Yes, You CAN Time the Market… And I’ll Show You How!

By Graham Summers, MBA

Yesterday’s article caused quite a stir.

It is widely believed that you cannot time the market. This is a myth. You can time the market, but it takes a lot of work and knowledge.

Case in point, as I outlined in yesterday’s article, I accurately called for the S&P 500 to run to 4,600 back on November 2, 2023 when the market was still just at 4,200.

The S&P 500 hit a high an intraday high of 4,557 yesterday. Modesty aside, this was an incredible call, made within a few days of the market hitting its absolute lows before the rally.

This wasn’t luck either. 

Prior to this call, I had been warning clients for weeks that stocks would break down to the 4,100s on the S&P 500 and that this would be a MAJOR buying opportunity. Heck, the literal title to a research note to private clients on October 5th was “Bonds Stabilize… But I Expect a Final Flush for Stocks.”

What happened next is illustrated in the chart chart. Again, I called for the S&P 500 to drop to the 4,100s weeks in advance, then predicted the S&P 500 would run to 4,600 weeks within days of the market bottom in late October.

So my point remains the same: you CAN time the market, but it takes a lot of work and knowledge.

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Posted by Phoenix Capital Research