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Author Archives: The Phoenix
Something BAD is Brewing in the Economy
Yesterday I noted that Friday’s action was very troubling. By quick way of review: It is unusual for stocks to close down on Friday. It’s even more unusual for stocks to finish the week down. Not only did stocks finish … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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Why a Rising $USD is a Major Issue for the U.S.
The #1 issue for the markets this week is the $USD. The U.S. dollar is strengthening. A strong dollar is not necessarily a bad thing, but it runs completely contrary to the Fed’s stated goal of creating inflation. Following a … Continue reading
Posted in Debt Bomb
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These Are the Two Most Horrifying Charts I’ve Seen in a Long-Time
Over the last three days, I’ve been outlining how the Fed “spooked” the bond markets into believing it will move to crush inflation sometime in the next 18 months. Yesterday we detailed why the Fed would do this, namely because … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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Why the Fed’s Bluff Will Cost Investors’ Trillions, Pt. 2
Yesterday I outlined how the Fed is extremely late to curb inflation. As a brief recap, it only took CPI clearing 5%, multiple signals that inflation is running hot, housing entering a bubble, stocks roaring to new all-time highs, and signs of … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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Why the Fed’s Bluff Will Cost Investors’ Trillions, Pt. 1
So the Fed finally moved… but what precisely did it do? After a full year of the most extreme monetary policy in history, including… Over 12 months of ZERO interest rate policy despite the economy growing. Over $3 trillion in … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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Warning: Both the Fed and the Treasury WANT Higher Inflation
Over the last week, we’ve been outlining the absurdity of Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s belief that higher inflation and higher interest rates would for the U.S. By quick way of review: 1) Secretary Yellen believes that President Biden’s $4 … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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Stocks Are Preparing For a Major Breakout
Stocks continue to churn. The S&P 500 has been in a consolidation phase since mid-April. Yes, we’ve had a few runs to new all-time highs, but as the below chart shows, most of the action has been sideways (see the … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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Three Charts Every Gold Investor Needs to See Right Now
Yesterday I noted that gold is telling us that the Fed is indeed going to let inflation run hot. Remember, the Fed can stop inflation at any point by tightening monetary policy. If the Fed were to announce tomorrow that … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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The Market Just Issued a MAJOR Warning of What’s to Come
Well, it’s confirmed, inflation is no longer just running hot… it is ROARING. The Markit’s US Manufacturing PMI is a monthly survey that interviews managers in the private sector to see what they are experiencing in terms of business. It’s widely … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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Warning: the Current Crypto Market is Napster and iTunes is Coming, Pt 2.
Yesterday I outlined why I believe most crypto-currencies will eventually prove worthless. By way of quick review, crypto is a tech asset. And all technological revolutions follow two phases: The initial breakthrough phase, which occurs before social/legal frameworks are in … Continue reading
Posted in Central Bank Insanity, crypto
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Warning: the Current Crypto Market is Napster and iTunes is Coming, Pt 2.
Yesterday I outlined why I believe most crypto-currencies will eventually prove worthless. By way of quick review, crypto is a tech asset. And all technological revolutions follow two phases: The initial breakthrough phase, which occurs before social/legal frameworks are in … Continue reading
Posted in Central Bank Insanity, crypto
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Warning: Crypto is Napster and iTunes is Coming, Pt 1
I’ve received a number of emails from readers asking for my thoughts on crypto currencies. First and foremost, I must warn you, I am a no-BS type analyst. So, if you want me to write something fluffy because you personally … Continue reading
Posted in crypto
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Every Gold Investor Needs to See This
In yesterday’s article I noted that while stocks are clearly forming a top, there are, as of right now, ZERO signs that it is THE top. Remember, the fact that inflation is running hot doesn’t mean stocks have to crash right … Continue reading
Posted in Central Bank Insanity, Inflation
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The Fed Just Released Its Blueprint For How to Handle The Coming Inflationary Storm
Over the last few articles, we’ve outlined the following: 1) Inflation first appeared in the financial system in August 2020 and has since accelerated. 2) This has hurt Tech stocks in a big way, which is why they have collapsed. … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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The Inflationary Storm Has Finally Hit… Are You Ready?
I’ve been warning for weeks and weeks now that inflation was going to be a major problem for the financial system. Yesterday we finally got a taste of it. The official inflation measure for the U.S., the Consumer Price Index … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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The Last Two Times This Hit, Stocks Dropped 20% and 50%, Respectively
Yesterday, I outlined how the rise in inflation has slammed Tech stocks lower. By way of a quick review, Tech, as represented by the NASDAQ is highly sensitive to inflation on an inverse relationship: when inflation rises, Tech stocks collapse … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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Is Tech the Canary in the Coal-Mine For the Coming Inflationary Crisis?
The Tech Boom appears to be over. From the March 2020 lows, Tech was a major leader in the markets. This makes a lot of sense as Tech was one of the few areas of the economy that continued to … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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How Will the Fed Deal With This Latest Bout of Inflation?
Yesterday I pointed out how inflation has become deeply embedded in our financial system. As a quick recap, inflation arrives in stages. It’s not as though it appears overnight and suddenly the cost of everything rises. Instead, inflation slowly works … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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Inflation Watch: We Are Entering the Final and Most Critical Phase
It’s official, inflation is now deeply embedded in the financial system. You see, inflation arrives in stages. It’s not as though it appears overnight and suddenly the cost of everything rises. Instead, inflation slowly works its way into the financial … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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What Happens to Stocks When HOT Inflation Hits?
We’ve been outlining how the Fed and other central banks have unleashed an inflationary bubble in all assets… truly an Everything Bubble. We’ve already assessed the impact this is having on commodities, bonds and other asset classes. Today I want … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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