching things up, the President has made it clear he wants nothing to do with Musk and has moved on.

This raises the question…was the friendship ever really genuine, or did Trump use Musk to get into office?

The reality is that in order to become President of the U.S. today, a candidate MUST have a relationship to big business, specifically Big Tech. Big Tech, more than any other segment of the economy holds the keys to power. It was Big Tech that hurt Trump the most during the 2020 election, deplatforming Trump and his supporters while suppressing stories that were damaging to the Biden candidacy.

In this context, the friendship with Musk gave Trump the opportunity to get into Big Tech’s graces. And boy did he. One of the most telling photos of the second Trump inauguration was the President being sworn into office while the CEOs of Google, Facebook, Amazon, and other big tech firms sitting in a row just a few feet behind him next to the President’s family and closest cabinet members.

Did Trump play these guys for suckers?

Put another way, was the friendship with Musk real… or was Musk used by Trump to get access to Big Tech, their checkbooks, and their support?

Time will tell. And depending on how this plays out, it could have a dramatic impact on the stock market.

The S&P 500 is HEAVILY weighted towards Tech. Not only is Tech most heavily weighted sector, but it is in more important than the 2nd and 3rd heaviest weighted sectors combined!

Big Tech (companies like Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, etc.) accounts for almost 25% of the S&P 500’s weighting. These are the largest, most profitable companies in history. And to be blunt, it is VERY difficult for the stock market to rally without these companies participating.

So… if the Trump/ Elon feud spills over into the rest of Silicon Valley, it could very well decide how the rest of 2025 plays out as far as stock are concerned. The President was already on shaky ground with some of these companies (Apple, Amazon) due to the trade war/ tariff issues.

Having said that, while Big Tech might struggle there are truly spectacular opportunities in tech right, specifically in the AI space. While most of the world focuses on Nvidia, the biggest investment opportunities (and potentially the largest gains) are actually in off the beaten path, unique AI plays few if any investors know about.

On that note, we just published a new special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About that details three unique investments designed to profit from the revolution in physical AI. Best of all,  Wall Street has little to no idea these companies even exist, let alone their potential.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

Click Here Now!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI | Comments Off on Forget the Trump/ Elon Divorce, This is Where You Need to Focus

Apple’s Announcement Could Mean TRIPLE Digit Gains For Investors 

Posted on June 10, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Yesterday marked a major moment in the development of Artificial Intelligence (AI).

In case you missed it, yesterday was Apple’s (AAPL) Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC): AAPL’s annual event during which the company unveils new technology, software updates and new features to its product ecosystem.

The company unveiled several new items, specifically the introduction of Liquid Glass: a software update that mimics the translucency and refraction of glass on AAPL device screens. It’s stunning to see rendering images in crisp lucid tones. And for the first time AAPL will be introducing a feature across platforms working on iPads, laptops, desktops and even TVs.

However, the big news from AAPL’s WWDC wasn’t Liquid Glass. In fact, it wasn’t any specific announcement AAPL made. The biggest news was what AAPL didn’tannounce.

AAPL didn’t announce anything related to AI.

AAPL is a $3 trillion tech company.  It is the 3rd largest company in the world. And for decades it has been at the forefront of technological innovation, developing the iPod, iPhone, iPad and other groundbreaking devices that have become loved by consumers worldwide.

In this context, the fact AAPL has effectively abandoned any pretensions of developing a major AI infrastructure is extremely telling. Specifically, it tells us that:

  1. The race for dominance in AI infrastructure is now between Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and xAI.
  2. The AI revolution is now pivoting to phase 2: physical AI.

Regarding #1, big tech is currently spending hundreds of billions of dollars developing AI networks/ infrastructure. It is unclear who will ultimately emerge as the leader in this process but based on comments by Meta’s Market Zukerberg and Microsoft’s Satya Nadella, this is a “winner takes all” opportunity. As such, these companies are willing to burn through mountains of cash for the chance to become the dominant player in the space.

