Debt Bomb

The Bond Market is Now Longer Believing the Bank of Japan

Is the Bank of Japan Finally Losing Control?

While we like to focus on the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) because it controls the global reserve currency (the US dollar) and therefore is the most important Central Bank in the world… the fact is that it is Japan’s Central Bank, the Bank of Japan (BoJ), that has been leading the current course of Central Bank insanity for the better part of two decades.

The Fed first cut rates to ZERO in 2008. The BoJ did this back in 1999. Similarly, the Fed first launched QE in 2008. The BoJ did this back in 2000.

Put simply, everything the Fed has been trying, the BoJ has got over 16 years’ experience with. As crazy as Fed monetary policy has been, the BoJ surpassed it by many multiples years ago.

To whit, the BoJ has bought so many assets via QE that today:

  • The BoJ’s balance sheet is roughly the size of Japan’s GDP.
  • The BoJ is a top-10 shareholder in 40% of Japan’s companies.
  • The BoJ buys more Japanese stocks than the rest of the world does.

Put simply, the BoJ and its policies are beyond insane. We’re talking about a Central Bank that has essentially monetized Japan’s bond market and stock markets to a degree few thought was possible.

This has lead many to ask… when does this gigantic mess finally start to blow up?

The answer is that it might be happening now.

—————————————————————-

A Select Group of Traders Are CRUSHING the Market   By 25%… With Just 1 Trade Per Week

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak: 12 of our last 14 trades were double digit winners!

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 29% this year alone… beating the S&P 500 by an astonishing 25%.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

Monetary Policy only functions as long as the market has faith in the credibility of the Central Bank employing it. By the look of things, the BoJ is now losing that credibility.

Two weeks ago, the BoJ floated the idea that it would be targeting a yield of 0.1% on 10-year Japanese Government Bonds. This represented an increase in the yield target from 0% to 0.1%.

Japanese Government Bond yields have since begun to break out above this level multiple times… forcing the BoJ to repeatedly state that it would buy “unlimited” bonds to maintain this level.

Again, just so you don’t overlook the significance of this… the bond market IGNORED the BoJ’s statements of where it wanted bond yields to the point that the BoJ had to DIRECTLY intervene to buy bonds in a bid to get the market under control.

This is the first sign that the BoJ is starting to lose control of its bond market. Again, we have a Central Bank announcing policy that the bond market is ignoring… resulting in said Central Bank being forced to DIRECTLY intervene on a daily basis.

This is the beginning of the end for Japan. What’s coming will take time to unfold, but a major Central Bank is beginning to lose control.

On that note, we are putting together an Executive Summary outlining all of these issues as well as what’s coming down the pike when the Everything Bubble bursts.

It will be available exclusively to our clients. If you’d like to have a copy delivered to your inbox when it’s completed, you can join the wait-list here:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity, Debt Bomb

Will the Bank of Japan Be the First Central Bank to Blow Up?

Is the Bank of Japan Finally Losing Control?

While we like to focus on the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) because it controls the global reserve currency (the US dollar) and therefore is the most important Central Bank in the world… the fact is that it is Japan’s Central Bank, the Bank of Japan (BoJ), that has been leading the current course of Central Bank insanity for the better part of two decades.

The Fed first cut rates to ZERO in 2008. The BoJ did this back in 1999. Similarly, the Fed first launched QE in 2008. The BoJ did this back in 2000.

Put simply, everything the Fed has been trying, the BoJ has got over 16 years’ experience with. As crazy as Fed monetary policy has been, the BoJ surpassed it by many multiples years ago.

To whit, the BoJ has bought so many assets via QE that today:

  • The BoJ’s balance sheet is roughly the size of Japan’s GDP.
  • The BoJ is a top-10 shareholder in 40% of Japan’s companies.
  • The BoJ buys more Japanese stocks than the rest of the world does.

Put simply, the BoJ and its policies are beyond insane. We’re talking about a Central Bank that has essentially monetized Japan’s bond market and stock markets to a degree few thought was possible.

This has lead many to ask… when does this gigantic mess finally start to blow up?

