It’s a Bull Market

Are THE Lows In… Or Are Stocks About to Roll Over and Crash?

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

A raging debate is taking place between the bulls and the bears.

That debate?

Whether the lows are in… or if stocks are about to roll over and retest the lows or even break down the new lows.

Unfortunately for the bears, or anyone else who has missed the rally thus far, history and multiple metrics point to THE lows being in.

First and foremost, the S&P 500 completed a nine-session win streak two Fridays ago. The financial media likes to claim that this kind of win streak only occurs in the context of recessions, but that is simply not true.

As Ryan Detrick has noted, since 1928 there have been 29 instances in which stocks closed up nine days in a row. Only THREE of them occurred in the context of recessions. So, the odds greatly favor recent price action being bullish, NOT bearish.

Secondly, the month of April saw an incredible swing in prices that ended with a VERY bullish development. At their lowest, stocks were down over 11% for the month. However, because of the incredible rally into month-end, the S&P 500 ended April only down 1%.

This massive swing in momentum from being sharply down to sharply up triggered a Zweig Breadth Thrust (ZBT), an EXTREMELY rare and EXTREMELY bullish development.

If you’re unfamiliar with ZBTs, one is triggered when the percentage of advancing stocks on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) increases from below 40% to above 61.5% within 10 trading days.

There have only been 16 ZBT signals since 1957. Every single time, the stock market has been higher both six and 12 months later. Here again, this strongly suggests THE lows are in and a major bear market is not about to unfold.

We also must consider sentiment.

According to the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) weekly survey, more than 50% of investors were bearish on stocks for 11 weeks straight up until this week. That is HIGHLY unusual as historically an average of only 31% of investors are bearish at any given time.

Indeed, 11 straight weeks of more than half of investors being bearish on stocks is an EXTREME reading. Since its inception in 1987, the AAII weekly survey has never seen such an extreme streak of bearishness. Not during the Tech Crash, not during the Great Financial Crisis, and not even during the pandemic has this great a percentage of investors been bearish on stocks for this long.

This is the kind of sentiment you see at major market bottoms, NOT at the start of new bear markets. So here again, the odds greatly favor that THE lows are in, and stocks will move higher.

Finally, peak to trough, stocks declined 18.9% from the February highs. This is what you would call a “bear market” or “near bear market” (Wall Street views a bear market as being a 20% decline).

As I write this, the S&P 500 has recovered more than HALF of that decline. Since 1956 there have been 16 instances during which stocks staged a bear or near bear market decline and then recovered half of the drop. In only one instance did stocks make new lows after recovering half of the initial decline. But in EVERY instance, stocks were higher a year later. (h/t Ryan Detrick). And not by a little, by an average of 18%!

Add it all up, and you’ve got:

  1. A nine-day win streak: a rare and historically bullish signal (89% of the time).
  2. A Zweig Breadth Thrust (ZBT) which has a 100% track record for stocks being higher six and 12 months later.
  3. The kind of extreme bearish sentiment typically associated with major bottoms, not the start of new bear markets.
  4. Stocks recovering half of a bear/near bear market decline, which has a 100% track record for stocks being higher a year later with an average gain of 18%.

Like I said at the start of this article, it is HIGHLY likely that THE lows are in. This is not to say that stocks will go straight up from here, but that the overall trend is now UP.

And while stocks should do well in general, certain companies will produce extraordinary gains due to their being A) high growth and B) unaffected by the trade war/ increased tariffs.

We detail four such companies in a Special Investment Report Tariff Proof Stocks: four high growth companies unaffected by the trade war.

As I write this ALL FOUR of them just hit new all-time highs.

Normally this report is only available to our paying clients, but in light of what’s happening in the markets today, we are making just 99 copies available to the general public.

To pick up one of the remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

It’s Confirmed, China and the U.S. Will Meet to Make a Deal

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

China just “tapped out.”

When the Trump administration launched its trade war on 4/2/25, the media teemed with analysis that this approach was a colossal mistake, that China, not the U.S. was in a position of strength, and that ultimately the tariffs would backfire and wreck the U.S. economy.

