Forget Italy, Here Comes the White Swan

The “Italy Crisis” is over. I know the headlines read as though Italy was collapsing and the Euro is about to implode. But the headlines are reporting on yesterday’s news. The collapse of the Italy government means a new election. That, in turn, means a pro-Euro politician heading Italy. And that in turn means the

The Italy Crisis is Over, the Run to New All-Time Highs is About to Begin

The “Italy Crisis” is over. I know the headlines read as though Italy was collapsing and the Euro is about to implode. But the headlines are reporting on yesterday’s news. The collapse of the Italy government means a new election. That, in turn, means a pro-Euro politician heading Italy. And that in turn means the

Friday Special Deal! (10% and 23% Off the Normal Price)

Dear Reader, This is just a friendly notice that Amazon is currently running a special…10% off on paperback and 23% off Kindle on my book The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policy. If you haven’t already picked up a copy, this is the best pricing Amazon has run thus far. To pick up

Is the Fed About to Join the ECB and BoJ in Easing?

To recap yesterday’s piece concerning the recent shift in Central Bank policy, from mid-2016 onward: 1)   Central Banks engaging in emergency levels of QE at a time in which their respective economies were growing. 2)   Inflation bottoming then beginning to rise. 3)   Bond markets starting to revolt. 4)   Central Banks opting to walk back their

The Most Important Chart In the World Right Now

To recap yesterday’s piece concerning the recent shift in Central Bank policy, from mid-2016 onward: 1)   Central Banks engaging in emergency levels of QE at a time in which their respective economies were growing. 2)   Inflation bottoming then beginning to rise. 3)   Bond markets starting to revolt. 4)   Central Banks opting to walk back their

The Bond Market Just Figured Out That Central Banks CANNOT Exit

To recap yesterday’s piece concerning the recent shift in Central Bank policy, from mid-2016 onward: 1)   Central Banks engaging in emergency levels of QE at a time in which their respective economies were growing. 2)   Inflation bottoming then beginning to rise. 3)   Bond markets starting to revolt. 4)   Central Banks opting to walk back their

Central Banks Have “Thrown in the Towel” on Monetary Responsibility Pt 2

To recap yesterday’s piece concerning the recent shift in Central Bank policy, from mid-2016 onward: 1)   Central Banks engaging in emergency levels of QE at a time in which their respective economies were growing. 2)   Inflation bottoming then beginning to rise. 3)   Bond markets starting to revolt. 4)   Central Banks opting to walk back their

Central Banks Have “Thrown in the Towel” on Monetary Responsibility Pt 1.

To understand the recent shift in policy by the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BoJ), we need to first revisit what lead us to this point. With that in mind, let’s take a step back to mid-2016. At this time, the US Fed was the ONLY Central Bank that was tightening policy.

The Bank of Japan’s Balance Sheet is Now Over 95% of Japan’s GDP

Let’s cut through the BS about Central Bank Balance Sheet reduction. There. Is. No. Exit. Once a Central Bank begins to employ ZIRP and QE for years at a time, there is no going back. If you don’t believe me, take a look at Japan. As I outlined in my book The Everything Bubble: the

The Bank of Japan Has Nationalized All Risk Assets. The Fed/ ECB /SNB / BoE are Next

Let’s cut through the BS about Central Bank Balance Sheet reduction. There. Is. No. Exit. Once a Central Bank begins to employ ZIRP and QE for years at a time, there is no going back. If you don’t believe me, take a look at Japan. As I outlined in my book The Everything Bubble: the

Here’s the Blueprint For What the Fed Will Do When the Next Crisis Hits

Let’s cut through the BS about Central Bank Balance Sheet reduction. There. Is. No. Exit. Once a Central Bank begins to employ ZIRP and QE for years at a time, there is no going back. If you don’t believe me, take a look at Japan. As I outlined in my book The Everything Bubble: the

Let’s Cut Through the BS About Central Bank Balance Sheet Reduction

Let’s cut through the BS about Central Bank Balance Sheet reduction. There. Is. No. Exit. Once a Central Bank begins to employ ZIRP and QE for years at a time, there is no going back. If you don’t believe me, take a look at Japan. As I outlined in my book The Everything Bubble: the

Warning: The Fed Has No Clue How to Create or Control Inflation

Let me let you in on a little secret… Central Bankers don’t actually WANT inflation. The Fed’s “inflation target of 2%” is a giant ruse. The Fed has no clue how to create or control inflation. They even admitted this in the minutes of the July 2017 FOMC meeting. So if the Fed has no

The Fed’s “Inflation Target” Is Going to Come Back to Haunt It When Bonds Collapse

Let me let you in on a little secret… Central Bankers don’t actually WANT inflation. The Fed’s “inflation target of 2%” is a giant ruse. The Fed has no clue how to create or control inflation. They even admitted this in the minutes of the July 2017 FOMC meeting. So if the Fed has no

The Ugly Truth About the Fed’s “Inflation Target”And Why It’s Going to Trigger Another Crisis

Let me let you in on a little secret… Central Bankers don’t actually WANT inflation. The Fed’s “inflation target of 2%” is a giant ruse. The Fed has no clue how to create or control inflation. They even admitted this in the minutes of the July 2017 FOMC meeting. So if the Fed has no

Rising Rates Hit Germany, the US, and Japan… is The Everything Bubble About to Burst?

It’s a good thing that the BLS ignores things like the recent rise in real estate and gas prices when it generates its official inflation numbers… Why? Because if the BLS didn’t do this we might actually see that inflation is exploding higher. This is not conspiracy theory, it is fact. And if you don’t

While the BLS Hides Inflation, Bonds Are Screaming “WATCH OUT!”

It’s a good thing that the BLS ignores things like the recent rise in real estate and gas prices when it generates its official inflation numbers… Why? Because if the BLS didn’t do this we might actually see that inflation is exploding higher. This is not conspiracy theory, it is fact. And if you don’t

Here Are 200 TRILLION Reasons Why Rising Yields Pose a Systemic Risk

It’s a good thing that the BLS ignores things like the recent rise in real estate and gas prices when it generates its official inflation numbers… Why? Because if the BLS didn’t do this we might actually see that inflation is exploding higher. This is not conspiracy theory, it is fact. And if you don’t

The NFIB Just Confirmed Inflation Has Hit the Financial System

The economy (GDP) appears to be rolling over… right as inflation is heating up. GDP growth for 1Q18 clocked in around 2.3%. Under normal circumstances, this wouldn’t be particularly bad. However, in light of the fact that 4Q17 GDP growth was 2.6%, which itself was down from the growth rate of 3.2% in 3Q17, it

Stagflation Is Here… So How Do We Play It?

The economy (GDP) appears to be rolling over… right as inflation is heating up. GDP growth for 1Q18 clocked in around 2.3%. Under normal circumstances, this wouldn’t be particularly bad. However, in light of the fact that 4Q17 GDP growth was 2.6%, which itself was down from the growth rate of 3.2% in 3Q17, it
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What Happens When the Everything Bubble Bursts?
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  • the Fed has created a bubble in everything
  • We call this THE EVERYTHING BUBBLE
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