WHITE Swan

The Santa rally has ignited stocks to new all-time highs.

However, the bigger story is that the stock market is showing zero indication that President Trump will step down as President. If anything, the stock market has begun discounting a landslide win by Trump in the 2020 election.

Early in his first term, the President began branding the stock market as a barometer of his success. Indeed, Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin even went so far as to admit the Trump White House views the stock market as a “report card.”

As a result of this, the market is now closely tied to Trump’s Presidency. Time and again during the Mueller investigation, whenever a story hit the wires suggesting the president was in danger, the stock market would nose-dive.

Compare that to the stock market’s performance during the current phony impeachment sham. The Democrats first began an impeachment investigation in late July. They upgraded the process to an impeachment inquiry in late September. And since that time the stock market has gone STRAIGHT UP.

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This tells us one thing: there is zero danger of President Trump leaving office. If anything, the market is beginning to discount a second Trump term… one in which the President is even more aggressive in his economically friendly policies.

Those who seek profit from this, need to invest in the sectors that will most benefit from a second Trump term.

Indeed, we’ve discovered a unique play on stocks… a single investment… that has already returned 1,300%. And we believe it’s poised to more than TRIPLE in the next 24 months as President Trump secures a second term in a landslide win.

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Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan

Forget everything the mainstream media and economists are telling you about a recession… the U.S. economy is ROARING.

To see this, however, you need to look outside the official data, which is so heavily gimmicked that it borders on fiction.

Instead, take a look at corporate sales.

While there are literally dozens of ways through which companies can boost their earnings, sales are all but impossible to fake. Either money came in the door or not. As such they’re a great read on the economy, particularly the power of the U.S. consumer which makes up 70% of GDP.

With that in mind, consider that the average Year over Year sales growth for a basket of economically sensitive companies shows growth is near 5%…not 2% or 3%… 5%.

Interestingly, the slowest was in Wal-Mart, while the highest sales growth was in consumer discretionary items like Amazon and Coke. Typically, we see sales growth rise dramatically at Wal-Mart when the economy slows as more and more consumers become price sensitive.

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With that in mind, the above table suggests, that despite all the negative claims by the media, the American consumer is going strong: he and she are shopping for higher priced, discretionary items.

Now take a look at this table comparing Quarter over Quarter sales growth for the last three quarters for those same companies.

Looking at this, it appears the U.S. economy did indeed slow in the first half of 2019 but is now rapidly rebounding. Quarter over Quarter we are seeing growth above 3%.

Who are you going to believe… an economist with a spreadsheet and a bunch of fake formulas… or real companies that generate real sales based on consumer buying things?

So once again, the Trump administration has succeeded in generating higher economic growth. And by the look of things with corporate sales today, we’re about to experience another economic boom, NOT a bust… which suggests President Trump winning a second term in a landslide.

Indeed, we’ve discovered a unique play on stocks… a single investment… that has already returned 1,300%. And we believe it’s poised to more than TRIPLE in the next 24 months as President Trump secures a second term in a landslide win.

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Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in The Markets, WHITE Swan
Is President Trump Watching Copper Prices?

President Trump was about the Federal Reserve being too hawkish with monetary policy in 2018. And he’s correct now to suggest the Fed should be easing more aggressively.

To be clear, the Fed was correct to raise rates and attempt a balance sheet normalization, the pace of both operations was far too aggressive. As early as mid-2018 it was clear to me that the markets were signaling that Fed policies were killing growth.

Let me give you an example.

Due to its many industrial uses, copper is extremely sensitive to economic growth. When economic growth is accelerating, copper rises. When economic growth is slowing, copper falls.

With that in mind, note in the chart below that copper initially rose quite a lot during the first year of the Trump Presidency (green box =2017). This signaled higher economic growth to market watchers such as myself.

A close up of text on a black background

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However, once the Fed began its aggressive rate hike schedule along with its balance sheet normalization, copper entered a steep downtrend (red box=2018). As you can see, as early as June/ July 2018 it was clear the Fed was killing economic growth as copper entered a free-fall.

