Warning: the Monthly Backtest is Complete, the Bull Market is Officially Over

The next downturn is now here.

As I warned earlier this week, momentum has turned downward, with the MACD signal on a “SELL” for the first time since December. Even worse, the all important 200-day moving average (DMA) was violated to the downside.

The question now is just how far the markets will fall.


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Gasoline tells us that economic realities are down near 2,600 on the S&P 500.

Lumber paints a much uglier picture down near 2,300.

Unfortunately, both might be underestimating the REAL risks. The fact is that the long-term monthly S&P 500 chart shows a CLEAR rejection at its former bull market trendline. There’s really not much but air between here and 2,050 or so on the S&P 500.

If you aren’t actively taking steps to prepare for this, you need to start NOW.

On that note, we are putting together an Executive Summary outlining all of these issues as well as what’s coming down the pike when the Everything Bubble bursts.

It will be available exclusively to our clients. If you’d like to have a copy delivered to your inbox when it’s completed, you can join the wait-list here.


Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research


Posted by Phoenix Capital Research