All of this proved to be wrong.

It is China’s economy, not the U.S.’s, that is on the verge of collapse. Factory closures are happening daily, igniting protests around the country. Youth unemployment is skyrocketing. And the entire economy is on the verge of a deflationary death spiral as it is forced to dump goods into its domestic markets to sell them for whatever price it can get.

As a result of this, the People’s Republic has “come to the table” with some major gestures of good will in the last week. 

Specifically, China has:

  1. Removed tariffs on nearly 25% of U.S. imports to the country.
  2. Offered to help the U.S. with the latter’s fentanyl crisis.
  3. Formally stated that it would like to meet to negotiate a trade deal.

The last one (#3) just hit the news wires last night after the market closed. It’s not a rumor either, it was posted by China’s Commerce Ministry.

We get confirmation of this from the U.S.’s Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent who stated that he would be meeting with China’s Vice Premiere in Switzerland in the coming days.

Stock futures surged on the news.

So, what does this mean for stocks and investors?

THE lows are in.

I don’t mean that stocks will go straight up from here. The typical trade deal can take months if not years to finalize. But stocks discount the future and the future regarding trade relations between China and the U.S. is improving. Things are certainly better today than they were a month ago!

This is a good thing.

And while the markets as a whole should work their way higher, certain stocks are poised for truly EXTRAORDINARY gains based on this unique environment. We detail three of them it in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit a Inflation.

Normally this report is only available to our paying clients, but in light of what’s happening in the markets today, we are making just 99 copies available to the general public.

To pick up one of the remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market, The Markets

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Stocks are bouncing on announcements of Japan, India, the European Union and other nations looking to negotiate new trade deals with the United States (U.S.).

Some of the announcements hitting the wires…

News regarding negotiations with Japan:

European Union leader Ursula von der Leyen suggesting the EU could offer zero tariffs for industrial goods from America.

These announcements and others “put a floor” under stocks. The S&P 500 hit a low of 4,850 before consolidating for the remainder of the day.

Stocks are more than due for a relief rally here. The question is whether it’s simply a bounce or the beginning of something more.

The answer to that question lies in China. China has yet to signal a willingness to work with the U.S. on trade. Soon after President Trump announced reciprocal tariffs, China announced a series of retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods.

This sent President Trump into a frenzy, posting on Truth Social that if China did not immediately reverse course, that he would be introducing tariffs of 50% on China starting tomorrow.

Are THE lows in for stocks? We’ll see, but the dust has yet to settle and until China and the U.S. come to terms, this could still get ugly again. Stay frosty!

On that note, we are putting together a special investment report designed to help investors navigate this new market environment. It’s titled The MAGA Portfolio and it will detail some of the investments that will win as Team Trump moves to restructure global trade.

Copies will be delivered to subscribers of our FREE daily market commentary Gains Pains & Capital. To join now and have your account in place so this report will be delivered to your inbox on Monday…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research


 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

The Last Time This Happened, Stocks Collapsed 30%

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

The stock market is about to trigger a “SELL” on its monthly MACD.

If you’re unfamiliar with the MACD is stands for moving average convergence/divergence. It’s a technical indicator that is used to monitor momentum in the stock market.

The way it works is quite technical, so to keep things simple here, you can think of the MACD as illustrating when short-term momentum shifts versus the long-term trend in the stock market. When short-term momentum breaks down against the long-term trend, it signals a “sell,” and when short-term momentum breaks out to the upside against the long-term trend, it signals “buy.”

In a nutshell, the MACD is a fantastic means of catching MAJOR market turns. You can apply it to any time frame: hourly, weekly, even monthly. But when you use it on a monthly chart, it’s one of, if not THE best means of timing bull and bear markets.

Let me show you.

The below chart shows the S&P 500 and its monthly MACD back in 2022. The short-term momentum indicator is represented by the black line in the lower box. And the longer-term trend is represented by the red line.

As you can see, the black line broke below the red line in early 2022, signaling that short-term momentum was breaking down against the longer-term trend. This was a SELL signal.  And sure enough, what followed was a 12-month bear market that saw stocks lose almost 30%!