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How the Fed failed to see this is beyond me as this kind of collapse was playing out in multiple sectors all linked to growth (copper, steel, industrials, etc.). I repeatedly commented on this, but to no avail.

Perhaps, had the Fed slowed the pace of the rate hikes and balance sheet normalization, we would not have had to experience that horrible stock market sell-off in late 2018.

A screenshot of a cell phone

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Note also, it was only in early 2019 when the Fed reserved course with its policies and began talking about rate cuts and ending its balance sheet normalization that copper began to rally again. And as of late 2019, it has finally broken its downtrend (purple lines).

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This tells me that growth is coming once again. The markets, as you know, are forward looking.

So once again, President Trump was right concerning the Fed killing growth. And by the look of things with copper today, we’re about to experience another economic boom, NOT a bust… which suggests President Trump winning a second term in a landslide.

Indeed, we’ve discovered a unique play on stocks… a single investment… that has already returned 1,300%. And we believe it’s poised to more than TRIPLE in the next 24 months as President Trump secures a second term in a landslide win.

To find out what it is… pick up a copy of our report…The Last Bull Market of Our Lifetimes

There are fewer than 39 copies left.

Click Here Now

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan
President Trump Was Right About the Fed Killing Growth… and About the Coming Economic Boom

President Trump was about the Federal Reserve being too hawkish with monetary policy in 2018. And he’s correct now to suggest the Fed should be easing more aggressively.

To be clear, the Fed was correct to raise rates and attempt a balance sheet normalization, the pace of both operations was far too aggressive. As early as mid-2018 it was clear to me that the markets were signaling that Fed policies were killing growth.

Let me give you an example.

Due to its many industrial uses, copper is extremely sensitive to economic growth. When economic growth is accelerating, copper rises. When economic growth is slowing, copper falls.

With that in mind, note in the chart below that copper initially rose quite a lot during the first year of the Trump Presidency (green box =2017). This signaled higher economic growth to market watchers such as myself.

A close up of text on a black background

Description automatically generated

However, once the Fed began its aggressive rate hike schedule along with its balance sheet normalization, copper entered a steep downtrend (red box=2018). As you can see, as early as June/ July 2018 it was clear the Fed was killing economic growth as copper entered a free-fall.

A close up of text on a black background

Description automatically generated

How the Fed failed to see this is beyond me as this kind of collapse was playing out in multiple sectors all linked to growth (copper, steel, industrials, etc.). I repeatedly commented on this, but to no avail.

Perhaps, had the Fed slowed the pace of the rate hikes and balance sheet normalization, we would not have had to experience that horrible stock market sell-off in late 2018.

A screenshot of a cell phone

Description automatically generated

Note also, it was only in early 2019 when the Fed reserved course with its policies and began talking about rate cuts and ending its balance sheet normalization that copper began to rally again. And as of late 2019, it has finally broken its downtrend (purple lines).

A close up of text on a black background

Description automatically generated

This tells me that growth is coming once again. The markets, as you know, are forward looking.

So once again, President Trump was right concerning the Fed killing growth. And by the look of things with copper today, we’re about to experience another economic boom, NOT a bust… which suggests President Trump winning a second term in a landslide.

Indeed, we’ve discovered a unique play on stocks… a single investment… that has already returned 1,300%. And we believe it’s poised to more than TRIPLE in the next 24 months as President Trump secures a second term in a landslide win.

To find out what it is… pick up a copy of our report…The Last Bull Market of Our Lifetimes

There are fewer than 39 copies left.

Click Here Now

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in The Markets, WHITE Swan

The market correction we’ve been predicting to our clients for the last three weeks finally hit. The S&P 500 caught up with both breadth and high yield credit to within spitting distance of our downside target of 3,070 or so.

The key chart for this bull market has been breadth. And breadth has bounced off the uptrend that has marked the lows for most corrections this year.

It’s truly incredible the bears couldn’t generate more pronounced selling. This strongly suggests that stocks are nowhere near a significant market top.