Which brings us to #2, which is in fact the BIGGER opportunity for investors. The AI revolution is now pivoting to Phase 2: physical AI.

Put simply, for AAPL to drop out of the AI infrastructure race is a signal that the software phase in AI development is coming to an end. Put another way, the BIG money has already been made here. Indeed, companies like Nvidia and Meta and Amazon all rising triple digits since AI first took the investing world by storm.

This means the next phase of the AI revolution is about to begin. I’m talking about physical AI: where AI software is integrated with hardware (robots, tools and other devices).

Why is this so exciting?

Because investors make BIG money when they move early into a major market trend. And it is clear that the next major market trend is going to be physical AI.

Take a look at Richtech Robotics (RR), a smallcap physical AI robotics company that manufactures robots for the restaurant industry, and you’ll see what I mean. After consolidating for two years the chart broke out the upside in late 2024/ early 2025 (green line in the chart below). And as I write this, RR shares have just broken out of a falling wedge formation signaling that the next leg up is likely about to begin. Please note this is a VERY small company and shares are volatile. So be sure to do your due diligence before putting any capital to work.

We are in the process of putting the final touches on a new special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About. It will detail three investments in the physical AI space that Wall Street has no idea even exist, let alone their potential.

To make sure you receive a copy as soon this report is ready, all you need to do is join our daily market commentary Gains Pains & Capital.

To do so…

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Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI | Comments Off on Apple’s Announcement Could Mean TRIPLE Digit Gains For Investors 

Is the U.S. Becoming An Emerging Market?

Posted on June 8, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

LA is being engulfed in riots… again.

Footage shows “protestors” storming ICE centers, destroying property, blocking traffic and worse. The media, as usual, is providing moral cover for these actions because apparently the law shouldn’t apply to you provided you support the correct political causes.

As I watch the footage, a thought keeps coming back to me…

Is the U.S. becoming an emerging market?

Everywhere you look, there are signs.

Endemic corruption… a two-tiered society in which more and more wealth is concentrated in the hands of fewer and fewer individuals… jaw dropping levels of debt in every segment of society (corporate, municipal, personal, and of course, national)… phony government data that has no connection to economic realities… a permanent bureaucracy that really runs things, rendering elections almost useless… a weak currency that buys less and less every year… and of course, a class of media gatekeepers who keep telling us everything is fine and that we need to trust decisionmakers.

Of all these issues, the $USD poses the greatest concern. The only reason the U.S. has been able to get away with its obscene debt levels is because it controls the reserve currency of the world. But the defining characteristic of the $USD is that it loses value every year. Indeed, the greenback has lost over a THIRD of its purchasing power since 2008.

Throughout this period, the U.S. added over $25 trillion in debt on a national level while corporations issued $7 trillion in debt, and the private sector took on over $16 trillion in debt. The typical American has over $7,000 in credit card debt, $252,000 in mortgage debt, and possible $25,000 in auto loans or even more in student loans. And incomes for the bottom 20% of earners haven’t grown 20 years.

This is the real reason people are so Fed up. Sure, much of the “protests” we hear about are organized and funded, not organic, but would people really be signing up to go protest if they were happy with their lot in life? Does anyone with a decent job who doesn’t feel like the system is rigged really want to go lose their mind in public on a weekend?

Who knows. But all of this is feeling more and more like the U.S. has crossed some line… some point at which things no longer make sense when you look at them from the perspective of a civilized society.

What does this mean for the markets?

The defining characteristic for an emerging market economy is higher inflation due to a weak currency. The U.S. certainly looks to be heading that way. Most of the stock markets’ returns in the last decade have been due to the $USD losing so much value, NOT real organic growth. If you price stocks in gold, the S&P 500 is trading at the same levels it hit in 2013!

Put simply, the only way to maintain your purchasing power or better yet, grow your wealth, is to have exposure to investments that profit from inflation.

We recently detailed three such investments in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit From Inflation. It shows you where to put your capital to ensure that your money is working for you, not falling behind due to a weak $USD.

