Day: January 15, 2019

Growth is Gone, the Bull Market is Over, Next Comes the Crisis

As I keep warning, the global economy is rapidly moving into a recession.

If you don’t believe me, consider that in the last two weeks, the following have been announced…

1)   South Korean exports, a critical measure for global growth, recorded a -1.2% drop year over year in December.

2)   China’s manufacturing PMI fell into outright contraction below 50. Car sales were negative for the first time in two decades. And Chinese exports fell 4.4% year over year.

3)   German Industrial Production fell 1.9% month over month and 4.6% year over year in November: the biggest drop since 2009. Real-time GDP trackers show the largest EU economy is already in a recession.

4)   US manufacturing ISM dropped sharply from 59% to 54% (not yet in contraction mode, but rapidly approaching it).

To top if off, we now have numerous companies issuing warnings: Apple, Samsung, LG, Fed Ex, Delta, Skyworks, Tailored Brand, Sherwin-Williams, Lindt, Macy’s, Kohl’s, and American Airlines have all lowered forward guidance.

So we’ve got everything from airlines to big tech to chocolate producers and paint manufacturers warning of a slowdown.

This is the slowdown that stocks began to discount in October.

Unfortunately it’s not over either. If you look at the long-term charts, it’s clear the market realizes that the credit cycle has turned and we are moving into a recession/ crisis.

The last two times this happened, a crisis hit within three to six months.

A Crash is coming… and 99% of investors will panic when it hits… but not those who have downloaded our 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on last week’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market
The Last Two Times This Happened, A Crisis Hit Within 6 Months

The Last Two Times This Happened, A Crisis Hit Within 6 Months

As I keep warning, the global economy is rapidly moving into a recession.

If you don’t believe me, consider that in the last two weeks, the following have been announced…

1)   South Korean exports, a critical measure for global growth, recorded a -1.2% drop year over year in December.

2)   China’s manufacturing PMI fell into outright contraction below 50. Car sales were negative for the first time in two decades. And Chinese exports fell 4.4% year over year.

3)   German Industrial Production fell 1.9% month over month and 4.6% year over year in November: the biggest drop since 2009. Real-time GDP trackers show the largest EU economy is already in a recession.

4)   US manufacturing ISM dropped sharply from 59% to 54% (not yet in contraction mode, but rapidly approaching it).

To top if off, we now have numerous companies issuing warnings: Apple, Samsung, LG, Fed Ex, Delta, Skyworks, Tailored Brand, Sherwin-Williams, Lindt, Macy’s, Kohl’s, and American Airlines have all lowered forward guidance.

So we’ve got everything from airlines to big tech to chocolate producers and paint manufacturers warning of a slowdown.

This is the slowdown that stocks began to discount in October.

Unfortunately it’s not over either. If you look at the long-term charts, it’s clear the market realizes that the credit cycle has turned and we are moving into a recession/ crisis.

The last two times this happened, a crisis hit within three to six months.

A Crash is coming… and 99% of investors will panic when it hits… but not those who have downloaded our 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on last week’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

If Everything Is Great… Why Are So Many Companies Lowering Guidance?

As I keep warning, the global economy is rapidly moving into a recession.

If you don’t believe me, consider that in the last two weeks, the following have been announced…

1)   South Korean exports, a critical measure for global growth, recorded a -1.2% drop year over year in December.

2)   China’s manufacturing PMI fell into outright contraction below 50. Car sales were negative for the first time in two decades. And Chinese exports fell 4.4% year over year.

3)   German Industrial Production fell 1.9% month over month and 4.6% year over year in November: the biggest drop since 2009. Real-time GDP trackers show the largest EU economy is already in a recession.

4)   US manufacturing ISM dropped sharply from 59% to 54% (not yet in contraction mode, but rapidly approaching it).

To top if off, we now have numerous companies issuing warnings: Apple, Samsung, LG, Fed Ex, Delta, Skyworks, Tailored Brand, Sherwin-Williams, Lindt, Macy’s, Kohl’s, and American Airlines have all lowered forward guidance.

So we’ve got everything from airlines to big tech to chocolate producers and paint manufacturers warning of a slowdown.

This is the slowdown that stocks began to discount in October.

Unfortunately it’s not over either. If you look at the long-term charts, it’s clear the market realizes that the credit cycle has turned and we are moving into a recession/ crisis.

The last two times this happened, a crisis hit within three to six months.

A Crash is coming… and 99% of investors will panic when it hits… but not those who have downloaded our 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on last week’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

Warning: Stocks Are Carving Out a Head and Shoulders Pattern

The bounce is just about over.

Multiple interventions, and active buying by the PPT have juiced stocks higher, but the Powers That Be cannot make the Everything Bubble whole again.

The fact is that between higher inflation along with the Fed’s rate hikes/ draining of liquidity has burst the Everything Bubble. It doesn’t mean that we’re moving straight into a systemic crisis right now. But it does mean that debt deflation is appearing again and that eventually it will spread to systemic issues.

That process is already underway.

The ramp job in Junk Bonds was impressive, but it DID NOT reclaim its former bull market trendline (blue line). All it’s done is open a descending megaphone pattern that will see it crash to new lows shortly.

Similarly, Investment Grade bonds, which have been ramped higher, have just slammed into resistance (top blue line). They too suggest we’re going to new lows shortly.

Finally, the 10-Year Treasury yield has broken down from a falling wedge formation. This suggest Treasuries will be rallying HARD, meaning capital is fleeing into them.

What would drive a move into Treasuries?

This:

Unfortunately, after that comes the REALLY bad part.

A Crash is coming… and 99% of investors will panic when it hits… but not those who have downloaded our 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on last week’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

Warning: the Global Economy is Already in Recession

As I keep warning, the global economy is rapidly moving into a recession.

If you don’t believe me, consider that in the last two weeks, the following have been announced…

1)   South Korean exports, a critical measure for global growth, recorded a -1.2% drop year over year in December.

2)   China’s manufacturing PMI fell into outright contraction below 50. Car sales were negative for the first time in two decades. And Chinese exports fell 4.4% year over year.

3)   German Industrial Production fell 1.9% month over month and 4.6% year over year in November: the biggest drop since 2009. Real-time GDP trackers show the largest EU economy is already in a recession.

4)   US manufacturing ISM dropped sharply from 59% to 54% (not yet in contraction mode, but rapidly approaching it).

To top if off, we now have numerous companies issuing warnings: Apple, Samsung, LG, Fed Ex, Delta, Skyworks, Tailored Brand, Sherwin-Williams, Lindt, Macy’s, Kohl’s, and American Airlines have all lowered forward guidance.

So we’ve got everything from airlines to big tech to chocolate producers and paint manufacturers warning of a slowdown.

This is the slowdown that stocks began to discount in October.

Unfortunately it’s not over either. If you look at the long-term charts, it’s clear the market realizes that the credit cycle has turned and we are moving into a recession/ crisis.

The last two times this happened, a crisis hit within three to six months.

A Crash is coming… and 99% of investors will panic when it hits… but not those who have downloaded our 21-page investment report titled Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline precisely how the crash will unfold as well as which investments will perform best during a stock market crash.

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public. We extended the deadline based on last week’s sucker rally, but this it IT… no more extensions.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market