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Indeed, the AAII survey continues to show that investor sentiment is nowhere near the bullish insanity one needs to see to claim there is a mania underway. The bulls sit at 33.6%, well below the historic AVERAGE of 38%.

Let me repeat that, the number of bulls is BELOW the historic average at a time when stocks have just hit new all-time highs (this latest reading was BEFORE stocks began to correct this week).

On top of this, investors are sitting on $3.4 trillion in cash… at a time when the Fed is literally broadcasting that it’s going to let inflation run hot.

What do you think is going to happen when inflation starts rising and eating away at all that cash sitting on the sidelines?

Investors will be forced to move into riskier assets to maintain their purchasing power. And if even $1 trillion of that $3.4 trillion in cash does this, we’re talking about the S&P 500 hitting 4,000 next year.

The bull channel from the 2009 low remains intact.  When this correction completes in the coming days, the market will move to touch the upper trendline in mid-2020.

If you’re looking for a means to profit from this, we just published a new investment report titled The Last Bull Market.

In it we outline how the bull market will unfold… which investments will perform best… and a unique play that more than  TRIPLES the return of the broader stock market.

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Best Regards,

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan

The market correction we’ve been predicting to our clients for the last three weeks finally hit. The S&P 500 caught up with both breadth and high yield credit to within spitting distance of our downside target of 3,070 or so.

The key chart for this bull market has been breadth. And breadth has bounced off the uptrend that has marked the lows for most corrections this year.

It’s truly incredible the bears couldn’t generate more pronounced selling. This strongly suggests that stocks are nowhere near a significant market top.

———————————————————–

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An annual subscription to all of our current newsletters costs $1,500.

But today, you can get a LIFETIME subscription to ALL of them, along with every new product we ever launch, for just $2,500.

We have only 10 remaining slots available for this offer.

To snatch one of them for yourself…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

———————————————————–

Indeed, the AAII survey continues to show that investor sentiment is nowhere near the bullish insanity one needs to see to claim there is a mania underway. The bulls sit at 33.6%, well below the historic AVERAGE of 38%.

Let me repeat that, the number of bulls is BELOW the historic average at a time when stocks have just hit new all-time highs (this latest reading was BEFORE stocks began to correct this week).

On top of this, investors are sitting on $3.4 trillion in cash… at a time when the Fed is literally broadcasting that it’s going to let inflation run hot.

What do you think is going to happen when inflation starts rising and eating away at all that cash sitting on the sidelines?

Investors will be forced to move into riskier assets to maintain their purchasing power. And if even $1 trillion of that $3.4 trillion in cash does this, we’re talking about the S&P 500 hitting 4,000 next year.

The bull channel from the 2009 low remains intact.  When this correction completes in the coming days, the market will move to touch the upper trendline in mid-2020.

If you’re looking for a means to profit from this, we just published a new investment report titled The Last Bull Market.

In it we outline how the bull market will unfold… which investments will perform best… and a unique play that more than  TRIPLES the return of the broader stock market.

We are giving away just 99 copies of this report for FREE to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TLBM.html

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan

That last post sure caused a ruckus.

In case you missed it, the premise was very simple.

This is the last bull market of our lifetimes.

I realize that sounds like a crazy statement.

So, I want you to take a look at this chart.

As you can see, there have been THREE bull markets in the last 100 years (identified with green arrows).

  1. From 1945-1967
  2. Another from 1983-2000.
  3. The one that began in mid-2013.

Short-sided analysts will argue that stocks have been in a bull market since 2009. But the reality is that from 1997 until mid-2013, stocks effectively went nowhere. If your 401K went up, it was due to contributions, not stock market returns.

Yes, we only JUST entered a new bull market in mid-2013. Prior to that, stocks had gone NOWHERE for 15/16 years.

Which means…

When this bull market ends, stocks will once again enter a bear market: a period in which stocks go nowhere, or worse, LOST money for 15 years straight.

We’ve had three of them in the last 100 years. I’ve identified them with the red lines in the chart below:

Again, we’re talking about 15 years, MINIMUM during which stocks DON’T make money. Which means if this current bull market ends in 2021, stocks will have peaked until at least 2036.