Normally, we’d only share this information with our paying clients, but with the U.S. exhibiting more and more signs of becoming an emerging market, we are making 99 copies available to the general investing public.

To pick up yours…

CLICK HERE NOW.

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Inflation, The U.S. is an Emerging Market | Comments Off on Is the U.S. Becoming An Emerging Market?

Will This Be What Finally Kicks The $USD Off a Cliff?

Posted on June 6, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Who had a bitter Trump/ Elon divorce on their bingo cards for 2025?

In case you missed it, the relationship between the world’s wealthiest man, Elon Musk, and the world’s most powerful man, President Trump, has imploded in spectacular fashion. The match that lit the fuse was Musk’s criticism of the Big Beautiful Bill that the President is attempting to push through congress. However, things got ugly FAST.

In the last 24 hours, we’ve seen.

  1. Musk suggest that President Trump wouldn’t have won the election without Musk’s support.
  2. President Trump indicates that he intends to cut all Electric Vehicle mandates which would damage Musk’s company, Tesla (TSLA).
  3. Musk call the President a liar.
  4. President Trump threaten to cut all subsidies to Musk’s businesses.
  5. Musk suggest that America needs a new political party that actually represents the will of the people.

And some other unsavory things we won’t be repeating here.

What are the implications of this situation?

Musk controls the largest media empire in the world: X (formerly Twitter). He’s also a highly intelligent and oftentimes childish person who doesn’t back down from public spats and is more than happy to make things personal to a disturbing degree.

President Trump is the most powerful man in the world, with the ability to sign Executive Orders, sway political leaders, and weaponize the government against his opponents. The President is famous for being a bully, erratic, and also making things personal to a disturbing degree.

In very simple terms, this could get VERY messy. Musk could:

  1. Use his massive media reach to sway public opinion against the President.
  2. Reveal private information about the President that could badly damage the latter’s polls/ political support.
  3. Switch teams to the Democrats with the intention of swaying the mid-terms.
  4. More.

In contrast the President could:

  1. Collapse Musk’s businesses via policy changes (Tesla shares were down 15% yesterday at one point).
  2. Push to have Musk deported.
  3. Freeze Musk’s assets.
  4. Weaponize the Department of Justice and other governmental bodies against Musk and his businesses.

These are two incredibly powerful people both of whom have a LOT to lose in this situation. And while this is primarily a political situation, there are major implications for investors.

The bulk of GOP voters appear to side with Musk on the issue of the debt and the BBB. Moreover, the markets are signaling that the BBB is going to have MASSIVE consequences for investors.

Take note, the $USD is breaking down BADLY. It’s not only taken out critical support but it’s also failed to reclaim it (blue line in the chart below). And as I write this, the $USD is just sitting on its bull market trendline from the 2011 lows. If the greenback takes out that line, BUCKLE UP because it will have systemic implications for the financial system.

What implications?

Gold, silver, platinum and other inflation hedges are already showing us as they erupt higher. Silver has a massive 15 year Cup and Handle formation in place that suggests a parabolic move is coming.

With the right strategy there is a LOT of money to be made here.

If you’re looking for guidance on what to do, our special investment report How to Profit From Inflation details three investments that outperform during periods of $USD weakness.

You can pick up a FREE copy here.

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Inflation | Comments Off on Will This Be What Finally Kicks The $USD Off a Cliff?

If You Don’t Own These Companies, You’re Missing Out!

Posted on June 4, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

If you don’t have at least some exposure to tariff-proof stocks, you’re missing out.

As I wrote yesterday, the current stock market is one in which some stocks are exploding higher while others are left behind. The ones that are exploding higher all share certain attributes, specifically…

  1. They are high growth.
  2. They have little if any exposure to the trade war/ tariffs.

Regarding #1, it is clear that we are late in the economic cycle.