The answer is that it might be happening now.

—————————————————————-

A Select Group of Traders Are CRUSHING the Market   By 25%… With Just 1 Trade Per Week

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak: 12 of our last 14 trades were double digit winners!

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 29% this year alone… beating the S&P 500 by an astonishing 25%.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

Monetary Policy only functions as long as the market has faith in the credibility of the Central Bank employing it. By the look of things, the BoJ is now losing that credibility.

Two weeks ago, the BoJ floated the idea that it would be targeting a yield of 0.1% on 10-year Japanese Government Bonds. This represented an increase in the yield target from 0% to 0.1%.

Japanese Government Bond yields have since begun to break out above this level multiple times… forcing the BoJ to repeatedly state that it would buy “unlimited” bonds to maintain this level.

Again, just so you don’t overlook the significance of this… the bond market IGNORED the BoJ’s statements of where it wanted bond yields to the point that the BoJ had to DIRECTLY intervene to buy bonds in a bid to get the market under control.

This is the first sign that the BoJ is starting to lose control of its bond market. Again, we have a Central Bank announcing policy that the bond market is ignoring… resulting in said Central Bank being forced to DIRECTLY intervene on a daily basis.

This is the beginning of the end for Japan. What’s coming will take time to unfold, but a major Central Bank is beginning to lose control.

On that note, we are putting together an Executive Summary outlining all of these issues as well as what’s coming down the pike when the Everything Bubble bursts.

It will be available exclusively to our clients. If you’d like to have a copy delivered to your inbox when it’s completed, you can join the wait-list here:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity, Debt Bomb

What Happens When a Central Bank Loses Control?

Is the Bank of Japan Finally Losing Control?

While we like to focus on the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) because it controls the global reserve currency (the US dollar) and therefore is the most important Central Bank in the world… the fact is that it is Japan’s Central Bank, the Bank of Japan (BoJ), that has been leading the current course of Central Bank insanity for the better part of two decades.

The Fed first cut rates to ZERO in 2008. The BoJ did this back in 1999. Similarly, the Fed first launched QE in 2008. The BoJ did this back in 2000.

Put simply, everything the Fed has been trying, the BoJ has got over 16 years’ experience with. As crazy as Fed monetary policy has been, the BoJ surpassed it by many multiples years ago.

To whit, the BoJ has bought so many assets via QE that today:

  • The BoJ’s balance sheet is roughly the size of Japan’s GDP.
  • The BoJ is a top-10 shareholder in 40% of Japan’s companies.
  • The BoJ buys more Japanese stocks than the rest of the world does.

Put simply, the BoJ and its policies are beyond insane. We’re talking about a Central Bank that has essentially monetized Japan’s bond market and stock markets to a degree few thought was possible.

This has lead many to ask… when does this gigantic mess finally start to blow up?

The answer is that it might be happening now.

—————————————————————-

A Select Group of Traders Are CRUSHING the Market   By 25%… With Just 1 Trade Per Week

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak: 12 of our last 14 trades were double digit winners!

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 29% this year alone… beating the S&P 500 by an astonishing 25%.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

Monetary Policy only functions as long as the market has faith in the credibility of the Central Bank employing it. By the look of things, the BoJ is now losing that credibility.

Two weeks ago, the BoJ floated the idea that it would be targeting a yield of 0.1% on 10-year Japanese Government Bonds. This represented an increase in the yield target from 0% to 0.1%.

Japanese Government Bond yields have since begun to break out above this level multiple times… forcing the BoJ to repeatedly state that it would buy “unlimited” bonds to maintain this level.

Again, just so you don’t overlook the significance of this… the bond market IGNORED the BoJ’s statements of where it wanted bond yields to the point that the BoJ had to DIRECTLY intervene to buy bonds in a bid to get the market under control.

This is the first sign that the BoJ is starting to lose control of its bond market. Again, we have a Central Bank announcing policy that the bond market is ignoring… resulting in said Central Bank being forced to DIRECTLY intervene on a daily basis.