Put simply, NOW is the time to maximize your gains from the stock market.

Why?

Because it’s your last chance, likely in your lifetime.

If you’re looking for a means to profit from this, we just published a new investment report titled The Last Bull Market.

In it we outline how the bull market will unfold… which investments will perform best… and a unique play that more than  TRIPLES the return of the broader stock market.

We are giving away just 99 copies of this report for FREE to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TLBM.html

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan

That last post sure caused a ruckus.

In case you missed it, the premise was very simple.

This is the last bull market of our lifetimes.

I realize that sounds like a crazy statement.

So, I want you to take a look at this chart.

As you can see, there have been THREE bull markets in the last 100 years (identified with green arrows).

  1. From 1945-1967
  2. Another from 1983-2000.
  3. The one that began in mid-2013.

Short-sided analysts will argue that stocks have been in a bull market since 2009. But the reality is that from 1997 until mid-2013, stocks effectively went nowhere. If your 401K went up, it was due to contributions, not stock market returns.

Yes, we only JUST entered a new bull market in mid-2013. Prior to that, stocks had gone NOWHERE for 15/16 years.

Which means…

When this bull market ends, stocks will once again enter a bear market: a period in which stocks go nowhere, or worse, LOST money for 15 years straight.

We’ve had three of them in the last 100 years. I’ve identified them with the red lines in the chart below:

Again, we’re talking about 15 years, MINIMUM during which stocks DON’T make money. Which means if this current bull market ends in 2021, stocks will have peaked until at least 2036.

Put simply, NOW is the time to maximize your gains from the stock market.

Why?

Because it’s your last chance, likely in your lifetime.

If you’re looking for a means to profit from this, we just published a new investment report titled The Last Bull Market.

In it we outline how the bull market will unfold… which investments will perform best… and a unique play that more than  TRIPLES the return of the broader stock market.

We are giving away just 99 copies of this report for FREE to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TLBM.html

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan

The Fed is now expanding its balance sheet at a pace of $100 billion per month.

Yes, $100 billion, despite the fact its official QE program is only $60 billion.

On an annualized basis this means the Fed is now funneling over $1 trillion into the financial system every year.

And it’s igniting the last great bull market of our lifetimes.

The German DAX just hit a new 52-week high.

Ditto for the Nikkei:

In the US most major indexes have hit new all-time highs. Even the laggards are now playing catch up.

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The Russell 2000 just hit a new 52-week high in the US.

Look, there’s no reason to overthink this. Central Banks are panicked and have started the printing presses again.

And it’s going to lead to the last great bull market of our lifetimes. 

With that in mind, subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory newsletter have recently opened five targeted trades to maximize their returns as the market melt-up continues.

As I write this, they’re already up in the double digits. And we’re just getting started,

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Chief Market Strategist   
Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan
Three Reasons Stocks Are Going to Explode To the Upside

Three Reasons Stocks Are Going to Explode To the Upside

There is no recession.

The investment herd bought heavily into the “a recession is about to hit” narrative earlier this year.

They did this based on:

1)   A sharp dip in economic activity in the first half of 2019.

2)   A yield curve inversion in the Treasury market.

3)   Hatred of the Trump administration and hopes that a recession would increase the odds of him losing the 2020 election.

Regarding #1, it’s now clear that the dip in economic activity is rebounding. Both US manufacturing and service sectors PMIs both surprised to the upside in October. We also saw a sharp rebound in consumer confidence and existing home sales.

Bottom-line: the data is rebounding.

Regarding #2, countless pundits noted that the Treasury yield curve inverted earlier this year. For those unfamiliar with this idea, a yield curve inversion is when short-term Treasuries yield more than long-term Treasuries. It’s happened before most recessions in the last 50 years. And so the investment herd assumed that this time it was the same.

Except it’s not.

Central banks effectively cornered the bond market from 2008-2017 with over 600 interest rate cuts and $14 trillion in QE. Never before in history have we seen a coordinated attempt to control the bond market like this. And it has rendered historical comparisons weak if not useless.

