Monthly Archives: November 2022

This is Why Stocks Are Holding Up… But Will Soon Crash

By Graham Summers, MBA Over the last few days, I’ve illustrated how several major indicators are flashing “RECESSION!” By quick way of review: The 10y-3m yield curve has predicted every recession in the last 50 years. It’s telling us that … Continue reading

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This is Why We Opened Our Crash Trades

By Graham Summers, MBA As I noted yesterday, the bond market is telling us that a recession is just around the corner. By quick way of review, the U.S. treasury market is comprised of 12 bonds, with durations ranging from … Continue reading

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Forget Stocks, the Bond Market is Signaling Something MAJOR!

By Graham Summers, MBA It’s all trader games today. The stock market is closed tomorrow for Thanksgiving. It will also close early on Friday November 25th at 1PM. As one can imagine, most of Wall Street has already left for … Continue reading

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Warning: This is the Most Disturbing Thing I’ve Seen In Years

By Graham Summers, MBA The consumer is tapping “out.” Ever since inflation entered the financial system is early 2021, there has been a debate as to when the higher cost of living would hit consumer spending to the point of … Continue reading

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Let’s Cut Through the BS About the Economy Right Here and Now!

By Graham Summers, MBA Last week, I warned you not to trust the positive economic data being put out concerning the U.S. economy. The reasons for my warning were simple: the data was bunk, made up, and of no real value. … Continue reading

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Warning: The Fed Didn’t Pivot… And It Won’t For Months, Part 2

By Graham Summers, MBA Yesterday I illustrated that the Fed has NOT pivoted and won’t be for months. Anyone who says otherwise isn’t listening to what the Fed is actually saying! Reviewing the Fed’s public statements since March 2022 (the month it … Continue reading

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Warning: The Fed Didn’t Pivot… And It Won’t For Months, Part 1

By Graham Summers, MBA So much for the Fed pivot! Ever since the Fed began tightening monetary policy in March of 2022, numerous pundits, social media personalities, and financial media types have been pushing the notion that the Fed will … Continue reading

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Warning: None of the “Jobs” Created Last Month Were Real

By Graham Summers, MBA Once again, the bean counters at the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) made the economy look better than reality. According to the BLS, the economy added 261,000 jobs in October. This was significantly higher than the 200,000 that … Continue reading

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Who Would You Rather Bet On?

By Graham Summers, MBA The financial system is currently experiencing a “relief rally.” For the eight weeks ending October 28th, the primary problems facing the financial system were: 1)    The collapse of the British Pound/ UK Government Bonds 2)    The … Continue reading

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Whatever You Do, Don’t Fall For This!

By Graham Summers, MBA Great news… the economy recovered in Q3! According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), the U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.6% in 3Q22. So all of our concerns about a recession were … Continue reading

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