This is the beginning of the end for Japan. What’s coming will take time to unfold, but a major Central Bank is beginning to lose control.

On that note, we are putting together an Executive Summary outlining all of these issues as well as what’s coming down the pike when the Everything Bubble bursts.

It will be available exclusively to our clients. If you’d like to have a copy delivered to your inbox when it’s completed, you can join the wait-list here:

https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity, Debt Bomb
The US Bond Market is Flashing DANGER!

The US Bond Market is Flashing DANGER!

The US bond market is going the wrong way…

As I outlined in my bestselling book The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policy, when the US completely severed the US dollar from the Gold Standard in 1971, US sovereign bonds, also called Treasuries, became the bedrock of the financial system.

From this point onward, these bonds represented the “risk-free” rate of return, the baseline against which ALL risk assets (including stocks) were valued. What followed was exponential debt growth as the US took advantage of this fact to go on a massive debt binge.

Debt vs. GDP in Trillions $USD.

ALL of this debt requires US bond yields to continue to fall. Put another way, in order for this massive debt bubble to be maintained the bond markets must make it continuously cheaper/ easier for the US to pay/ service its debts.

Which is why the recent breakout of bond yields is a MAJOR concern.

—————————————————————-

A Select Group of Traders Are CRUSHING the Market   By 25%… With Just 1 Trade Per Week

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak: 12 of our last 14 trades were double digit winners!

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 29% this year alone… beating the S&P 500 by an astonishing 25%.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

As you can see, the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury has broken above its long-term trendline… in the WRONG direction. This chart is telling us that it has become more expensive for the US to issue/service its debts.

Granted, this is not a systemic issue yet, but unless yields reverse soon, the Everything Bubble will begin to burst.

On that note, we are already preparing our clients with a 21-page investment report that shows them FOUR investment strategies that will protect their capital when and if a stock market crash hits.

It’s called The Stock Market Crash Survival Guide… and it is available exclusively to our clients.

To pick up one of the 100 copies…use the link below.

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity, Debt Bomb, It's a Bull Market

The $USD is Topping… What Comes Next Sets the Tone For EVERYTHING

Trump just gave Jerome Powell is marching orders.

As we’ve noted over the previous weeks, the Powell Fed screwed up royally in June when it forecast five additional rate hikes over the next 12 months along with an accelerated pace of Quantitative Tightening (QT) at $40 billion per month.

I want to be clear: it is not that rate hikes or QT in of themselves are a problem, it is the PACE at which the Powell Fed proposed to do both.

The Fed doesn’t operate in vacuum, and hiking rates EIGHT times while draining an amount of liquidity equal to Sweden’s GDP is totally insane when you’ve got other Central Banks (most notably the Bank of Japan and European Central Bank) running NEGATIVE rates and QE.

Put simply, the Powell Fed was WAY too aggressive with its monetary policy. And the end result was the $USD was strengthening rapidly which was putting the financial system under duress (remember, when you borrow in $USD you are effectively shorting the $USD so the over $65 TRILLION in $USD-denominated debt floating around the global system was like a gigantic debt bomb for which a strong $USD was a lit match).

Enter President Trump’s twitter tirade against the Fed and other Central Banks last week.

—————————————————————-

A Select Group of Traders Are CRUSHING the Market   By 25%… With Just 1 Trade Per Week

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak: 12 of our last 14 trades were double digit winners!

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 29% this year alone… beating the S&P 500 by an astonishing 25%.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

On Friday, President Trump took to twitter attacking the Powell Fed’s aggressive tightening before shifting his focus to China and the European Union, claiming the two were “manipulating their currencies and interest rates lower.”

The message is now clear… the Trump White House wants the $USD to fall and fall hard. And the markets have taken note: the $USD rolled over HARD on Friday, starting the right shoulder of a Head and Shoulders topping formation.

This is just the start. We believe the $USD is now starting the process through which it will eventually drop to the low 80s to test the upper trendline of the massive falling wedge it has formed over the last 40 years.

This represents the BIGGEST trend in global finance going forward. As the reserve currency of the world, the $USD’s price action will have a massive impact on all other asset classes. And those who invest accordingly stand to generate literal fortunes.