Put simply, any analysis of the bond market that doesn’t account for the fact that the bond market is now artificial is not worth the paper it’s written on. For this reason alone, the yield curve inversion is no longer a guaranteed indicator of a looming recession.

Regarding #3, I don’t have anything to add. Politics is a toxic topic and frankly if you hate a political figure so much that you hope millions of Americans will lose their jobs so that he or she will lose an election you need professional help. And if you’re investing based on this kind of thinking, you’re going broke.

Add it all up and the “a recession is coming” crowd is dead wrong. Stocks have known this for some time, which is why they’ve broken out to the upside of their consolidation range.

Mind you, this happened at a time when investors were sitting on $3.4 trillion in cash.

So what happens when hedge funds who are desperate to improve their 2019 performance to halt redemptions… and individual investors who went “into cash” based on recession forecasts, both realize that they were wrong?

We get 4,000 on the S&P 500.

Again, the market has already signaled this is coming.

With that in mind, we’ve just published an investment report titled Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles.

It outlines how the market is entering yet another bubble, driven by funny money from the Federal Reserve.

It also outlines a unique investment that could easily triple as the Fed unleashes a tsunami of liquidity pushing stocks to nosebleed levels.

The last time the Fed began an easing cycle, this investment rose over 1,439%. And this time around we could see similar gains.

To pick up your copy of Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles go to:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/MOAB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in The Markets, WHITE Swan

The Fed is Going to Push Stocks to Levels You Won’t Believe

Here’s a crazy fact…

The Fed just expanded its balance sheet by $250 BILLION in eight weeks.

Yes, a quarter of a TRILLION dollars… in two months.

The last time the Fed was expanding its balance sheet at this pace was when Lehman Brothers failed in September 2008.

The only difference is that back then the financial system was in the depths of the worst crisis in 80 years… unemployment was over 6% and rising every months… and the U.S. was in the middle of a deep recession.

This time around, stocks are at new all time highs… unemployment is 3.6%… and the U.S. economy is growing at 2%.

And the Fed’s putting $250 BILLION in liquidity into the system in just eight weeks.

We can disagree with this. We might even think it’s outright offensive. But it’s a fact. And it means stocks are going to explode to levels you won’t believe.

Liquidity is what drives stocks. Not the economy. Not earnings. Liquidity.

This is especially true in the post-2008 era which has been defined by central bank intervention more than any other time in history.

So what does this mean for stocks?

Again, it means stocks are going to go parabolic to levels you won’t believe.

I’m talking 4,000 on the S&P 500.

The S&P 500 just broke out of an expanding pattern (purple lines) within its bullish channel (blue lines). The door is now open to 4,000.

We’re putting together an Executive Summary on how to play this move.

It will identify which investments will perform best during the Fed’s next bubble, including a unique play that could more than double the performance of the S&P 500.

This Executive Summary will be available exclusively to subscribers of our Gains Pains & Capital e-letter. To insure you receive a copy when it’s sent out, you can join here:

https://gainspainscapital.com/

Best RegardsGraham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan

Stocks broke above resistance to hit new all-time highs yesterday. This was a BIG move and one that opens the door to a truly massive rally in the coming weeks.

In the very near-term, stocks are overbought, but this move combined with the Fed’s three rates cuts and $60 billion in QE per month, opens the door to a massive bull run.

As I noted earlier this week, markets around the globe are breaking out to the upside. The Global Dow has just broken out of a mutli-year consolidation phase. The last time it staged a similar move was in 2014-2016 right before a MASSIVE bull market began.

Put simply, across the globe markets are signalling that a major bull run is about to begin. With the right investments, this move could make investors VERY rich indeed. I’ll detail one capable of producing quadruple digit gains during bull markets in tomorrow’s issue of Gains Pains & Capital published exclusively to our clients.

Join our list now to insure it’s delivered to your inbox. You can do so here: www.gainspainscapital.com

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan

Stocks broke above resistance to hit new all-time highs yesterday. This was a BIG move and one that opens the door to a truly massive rally in the coming weeks.

