Month: December 2019

The market correction we’ve been predicting to our clients for the last three weeks finally hit. The S&P 500 caught up with both breadth and high yield credit to within spitting distance of our downside target of 3,070 or so.

The key chart for this bull market has been breadth. And breadth has bounced off the uptrend that has marked the lows for most corrections this year.

It’s truly incredible the bears couldn’t generate more pronounced selling. This strongly suggests that stocks are nowhere near a significant market top.

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Indeed, the AAII survey continues to show that investor sentiment is nowhere near the bullish insanity one needs to see to claim there is a mania underway. The bulls sit at 33.6%, well below the historic AVERAGE of 38%.

Let me repeat that, the number of bulls is BELOW the historic average at a time when stocks have just hit new all-time highs (this latest reading was BEFORE stocks began to correct this week).

On top of this, investors are sitting on $3.4 trillion in cash… at a time when the Fed is literally broadcasting that it’s going to let inflation run hot.

What do you think is going to happen when inflation starts rising and eating away at all that cash sitting on the sidelines?

Investors will be forced to move into riskier assets to maintain their purchasing power. And if even $1 trillion of that $3.4 trillion in cash does this, we’re talking about the S&P 500 hitting 4,000 next year.

The bull channel from the 2009 low remains intact.  When this correction completes in the coming days, the market will move to touch the upper trendline in mid-2020.

If you’re looking for a means to profit from this, we just published a new investment report titled The Last Bull Market.

In it we outline how the bull market will unfold… which investments will perform best… and a unique play that more than  TRIPLES the return of the broader stock market.

We are giving away just 99 copies of this report for FREE to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TLBM.html

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan

That last post sure caused a ruckus.

In case you missed it, the premise was very simple.

This is the last bull market of our lifetimes.

I realize that sounds like a crazy statement.

So, I want you to take a look at this chart.

As you can see, there have been THREE bull markets in the last 100 years (identified with green arrows).

  1. From 1945-1967
  2. Another from 1983-2000.
  3. The one that began in mid-2013.

Short-sided analysts will argue that stocks have been in a bull market since 2009. But the reality is that from 1997 until mid-2013, stocks effectively went nowhere. If your 401K went up, it was due to contributions, not stock market returns.

Yes, we only JUST entered a new bull market in mid-2013. Prior to that, stocks had gone NOWHERE for 15/16 years.

Which means…

When this bull market ends, stocks will once again enter a bear market: a period in which stocks go nowhere, or worse, LOST money for 15 years straight.

We’ve had three of them in the last 100 years. I’ve identified them with the red lines in the chart below:

Again, we’re talking about 15 years, MINIMUM during which stocks DON’T make money. Which means if this current bull market ends in 2021, stocks will have peaked until at least 2036.

Put simply, NOW is the time to maximize your gains from the stock market.

Why?

Because it’s your last chance, likely in your lifetime.

If you’re looking for a means to profit from this, we just published a new investment report titled The Last Bull Market.

In it we outline how the bull market will unfold… which investments will perform best… and a unique play that more than  TRIPLES the return of the broader stock market.

We are giving away just 99 copies of this report for FREE to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TLBM.html

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan

That last post sure caused a ruckus.

In case you missed it, the premise was very simple.

This is the last bull market of our lifetimes.

I realize that sounds like a crazy statement.

So, I want you to take a look at this chart.

As you can see, there have been THREE bull markets in the last 100 years (identified with green arrows).

  1. From 1945-1967
  2. Another from 1983-2000.
  3. The one that began in mid-2013.

Short-sided analysts will argue that stocks have been in a bull market since 2009. But the reality is that from 1997 until mid-2013, stocks effectively went nowhere. If your 401K went up, it was due to contributions, not stock market returns.

Yes, we only JUST entered a new bull market in mid-2013. Prior to that, stocks had gone NOWHERE for 15/16 years.

Which means…

When this bull market ends, stocks will once again enter a bear market: a period in which stocks go nowhere, or worse, LOST money for 15 years straight.

We’ve had three of them in the last 100 years. I’ve identified them with the red lines in the chart below:

Again, we’re talking about 15 years, MINIMUM during which stocks DON’T make money. Which means if this current bull market ends in 2021, stocks will have peaked until at least 2036.

Put simply, NOW is the time to maximize your gains from the stock market.

Why?

Because it’s your last chance, likely in your lifetime.

If you’re looking for a means to profit from this, we just published a new investment report titled The Last Bull Market.

In it we outline how the bull market will unfold… which investments will perform best… and a unique play that more than  TRIPLES the return of the broader stock market.

We are giving away just 99 copies of this report for FREE to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TLBM.html

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in WHITE Swan