The U.S. has not had an organic recession since 2007 (the 2020 recession was induced on purpose). One of the hallmarks of late-cycle economies is slowing growth. Our current cycle is no different: annual GDP growth is typically sub-3% in recent years.

In this context, those companies with rapid top line growth are highly prized by the markets as they provide the opportunity of much higher profits/ cash flows. After all, if the broader economy is growing at 3% or less, why wouldn’t you reward corporate growth that is in the double if not triple digits?

Take a look at Nvidia (NVDA) and you’ll see what I mean. NVDA went from producing ~$27 billion in revenue in 2022 to over $130 billion in revenue in 2024. That is a four-fold increase in revenues at a time when the average annual topline growth for S&P 500 companies was just 5%.

As a result of this rapid growth, the stock market has rewarded NVDA handsomely with NVDA shares up nearly 500% since 2022. Again, this is a stock market that GREATLY values growth over other metrics.

Which brings us to #2 in our list of stock market priorities: this is a stock market that LOVES companies with little if any exposure to the trade war/ tariffs.

As far as the actual economy is concerned, the effect of the trade war and tariffs has been minimal. All of the hard data (retail sales, consumer spending, etc.) has remained positive despite concerns about an economic collapse.

Having said that, while the tariffs/ trade war hasn’t really damaged the economy much, they’ve been absolute hell for the stock market. The April market meltdown erased over $11 trillion in wealth. And even now that the Trump administration is actually closing trade deals, those companies that have broad exposure to tariffs are struggling.

Take a look at Apple (AAPL), arguably one of the greatest, most profitable companies in history. AAPL is a cash spewing juggernaut with a sticky ecosystem that generates tremendous brand loyalty from consumers. The company cranks out ~$100 BILLION in free cash flow per year: an amount greater than the market capitalizations of MOST companies on the S&P 500.

However, AAPL also has considerable exposure to tariffs/ the trade war. The company has over 500 suppliers located throughout the world. And the majority of its products are made overseas in China: the country the Trump administration has singled out as the worst offender as far as trade issues are concerned.

Because of this, AAPL shares are struggling, even compared to the broader market. The S&P 500 is up almost 18% from the April lows. AAPL shares are up just 12%. And they are failing to catch a bid even on days when the overall market moves higher.

So again, if you don’t own high growth stocks with little to no exposure to the trade war, you’re missing out.

This concludes today’s article. For a list of Special Investment reports we offer to the general public outlining investment opportunities you won’t hear about anywhere else, go to…

Subscribe to Gains Pains & Capital!

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Tariff Proof Stocks | Comments Off on If You Don’t Own These Companies, You’re Missing Out!

These Are the Top Performing Stocks In the Market Today

Posted on June 2, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

We are in a two-tier bull market.

While most stocks are up from the April lows, certain companies are outperforming by a wide margin. The overall market as measured by the S&P 500 is up 22% from the April lows. However, certain companies have produced gains that are exponentially greater than that, rallying 50% or even more than 100% in the last eight weeks.

This is not an accident. The stock market is rewarding certain qualities right now while downplaying others. And those companies that are outperforming all have two specific qualities.

  1. They are all high growth with rapid increases in their toplines.
  2. They have little if any exposure to tariffs and the trade war.

Regarding #1, below is a chart showing the ratio of the S&P 500 Growth ETF to that of the S&P 500 Value ETF. When this chart rallies, growth is outperforming. When this chart falls, Value is outperforming. As you can see, growth stocks are DRAMATICALLY outperforming value stocks right now. In fact, this ratio is fast approaching the all-time highs hit in 2021. Put simply, right now the market is rewarding growth over value.

The second quality the top performing stocks all have is little if any exposure to the tariffs.  While it is now clear that the Trump administration prefers deals to a prolonged trade war, the reality is that trade negotiations are rarely if ever smooth or quick. The average trade deal takes over 18 months to be complete. And as the situation with China has proved, progress is usually accomplished via a “two steps forward, one step back” pattern.

