The Markets

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Dec

2019

Forget everything the mainstream media and economists are telling you about a recession… the U.S. economy is ROARING.

To see this, however, you need to look outside the official data, which is so heavily gimmicked that it borders on fiction.

Instead, take a look at corporate sales.

With that in mind, consider that the average Year over Year sales growth for a basket of economically sensitive companies shows growth is near 5%…not 2% or 3%… 5%.

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With that in mind, the above table suggests, that despite all the negative claims by the media, the American consumer is going strong: he and she are shopping for higher priced, discretionary items.

Now take a look at this table comparing Quarter over Quarter sales growth for the last three quarters for those same companies.

Looking at this, it appears the U.S. economy did indeed slow in the first half of 2019 but is now rapidly rebounding. Quarter over Quarter we are seeing growth above 3%.

Who are you going to believe… an economist with a spreadsheet and a bunch of fake formulas… or real companies that generate real sales based on consumer buying things?

To find out what it is… pick up a copy of our report…The Last Bull Market of Our Lifetimes

There are fewer than 27 copies left.

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Dec

2019

President Trump Was Right About the Fed Killing Growth… and About the Coming Economic Boom

President Trump was about the Federal Reserve being too hawkish with monetary policy in 2018. And he’s correct now to suggest the Fed should be easing more aggressively.

To be clear, the Fed was correct to raise rates and attempt a balance sheet normalization, the pace of both operations was far too aggressive. As early as mid-2018 it was clear to me that the markets were signaling that Fed policies were killing growth.

Let me give you an example.

Due to its many industrial uses, copper is extremely sensitive to economic growth. When economic growth is accelerating, copper rises. When economic growth is slowing, copper falls.

With that in mind, note in the chart below that copper initially rose quite a lot during the first year of the Trump Presidency (green box =2017). This signaled higher economic growth to market watchers such as myself.

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However, once the Fed began its aggressive rate hike schedule along with its balance sheet normalization, copper entered a steep downtrend (red box=2018). As you can see, as early as June/ July 2018 it was clear the Fed was killing economic growth as copper entered a free-fall.

How the Fed failed to see this is beyond me as this kind of collapse was playing out in multiple sectors all linked to growth (copper, steel, industrials, etc.). I repeatedly commented on this, but to no avail.

Perhaps, had the Fed slowed the pace of the rate hikes and balance sheet normalization, we would not have had to experience that horrible stock market sell-off in late 2018.

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Note also, it was only in early 2019 when the Fed reserved course with its policies and began talking about rate cuts and ending its balance sheet normalization that copper began to rally again. And as of late 2019, it has finally broken its downtrend (purple lines).

This tells me that growth is coming once again. The markets, as you know, are forward looking.

So once again, President Trump was right concerning the Fed killing growth. And by the look of things with copper today, we’re about to experience another economic boom, NOT a bust… which suggests President Trump winning a second term in a landslide.

To find out what it is… pick up a copy of our report…The Last Bull Market of Our Lifetimes

There are fewer than 39 copies left.

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Dec

2019

The market is telling us that the impeachment process will go nowhere.

Very early into his Presidency, Donald Trump branded the stock market’s returns as illustrating the success of his policies. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin even went so far as to state that the White House views the stock market as a “report card.”

This has proven correct. Throughout the Mueller investigation, whenever a story surfaced suggesting that President Trump was in trouble, the stock market would nose-dive at least for a day or two.

This trend continued during the initial phases of the Democrats’ impeachment process with stocks falling soon after the announcement of an impeachment investigation on 7/26/19 as well as the announcement of a formal impeachment inquiry on 9/24/19.

Note however, that with each sell-off, the market put in a higher low. Also note that since early October, the market has been going straight up almost straight up to new highs on a weekly basis.

Indeed, yesterday stocks hit a new all-time high on the very day the Democrats voted on impeachment!

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An annual subscription to all of our current newsletters costs $1,500.

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The market is discounting that the impeachment process will go nowhere. If anything, it’s guaranteeing that Joe Biden will be the Democrats’ nominee… which guarantees a landslide victory for President Trump in 2020.

Let me explain…

The impeachment process will now move to a Senate trial that will require all Senators to attend. This means both Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren will have to be in D.C. and not on the campaign trail.

That leaves Joe Biden as a front-runner for the Democrat nominee. And Mr. Biden’s odds of success are so low that even President Barack Obama, the man who chose Joe Biden as his Vice President and who worked with Mr. Biden for eight years, has failed to publicly endorse him.

