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Category Archives: Inflation
Warning: the Debt “Deal” Opens the Door to Unlimited Spending
It’s worse than I imagined. I had initially thought that the current debt ceiling deal would feature a small amount of spending cuts in 2024. In reality, it will feature NO CUTS and will in fact open the door to … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Policy Error
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This is a Make or Break Market… Here’s How to Play It
By Graham Summers, MBA As I first noted in my best-selling book The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policy, “politicians make promises, but bond markets deliver.” What I meant by this is that our entire political system is now … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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I Sincerely Hope You Aren’t Ignoring This
By Graham Summers, MBA You can forget about what the media is telling you…because REAL inflation has come down much at all. The media likes to trumpet that headline inflation has dropped in the U.S. from a peak of ~9% … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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If You Missed the First Round, You Won’t Want to Miss This One
By Graham Summers, MBA The next round of the inflation trade has begun. The first round focused on energy prices. Oil rose from $10 a barrel at the 2020 lows to $130 per barrel at the 2022 highs. You may … Continue reading
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The Bond Market Fears Something Worse Than Inflation is Coming
By Graham Summers, MBA The bond market is signaling some thing “BAD” is coming. Bond yields rose throughout late 2021-early 2023 on fears of inflation. But once Silicon Valley Bank imploded, yields dropped rapidly: historically investors pile into Treasuries as … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Recession Risk, stock collapse?
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Warning: Inflation is About to Explode Higher Again… Are You Prepared?
By Graham Summers, MBA OPEC shocked the world by announcing oil production cuts of 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May. This is a big deal for inflation. Why? Because as I have noted previously, the ONLY inflation data … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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I Promise You Won’t Want to Miss This
By Graham Summers, MBA I have a question… and it’s one we need to consider as investors. What happens to inflation if oil begins to rally aggressively? Black gold has been in a downtrend for the last 12 months. This, … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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The Fed is Back to Printing Money… With Inflation at 6%
By Graham Summers, MBA The Fed just gave out over $300 BILLION in single week. See for yourself: the Fed’s balance sheet has erupted higher, erasing over HALF of its Quantitative Tightening (QT) efforts. Again, we are talking about $300+ BILLION … Continue reading
Posted in False Breakout, Inflation, Policy Error, stock collapse?
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What Happens When a Major Central Bank Loses Credibility? We’re Going to Find Out.
By Graham Summers, MBA The Fed is playing a very dangerous game. The Fed is trying to fight inflation by raising rates… but low rates were NOT what triggered inflation: rampant money printing and supply chain issues were the reason … Continue reading
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Investors Are About to Pay the Price for the Fed’s Failures…
By Graham Summers, MBA Throughout this week, I’ve pounded the table on the fact that the economic data the U.S. government has put out recently is a huge pile of BS. We’ve covered everything from the jobs data, to inflation, … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Policy Error
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This is the Biggest Load of BS I’ve Seen in Years… and That’s Saying Something.
By Graham Summers, MBA Yesterday I wrote to you about the complete and utter BS that was the January jobs report. By quick way of review… 1) The reason the U.S. economy supposedly “added” 500,000+ jobs in January was due … Continue reading
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I Guarantee Most Portfolios Aren’t Ready For This
By Graham Summers, MBA As I have been warning for weeks… inflation is resurging. The only portion of the inflation data that declined last year was energy (well that and used car prices). The reason energy declined was because A) … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
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Forget the Forecasts, This Chart PROVES Inflation Won’t Disappear Anytime Soon
By Graham Summers, MBA If you want to find out what is causing inflation… and why it won’t be going away anytime soon no matter what the Fed does, look no further than the below chart. This is a chart … Continue reading
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The Fed’s Worst Nightmare (a Wage Spiral) Has Officially Arrived
By Graham Summers, MBA We’ve spent quite a bit of time analyzing the inflation situation in the U.S. lately. By quick way of review: The only inflationary data that has dropped is in the energy space (that and used cars). … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Wage Spiral
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This is the #1 Reason the Fed Will Be Forced to Crash the Markets Soon
By Graham Summers, MBA Yesterday I illustrated how the “inflation has peaked” narrative is a myth. By quick way of review: The only inflationary data that has dropped is in the energy space (that and used cars). The only reason … Continue reading
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I Sincerely Hope You’re Not Falling For This
By Graham Summers, MBA The longer I’m in this business, the clearer it becomes that no one actually reads anymore. Everyone simply trumpets headlines, or retweets articles, without looking at the data. The latest and most glaring example of this … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, stock collapse?
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The Fed Believes Inflation Will Be 2% in 2023… GOOD LUCK WITH THAT!
By Graham Summers, MBA The Fed will end its two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting today at 2PM East Standard Time. The known universe expects the Fed to raise rates by 0.5%. And the current consensus is that by … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Recession Risk, stock collapse?
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The Great Currency Wars Have Begun… Time For Currency Confetti!
By Graham Summers, MBA As I mentioned on Monday, the Great Currency Wars have begun. Japan is about to intervene directly in their currency markets. And why wouldn’t they… Japan imports most of its energy and food… and its currency … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, It's a Bull Market
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Japan Just Unleashed the Next Wave of Inflation
By Graham Summers, MBA Japan just hit the “panic” button regarding inflation. Over the last few two years, the Japanese Yen has imploded as the country’s central bank continued to print money. In contrast, the central banks in both Europe … Continue reading
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The Fed Lied… QE Didn’t End… Protect Your Portfolio From Inflation Now!
By Graham Summers, MBA If you’ve been wondering why stocks suddenly exploded higher last month… wonder no more! We were told the Fed ended its Quantitative Easing (QE) on March 9th 2022. That’s a strange claim given that the Fed’s … Continue reading
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