Will the Fed’s QT Bury Stocks Again This Month-End?

As we’ve noted previously, the Fed is currently engaged in an aggressive campaign to shrink its balance sheet.

What started as just $10 billion per month in QT back in October 2016, has since increased to $30 billion in QT per month as of April 2018.

What’s critical to note, however, is that throughout this period, the Fed has largely engaged in its QT drains during the second half of each month.

You may not have noticed it, but the stock market certainly did… with stocks taking a nosedive during the second half of every month in 2018… RIGHT as the Fed began QT.

Take note the red boxes below… the second half of each month has been a bit of a bloodbath. Thank the Fed and QT.

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Which brings us to this month… stocks are rising sharply during the first two weeks of trading as usual… just in time for the second half QT bloodbath.

And it will almost certainly be a bloodbath… the Fed’s QT program will increase to $40 billion this month… right as stocks reach one of
their most overbought levels thus far.

Put another way, the Fed will be engaged in its GREATEST liquidity drain thus far… right as investors are fully primed for stocks to roar higher.

And they’re ALL going to get taken to the cleaners.

The time to prepare for this is NOW before the carnage hits.

On that note, we are already preparing our clients with a 21-page investment report that shows them FOUR investment strategies that will protect their capital when and if a stock market crash hits.

It’s called The Stock Market Crash Survival Guide… and it is available exclusively to our clients.

To pick up one of the 100 copies…use the link below.

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Disclaimer: The information contained on this website is for marketing purposes only. Nothing contained in this website is intended to be, nor shall it be construed as, investment advice by Phoenix Capital Research or any of its affiliates, nor is it to be relied upon in making any investment or other decision. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed on this website constitutes and offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or participate in any particular trading strategy. The information in the newsletter is not a complete description of the securities, markets or developments discussed. Information and opinions regarding individual securities do not mean that a security is recommended or suitable for a particular investor. Prior to making any investment decision, you are advised to consult with your broker, investment advisor or other appropriate tax or financial professional to determine the suitability of any investment. 

Opinions and estimates expressed on this website constitute Phoenix Capital Research's judgment as of the date appearing on the opinion or estimate and are subject to change without notice. This information may not reflect events occurring after the date or time of publication. Phoenix Capital Research is not obligated to continue to offer information or opinions regarding any security, instrument or service. 

Information has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Phoenix Capital Research and its officers, directors, employees, agents and/or affiliates may have executed, or may in the future execute, transactions in any of the securities or derivatives of any securities discussed on this email. 

Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and is no guarantee of future results. Securities products are not FDIC insured, are not guaranteed by any bank and involve investment risk, including possible loss of entire value. Phoenix Capital Research, OmniSans Publishing LLC and Graham Summers shall not be responsible or have any liability for investment decisions based upon, or the results obtained from, the information provided. 

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