By Graham Summers, MBA
Investors are running a repeat of the same trading pattern we saw in 2008.
That pattern?
A mini-crisis in March, followed by a summer rally, and then the real fireworks begin.
In 2008, Bear Stearns had to be absorbed in a shotgun wedding to JP Morgan on March 16th. That marked a temporary low, as investors believed the Fed easing/ backstopping the issue resolved things despite the clear evidence that the economy was rolling over.
The stock market then rallied for two months before the crisis began in earnest.
![](https://gainspainscapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/GPC3423.png)
Today in 2023, the same pattern is playing out.
Once again, there was a mini-crisis in March with Silicon Valley Bank/ Signature Bank playing the part of Bear Stearns. The Fed / Treasury stepped in, backstopping the troubled banks and facilitating a deal to have them absorbed by other players.
Investors are taking this to signal the “all clear” and are piling back into stocks, kicking off a rally… once again despite the clear evidence the economy is rolling over.
![](https://gainspainscapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/JANK-1024x535.png)
As if this wasn’t spooky enough, consider that in the BIG PICTURE my proprietary Crash Trigger is now on the first confirmed “Sell” signal in over a decade.
The last time this signal hit?
2008.
See for yourself…
![](https://gainspainscapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/unnamed-2.png)
If you’ve yet to take steps to prepare for what’s coming, we just published a new exclusive special report How to Invest During This Bear Market.
It details the #1 investment to own during the bear market as well as how to invest to potentially generate life changing wealth when it ends.
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PS. Our new investing podcast Bulls, Bears & BS is officially live and available on every major podcast application (Apple, Spotify, etc.)
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