Author Archives: The Phoenix

The Everything Bubble Has Burst… Can the Fed Patch It?

Posted on July 23, 2019 by The Phoenix

Yesterday I asked, just what exactly is terrifying the Fed? As a brief recap, there are three main issues grabbing their attention. 1)   The collapse of German banking giant Deutsche Bank (DB). 2)   China’s banking system entering a credit freeze. … Continue reading →

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The Single Most Important Bond in the World Is Still in Trouble

Posted on July 23, 2019 by The Phoenix

Yesterday I asked, just what exactly is terrifying the Fed? As a brief recap, there are three main issues grabbing their attention. 1)   The collapse of German banking giant Deutsche Bank (DB). 2)   China’s banking system entering a credit freeze. … Continue reading →

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Why the Fed is Terrified of These Two Charts

Posted on July 23, 2019 by The Phoenix

Yesterday I asked, just what exactly is terrifying the Fed? As a brief recap, there are three main issues grabbing their attention. 1)   The collapse of German banking giant Deutsche Bank (DB). 2)   China’s banking system entering a credit freeze. … Continue reading →

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Is This the Reason the Fed is Talking About Rate Cuts?

Posted on July 22, 2019 by The Phoenix

Just what exactly is terrifying the Fed? Over the last week, multiple Fed officials have surfaced to suggest the Fed needs to start cutting interest rates right now. Indeed, on Thursday, John Williams, who runs the NY Fed (the branch … Continue reading →

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Three Reasons Why the Fed is In a Panic

Posted on July 22, 2019 by The Phoenix

Just what exactly is terrifying the Fed? Over the last week, multiple Fed officials have surfaced to suggest the Fed needs to start cutting interest rates right now. Indeed, on Thursday, John Williams, who runs the NY Fed (the branch … Continue reading →

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Is This What Has Got the Fed So Spooked?

Posted on July 22, 2019 by The Phoenix

Just what exactly is terrifying the Fed? Over the last week, multiple Fed officials have surfaced to suggest the Fed needs to start cutting interest rates right now. Indeed, on Thursday, John Williams, who runs the NY Fed (the branch … Continue reading →

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This is the Most Important Chart You’ll See Today

Posted on July 19, 2019 by The Phoenix

Breadth is starting to breakdown. As I write this, breadth are on the verge of breaking a bearish rising wedge formation. Why does this matter? Because breadth leads stocks. Throughout 2018, breadth (black line) was warning that stocks (blue line) … Continue reading →

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Is Copper Showing Us Where the Market is Heading?

Posted on July 16, 2019 by The Phoenix

As I keep stating, a top is forming. Stocks are tired after weeks of promises and promotions by Fed officials and the Trump administration that something BIG is coming. At this point there is little if any real buyers. It’s … Continue reading →

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Who’s Right, Fed Ex or the Broader Market?

Posted on July 16, 2019 by The Phoenix

As I keep stating, a top is forming. Stocks are tired after weeks of promises and promotions by Fed officials and the Trump administration that something BIG is coming. At this point there is little if any real buyers. It’s … Continue reading →

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Is the Fed Setting a Trap?

Posted on July 16, 2019 by The Phoenix

As I keep stating, a top is forming. Stocks are tired after weeks of promises and promotions by Fed officials and the Trump administration that something BIG is coming. At this point there is little if any real buyers. It’s … Continue reading →

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Junk Bonds Are Ringing A Bell

Posted on July 15, 2019 by The Phoenix

A top is forming. Whether it’s THE top of just A top such as the one from May remains to be seen. The big warning comes from junk bonds, which have lead stocks since the December lows. As stock hit … Continue reading →

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A Top is Forming… Is is THE Top?

Posted on July 15, 2019 by The Phoenix

A top is forming. Whether it’s THE top of just A top such as the one from May remains to be seen. The big warning comes from junk bonds, which have lead stocks since the December lows. As stock hit … Continue reading →

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The ONLY Way This Works Out is if Stocks Fall Hard

Posted on July 15, 2019 by The Phoenix

A top is forming. Whether it’s THE top of just A top such as the one from May remains to be seen. The big warning comes from junk bonds, which have lead stocks since the December lows. As stock hit … Continue reading →

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Buckle Up, the Trade War is About to EXPLODE

Posted on July 11, 2019 by The Phoenix

And when it does, smart investors will lock in TRIPLE DIGIT… and possibly even QUADRUPLE DIGIT RETURNS. Stocks performed a backtest of the broken rising wedge formation (red lines in the chart below) yesterday. The driver was the announcement from … Continue reading →

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Can Stocks Enter a New Bull Market? Bonds Say NO!

Posted on July 10, 2019 by The Phoenix

Stocks broke the lower trendline of their bearish rising wedge yesterday. The drop would have been greater, but the investment world is waiting to see what Fed Chair Jerome Powell has to say to Congress today. Powell is in a … Continue reading →

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Can Stocks Regain Their Bull Market Trendline?

Posted on July 10, 2019 by The Phoenix

Stocks broke the lower trendline of their bearish rising wedge yesterday. The drop would have been greater, but the investment world is waiting to see what Fed Chair Jerome Powell has to say to Congress today. Powell is in a … Continue reading →

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China Has Already Revealed There’s NO DEAL Coming

Posted on July 10, 2019 by The Phoenix

Stocks broke the lower trendline of their bearish rising wedge yesterday. The drop would have been greater, but the investment world is waiting to see what Fed Chair Jerome Powell has to say to Congress today. Powell is in a … Continue reading →

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I Wouldn’t Want To Bet Against These Charts… Would You?

Posted on July 10, 2019 by The Phoenix

Stocks broke the lower trendline of their bearish rising wedge yesterday. The drop would have been greater, but the investment world is waiting to see what Fed Chair Jerome Powell has to say to Congress today. Powell is in a … Continue reading →

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Here’s the Roadmap For Stocks For the Next Two Weeks

Posted on July 9, 2019 by The Phoenix

Stocks are breaking down from their rising bearish wedge (red lines in the chart below) as I write this. The key now is whether or not the market breaks support at 2,955 (blue line in the chart below). In simple … Continue reading →

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The “OK,” “Bad News” and “WATCH OUT” Levels For Stocks

Posted on July 9, 2019 by The Phoenix

Stocks are breaking down from their rising bearish wedge (red lines in the chart below) as I write this. The key now is whether or not the market breaks support at 2,955 (blue line in the chart below). In simple … Continue reading →

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