Anyone who noted the “Sell” signal in early 2022 and moved to the sidelines avoided a WORLD of pain.

So, what is the Monthly MACD saying now?

It’s right on the verge of signaling another SELL signal. This is a MAJOR warning to stock market investors that stocks are in VERY serious danger of entering another MAJOR bear market.

If you’ve yet to prepare for this, the time to act is NOW before the bear market hits.

Indeed, our proprietary Crash Trigger is now on red alert. This trigger went off before the 1987 Crash, the Tech Crash, and the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.

We detail this trigger, how it works, and what it’s saying about the market today in a Special Investment Report titled How to Predict a Crash.

Normally this report is only available to our paying clients, but in light of what’s happening in the markets today, we are making just 99 copies available to the general public.

To pick up one of the remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

Will You Profit From the Fed’s Latest Screw-up?

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

The Fed is refusing to cut interest rates because President Trump’s proposed tariffs might trigger inflation.

Yes, this is the Fed’s thinking. They’ve even admitted that Fed staff are assuming “full retaliation” for whatever tariffs the Trump administration introduces.

What are these people smoking?

What country is going to try to retaliate against the U.S., thereby losing access to the largest pool of middle-class consumers in the world? The U.S. economy is as large as the 2nd, 3rd and 4th largest economies combined… and 75 of U.S. GDP is consumer spending.

That’s $21 TRILLION in consumer spending per year.

And yet, the Fed believes that the current trade war is only going to get worse, with other nations engaging in full retaliation to whatever the Trump administration proposes. And because of this, the Fed is worried that there might be an uptick in inflation.

Never mind that the gold standard for inflation expectations shows inflation is ~2% and trending down.

Never mind that real-time inflation measures like Truflation show inflation is actually BELOW 2%.

The Fed knows better! After all, they have 400 Economics PhDs on staff. And those people are all really smart!

This is a MAJOR screwup, and it’s only a matter of time before the Fed breaks something. When this happens, the Fed will be forced to panic ease monetary conditions triggering one of the greatest wealth building opportunities in years. 

To start receiving these kinds of actionable insights, join 56,000 readers in over 56 countries in receiving our daily market alert every weekday before the markets open (9:30AM EST).

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Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

The Fed’s OWN Data Shows It Is Lying About Inflation and Tariffs

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

The Fed SHOULD have cut rates last week.

That is a fact.

Instead, the Fed stated it is on “hold” for rate cuts because the potential tariffs the Trump administration introduces might trigger inflation.

This is 100% nonsense.

Europe, Japan, China, and countless other nations have introduced tariffs, duties and other trade restrictions in the past with ZERO uptick in inflation.

Moreover, there is NO evidence that inflation expectations are on the rise. The five year forward inflation expectations is THE gold standard for measuring inflation expectations.

Do you see an uptick here? I don’t.

So what is the Fed doing?

Playing politics.

They did this during Trump’s first term in 2018 when they intentionally tightened monetary policy to the point of triggering a stock market crash (if you don’t believe me, former Vice Chair Stanley Fischer admitted this in an interview).

This is a MAJOR screwup, and it’s only a matter of time before the Fed breaks something. When this happens, the Fed will be forced to panic ease monetary conditions triggering one of the greatest wealth building opportunities in years. 

The last time the Fed screwed up and was forced to change course was in 2023 when it blew up the regional banking system. What followed was an almost 1,000 point rally on the S&P 500.

To start receiving these kinds of actionable insights, join 56,000 readers in over 56 countries in receiving our daily market alert every weekday before the markets open (9:30AM EST).

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Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

Since 1980, This Has Signaled The Lows Are In 

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

The S&P 500 has now performed back to back “90% up days”.

A 90% up day is a day in which 90% or more of the stocks that comprise a stock market index rise. Historically, this is a very bullish development. And back to back 90% up days are even better! In fact, back to back 90% up days like the ones the S&P 500 staged on Friday and Monday are usually a hallmark of a market bottom!

