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Category Archives: The Markets
Technical Setup: A Correction is Coming
Let’s set politics aside today and focus on the stock market. From a technical analysis perspective, the market has become extremely overstretched and is due for a correction. The S&P 500 is trading above its monthly Bollinger Bands to the upside (red … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets
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Something BAD is About to Happen, and 99% of Investors Will Get Hurt By It
Things are beginning to get out of control in currency land. The $USD is collapsing. Astute chart readers will note that the $USD has already experienced two sharp drops in the last few months (blue rectangles in the chart below). … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets
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Is the Great Crisis of 2020 Over… and How to We Prepare For a Potential Second Round?
The financial system today is trying to figure out what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object. The Unstoppable Force= the Everything Bubble bursting as debt markets collapse around. The Immovable Object= the Federal Reserve and its decision … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets
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This is the Blueprint For What’s to Come (And How to Play It)
The financial system today is trying to figure out what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object. The Unstoppable Force= the Everything Bubble bursting as debt markets collapse around. The Immovable Object= the Federal Reserve and its decision … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets
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This is the Single Most Important Chart in the World Right Now
The single most important chart in the world right now is investment grade credit spreads. The Fed has announced it will buy investment grade corporate debt for the first time in history. The Fed also announced that it will be directly buying … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets
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Yesterday’s action was positive, but we’re not out of the woods by any stretch. Stocks roared higher with the Dow closing up 11% for its largest single day gain since 1933. Across the board, the buying was extremely strong with … Continue reading
March 25, 2020
Comments Off on Look to Credit, Not Stocks For Signs of a Bottom
The Markets Suggest That The First Round of This Crisis is Ending… What’s Next?
Disclaimer: I am not a scientist nor am I a healthcare official. I am not downplaying the Covid-19 situation; I am simply looking at what the markets are saying about the Covid-19 pandemic. A very strange thing has started happening in … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets
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Italy, Germany, Caterpillar and Freeport McMoran Are Bottoming… is the Bounce Finally Here?
Disclaimer: I am not a scientist nor am I a healthcare official. I am not downplaying the Covid-19 situation; I am simply looking at what the markets are saying about the Covid-19 pandemic. A very strange thing has started happening in … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets
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Stocks Suggest a Bottom is Forming: Five Charts Every Investor Needs to See Today
Disclaimer: I am not a scientist nor am I a healthcare official. I am not downplaying the Covid-19 situation; I am simply looking at what the markets are saying about the Covid-19 pandemic. A very strange thing has started happening in … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets
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Forget everything the mainstream media and economists are telling you about a recession… the U.S. economy is ROARING. To see this, however, you need to look outside the official data, which is so heavily gimmicked that it borders on fiction. … Continue reading
December 23, 2019
Comments Off on Sorry Mainstream Media, the Consumer is STRONG and the US Economy is Roaring
Forget everything the mainstream media and economists are telling you about a recession… the U.S. economy is ROARING. To see this, however, you need to look outside the official data, which is so heavily gimmicked that it borders on fiction. … Continue reading
December 23, 2019
Comments Off on Forget What Economists Claim, REAL GDP Growth is North of 3%.
President Trump was about the Federal Reserve being too hawkish with monetary policy in 2018. And he’s correct now to suggest the Fed should be easing more aggressively. To be clear, the Fed was correct to raise rates and attempt … Continue reading
December 20, 2019
Comments Off on President Trump Was Right About the Fed Killing Growth… and About the Coming Economic Boom
The market is telling us that the impeachment process will go nowhere. Very early into his Presidency, Donald Trump branded the stock market’s returns as illustrating the success of his policies. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin even went so far as … Continue reading
December 19, 2019
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Three Reasons Stocks Are Going to Explode To the Upside
There is no recession. The investment herd bought heavily into the “a recession is about to hit” narrative earlier this year. They did this based on: 1) A sharp dip in economic activity in the first half of 2019. 2) … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets, Trading Opportunity, WHITE Swan
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Sell in May, Go Away is Back… and It’s Going to Be BAD
Now comes the “depression stage” Earlier this month I noted that the market is following the five stages of grieving regarding the US/ China trade deal. Those stages are: denial, anger, bargaining, depression and acceptance. The “denial stage” was most … Continue reading
Posted in Phony "China Deal", The Markets, Trading Opportunity
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Will “Sell in May, Go Away” Lead to a Correction… or a Crash?
The markets are now within spitting distance of a top. Our target for the bounce is anywhere in the red box… stocks will likely enter that range today as Wall Street engages in its usual options expiration games. The perfect … Continue reading
Posted in stock collapse?, The Markets, Trading Opportunity
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Those Better On a 2H19 Rebound Are Going to Be in For a Major Surprise.
The stock market is primed for a bounce. Bears had their chance to take out support yesterday and failed. Stocks held the most important line (red line below), suggesting it’s time for a bounce. ————————————————- The Opportunity For Triple, Even … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets, Trading Opportunity
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The Two Biggest Opportunities For Investors in the Next Six Months
The stock market is primed for a bounce. Bears had their chance to take out support yesterday and failed. Stocks held the most important line (red line below), suggesting it’s time for a bounce. ————————————————- The Opportunity For Triple, Even … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets, Trading Opportunity
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Dead Cat Bounce… Then December Lows?
The stock market is primed for a bounce. Bears had their chance to take out support yesterday and failed. Stocks held the most important line (red line below), suggesting it’s time for a bounce. ————————————————- The Opportunity For Triple, Even … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets, Trading Opportunity
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Here’s Your Investment Roadmap For the Next 2-3 Months
The stock market is primed for a bounce. Bears had their chance to take out support yesterday and failed. Stocks held the most important line (red line below), suggesting it’s time for a bounce. –———————————————— The Opportunity For Triple, Even … Continue reading
Posted in The Markets, Trading Opportunity
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