With that in mind, capital is rapidly flowing to those companies that have little if any exposure to the tariffs.

Compare the stock market performance of a company like Palantir (PLTR) to that of Coco-Cola (KO). Their market capitalizations are roughly the same ~$300 billion, but PLTR, which is high growth oriented, software data analytics company with little if any exposure to tariffs is dramatically outperforming KO, which has slower growth (but a lot more in profits) and considerable exposure to the trade war/tariffs (KO products are in most countries worldwide).

Again, this is a two-tier stock market. Practically everything is up from the April bottom, but certain companies are benefiting from the current market more than others. These are the companies investors need to be focusing on with their capital.

We detail four such investments in a Special Investment Report Tariff Proof Stocks: four high growth companies unaffected by the trade war.

As I write this three of them just hit new all-time highs. The fourth isn’t far behind either.

Normally this report is only available to our paying clients, but in light of how this stock market is behaving, we are making just 99 copies available to the general public.

To pick up one of the remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in It's a Bull Market | Comments Off on These Are the Top Performing Stocks In the Market Today

The Fed’s Favorite Inflation Measure Is TERRIBLE at Predicting Inflation

Posted on May 30, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

Wall Street is high fiving itself today because the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures or PCE came in slightly cooler than expected. PCE grew at a pace of 0.1% month over month for the month of April. This matched expectations. However, year over year PCE was just 2.1% which was below expectations of 2.2%.

Put simply, the most important inflation number proved to be slightly better than most analysts expected. Surely that means that inflation is going away and will continue to do so, right?

Not necessarily.

It turns out that PCE is a TERRIBLE predictor of future inflation. What’s even more astonishing is that Fed’s OWN RESEARCH shows this.

You see, back in 2001, the Fed had several researchers dive into the subject of inflation. Their goal was the analyze whether the Fed’s preferred measures of inflation (CPI and PCE) are decent predictors of future inflation. The Fed also investigated a whole slew of other inflation measures for comparison purposes.

The results?

The Fed found that food inflation, NOT CPI or PCE, was the best predictor of future inflation. Fed researchers wrote the following:

We see that past inflation in food prices has been a better forecaster of future inflation than has the popular core measure [CPI and PCE]…Comparing the past year’s inflation in food prices to the prices of other components that comprise the PCEPI (as in Table 1), we find that the food component still ranks the best among them all…

Source: St Louis Fed (emphasis added).

Now, food is made from agricultural commodities. And as the below chart shows… those aren’t exactly in a downtrend. They’ve more than doubled in price since 2020 and continue to rise. So, the disinflationary impulse that everyone is so excited about is likely more to do with accounting gimmicks that reality.

Indeed, even the official data only shows this. If you look at PCE as a number rather than a year over year change, then it is clear that prices have been going up since 2020 and will continue to do so. The fact they’re not going up as quickly as before is VERY different from claiming that prices are coming down.

Small wonder then that consumers continue to cite inflation as a MAJOR problem. This also explains why gold is hovering near its all-time highs at ~$3,400 per ounce. If DIS-inflation was indeed the primary theme for the financial system, gold would be getting crushed right now.

It’s not.

The reality is that inflation hasn’t gone away, no matter what the “official” data points suggest. I know this. You know it. The markets know it too. Which is why smart investors are actively taking steps to prepare for another round of inflation hitting the financial system later this year.

We detail this situation, what’s to come, and THREE investments to profit from it in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit From Inflation.

Normally this report is only available to our paying clients, but in light of what’s happening in the markets today, we are making just 99 copies available to the general public.

To pick up one of the remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Inflation | Comments Off on The Fed’s Favorite Inflation Measure Is TERRIBLE at Predicting Inflation

What’s REALLY in the Big Beautiful Bill?

Posted on May 29, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

What’s really in the Big Beautiful Bill?

Depending on who you listen to, the Big Beautiful Bill is either an incredible piece of legislation that will codify tax cuts while also unleashing growth and reducing the deficit, OR it’s just another 1,000+ page of pork that maintains the status quo of overspending/ growing the deficit/ increasing the debt.

