Category Archives: stock collapse?

There’s Something “Unusual” About This Market Rally… I Think I Know What It Is

By Graham Summers, MBA The stock market sure look bullish, doesn’t it? The S&P 500 has managed to start turning its 200-day moving average (DMA) upwards. This is a significant development is at it indicates that the intermediate to long-term … Continue reading

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Signs of a Recession Are Growing…

Is the economy just about to roll over? Copper, the commodity with a PhD in economics, has erased all of its year to date gains. It’s currently about 10% off its 2022 lows which marked the low for risk assets … Continue reading

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What Happened Yesterday… and Why Regional Banks Are in Trouble

By Graham Summers, MBA Thus far in 2023, there have been three major bank failures. And I do mean MAJOR: all told the three banks had $532 billion in assets. That amount is actually greater in size that the combined assets … Continue reading

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Warning: the Financial System is About to Lose Its Last Major Prop

By Graham Summers, MBA Japan just reported inflation of 3.5%. This is a big deal.  Why? First and foremost, it’s significantly higher than expectations: 3.5% vs 3.2%. Secondly, it shows that inflation is turning back upwards in Japan. Last month’s … Continue reading

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Warren Buffett Would Like a Word With You

By Graham Summers, MBA Warren Buffett is arguably the greatest investor of all time. Unlike many of the super wealthy that existed before him (Rockefeller, Morgan, Vanderbilt, Dupont) Buffett wasn’t an entrepreneur who built an oil, steel, banking, or railroad … Continue reading

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Three Charts You Need to See Before the Weekend Hits

By Graham Summers, MBA It’s earnings season and options expiration week for the month of April.  Both of those items have historically been extremely bullish: stocks almost always rally into earnings and options expiration week is the week of for Wall Street … Continue reading

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Why Stocks Are On Borrowed Time

By Graham Summers, MBA The Fed has turned off the money pump again. If you’re looking for a reason why stocks erupted higher starting in early March, look no further than the below chart of the Fed’s balance sheet. As … Continue reading

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What Do These People Know That We Don’t?

By Graham Summers, MBA A few things for us to think about… Wal-Mart (WMT) is the largest private employer in the world. It’s also one of the largest retailers in the world. As such, it is a major economic bellwether. … Continue reading

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The Bond Market Fears Something Worse Than Inflation is Coming

By Graham Summers, MBA The bond market is signaling some thing “BAD” is coming. Bond yields rose throughout late 2021-early 2023 on fears of inflation. But once Silicon Valley Bank imploded, yields dropped rapidly: historically investors pile into Treasuries as … Continue reading

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OK, This is Getting Downright Spooky

By Graham Summers, MBA Investors are running a repeat of the same trading pattern we saw in 2008. That pattern? A mini-crisis in March, followed by a summer rally, and then the real fireworks begin. In 2008, Bear Stearns had … Continue reading

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Three Charts Every Investor Needs to See Today

By Graham Summers, MBA A few charts to consider… Bitcoin… the ultimate liquidity play, has a rounded top. It is just clinging to support. Below that is nothing but air pockets down to 24,000 it not 19,000. Short term Treasury bonds and … Continue reading

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Are We About to See a Full-Scale Banking Crisis?

By Graham Summers, MBA Something doesn’t add up. The Fed and Treasury keep telling us everything is fine… but the Fed has just expanded its balance sheet by $400+ billion in the span of two weeks. We haven’t seen money … Continue reading

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What Happens When $400 Billion Isn’t Enough?

By Graham Summers, MBA Now is the time to be particularly careful in the markets. First and foremost, the banking crisis is not over. This is quite concerning, because the Fed has pumped nearly $400 BILLION into the financial system in the … Continue reading

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The Market Is Setting Up a Trap

By Graham Summers, MBA Stocks are rallying today because they believe: 1) The bank crisis is over (it isn’t). 2) The Fed is back to easing (it isn’t). 3) The economy is strong (it isn’t). 4) The Fed can achieve … Continue reading

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What Comes Next Will Decide Whether Investors Make Fortunes or Face Ruin

By Graham Summers, MBA The Fed begins its March FOMC meeting today. Tomorrow at 2PM EDT, the Fed will announce its policy decision for the month. And no matter what the Fed does, it’s in SERIOUS trouble. Why? If the … Continue reading

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Why the Credit Suisse Collapse is a BIG Deal For Banks Going Forward

By Graham Summers, MBA The banking crisis has just claimed its first major victim. Thus far in this banking crisis, the banks that were in trouble have been large, but not gigantic. The largest was Silicon Valley Bank which was … Continue reading

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The Fed is Back to Printing Money… With Inflation at 6%

By Graham Summers, MBA The Fed just gave out over $300 BILLION in single week. See for yourself: the Fed’s balance sheet has erupted higher, erasing over HALF of its Quantitative Tightening (QT) efforts. Again, we are talking about $300+ BILLION … Continue reading

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R.I.P. Tech Stocks… Particularly Garbage Tech

By Graham Summers, MBA Tech is finished. Ever since the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, the Fed has been primarily in an accommodative framework. For most of 2008-2023, interest rates were at ZERO or 0.25%. The below chart shows where … Continue reading

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Is It 2008 All Over Again?

By Graham Summers, MBA A major bank just went under… contagion is dragging down other similar firms… the Fed is introducing emergency measures to bailout the system. Is it 2008 all over again? Yes and no. “Yes” in the sense … Continue reading

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Ignore the Bounce, the Financial System is in Big Trouble.

By Graham Summers, MBA Stocks are bouncing this morning on announcements that the Feds will backstop ALL of the deposits at the now bankrupt Silicon Valley Financial Group (SIVB) AKA Silicon Valley bank. This is a massive mistake. The banking system … Continue reading

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