The U.S. is an Emerging Market

I Have a Serious Question For You

Who are you going to believe… the mainstream shills, or your own eyes and wallets?

The economic data in the US is telling us that the economy is booming. GDP growth is roaring at annualized rate of over 4%. Unemployment is collapsing, with over 300,000 new jobs being created last month. And inflation has been tackled, falling from a peak of nearly 9% to 3% where is sits today.

The mainstream media parrots these data points as if they were facts. There’s only one problem… if any of this were true, the Biden administration’s approval rating would not have just hit a new low of 37%. You can’t argue that the economy is doing great, but the President is doing an awful job at the same time. So one of these items (the economic data or the President’s approval ratings) is false.

It’s not the approval ratings.

The economic data in the U.S., particularly any economic data that is politically important (GDP growth, inflation, employment) is now largely fiction. And I don’t mean “fiction” as in there are honest mistakes being made because things are complicated; I mean fiction as in the bulk of the data is invented in a spreadsheet by a government beancounter.

Case in point,  we are told that in January the economy added 353,000 jobs. As ZeroHedge notes this happened in a month in which the economy actually LOST 63,000 full time jobs and gained 96,000 part-time jobs. Yes, somehow the economy “created” 353,000 jobs while losing 96,000 full time jobs.

Some added food for thought about the true state of the economy.  As I write this, the U.S. is adding over $2 trillion in debt every year.  The below chart needs no explanation. This is obviously NOT going to end well.

Why is the U.S. adding so much debt?

Because the Biden administration is running the largest deficit as a percentage of GDP outside of WWII. Yes, the deficit is larger today than it’s been during any recession in the last 100 years. Surely this must be because the economy is roaring!

If all of the above items make your head hurt, consider the added insanity that financial institutions and fund managers actually invest trillions of dollars based on this stuff.  And people wonder why no one ever sees a crisis coming in advance!?!?

Don’t fall for this stuff. There’s a lot of money to be made in the markets based on these lies, but it takes a lot of work and insight!

To start receiving our daily market insights every weekday before the market’s open (9:30AM EST), use the link below. There is no fee or cost to GAINS PAINS & CAPITAL. Access is free to the public.

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Banana Republic Corruption, The U.S. is an Emerging Market

Five Charts Every Individual Investors NEEDS to See Today

By Graham Summers, MBA

As I keep emphasizing, the U.S. is becoming an emerging market.

Two of the hallmarks of emerging markets are a weak domestic currency and higher inflation. While neither of these are good for those living in the nation, they do make the performance in the domestic stock market look fantastic.

Case in point, take a look at the South Africa stock market’s performance over the last 20 years.

Nothing special, right? It’s effectively been moving sideways since 2010.

Well, a big reason for that is that the above chart is priced in $USD. Watch what happens when we price South Africa’s stock market in its domestic currency, the Rand.

A similar dynamic is playing out today in the U.S. 

The S&P 500 look wonderfully bullish. After all, it bottomed in October 2022 and since been roaring higher ever since.

However, much of this performance stems from the fact that the S&P 500 is priced in our domestic currency, the $USD, which has been extremely weak. 

Watch what happens when we price the S&P 500 is another, stronger currency like the Euro.

Not quite some fantastic anymore is it? In fact, the S&P 500 priced in Euros has effectively been trading sideways for most of 2023.

Put simply, a major reason why the S&P 500 has done so well since October 2022 is because it’s priced in $USD. And the $USD has been dropping like a stone.

Again, this is the hallmark of an emerging market.

If you’re an individual investor trying to navigate this market, the framework that worked for investing in the U.S. from 1940 until today is over. You’re no longer investing in a developed nation… you’re investing in an emerging market.

Having said that, this kind of tectonic shift represents a “once in a lifetime” opportunity. Some investments are going to produce fortunes. Others will lose money for years… if not decades. And those investors who are positioned correctly for this will thrive while others struggle.

We recently outlined a unique “of the radar” investment that will outperform in this new economic landscape in an investment report called Billionaire’s “Green Gold.”

It details the actions of a family of billionaires who literally made their fortunes investing in emerging markets. And they just became involved in a mid-cap company that has the potential to TRIPLE in value in the coming months.

