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Monthly Archives: September 2021
Stocks Need to Rally Hard Now or We Have a Top in Place
Today is also the second to last day of the week, which means we are about to see a new weekly candle on the charts. If the markets do not rally hard into the end of the week, we will … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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The Market is in Serious Trouble
The markets are bouncing today, but nothing has been resolved. The technical damage from the last few weeks has been horrific. The two most heavily weighted sectors in the S&P 500 (Tech and Healthcare) are in confirmed downtrends. Tech (XLK) … Continue reading
Posted in stock collapse?
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If You Think Inflation is GOOD For Stocks… Take a Look at This
The Fed continues to push the narrative that inflation is transitory. On one level, Fed officials are correct. Everything is transitory. But the Fed isn’t being philosophical here…it’s attempting to argue that they don’t need to do anything, and the current wave of … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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Bonds Just Called the Fed’s Bluff… Stocks Are on Borrowed Time
The biggest development last week was the breakout in the 10-year U.S. Treasury. The 10-year US Treasury is arguably the single most important bond in the world. The yield on this bond represents the risk-free rate of return against which … Continue reading
Posted in stock collapse?
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Anyone Who Understands Risk Management Is Watching This Like a Hawk
By Graham Summers, MBA Was it a dead cat bounce… or something else? On Monday, the markets were melting down due to fears of contagion from Evergrande, China’s second largest real estate company, going bankrupt. Since that time, the market … Continue reading
Posted in stock collapse?
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An Urgent Update on China’s Black Swan
By Graham Summers, MBA The markets have rallied hard on news of a potential Evergrande debt payment. In case you’ve missed this story, Evergrande is a massive property developer in China. The company is effectively insolvent, and with $300 billion … Continue reading
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At Some Point, We Are Revisiting That Blue Line
All eyes are on the Fed today. The Fed is expected to announce its tapering schedule for its current $120 billion per month Quantitative Easing (QE) program. The Fed has been hinting at its plan for months, via both Fed … Continue reading
Posted in stock collapse?
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This is the Kind of Environment In Which Crashes Can Happen
Stocks got creamed yesterday, but thanks to late day manipulation, they ended up well off the bottom. From a purely technical perspective, the S&P 500 has broken below its 50-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since March 2021. … Continue reading
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China’s Black Swan Has Arrived… Are You Ready?
The market is a sea of red this morning. The issue at hand is China’s massive Evergrande property developer. The company is effectively insolvent, with over $300 billion in bad loans. Many are calling this “China’s Lehman Moment.” The company’s … Continue reading
Posted in Debt Bomb
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Ok, This is TRULY Horrifying!
Yesterday, I outlined a terrible secret. That secret? That the Fed knows the official inflation measure, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is practically useless for forecasting future inflation. In a little-known paper published in 2001, the Fed found that food inflation, NOT CPI or PCE, … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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Trust Me, the Fed Doesn’t Want You to Know This
Yesterday I explained how the official inflation statistic used by policymakers, the Consumer Price Index or CPI, is practically useless. I realize this is quite controversial. After all, everyone on the planet from hedge fund managers to social security administrators … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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These Inflation Numbers Are No Joke… a Crisis is Brewing.
The government bean counters are working overtime to hide inflation. Yesterday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) number would be hilarious if it wasn’t so damaging to Americans. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), inflation rose only 0.3% month over … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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These Inflation Numbers Are No Joke… a Crisis is Brewing.
The government bean counters are working overtime to hide inflation. Yesterday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) number would be hilarious if it wasn’t so damaging to Americans. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), inflation rose only 0.3% month over … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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How to Profit From a Market Crash
Yesterday, I explained why I believe we are due for a period of below average stock market returns. By quick way of review: Inflation is roaring higher. Official inflation measures put it at over 5%. Unofficial, more accurate measures have … Continue reading
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Forget About the Economy, This is How You Know a Bubble is Bursting
One of the most difficult things to learn about the stock market is the fact that it has little, if anything, to do with the real economy. This is a fact borne out by both statistical studies and real-world analysis. … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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These Charts Are SCREAMING Inflation
On Friday I outlined a very disturbing reality. That reality? That the Fed is very likely now a political entity. By quick way of review: Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s term as Fed Chair ends this year. The Biden administration has … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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The Four Horseman of the Coming Crash, Pt 3
Over the last two days, I’ve outlined THE single most important development you need to see, in order for the market to crash. Think of them as BIG warnings, or the FOUR Horsemen that precede a stock market apocalypse. What … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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The Four Horsemen of the Coming Crash, Pt 2
Yesterday I outlined THE single most important development you need to see, in order for the market to crash. Think of them as BIG warnings, or the FOUR Horsemen that precede a stock market apocalypse. What are they? When most … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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The Four Horsemen of the Coming Crash, Pt
Over the last few weeks, I’ve been outlining the clear evidence that stocks are in a bubble, arguably the largest stock market bubble of all time. In truth, however, it’s not just a bubble in stocks, it’s a bubble in … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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The Four Horsemen of the Coming Crash, Pt 1
Over the last few weeks, I’ve been outlining the clear evidence that stocks are in a bubble, arguably the largest stock market bubble of all time. In truth, however, it’s not just a bubble in stocks, it’s a bubble in … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market
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