In the very near-term, stocks are overbought, but this move combined with the Fed’s three rates cuts and $60 billion in QE per month, opens the door to a massive bull run.

As I noted earlier this week, markets around the globe are breaking out to the upside. The Global Dow has just broken out of a mutli-year consolidation phase. The last time it staged a similar move was in 2014-2016 right before a MASSIVE bull market began.

Put simply, across the globe markets are signalling that a major bull run is about to begin. With the right investments, this move could make investors VERY rich indeed. I’ll detail one capable of producing quadruple digit gains during bull markets in tomorrow’s issue of Gains Pains & Capital published exclusively to our clients.

Join our list now to insure it’s delivered to your inbox. You can do so here: www.gainspainscapital.com

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan

When Seven Rate Hikes is Accommodative… Inflation is Out of Control

The Fed revealed how badly behind the curve it is on inflation yesterday.

Sure, everyone believes the Fed was hawkish because it wants to hike rates two more times this year with an additional three es in 2019… but lost amidst that is the fact the Fed upgraded its inflation forecast while emphasizing that policy remains accommodative.”

Put another way, if SEVEN rate hikes over a two year period are “accommodative,” REAL inflation is WELL above where rates are now.

Remember, Jerome Powell is not a clueless academic like Janet Yellen or Ben Bernanke. Powell has ample experience in the private sector and is well aware that the Fed’s official inflation measures are garbage.

If you don’t believe me, consider how the actual markets reacted to the Fed statement. The $USD which SHOULD rally hard based on the Fed being hawkish gave up all its gains in just a few minutes.

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Meanwhile, Gold and other inflation hedges EXPLODED higher, finishing the day at the highs.

Let me ask you… is a collapsing $USD and a strong Gold rally inflationary or deflationary?

Remember the Fed has ready admitted its open to an “inflationary overshoot.” Given how guarded the Fed typically is concerning real risks to the financial system (remember the “subprime is contained” gaffe in 2007?) this suggests the Fed is well aware inflation is going to be a REAL problem.

On that note, we recently published a special investment report on how to profit from inflation. The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan

The Fed Made a Startling Admission Concerning Inflation Yesterday

The Fed  revealed how badly behind the curve it is on inflation yesterday.

Sure, everyone believes the Fed was hawkish because it wants to hike rates two more times this year with an additional three es in 2019… but lost amidst that is the fact the Fed upgraded its inflation forecast while emphasizing that policy remains accommodative.”

Put another way, if SEVEN rate hikes over a two year period are “accommodative,” REAL inflation is WELL above where rates are now.

Remember, Jerome Powell is not a clueless academic like Janet Yellen or Ben Bernanke. Powell has ample experience in the private sector and is well aware that the Fed’s official inflation measures are garbage.

If you don’t believe me, consider how the actual markets reacted to the Fed statement. The $USD which SHOULD rally hard based on the Fed being hawkish gave up all its gains in just a few minutes.

—————————————————————-

That Makes NINE Straight Double Digit Winners!

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak, having locked in NINE double digit winners in the last four weeks.

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 41% this year alone.

In fact, we haven’t had a losing trade APRIL 2018.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

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Meanwhile, Gold and other inflation hedges EXPLODED higher, finishing the day at the highs.

Let me ask you… is a collapsing $USD and a strong Gold rally inflationary or deflationary?

Remember the Fed has ready admitted its open to an “inflationary overshoot.” Given how guarded the Fed typically is concerning real risks to the financial system (remember the “subprime is contained” gaffe in 2007?) this suggests the Fed is well aware inflation is going to be a REAL problem.

On that note, we recently published a special investment report on how to profit from inflation. The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Inflation, WHITE Swan

The Fed Went Hawkish… Because It’s WAY Behind the Curve

The Fed  revealed how badly behind the curve it is on inflation yesterday.

Sure, everyone believes the Fed was hawkish because it wants to hike rates two more times this year with an additional three es in 2019… but lost amidst that is the fact the Fed upgraded its inflation forecast while emphasizing that policy remains accommodative.”