As Ryan Detrick has noted, since 1980, two consecutive days with 90% advancing issues in the S&P 500 have resulted in positive returns 12 months out ~91% of the time. Even better, the median return over that time period is 16.5%.

See for yourself:

Put simply, a major metric is signaling to us that the odds greatly favor stocks have bottomed .  The odds favor a rally, NOT a crash.

To start receiving these kinds of actionable insights, join 56,000 readers in over 56 countries in receiving our daily market alert every weekday before the markets open (9:30AM EST).

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Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market, stock collapse?

This is the Chart to Focus On This Week

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Finally some good news!

On Friday, stocks experienced their largest single day gain of 2025. Friday was also a 90% up day: a day in which 90% of stock trading volume was upwards. This, along with several other metrics, is signaling a bottom is in and a bounce has begun. The bigger question is if this is a dead cat bounce or the start of a significant rally.

The markets are a lot like a rubber band: while they can stretch one way or the other and sometimes will reach extremes… but those periods usually resolve with a “snap back” move that brings the market more in line with its normal range, just as a rubber band will snap back from an extreme stretch to its normal resting position.

For stocks, one means of reading the degree of “stretch” is to chart the percentage of the index that is trading above or below the intermediate term trend: the 50-day simple moving average (DSMA).

When a large percentage (over 85%) of stocks are trading over this line, it usually means stocks are overbought and due to correct. Conversely, when a low percentage (below 40%) of stocks are trading above this line, it usually means stocks are oversold and forming a bottom.

You can see the latter phenomenon in the chart below. Anytime less than 40% of stocks in the S&P 500 are above their 50-DSMA, the market usually bottoms soon after. Bear in mind, this is correct in every market environment whether it be during a bear market and a correction that occurs in the context of a bull market.

So what is this metric saying today?

Only 30% of stocks in the S&P 500 are currently trading above their 50-DSMA. This is a strong signal that stocks are extremely oversold and likely forming a significant bottom. Remember, the last five times this low of a percentage of stocks were above their intermediate term trend, stocks kicked off a multi-week rally.

Put simply, a major metric is signaling to us that the odds greatly favor stocks bottoming right here and now. This is the only chart to focus on this week as the media and fintwit are all extremely bearish and calling for a crash.

The odds favor a rally, NOT a crash.

To start receiving these kinds of actionable insights, join 56,000 readers in over 56 countries in receiving our daily market alert every weekday before the markets open (9:30AM EST).

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Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market, stock collapse?

Special Market Update: The Froth is Gone, a Low is Forming Right Here and Now

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

This might be the most brutal 10% correction in history. But the good news is that stocks should bottom shortly.

From a purely gain/ loss perspective, the overall indices are only down 10%. However, “under the hood” the damage to the stock market has been severe. The MAG 7 stock, which account for 30% of the S&P 500’s weight, are down ~20%.

As awful as this correction feels, in many ways this was to be expected. We are in the 3rd year of this bull market begun in 2022. Historically, the 3rd year is the most challenging one for bull markets. And with the S&P 500 having recorded truly incredible gains of ~20% in both 2023 and 2024, stocks were due for some increased volatility at least in the first half of 2025.

Put simply, this current period for stocks, while painful, is to be expected. It is not unusual, nor should we panic. And by the look of things, the lows are in or about to be in.

The Tech ETF (XLK) is at MAJOR support. It would be EXTRAORDINARY for it to take out this line right here and now.

Moreover, the ratio between growth and value stocks has fallen to test its 40-Week Simple Moving Average (the same as the 200-Day Simple Moving Average). This has historically marked THE lows for market pullbacks during this bull market begun in late 2022.

In the simplest of terms, ALL of the froth has been taken out of the markets. And with the inflation data, GDP and labor market cooling, the door is open to the Fed starting to ease monetary policy again.

To start receiving these kinds of actionable insights, join 56,000 readers in over 56 countries in receiving our daily market alert every weekday before the markets open (9:30AM EST).

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Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity, It's a Bull Market, stock collapse?