If you’re looking for more investment insights such as this… as well as active “buy” and “sell” alerts on what investments to play to best profit from the markets, my weekly investment advisory, Private Wealth Advisory can show how.

Private Wealth Advisory takes away ALL the guesswork from the financial markets, telling you which investments to buy (including their symbols), when to buy them, and when to sell.

Our goal is just one thing: to make you money from your investments.

Thus far in 2018, we’re running a success rate of 82%, meaning we’ve made money on more than 8 out of every 10 trades we closed.

This track record is generating a LOT of interest, which is why we are raising the price of a Private Wealth Advisory subscription later today.

Put another way, today is the LAST day that a Private Wealth Advisory subscription will be this cheap.

We’ve already prepared the infrastructure and the sales order forms
with the new, higher price.

We will be uploading ALL of them tonight at midnight.

So if you have any interest in locking in a subscription at the soon to be old, much lower price, this is your last chance.

To do so…

Click Here Now!!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers
Chief Market Strategist
Phoenix Capital Research

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Debt Bomb

Did the Powell Fed Just Light the Fuse on the US Debt Bomb?

The Powell Fed has decided to embark on an aggressive tightening schedule, with five more rates hikes while also draining an amount equal to Sweden’s GDP in liquidity over the next 18 months.

The Fed believe it can do this because the economy is strong and inflation is rising. However, it has failed to account for the impact on the financial markets/corporate sector.

Which brings us to Exhibit A:

The $USD has broken out to the upside against all major currency pairs.

Going into 2018, the $USD was collapsing. But once the Fed’s QT program increased to $30 billion per month in April 2018, we saw a sharp the $USD erupt higher against the Euro (UUP:FXE), Japanese Yen (UUP:FXY), British Pound (UUP:FXB) and Swiss Franc (UUP: FXF). This caused the $USD to break downtrends in all major currency pairs (see purple square in chart below).

This was a gamechanger. It shifted the system towards a strong $USD trajectory.

Under normal circumstances, this would be problematic in that it would put pressure on US trade as well as hurt profit margins for corporates (44% of corporate revenues come from overseas).

However, we also have to consider the US’s debt situation today.

The US has over $20 trillion in public debt, giving it a Debt to GDP ratio of 105%. And this is growing as the US deficit swells courtesy of tax cuts, combined with President Trump’s Keynesian spending (infrastructure, and other programs). Indeed, the US plans to run a $1 TRILLION deficit in 2019.

Under these circumstances, a strong $USD is a MAJOR problem. When you borrow in $USD (issue US denominated debt) you are effectively SHORTING the $USD. Which means that with every tick higher in the $USD, it is becoming more and more difficult for the US to fund its debt expenses.

Throw in the fact that the US debt markets are beginning to drop, forcing yields higher (which again means it’s becoming more expensive for the US to finance its debt loads) and you’ve got the makings of a REAL crisis.

There is only one real solution to this: a weak $USD. Every week that the Fed waits before backtracking on its current policies is another step towards a debt crisis in the US.

We offer a FREE investment report outlining when the bubble will burst as well as what investments will pay out massive returns to investors when this happens. It’s called The Biggest Bubble of All Time (and three investment strategies to profit from it).

We made 1,000 copies to the general public.

As I write this there are fewer than 100 left.

To pick up your FREE copy…

CLICK HERE!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity, Debt Bomb

The REAL Reason the Fed is so Hawkish (And How to Play It)

The single most important bond in the world is the 10-Year US Treasury bond.

This bond represents the “risk free” rate of return for a total economic cycle (roughly 10 years) denominated in the global reserve currency (the $USD).

Put simply, this is THE bond to watch if you want to keep an eye on how the financial system is acting. It is the bedrock for all risk… and its yield represents rate of return against which all risk assets are priced/ valued.

With that in mind, we need to note that the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury has broken ABOVE its long-term 20-year bull market trendline.

This is a MAJOR problem. And the Fed is going to “fix” it by crashing stocks.