Put another way, if SEVEN rate hikes over a two year period are “accommodative,” REAL inflation is WELL above where rates are now.

Remember, Jerome Powell is not a clueless academic like Janet Yellen or Ben Bernanke. Powell has ample experience in the private sector and is well aware that the Fed’s official inflation measures are garbage.

If you don’t believe me, consider how the actual markets reacted to the Fed statement. The $USD which SHOULD rally hard based on the Fed being hawkish gave up all its gains in just a few minutes.

 

—————————————————————-

That Makes NINE Straight Double Digit Winners!

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak, having locked in NINE double digit winners in the last four weeks.

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 41% this year alone.

In fact, we haven’t had a losing trade APRIL 2018.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

Meanwhile, Gold and other inflation hedges EXPLODED higher, finishing the day at the highs.

Let me ask you… is a collapsing $USD and a strong Gold rally inflationary or deflationary?

Remember the Fed has ready admitted its open to an “inflationary overshoot.” Given how guarded the Fed typically is concerning real risks to the financial system (remember the “subprime is contained” gaffe in 2007?) this suggests the Fed is well aware inflation is going to be a REAL problem.

On that note, we recently published a special investment report on how to profit from inflation. The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity, Inflation, WHITE Swan

Will the Fed Choose Inflation or Deflation? Here’s What the $USD is Saying

The Fed meets today, and whatever happens will be a BIG “tell” for the rest of the year.

On the one hand, inflation is clearly seeping fully into the financial system. Even the ridiculously massaged CPI measure of inflation shows it is close to 3%.

This would suggest the Fed would move aggressively to hike rates to curb inflation.

—————————————————————-

That Makes NINE Straight Double Digit Winners!

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak, having locked in NINE double digit winners in the last four weeks.

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 41% this year alone.

In fact, we haven’t had a losing trade APRIL 2018.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

On the other hand, the Fed has already hiked rates TWICE in the last six months while withdrawing $116 billion liquidity via its QT operations. And even this has resulted in a crisis brewing in the emerging market space with emerging market currencies imploding against the $USD.

This would suggest the Fed will start “walking back” its hawkishness as the last FOMC minutes would suggest… with fewer rates hikes this year and possibly slowing the pace of its QT program.

Our money is on the latter option.

The Fed ready admitted its open to an “inflationary overshoot.” Given how guarded the Fed typically is concerning real risks to the financial system (remember the “subprime is contained” gaffe in 2007?) this suggests the Fed is well aware inflation is going to be a REAL problem.

The $USD seems to be “sensing this” as it is struggling at major resistance for most major currency pairs.

Put simply, we believe the Fed will choose inflation over a deflationary crisis in the emerging market space.On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

On that note, we recently published a special investment report on how to profit from inflation. The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Inflation, WHITE Swan
The $USD Thinks the Fed Will Choose Inflation

The $USD Thinks the Fed Will Choose Inflation

The Fed meets today, and whatever happens will be a BIG “tell” for the rest of the year.

On the one hand, inflation is clearly seeping fully into the financial system. Even the ridiculously massaged CPI measure of inflation shows it is close to 3%.

This would suggest the Fed would move aggressively to hike rates to curb inflation.

—————————————————————-

That Makes NINE Straight Double Digit Winners!

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak, having locked in NINE double digit winners in the last four weeks.

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 41% this year alone.

In fact, we haven’t had a losing trade APRIL 2018.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

On the other hand, the Fed has already hiked rates TWICE in the last six months while withdrawing $116 billion liquidity via its QT operations. And even this has resulted in a crisis brewing in the emerging market space with emerging market currencies imploding against the $USD.

This would suggest the Fed will start “walking back” its hawkishness as the last FOMC minutes would suggest… with fewer rates hikes this year and possibly slowing the pace of its QT program.

Our money is on the latter option.

The Fed ready admitted its open to an “inflationary overshoot.” Given how guarded the Fed typically is concerning real risks to the financial system (remember the “subprime is contained” gaffe in 2007?) this suggests the Fed is well aware inflation is going to be a REAL problem.