The problem with this situation is that the people pushing these claims are either A) individuals who HATE the President and his agenda or B) individuals who work for the Trump administration and so have a vested interest in getting the bill passed.

Neither of those two groups are unbiased. And to be frank, I doubt ANYONE talking about this bill has even read it. Who has time? It only just passed the House on 5/22/25 and it’s 1,116 PAGES LONG!

So rather than arguing one way or the other, let’s let Mr. Market tell us the real deal with this bill.

Mr. Bond is telling us the bill will increase spending. The yield on the 30-Year U.S. Treasury is at 5%, which is right near the top of its range for the last five years. This is also the highest this bond’s yield has traded since President Trump took office.

If the Big Beautiful Bill (BBB) was designed to cut spending and reduce the debt, this bond would be rallying, resulting in its yield falling. That is NOT happening.

Mr. Gold is saying the same thing.

The precious metal is highly sensitive to money printing/ debt levels. And as I write this, gold is near its all-time highs, trading at roughly $3,300 per ounce. Again, if the BBB was going to reduce the debt and cut spending you’d expect this asset to be going in a different direction.

Of course, it’s possible that the markets are WRONG about the BBB. But considering that the markets are a composite of the actions of millions of people all with “skin in the game,” it’s highly likely that Mr. Market is more accurate that Trump administration officials or analysts/ commentators who openly despite the President.

As investors, our job is to make money, NOT play politics. So, when Mr. Market speaks, it’s usually a good idea to listen. And smart investors are actively taking steps now to profit from this.

We detail this situation, what’s to come, and THREE investments to profit from it in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit a Inflation.

Normally this report is only available to our paying clients, but in light of what’s happening in the markets today, we are making just 99 copies available to the general public.

To pick up one of the remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Debt Bomb, Inflation | Comments Off on What’s REALLY in the Big Beautiful Bill?

The Multi-Trillion Dollar Question Investors Need to Answer

Posted on May 28, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

Enjoy the rally and blow off top in stocks, because as we keep warning, the Everything Bubble could very well blow up sometime in 2026.

As I outlined in my best-selling book The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policythe bond bubble is THE definitive bubble of our lifetimes. Every other bubble whether it be the Tech Bubble, Housing Bubble, etc. has been a derivative of the almighty bond bubble that was generated during the super cycle bull market in bonds that went from 1982 to 2020.

I’m talking about the chart below: a nearly 40-year period in which bond yields fell almost continuously. In simple terms, this chart shows that debt servicing/ interest payments became ever cheaper. Everyone from countries, states, cities and even corporations took advantage of this to issue debt creating the single largest bubble in human history: the current debt bubble of over $300 TRILLION.

You’ll note that all of this ended in 2021 when yields broke out of their multi-decade downtrend. This was a pivotal moment in the financial system. The only reason it didn’t result in a crisis was because A) banks were not required to mark their debt assets at market value and B) the entire financial system bet on the Fed and other central banks coming to the rescue.

As a result of this, bond yields have effectively traded sideways since the breakout in 2021. This is the ONLY thing stopping a crisis from appearing in the debt markets: relative stability in the bond markets is stopping bond yields from ripping higher.

Thus, the multi-trillion dollar question today is whether this bond yield rally was simply a blip in the grand scheme of things and bond yields will soon break down to new lows… OR if the super cycle bull market in bonds is definitively over and a long-term bear market in bonds is about to begin.

If it’s the former, then we can expect things to continue on as they have for most of the last 40 years, albeit with the occasional crisis. But if it’s the latter, and bonds are in fact about to begin a long-term bear market… the Everything Bubble will explode.

Mind you, this is a GLOBAL phenomenon; it’s not just confined to the U.S. Bond yields have broken out in Japan, Germany and other nations as well.