—————————————————————-

A Select Group of Traders Are CRUSHING the Market   By 25%… With Just 1 Trade Per Week

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak: 12 of our last 14 trades were double digit winners!

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 29% this year alone… beating the S&P 500 by an astonishing 25%.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

The US financial system has over $60 trillion in debt securities sloshing around in it. ALL of this is priced based on the assumption that bond yields will continue to fall; which is why the fact that the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury is breaking out to the upside represents a true SYSTEMIC risk.

The fact is that the Fed HAS TO act to stop the bond bubble from bursting. And it’s going to do this by crashing stocks, and driving capital into the bond market to force yields lower.

This is why the Fed continues to hike interest rates and drain liquidity from the financial system via its now $40 billion per month QT program: the Fed HAS TO get bond yields back below their trendline.

So what does this mean?

The stock market is no borrowed time. Yes, stocks can still push to the upside based on pumping a handful of Tech stocks… but the BIG picture is that the Fed is trying to crash stocks to save bonds.

The time to prepare for this is NOW before the carnage hits.

On that note, we are already preparing our clients with a 21-page investment report that shows them FOUR investment strategies that will protect their capital when and if a stock market crash hits.

It’s called The Stock Market Crash Survival Guide… and it is available exclusively to our clients.

To pick up one of the 100 copies…use the link below.

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity, Debt Bomb

The Fed MUST Act to Stop the Everything Bubble From Bursting

The single most important bond in the world is the 10-Year US Treasury bond.

This bond represents the “risk free” rate of return for a total economic cycle (roughly 10 years) denominated in the global reserve currency (the $USD).

Put simply, this is THE bond to watch if you want to keep an eye on how the financial system is acting. It is the bedrock for all risk… and its yield represents rate of return against which all risk assets are priced/ valued.

With that in mind, we need to note that the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury has broken ABOVE its long-term 20-year bull market trendline.

This is a MAJOR problem. And the Fed is going to “fix” it by crashing stocks.

—————————————————————-

A Select Group of Traders Are CRUSHING the Market   By 25%… With Just 1 Trade Per Week

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak: 12 of our last 14 trades were double digit winners!

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 29% this year alone… beating the S&P 500 by an astonishing 25%.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

The US financial system has over $60 trillion in debt securities sloshing around in it. ALL of this is priced based on the assumption that bond yields will continue to fall; which is why the fact that the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury is breaking out to the upside represents a true SYSTEMIC risk.

The fact is that the Fed HAS TO act to stop the bond bubble from bursting. And it’s going to do this by crashing stocks, and driving capital into the bond market to force yields lower.

This is why the Fed continues to hike interest rates and drain liquidity from the financial system via its now $40 billion per month QT program: the Fed HAS TO get bond yields back below their trendline.

So what does this mean?

The stock market is no borrowed time. Yes, stocks can still push to the upside based on pumping a handful of Tech stocks… but the BIG picture is that the Fed is trying to crash stocks to save bonds.

The time to prepare for this is NOW before the carnage hits.

On that note, we are already preparing our clients with a 21-page investment report that shows them FOUR investment strategies that will protect their capital when and if a stock market crash hits.

It’s called The Stock Market Crash Survival Guide… and it is available exclusively to our clients.

To pick up one of the 100 copies…use the link below.

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity, Debt Bomb

The Fed Will Soon Sacrifice Stocks to Save Bonds

The single most important bond in the world is the 10-Year US Treasury bond.

This bond represents the “risk free” rate of return for a total economic cycle (roughly 10 years) denominated in the global reserve currency (the $USD).

Put simply, this is THE bond to watch if you want to keep an eye on how the financial system is acting. It is the bedrock for all risk… and its yield represents rate of return against which all risk assets are priced/ valued.

With that in mind, we need to note that the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury has broken ABOVE its long-term 20-year bull market trendline.

This is a MAJOR problem. And the Fed is going to “fix” it by crashing stocks.

—————————————————————-

A Select Group of Traders Are CRUSHING the Market   By 25%… With Just 1 Trade Per Week

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak: 12 of our last 14 trades were double digit winners!