So again, the market is telling us that this impeachment process poses no threat to President Trump. If anything, the market is now beginning to discount a second term for the Trump Presidency.

Those who seek profit from this, need to invest in the sectors that will most benefit from a second Trump term.

To find out what it is… pick up a copy of our report…The Last Bull Market of Our Lifetimes

There are fewer than 50 copies left.

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Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Nov

2019

Three Reasons Stocks Are Going to Explode To the Upside

There is no recession.

The investment herd bought heavily into the “a recession is about to hit” narrative earlier this year.

They did this based on:

1) A sharp dip in economic activity in the first half of 2019.

2) A yield curve inversion in the Treasury market.

3) Hatred of the Trump administration and hopes that a recession would increase the odds of him losing the 2020 election.

Regarding #1, it’s now clear that the dip in economic activity is rebounding. Both US manufacturing and service sectors PMIs both surprised to the upside in October. We also saw a sharp rebound in consumer confidence and existing home sales.

Bottom-line: the data is rebounding.

Regarding #2, countless pundits noted that the Treasury yield curve inverted earlier this year. For those unfamiliar with this idea, a yield curve inversion is when short-term Treasuries yield more than long-term Treasuries. It’s happened before most recessions in the last 50 years. And so the investment herd assumed that this time it was the same.

Except it’s not.

Central banks effectively cornered the bond market from 2008-2017 with over 600 interest rate cuts and $14 trillion in QE. Never before in history have we seen a coordinated attempt to control the bond market like this. And it has rendered historical comparisons weak if not useless.

Put simply, any analysis of the bond market that doesn’t account for the fact that the bond market is now artificial is not worth the paper it’s written on. For this reason alone, the yield curve inversion is no longer a guaranteed indicator of a looming recession.

Regarding #3, I don’t have anything to add. Politics is a toxic topic and frankly if you hate a political figure so much that you hope millions of Americans will lose their jobs so that he or she will lose an election you need professional help. And if you’re investing based on this kind of thinking, you’re going broke.

Add it all up and the “a recession is coming” crowd is dead wrong. Stocks have known this for some time, which is why they’ve broken out to the upside of their consolidation range.

Mind you, this happened at a time when investors were sitting on $3.4 trillion in cash.

So what happens when hedge funds who are desperate to improve their 2019 performance to halt redemptions… and individual investors who went “into cash” based on recession forecasts, both realize that they were wrong?

We get 4,000 on the S&P 500.

Again, the market has already signaled this is coming.

With that in mind, we’ve just published an investment report titled Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles.

It outlines how the market is entering yet another bubble, driven by funny money from the Federal Reserve.

It also outlines a unique investment that could easily triple as the Fed unleashes a tsunami of liquidity pushing stocks to nosebleed levels.

The last time the Fed began an easing cycle, this investment rose over 1,439%. And this time around we could see similar gains.

To pick up your copy of Triple Your Money With the Mother of All Bubbles go to:

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

May

2019

Sell in May, Go Away is Back… and It’s Going to Be BAD

Now comes the “depression stage”

Earlier this month I noted that the market is following the five stages of grieving regarding the US/ China trade deal. Those stages are: denial, anger, bargaining, depression and acceptance.

The “denial stage” was most of April… when it was plain as day a trade deal was not coming… but stocks kept holding up… that is represented by the blue square in the chart below.

The “anger stage” started with a vengeance in May… when the market entered a multi-week drop. That stage is represented by the red square in the chart below.

The markets have been in the “bargaining” stage over the last two weeks… as they waver back and forth with the hope that somehow the US and China might be able to come to an agreement. That stage is the green square in the chart below…

That is now ending… yesterday Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin confirmed that the US has NO plans to speaking with Chinese officials in the near future…

Which means… next up is the DEPRESSION stage… as the markets realize it’s GAME OVER.

That move is about to hit…

On that note, we are already preparing our clients for this with a 21-page investment report titled the Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline the coming collapse will unfold…which investments will perform best… and how to take out “crash” insurance trades that will pay out huge returns during a market collapse.

As I write this, there are only 3 copies left.

To pick up one of the last remaining copies…

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Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

May

2019

Will “Sell in May, Go Away” Lead to a Correction… or a Crash?

The markets are now within spitting distance of a top.