Normally this report would be sold for $249. But we are making it FREE to anyone who joins our Daily Market Commentary Gains Pains & Capital.

To pick up your copy, swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/GreenGold.html

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in The U.S. is an Emerging Market

Do You Like Bananas? Our Fed Does.

By Graham Summers, MBA

Yesterday’s article caused quite a stir. 

If you missed it, my main point was this: the U.S. is now an emerging market. And it’s getting downright embarrassing.

Last week our Secretary of the Treasury, Janet Yellen, arguably the most important financial figure in our country, and the person in charge of managing the U.S. dollar/ financial system, groveled in front of China’s Vice Premiere He Lifeng during her visit to China

Ms. Yellen bowed repeatedly to the Vice Premiere, groveling much as an emerging market financial official would kowtow to his or her counterpart from a more developed, superior nation upon which the former’s nation relied for aid/ support/ assistance.

See for yourself. And mind you, this is one of NUMEROUS bows.

I wish this was the worst thing about the current state of incompetence for financial/ economic leaders in the U.S., but unfortunately, it’s not. 

No, far worse is the fact that our central bank, the Federal Reserve, or the Fed for short, has become a political entity, as is often the case in emerging markets/ banana republics.

Let me explain.

The Fed, as per its Dual Mandate, is meant to focus on just two things: inflation and employment.

That’s the law. And for most of the last 100+ years, the Fed did focus on these issues above anything else.

No longer.

The Powell Fed is a den of corruption, incompetence, and political activism. In the last few years we’ve witnessed:

1) Scandals in which senior Fed officials were caught trading around Fed announcements. This is insider trading on a banana republic level!

2) The Fed ignoring literally HUNDREDS of signals that inflation was out of control… while still printing over $1 trillion per year and paying billions of dollars to banks.

3) The creation of the worst inflationary storm in 40+ years, all due to Fed incompetence (how did the Fed’s 400+ Economics PhDs and 150 research associates miss that inflation had arrived in 2020-2022!?!)

4) Fed Presidents pushing social justice issues openly in speeches. It’s one thing for them to discuss these things in private. It’s something else entirely for them to push for policies to address climate change, social justice, and other item as FED OFFICIALS.

5) The Fed testing the banking system for “Climate Change Risks.” Mind you, this is the same Fed that didn’t see the regional banking crisis coming, resulting in several of the largest bank failures in history.

All of the above would be downright hilarious, if the damage they inflicted on ordinary Americans wasn’t so devastating.

Let me be blunt here…

Few if any of us got rich during the pandemic. Multiple Fed officials did by trading on insider information. By the way, this continues today, with at least one Fed President caught actively trading during Fed “black out” periods when it’s illegal to do so. He wasn’t fired or forced to resign either.

Similarly, inflation has taken a heavy toll on Americans. And yet, NONE of the Fed officials who ignored the countless signals that inflation was appearing in 2020-2022 have been fired. And why would they? These are politically connected academics who haven’t worked in the private sector in years, if ever!

Again, the U.S. is an emerging market. All the signs are there: abject corruption, incompetence, politicizing everything, etc. The U.S. that existed from the 1940s until the mid-’00s is gone forever. And most of us are now on our own to navigate this new environment.

The only good thing that will come from this is that if you know how to invest in emerging market regimes, you can stand to make a fortune in the coming years.

Indeed, this kind of tectonic shift represents a “once in a lifetime” opportunity. Some investments are going to produce fortunes. Others will lose money for years… if not decades. And those investors who are positioned correctly for this will thrive while others struggle.

We recently outlined a unique “of the radar” investment that will outperform in this new economic landscape in an investment report called Billionaire’s “Green Gold.”

It details the actions of a family of billionaires who literally made their fortunes investing in emerging markets. And they just became involved in a mid-cap company that has the potential to TRIPLE in value in the coming months.

Normally this report would be sold for $249. But we are making it FREE to anyone who joins our Daily Market Commentary Gains Pains & Capital.

To pick up your copy, swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/GreenGold.html

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Banana Republic Corruption, The U.S. is an Emerging Market