This is the single most important issue for investors to consider. And by the look of things, we’ll know the deal within a few months. Japan is the nation most in danger of losing control of its bond market, but Europe and the U.S. are not terribly far behind.

If you’re looking for guidance on how to invest for this, we are putting together a Special Investment Report on how to navigate the end of the Everything Bubble. You can join our daily market commentary Gains Pains & Capital to make sure your account is ready to go when this report is released to our clients.

To do so…

CLICK HERE NOW.

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Debt Bomb, The Everything Bubble | Comments Off on The Multi-Trillion Dollar Question Investors Need to Answer

The Multi-Trillion Dollar Question Investors Need to Answer

Posted on May 27, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

Enjoy the rally and blow off top in stocks, because as we keep warning, the Everything Bubble could very well blow up sometime in 2026.

As I outlined in my best-selling book The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policythe bond bubble is THE definitive bubble of our lifetimes. Every other bubble whether it be the Tech Bubble, Housing Bubble, etc. has been a derivative of the almighty bond bubble that was generated during the super cycle bull market in bonds that went from 1982 to 2020.

I’m talking about the chart below: a nearly 40-year period in which bond yields fell almost continuously. In simple terms, this chart shows that debt servicing/ interest payments became ever cheaper. Everyone from countries, states, cities and even corporations took advantage of this to issue debt creating the single largest bubble in human history: the current debt bubble of over $300 TRILLION.

You’ll note that all of this ended in 2021 when yields broke out of their multi-decade downtrend. This was a pivotal moment in the financial system. The only reason it didn’t result in a crisis was because A) banks were not required to mark their debt assets at market value and B) the entire financial system bet on the Fed and other central banks coming to the rescue.

As a result of this, bond yields have effectively traded sideways since the breakout in 2021. This is the ONLY thing stopping a crisis from appearing in the debt markets: relative stability in the bond markets is stopping bond yields from ripping higher.

Thus, the multi-trillion dollar question today is whether this bond yield rally was simply a blip in the grand scheme of things and bond yields will soon break down to new lows… OR if the super cycle bull market in bonds is definitively over and a long-term bear market in bonds is about to begin.

If it’s the former, then we can expect things to continue on as they have for most of the last 40 years, albeit with the occasional crisis. But if it’s the latter, and bonds are in fact about to begin a long-term bear market… the Everything Bubble will explode.

Mind you, this is a GLOBAL phenomenon; it’s not just confined to the U.S. Bond yields have broken out in Japan, Germany and other nations as well.

This is the single most important issue for investors to consider. And by the look of things, we’ll know the deal within a few months. Japan is the nation most in danger of losing control of its bond market, but Europe and the U.S. are not terribly far behind.

If you’re looking for guidance on how to invest for this, we are putting together a Special Investment Report on how to navigate the end of the Everything Bubble. You can join our daily market commentary Gains Pains & Capital to make sure your account is ready to go when this report is released to our clients.

To do so…

CLICK HERE NOW.

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Debt Bomb, The Everything Bubble | Comments Off on The Multi-Trillion Dollar Question Investors Need to Answer

The Everything Bubble Will Burst in 2026

Posted on May 23, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

We are officially going on record with a startling prediction.

That prediction?

The Everything Bubble will burst in 2026.

The Trump administration came into office proclaiming that it was a champion of Main Street, not Wall Street and that it would be balancing the budget and cutting spending via Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) and other efforts.

The results have been lackluster. While DOGE has made headlines for cutting truly egregious contracts that no sane person approves of, the reality is that ALL the DOGE cuts add up to very little in the grand scheme of government spending.

To date, DOGE has cut approximately $50 billion in government spending. But the government spends $ 6+ TRILLION per year. And there are NO SIGNS that the political class want to address this.

Case in point, the spending bill currently making its way through congress will INCREASE the deficit (and the debt). Not by a little: by trillions of dollars. Deficit as a percentage of GDP is INCREASING not decreasing. True it’s down from the pandemic levels, but the pandemic levels were a once in a lifetime event due to the government attempting to “paper over” an economic shutdown.