Our target for the bounce is anywhere in the red box… stocks will likely enter that range today as Wall Street engages in its usual options expiration games. The perfect top would be a backtest of the former rally’s trendline (red line), but in investing things are rarely perfect.

After this comes the REAL drop. I’m not saying it starts Monday… but it’s coming in the next two weeks as the market begins to realize that the US/ China Trade Deal is completely dead… and past the point of resurrection…

THAT’s when things get interesting…

How interesting…

Try this… At best, stocks collapse to 2,600… at worst… we break the December lows.

The time to start preparing for this is NOW, before the move hits.

On that note, we are already preparing our clients for this with a 21-page investment report titled the Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline the coming collapse will unfold…which investments will perform best… and how to take out “crash” insurance trades that will pay out huge returns during a market collapse.

As I write this, there are only 11 copies left.

To pick up one of the last remaining copies…

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

May

2019

Those Better On a 2H19 Rebound Are Going to Be in For a Major Surprise.

The stock market is primed for a bounce.

Bears had their chance to take out support yesterday and failed.

Stocks held the most important line (red line below), suggesting it’s time for a bounce.

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The Opportunity For Triple, Even QUADRUPLE Digit Gains is Here

Market volatility can mean MASSIVE profits with the right trading system.

I’ve got it… we’ve already locked THREE Double Digit gains this week: 11%, 12% and 16%… all of which we held less than a week.

Our next trade goes out this morning… to get in on it…

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Here are the Fibonnaci ratios for a bounce. The simplest move would be a dead cat bounce to the 2,880s.

Do NOT think of this as the start of something major… the bull market is over. We are officially in a bear market.

Put another way, the stock market is NOT breaking down based on the single issue of US/ China trade talks deteriorating… it is breaking down because the global economy has and the stock market is overpriced for a weak economy.

Put simply… stocks traded in the first half of this year as though 2H19 would be fantastic… and it’s now clear that it won’t…

We’ve had repeated warnings from other asset classes that this is the case.

Copper (red line) suggests the S&P 500 should eventually fall to 2,600… while Lumber (green line) and Treasury yields (blue line) suggest 2,450 or even 2,350 will be the ultimate downside target.

If you’re looking for a road map to successfully trade this environment… we are putting together an Executive Summary outlining all of these issues as well as what’s coming down the pike when the Everything Bubble bursts.

It will be available exclusively to our clients. If you’d like to have a copy delivered to your inbox when it’s completed, you can join the wait-list here.

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

May

2019

The Two Biggest Opportunities For Investors in the Next Six Months

The stock market is primed for a bounce.

Bears had their chance to take out support yesterday and failed.

Stocks held the most important line (red line below), suggesting it’s time for a bounce.

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The Opportunity For Triple, Even QUADRUPLE Digit Gains is Here

Market volatility can mean MASSIVE profits with the right trading system.

I’ve got it… we’ve already locked THREE Double Digit gains this week: 11%, 12% and 16%… all of which we held less than a week.

Our next trade goes out this morning… to get in on it…

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Here are the Fibonnaci ratios for a bounce. The simplest move would be a dead cat bounce to the 2,880s.

Do NOT think of this as the start of something major… the bull market is over. We are officially in a bear market.

Put simply… stocks traded in the first half of this year as though 2H19 would be fantastic… and it’s now clear that it won’t…

We’ve had repeated warnings from other asset classes that this is the case.

Copper (red line) suggests the S&P 500 should eventually fall to 2,600… while Lumber (green line) and Treasury yields (blue line) suggest 2,450 or even 2,350 will be the ultimate downside target.

It will be available exclusively to our clients. If you’d like to have a copy delivered to your inbox when it’s completed, you can join the wait-list here.

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

May

2019

Dead Cat Bounce… Then December Lows?

The stock market is primed for a bounce.

Bears had their chance to take out support yesterday and failed.

Stocks held the most important line (red line below), suggesting it’s time for a bounce.

————————————————-

The Opportunity For Triple, Even QUADRUPLE Digit Gains is Here

Market volatility can mean MASSIVE profits with the right trading system.

I’ve got it… we’ve already locked THREE Double Digit gains this week: 11%, 12% and 16%… all of which we held less than a week.

Our next trade goes out this morning… to get in on it…

————————————————-

Here are the Fibonnaci ratios for a bounce. The simplest move would be a dead cat bounce to the 2,880s.

Do NOT think of this as the start of something major… the bull market is over. We are officially in a bear market.