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 29% this year alone… beating the S&P 500 by an astonishing 25%.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

The US financial system has over $60 trillion in debt securities sloshing around in it. ALL of this is priced based on the assumption that bond yields will continue to fall; which is why the fact that the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury is breaking out to the upside represents a true SYSTEMIC risk.

The fact is that the Fed HAS TO act to stop the bond bubble from bursting. And it’s going to do this by crashing stocks, and driving capital into the bond market to force yields lower.

This is why the Fed continues to hike interest rates and drain liquidity from the financial system via its now $40 billion per month QT program: the Fed HAS TO get bond yields back below their trendline.

So what does this mean?

The stock market is no borrowed time. Yes, stocks can still push to the upside based on pumping a handful of Tech stocks… but the BIG picture is that the Fed is trying to crash stocks to save bonds.

The time to prepare for this is NOW before the carnage hits.

On that note, we are already preparing our clients with a 21-page investment report that shows them FOUR investment strategies that will protect their capital when and if a stock market crash hits.

It’s called The Stock Market Crash Survival Guide… and it is available exclusively to our clients.

To pick up one of the 100 copies…use the link below.

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/stockmarketcrash.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity, Debt Bomb

The Single Most Important Bond In the World is Breaking Out

The single most important bond in the world is the 10-Year US Treasury bond.

This bond represents the “risk free” rate of return for a total economic cycle (roughly 10 years) denominated in the global reserve currency (the $USD).

Put simply, this is THE bond to watch if you want to keep an eye on how the financial system is acting. It is the bedrock for all risk… and its yield represents rate of return against which all risk assets are priced/ valued.

With that in mind, we need to note that the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury has broken ABOVE its long-term 20-year bull market trendline.

This is a MAJOR problem. And the Fed is going to “fix” it by crashing stocks.

—————————————————————-

A Select Group of Traders Are CRUSHING the Market   By 25%… With Just 1 Trade Per Week

Our options trading system is on a HOT streak: 12 of our last 14 trades were double digit winners!

Don’t believe me?

You can see EVERY trade we’ve made this year HERE.

As a result we’re now up 29% this year alone… beating the S&P 500 by an astonishing 25%.

Best of all, this system couldn’t be easier: we only trade one trade, once per week… and we’re CRUSHING the market.

To join us today, take out a 60 day trial subscription.

If you’re not seeing SERIOUS returns within the first 60 days, we’ll issue a full refund, NO QUESTIONS ASKED.

To take out a trial subscription…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

—————————————————————-

The US financial system has over $60 trillion in debt securities sloshing around in it. ALL of this is priced based on the assumption that bond yields will continue to fall; which is why the fact that the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury is breaking out to the upside represents a true SYSTEMIC risk.

The fact is that the Fed HAS TO act to stop the bond bubble from bursting. And it’s going to do this by crashing stocks, and driving capital into the bond market to force yields lower.

This is why the Fed continues to hike interest rates and drain liquidity from the financial system via its now $40 billion per month QT program: the Fed HAS TO get bond yields back below their trendline.

So what does this mean?

The stock market is no borrowed time. Yes, stocks can still push to the upside based on pumping a handful of Tech stocks… but the BIG picture is that the Fed is trying to crash stocks to save bonds.

The time to prepare for this is NOW before the carnage hits.

On that note, we are already preparing our clients with a 21-page investment report that shows them FOUR investment strategies that will protect their capital when and if a stock market crash hits.

It’s called The Stock Market Crash Survival Guide… and it is available exclusively to our clients.

To pick up one of the 100 copies…use the link below.

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Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Central Bank Insanity, Debt Bomb

Here Are 200 TRILLION Reasons Why Rising Yields Pose a Systemic Risk

It’s a good thing that the BLS ignores things like the recent rise in real estate and gas prices when it generates its official inflation numbers…

Why?

Because if the BLS didn’t do this we might actually see that inflation is exploding higher.

This is not conspiracy theory, it is fact. And if you don’t believe me, consider what the homebuilder industry is saying about house prices.