By the look of things, the bond market is finally beginning to wake up to these realities. The recent 20-Year Treasury auction in the U.S. was a disaster. And yields on long-end of the Treasury curve are in danger of a nasty shock.

Is this the Trump administration’s fault? No, they inherited this mess. But the key development is that they are NOT doing anything to alter it. When that yield breaks above 5% the door is open to a move to 7%. And that is when The Everything Bubble will burst.

Smart investors are already taking steps to make sure they’re ready for when it hits. One such strategy is to use quantitative tools that have accurately predicted crashes in the past.

We’re developed precisely such a tool: a highly accurate “crash trigger” that went off before the 1987 Crash, the Tech Crash, and the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.

We detail this trigger, how it works, and what it’s saying about the market today in a Special Investment Report titled How to Predict a Crash.

Normally this report is only available to our paying clients, but in light of what’s happening in the economy today, we are making just 99 copies available to the broader public.

To pick up one of the remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Debt Bomb, stock collapse?, The Everything Bubble | Comments Off on The Everything Bubble Will Burst in 2026

Japan is Going Bust… and the U.S. is Not Far Behind

Posted on May 21, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

As we keep warning… a debt crisis is coming.

The first round appears to be striking Japan, which is the grandfather of monetary insanity. Japan first introduced Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) and large-scale Quantitative Easing (QE) programs nearly a decade before the Fed or other major central banks introduced similar policies. As a result of its near-nonstop interventions running for 25+ years, Japan’s Debt to GDP is over 200% and its central bank’s balance sheet is equal to 90% of the country’s GDP.

As I noted yesterday, Japan finally appears to be losing control of its debt markets. Yields on the all-important 10-year Japanese Government Bonds are exploding higher, at a time when the country needs to service a truly gargantuan amount of debt. Simultaneously, investors are beginning to shun the long end of Japan’s bond market with the country just experiencing its worst bond auction since 1987!

Japan is not the only country that will soon find itself facing a debt crisis. The U.S. is well on its way as well.

For all its talk of cutting spending and balancing the budget, the Trump administration is running the same playbook the Biden administration used from 2021-2024: spend, spend, spend!

The “Big Beautiful Bill” that the Trump administration is championing will increase the U.S.’s fiscal deficit by nearly $4 trillion over the next 10 years. There is little to any actual cuts in spending, and all told the bill is expected to add at least $3 trillion to the debt (which is already at $36 trillion with the U.S. running a Debt to GDP ratio of over 120%).

How will this play out?

A debt crisis will hit when the bond market finally revolts against the U.S.’s spending, just as it is doing with Japan today. At that point, the Fed will have to choose.

  1. Defend the bond market.
  2. Defend the U.S. dollar.

Choosing #1 means the system remains intact and functions, albeit with higher inflation. Choose #2 means that bonds collapse and the financial system experiences a debt crisis that would make 2008 look like a joke.

Which one do you think the Fed will pick?

This is why gold and other inflation hedges are exploding higher: these assets have figured out that there is NO WAY out of the current situation that doesn’t involve a mind-blowing amount of money printing. Heck, the U.S. dollar has already lost over a third of its purchasing power since 2008… and the debt crisis hasn’t even hit yet!

There is a limited amount of time to prepare for this. And smart investors are already taking steps to make sure they’re ready for when it hits. One such strategy is to use quantitative tools that have accurately predicted crashes in the past.

We’re developed precisely such a tool: a highly accurate “crash trigger” that went off before the 1987 Crash, the Tech Crash, and the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.

We detail this trigger, how it works, and what it’s saying about the market today in a Special Investment Report titled How to Predict a Crash.

Normally this report is only available to our paying clients, but in light of what’s happening in the economy today, we are making just 99 copies available to the broader public.

To pick up one of the remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Central Bank Insanity, Debt Bomb | Comments Off on Japan is Going Bust… and the U.S. is Not Far Behind