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Stocks are currently taking it on the chin, having erased several months’ worth of price action in just three trading sessions. In this context, the number one question for traders is if this is just a garden variety correction or the start of something bigger.

My money is on it being a “garden variety correction.”

First and foremost, High Yield Credit is failing to confirm this down move. High yield credit (junk bonds) is typically the “canary in the coal mine” for macro changes. The reason for this is that junk bond investors are investing in an asset class that has a relatively high risk of default even under the best of circumstances.

Put simply, these individuals need to be extremely sensitive to macro downturns to insure they don’t end up losing a LOT of capital. With that in mind, I want to note that the high yield credit ETF (HYG) is failing to confirm this downturn in stocks. In fact, HYG is moving UP to retest its all-time highs!

This strongly suggests that stocks are “overdoing it” with this drop. If the economy was indeed turning downward, HYG would be dropping along with the S&P 500.

It isn’t. And this is a major signal that this correction in stocks is likely to prove short-lived. Indeed, I fully believe stocks are poised for a “rip your face off” rally in the coming weeks.

You’re probably wondering how can I act so carefree about stocks today when there are clearly so many issues in the world?

The answer is simple: I have proprietary triggers that hit before any major market break-down. Until one of them goes off, the market is telling me that stocks aren’t concerned about the issues/ risks.

To figure that out, I rely on certain key signals that flash before every market crash.

I detail them, along with what they’re currently saying about the market today in a Special Investment Report How to Predict a Crash.

To pick up a free copy, swing by:

www.phoenixcapitalresearch.com/predictcrash-leadgen

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

We Bought the Dip… Did You?

One of my favorite leading indicators is high yield credit or junk bonds.

Junk bond investors are extremely sensitive to macro changes. The reason for this is that they are investing in an asset class that has a high likelihood of default. As a result of this, these investors need to be  extremely attuned to any changes in the economy/ fundamentals because failing to do so can result in losing most if not all of their money.

For this reason, high yield credit tends to lead the stock market. I say “tends” because nothing in investing is flawless. But this indicator is about as good as it gets.

Case in point, during the recent tariff tantrum, stocks (black line) collapsed while high yield credit (red line) held up beautifully. This was a clear signal that a prolonged tariff war was unlikely or… that it would have minimal damage to the U.S. economy. 

Sure enough… the tariff war was postponed by 30 days and stocks bounced hard. High yield credit was correct once again! And since that time, high yield credit is suggesting that new all-time highs are coming shortly. Consider that a “freebie” in terms of stocks insights.

This is just one of the signals I use to take advantage of mispricing in stocks. Feel free to add it to your arsenal!

To start receiving these kinds of actionable insights, join 56,000 readers in over 56 countries in receiving our daily market alert every weekday before the markets open (9:30AM EST).

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Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market, stock collapse?

Get Ready For New All Time Highs

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Yesterday I shared a chart that helped us to determine that the S&P 500’s correction was a “buy the dip” opportunity, NOT the start of a serious correction/ bear market.

By quick way of review…

1)  The chart showed the percentage of S&P 500 companies trading above their 50-day simple moving average (DSMA). This is a GREAT tool for tracking where the market is trading relative to its prior trend.

2) Prior to last week’s rally, the reading on this chart had fallen to ~15%.

3) A reading this low is typically associated with significant market bottoms. Indeed, the only times the reading has fallen lower during the last five years was during the pandemic crash or the major bottoms of the 2022 bear market.

You can review the chart below.

I sincerely hope all of you bought the dip. If you did, you’ve made a significant return on your trade as the S&P 500 has ripped higher by 280 points in the span of a single week.

Our research indicates this move is just getting started.

High yield credit typically leads the stock market. The reason for this is that high yield credit investors are typically more sophisticated/ sensitive to macro changes for the simple reason that they are investing in bonds that have a high probability of default. As a result of this, high yield credit can give clues as to where stocks will be heading.

The short answer today is “UP, A LOT.”

The high yield credit ETF (HYG) is back at its all-time highs. This strongly suggests stocks will be moving sharply higher from here.