While demand and homebuilding remain solid, the industry is not without its challenges. Construction companies cite a shortage of workers, rising costs for lumber and other building materials and a scarcity of available lots on which to start new projects. Affordability is also becoming a bigger issue as gains in property values outpace income growth and interest rates rise.

Source: Bloomberg.

What do you call it when an asset price that people need rises in value faster than their incomes?

It’s called inflation.

What about gasoline?

Sales at gasoline stations were up almost 12% in April compared to one year ago, reflecting a runup in oil prices that began last summer and accelerated in 2018. The cost of a barrel of oil has climbed above $70 from $45, and it could head higher still with the summer driving season straight ahead.

Put another way, Americans shelled out an extra $4.4 billion for gasoline last month than they did in April 2017, according the government’s latest report on retail sales.

Source: Marketwatch

What do you call it when oil prices rise rapidly resulting in higher energy costs for Americans?

It’s also called inflation.

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Everywhere you look today, we are seeing signs that inflation is tearing higher. Indeed, the bond market is in an absolutely revolt as yields soar higher to try to match inflation’s rise.

As I write this, the yields on Germany’s, the United States’, and Japan’s fovernment bonds are ALL breaking out to the upside having broken multi-year trendlines.

This is a MASSIVE deal. It is telling us that it is getting harder and harder for these countries to service their debt loads.

The bond bubble is now well north of $200 trillion. And ALL of this requires bond yields staying LOW in order for it to work

Put simply, when bond yields RISE, bond prices FALL.

When bond prices fall, the Bond Bubble bursts.

When the Bond Bubble bursts, the EVERYTHING bubble follows.

It will take time for this to unfold, but as I recently told clients, we’re currently in “late 2007” for the coming crisis.

On that note, we are putting together an Executive Summary outlining all of these issues as well as what’s coming down the pike when the Everything Bubble bursts.

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Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Debt Bomb, It's a Bull Market
Did Junk Bonds Just Signal the End to This Credit Cycle?

Stocks are now in very serious trouble.

The S&P 500 has fallen to test its “election rally” trendline. If the market breaks down here, there’s essentially one giant “air pocket” down to 2,200 or so.

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The bad news is that high yield credit (HYG), which leads the S&P 500, has already broken its respective trendline. This is a serious “risk off” signal.

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Indeed, it gets worse. HYG is in fact breaking out of a massive rising wedge pattern that could very well mark the end for the 9 year bull market in risk.

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What would this mean for stocks?

The 3rd and biggest Crisis 20 years.

phoenixcapital-aaf1dbec-09e8-4014-b962-ec76b753be2d-v2

A CRASH is coming.

And smart investors will use it to make literal fortunes.

We offer a FREE investment report outlining when the market will collapse as well as what investments will pay out massive returns to investors when this happens. It’s called Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

We made 1,000 copies to the general public.

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Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Debt Bomb, It's a Bull Market
Central Bankers Just Lit the Fuse on a $217 TRILLION Debt Bomb

As we noted yesterday, the world’s Central Banks have begun sending signals that the price of money in the financial system (bond yields) is going to be rising.

Why is this a big deal?

Because globally the world has packed on $68 TRILLION in debt since 2007. And ALL of this was issued based on the assumption that bond yields would be remaining at or near record lows.

The bad news?

They’re not. Already we’re beginning to see bond yields RISE.

The yield on the 10-Year Treasury erupted above its long-term trendline in mid-2016. It has since consolidated and is now about to break out of a bullish falling wedge to new highs.

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It’s not the only one.

The yields on 10-German Bunds and 10-Year Japanese Government Bonds are ALSO breaking out to the upside in a big way.

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Put simply, rising bond yields is a GLOBAL phenomenon. And it spells DOOM for the world’s $217 TRILLION debt bubble.

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If you thought the 2007 Debt Bubble was bad… wait until you see what’s coming.

Here’s a hint…

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A Crash is coming…

And smart investors will use it to make literal fortunes from it.

We offer a FREE investment report outlining when the market will collapse as well as what investments will pay out massive returns to investors when this happens. It’s called Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

We made 1,000 copies to the general public.