The $USD seems to be “sensing this” as it is struggling at major resistance for most major currency pairs.

Put simply, we believe the Fed will choose inflation over a deflationary crisis in the emerging market space.On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

On that note, we recently published a special investment report on how to profit from inflation. The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Inflation, WHITE Swan
Make No Mistake, An “Inflationary Overshoot” Is Unavoidable at This Point

Make No Mistake, An “Inflationary Overshoot” Is Unavoidable at This Point

The Fed has gone dovish. In fact, it’s going to allow inflation to explode higher.

That, in of itself, is significant… to understand why, we first need to acknowledge how the Fed currently operates to control risk in the financial system.

The Fed currently has two primary tools for controlling the financial system. They are:

1) The size of its balance sheet (via Quantitative Easing, or QE, and Quantitative Tightening, or QT, programs)

And …

2) The Fed Funds Rate which controls the prices of “money” in the system.

Regarding #1, after engaging off and on in QE for six years (2008-2014), the Fed has only been tapering QE for six months and it’s already in trouble

The fact the Fed is already “pumping the brakes” despite having shrunken its balance sheet a mere $126 billion (less than 3% of its gargantuan $4.3 TRILLION balance sheet) is telling.

`

—————————————————————-

That Makes NINE Straight Double Digit Winners!

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak, having locked in NINE double digit winners in the last four weeks.

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 41% this year alone.

In fact, we haven’t had a losing trade APRIL 2018.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

Regarding #2, the Fed has raised the Fed Funds Target rate six times from 0.15% to its current level of 1.5%-1.75%. While this DOES seem significant, it is worth noting that these are usually the levels to which the Fed CUTs rates during a recession/ crisis.

Put another way, having kept the Fed Funds Target Rate at ZERO for seven years (’08-’15), even after some 2+ years of tightening, rates remain at levels that USUALLY mark EXTREMELY easy conditions.

To conclude… both of the Fed’s primary tools for controlling the financial system have barely budged towards normalization…  and the Fed is already going dovish. Indeed, the Fed opened the door to an inflationary “overshoot” of its 2% inflation target in last month’s FOMC release!

Let me be blunt… The Fed will ALWAYS understate things because its primary role is to maintain financial stability. So if the Fed is even hinting at permitting an inflationary overshoot, it’s because the Fed knows this is unavoidable.

The $USD has already figured this out and is rolling over on its way to a NEW lows.

And this move is going to send risk assets, especially inflation/ reflation trades THROUGH THE ROOF.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Inflation, WHITE Swan
Newsflash… the Russell 2000 Was FLAT Yesterday

Newsflash… the Russell 2000 Was FLAT Yesterday

The current view trending in social media as well as most of the financial media is that Italy is about to trigger a systemic collapse of Europe.

Those proposing this theory are using charts of Italy’s bond yields and stock market that focus on the last few years when the country was being priced at a ridiculously low risk.

The reality?

Long-term Italy’s stock market is trading within a very clear a defined channel. This is the “end of the world” that everyone is talking about. From the look of things Italy has had it at least three times before since 2009.

As I said yesterday…That. Is. Not. A. CRISIS.

Indeed, Italy is SO dangerous that the NASDAQ and Russell 2000 were effectively FLAT yesterday during the “meltdown.”

Currently, the S&P 500 is UP today.  And this is just the start…

We are about to move into a “white swan” move in which the S&P 500 bounces off of support and makes a run to 3,000+ this summer.

This is the “White Swan” I’ve been forecasting since end of March 2018. It will mark THE blow-off top for the markets. What follows will be another crisis… the REAL crisis… NOT the bogus one everyone is panicking about right now.

It will take time for this to unfold, but as I recently told clients, we’re currently in “late 2007” for the coming crisis.

On that note, we are putting together an Executive Summary outlining all of these issues as well as what’s coming down the pike when the Everything Bubble bursts.

It will be available exclusively to our clients. If you’d like to have a copy delivered to your inbox when it’s completed, you can join the wait-list here:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market, WHITE Swan