Ultimately, it all comes down to this:  as investors,  our goal is MAKING MONEY.

To do that, you NEED to know when to “buy the dip” and when to get out of stocks to avoid bear markets. And the best way to do that is to use real quantifiable tools, not opinions, that tell you when to get out to the markets.

To start receiving these kinds of actionable insights, join 56,000 readers in over 56 countries in receiving our daily market alert every weekday before the markets open (9:30AM EST).

Subscribe to Gains Pains & Capital!

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market, stock collapse?, We called it...

Get Ready For New All Time Highs

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Yesterday, I noted that the S&P 500 has a clear Head and Shoulders pattern. As a result of this, the bears were convinced that a top was in.

Unfortunately for them, investing is rarely easy or obvious. And everyone and their mother saw that pattern forming. Thus, the odds of it actually working out in their favor were slim.

Sure enough, stocks exploded higher yesterday. And by the look of things, the S&P 500 will retest its former highs if not establish new all-time highs shortly.

High yield credit typically leads stocks. It is roaring higher after putting in a series of higher highs and higher lows. Based on this alone, the S&P 500 should be over 6,000 already.

Indeed, Senior Loans, which also lead equities are already at new all-time highs. This is NOT bearish. If anything it indicates the financial system is in an aggressive risk on framework.

Put simply, the pullback of the last two weeks was a MAJOR “buy the dip” opportunity. We had our clients ready to profit from it with specific downside targets at which to buy multiple new trades.

Come join us!

To start receiving these kinds of actionable insights, join 56,000 readers in over 56 countries in receiving our daily market alert every weekday before the markets open (9:30AM EST).

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Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market

Three Areas That Are EXPLODING Higher in the Markets

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Ignore the doomers, there is ALWAYS a profit to be made somewhere.

Because of a 5% drop in the last two weeks, the overall stock market, as measured by the S&P 500, is effectively flat since election night. Put another way, stocks have gone nowhere for two months straight. Worse still, the S&P 500 is clearly forming a Head and Shoulders topping pattern.

Seeing this, the doom cloud is proclaiming that the market is forming THE top for this bull market begun in 2022.  Perhaps this is true. I doubt it. None of my proprietary market timing tools are registering that this is THE top or even a major top.

Moreover, in investing, the REAL money isn’t made in timing a top. It’s made in following market leaders. And while the S&P 500 has done nothing for the better part of eight weeks, certain key sectors of the markets are EXPLODING higher.

I mentioned Quantum Computing as a key sector to watch in mid-December. This area of the market continues to EXPLODE higher with some names like Rigetti Computing (RGTI) up QUADRUPLE digits.

Quantum Computing isn’t the only area of the market showing massive returns. Robotics is another area of the market that has begun to ignite upwards. Nauticus Robotics (KITT) is just one play that is up triple digits in the last few weeks.

And then there are drones. Here again numerous names are exploding higher producing triple digit gains in the last few weeks alone. Mobilicom Limited (MOB) is just one such name that has proving the “there’s no money to be made in stocks” narrative incorrect.

These are just a handful of market leaders. But there are more. Many more. So feel free to listen to the doomers who tell you the market is done. But you’ll be missing out on a lot of great opportunities in the markets.

To start receiving these kinds of actionable insights, join 56,000 readers in over 56 countries in receiving our daily market alert every weekday before the markets open (9:30AM EST).

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Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market, stock collapse?

Did You Buy the Dip?

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Last week I warned that that the Fed would be spooked by the uptick in inflation. 

In particular, I noted that the CPI had begun turning up after effectively flatlining for six months. See for yourself.

The incoming Trump administration has made it clear that it sees the Fed as a political entity that favors the left. In this context, Trump sees any uptick in inflation as 100% the fault of the Fed.

As I warned last week, this meant the Fed was likely to disappoint the markets at its Wednesday meeting, resulting in stocks getting slammed lower. Specifically, I warned that the Fed would get spooked by the inflation data, that it would pull back on its intended rate cuts in 2025, and that this would result in stocks getting slammed downward as investors panicked.

And that is precisely what happened.