Put simply… stocks traded in the first half of this year as though 2H19 would be fantastic… and it’s now clear that it won’t…

We’ve had repeated warnings from other asset classes that this is the case.

Copper (red line) suggests the S&P 500 should eventually fall to 2,600… while Lumber (green line) and Treasury yields (blue line) suggest 2,450 or even 2,350 will be the ultimate downside target.

It will be available exclusively to our clients. If you’d like to have a copy delivered to your inbox when it’s completed, you can join the wait-list here.

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

May

2019

Here’s Your Investment Roadmap For the Next 2-3 Months

The stock market is primed for a bounce.

Bears had their chance to take out support yesterday and failed.

Stocks held the most important line (red line below), suggesting it’s time for a bounce.

–————————————————

The Opportunity For Triple, Even QUADRUPLE Digit Gains is Here

Market volatility can mean MASSIVE profits with the right trading system.

I’ve got it… we’ve already locked THREE Double Digit gains this week: 11%, 12% and 16%… all of which we held less than a week.

Our next trade goes out this morning… to get in on it…

————————————————-

Here are the Fibonnaci ratios for a bounce. The simplest move would be a dead cat bounce to the 2,880s.

Do NOT think of this as the start of something major… the bull market is over. We are officially in a bear market.

Put simply… stocks traded in the first half of this year as though 2H19 would be fantastic… and it’s now clear that it won’t…

We’ve had repeated warnings from other asset classes that this is the case.

Copper (red line) suggests the S&P 500 should eventually fall to 2,600… while Lumber (green line) and Treasury yields (blue line) suggest 2,450 or even 2,350 will be the ultimate downside target.

It will be available exclusively to our clients. If you’d like to have a copy delivered to your inbox when it’s completed, you can join the wait-list here.

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

May

2019

Is This the Big Picture For Stocks?

The Fed is sending out its shills this morning.

The markets were hoping for a rate cut or some kind of monetary easing from the Fed on Wednesday. The Fed didn’t deliver. And the markets are having a bit of a tantrum.

Oil, which lead to the upside on this rally, has broken its bull market trendline.

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Stocks are following suit, breaking a bearish rising wedge formation.

The Fed needs to get a lid on this as fast as possible. As I noted yesterday, stocks have rallied based on hope for economic growth and additional liquidity/ easing from the Fed.

Neither of those have shown up yet.

Few things are as dangerous as a stock market that rallied hard only to be disappointed… which is why the Fed is sending out multiple shills today to try to soothe stocks with verbal interventions.

They better work, because there is a massive airpocket below this rally if things don’t hold up.

The markets are in for a big surprise…

And when that surprise hits, it’s going to be too late for investors who weren’t paying attention. While everyone was distracted by the stock market, the Fed has been implementing plans to completely annihilate capital once the next downturn hits.

Did you know the Fed is reviewing monetary policies so extreme that it didn’t use them during the 2008 crisis?

Did you know the IMF is calling for nations around the world to introduce a wealth tax of 10% on NET WEALTH as soon as possible?

It’s all part of a nefarious plan the elites have been implementing for years.

Indeed, we’ve uncovered a secret document outlining how the Fed plans to both seize and STEAL savings during the next crisis/ recession.

Written by a top Fed official, it reveals precisely what the Fed has in store for your savings and your stock portfolio. Buckle up… because it’s some of the most horrifying stuff I’ve ever seen.

We detail this paper and outline three investment strategies you can implement right now to protect your capital from the Fed’s sinister plan in our Special Report The Great Global Wealth Grab.

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You can pick up a FREE copy at:

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

May

2019

Three Charts Traders Need to See Today

The Fed is sending out its shills this morning.

The markets were hoping for a rate cut or some kind of monetary easing from the Fed on Wednesday. The Fed didn’t deliver. And the markets are having a bit of a tantrum.

Oil, which lead to the upside on this rally, has broken its bull market trendline.

————————————————-

This Might Be the Best Options Trading System on the Planet

Since 2015, this trading system has produced average annual gains of OVER 50%

I’m not talking about a over 50% gain on a single trade… I’m talking gains of OVER 50% per year on the ENTIRE portfolio.

Just yesterday we locked in a 20% gain on a trade we held for only two days.

With this kind of track record, we’re closing the doors to new subscribers soon.

There are currently fewer than 3 slots left for potential subscribers.

To lock in one of the last slots…