The S&P 500 experienced one of its worst down days in years, falling nearly 3% and wiping out all of its post-election gains. Most investors panicked and sold the farm as they believed this was IT as far as the bull market was concerned.

I didn’t. 

This was a BUYABLE dip as I alerted subscribers of our stock/ ETF-trading newsletter Private Wealth Advisory in last week’s market update.

Why?

Our proprietary research told us that the markets would correct but that it was a buyable dip that would quickly rebound into year-end. And that is precisely what is unfolding as I write this.

To start receiving these kinds of actionable insights, join 56,000 readers in over 56 countries in receiving our daily market alert every weekday before the markets open (9:30AM EST).

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Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity, Inflation, It's a Bull Market, stock collapse?

Three Areas of Profits That 99% of Investors Are Ignoring

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

One of the key differentiators for investors is your ability to find profits in the markets. It sounds obvious, but you’d be amazed how many people keep staring at the same charts waiting for something to happen… while other investments are soaring and making investors extraordinary profits.

Consider the “Trump Trade,” for example.

The overall stock market as indicated by the S&P 500 is up only 4% since election day. And in fact, it’s down for the month of December. Seeing this, numerous analysts have claimed that the Trump Trade is fizzling out.

Meanwhile, key areas of the market that are closely aligned with the incoming administration’s policies and agendas are breaking out to new highs. Rather than fizzling out, these areas of the market are showing investors serious profits.

Consider…

Bitcoin: the incoming Trump administration is extremely pro-Bitcoin, going so far as to propose a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve designed to hold and acquire a Bitcoin stockpile for the U.S. much as the Strategic Petroleum Reserve houses our oil reserves.

Bitcoin is up 33% since the election vs ~4% for the S&P 500. And the momentum isn’t stopping either. Bitcoin has just broken out to new all-time highs, clearing $100,000 for the first time in history. This has been a place to profit even as the S&P 500 sputters out.

Tesla (TSLA) has been another area of market momentum and profits. TSLA founder Elon Musk has become one of Trump’s most trusted advisors. This cozy relationship, combined with TSLA’s development of autonomous robots, self-driving taxis, and other revolutionary technologies, has resulted in TSLA shares ERUPTING nearly 60% higher since election night.

Put simply, investors have seen EXTRAORDINARY profits here while the overall market has been going nowhere. Again, the profits are there if you know where to look!

Quantum Computing: the incoming Trump administration has made it clear it will be aggressively promoting American innovation. Quantum computing uses quantum mechanics to solve extremely complicated problems in a fraction of the time traditional computing would require. This is the next “AI” or revolutionary technology that will dramatically alter the corporate landscape. As a result of this, quantum computing stocks have been on an absolute tear with shares of IonQ (IONQ), the industry leader, more than doubling since election night.

Again, there are MAJOR profits to be found in stocks today, if you know where to look.

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Chief Market Strategist

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in AI, It IS different this time., It's a Bull Market

Why Quantum Computing Will Dominate 2025 Markets

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

You’re going to be hearing a LOT about quantum computing in 2025.

Quantum computing is a type of computing based on quantum mechanics. Experts believe it to be the next generation in computing. It is highly complicated and capable of handling problems that traditional computers cannot. 

And by the look of things, it’s going to be the next “AI” theme: a technological breakthrough that produces massive gains for investors.

Quantum computing names have been EXPLODING higher in the markets.

IonQ (IONQ)

Quantum Computing Inc (QUBT)

Rigetti Computing (RGTI)

Again, the first major move has already happened in these names and the easy money has been made. But the bigger players will be moving into the space shortly. Indeed, Alphabet (GOOGL) has just announced the introduction of its own quantum computing chip Willow.

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Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in AI, It's a Bull Market

It’s Trump’s Stock Market, Invest Accordingly

The stock market is increasingly being driven by Trump and his agenda for his second term. If you’re looking to make money in this market, focusing on these items has been working well.

Consider what has taken place with Meta (META).

Historically, META’s CEO Mark Zuckerberg has been left leaning in his political views. He wasn’t just verbal in his politics either: he spent $400 million helping the Democrats defeat Trump in 2020.

With this in mind, one of the biggest “tells” that Trump would win the election was when Zuckerberg pivoted politically away from the left. In late August, he penned a letter to Congress claiming that he didn’t want to suppress right wing views on META but had done so due to pressure from the Biden administration. This was quite a move as polls had Harris leading at the time.

However, polls are quite inaccurate (as we’ve discovered this election cycle). But Zuckerberg had/has access to one of the greatest databases for voter behavior in the world via META. Americans might not tell pollsters who they intend to vote for, but you better believe they’re revealing that in private to their family and friends on social media. In this sense, Zuckerberg’s political pivot had less to do with true repentance for prior transgressions and more to do with pragmatism: he saw voters were going to deliver a landslide victory to Trump and was positioning himself and his company accordingly.

Having said that, once Trump won on November 5th, META shares lagged as investors were uncertain whether Trump would seek vengeance for Zuckerberg’s prior political actions. While the overall market exploded higher on election night (red line in the chart below), META shares (black line in the chart below) failed to participate.

Then Zuckerberg had dinner with Trump on November 27th, and META shares EXPLODED higher. They’re now up 6% since that date, having broken through critical overhead resistance (red line in the chart below) and soaring to new all-time highs.

Bear in mind, literally NOTHING changed about META’s business during this time other than Zuckerberg cozying up to Trump and publicly stating that he’d love to have a role in Trump’s new administration. But as you can see for yourself, those developments had a MAJOR impact on META’s share price action.

So again, as I stated at the beginning of this article, The stock market is increasingly being driven by Trump and his agenda for his second term. If you’re looking to make money in this market, focusing on these items has been working well.

If you’re looking for guidance on this, we just published a Special Investment Report detailing that, as well as the #1 investment to own during Trump’s 2nd Term.

We are selling this report as a standalone item for $499… but you can pick up a copy FREE simply by joining our daily market commentary, Gains Pains & Capital.

We are making only 99 copies available to the public.

As I write this, there are only 19 left…

To pick up yours…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research ​

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market, Trump 2nd Term

Trump Will Win… If You Don’t Believe Me… Maybe You’ll Listen to These Two!

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

As I keep stating, Donald Trump will win the 2024 U.S. Presidential election.

The first major signal (aside from the betting markets) was Meta (formerly Facebook) founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg pivoting politically in August 2024.

Zuckerberg has been left-leaning for most of his career. But he is also a pragmatist. And with Meta, he has access to what is perhaps the largest dataset of voter sentiment in the world. We’re talking about what voters really think as opposed to what they tell a pollster.

Zuckerberg pivoted politically in August 2024, writing a letter to Congress in which he stated that the Biden administration had pressured him and Meta to limit free speech.

That is one heck of a statement by one of the most powerful, connected elites in the world. Do you think Zuckerberg would do this if he didn’t see the writing on the wall via Meta’s massive collection of voter sentiment?

Zuckerberg isn’t the only one who’s figured out that Trump will win either.

Yesterday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy outlined the steps he would take to make sign a peace treaty with Russia. This comes after 2+ years of armed conflict between the two countries… conflict that was financed by the Biden administration/ congress to the tune of $175+ BILLION.

Zelenskyy has had countless opportunities to end this conflict since it began in early 2022. Indeed, there was a full peace deal prepared as early as April 2022 that the U.S. and U.K. rejected. The only reason Zelenskyy is looking to make a deal now is because he knows Trump will soon be the next President and the U.S. will no longer be funding this conflict.

Again, Donald Trump will win the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. The most connected tech and political elites are already preparing for it.

You should too…

We just published a Special Investment Report detailing that, as well as the #1 investment to own during Trump’s 2nd Term.

We are selling this report as a standalone item for $499… but you can pick up a copy FREE simply by joining our daily market commentary, Gains Pains & Capital.

We are making only 99 copies available to the public.

As I write this, there are only 67 left…

To pick up yours…

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in It's a Bull Market, Trump 2nd Term, We called it...