As I write this, only 47 are left.

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Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Debt Bomb, It's a Bull Market, stock collapse?
Bombshell: The US Spent $20 MILLION Per Job Created From ’08 Onward

Since 2008 the financial media has been proclaiming that the US was in a “recovery.” This argument was used to justify the insane monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, which maintained ZIRP for seven years and spent over $3 trillion in QE.

Well, it turns out there was no recovery to speak of when it comes to jobs.
According to a report posted on Friday, an incredible 93% of ALL jobs created since 2008 were in fact… based on accounting gimmicks.

Yes, 93% as in more than 9 out of 10.

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Source: Morningside Hill Capital Management.

The implications of this are astonishing…

First of all, the “recovery” was made based on a spreadsheet, not reality.

We’ve long suspected this. After all, how can the unemployment rate be below 5% when some 94 MILLION Americans are not working?

Second of all, the US doubled its debt load during this time period. Previously I’d noted that when you account for all of the debt added to the public’s balance sheet form ’08 onward, the US had spent something like $900K per job created.

But now, it turns out that even 93% of those so-called jobs were fake. So the US spent… $20 MILLION per job created.

Yes. $20 MILLION. Per job. Created.

And that was a so-called recovery which prompted stocks to break out to new all-time highs!

A Crash is coming… and it’s going to horrific.

GPC6517

And smart investors will use it to make literal fortunes from it.

If you’re looking for a means to profit from this we’ve already alerted our Private Wealth Advisory subscribers to FIVE trades that could produce triple digit winners as the market plunges.

And we’re just getting started.

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Over the last two years, we’ve maintained a success rate of 86%, meaning we’ve made money on more than EIGHT out of every ten trades we make.

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Best Regards

Graham Summers
Chief Market Strategist
Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Debt Bomb, It's a Bull Market, stock collapse?
The Corporate Debt Bomb is Ticking (Think 2000 All Over Again)

Corporate profits are rolling over again.

Two years ago, corporations posted their first year of negative profit growth since the Great Crisis. We had a bounce from those depressed levels, which suckered a lot of investors into believing that fundamentals were improving.

They were wrong. That bounce has now ended. Year over year profits are rolling over HARD.

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Why does this matter? After all, corporate profits have rolled over several times in the last few years… and the markets kept blasting off to new highs.

This time is different… because profits are rolling over at a time when corporate leverage is nearing all time highs.

As the IMF has noted, the median Net Leverage to EBITDA for S&P 500 companies is close to 1.5. The last time we were anywhere NEAR these levels was at the absolute PEAK of the Tech Bubble in 2000.

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We all remember what came next don’t we?

GPC530173

A Crash is coming… it’s going to horrific.

We offer a FREE investment report outlining when the bubble will burst as well as what investments will pay out massive returns to investors when this happens. It’s called The Biggest Bubble of All Time (and three investment strategies to profit from it).

Today is the last day this report will be available to the public.

To pick up your FREE copy…

CLICK HERE!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Debt Bomb, stock collapse?
Subprime 2.0: Lending a $1 Trillion to People With No Proof of Job or Income

SubPrime 2.0 is proving far worse than even we suspected.

If you’ve not been following this story, our view is that the auto-loan industry is Subprime 2.0: the riskiest, worst area in a massive debt bubble, much as subprime mortgage lending was the riskiest worst part of the housing bubble from 2003 to 2008.

In both instances, these lending industries were rife with fraud, terrible due diligence, and the like. So when the debt bomb blew up, they were the first to implode.

However, it would appear now that the Subprime 2.0 was even worse than Subprime 1.0 in terms of verifying income.

Santander Consumer USA Holdings Inc., one of the biggest subprime auto finance companies, verified income on just 8 percent of borrowers whose loans it recently bundled into $1 billion of bonds, according to Moody’s Investors Service.

The low level of due diligence on applicants compares with 64 percent for loans in a recent securitization sold by General Motors Financial Co.’s AmeriCredit unit. The lack of checks may be one factor in explaining higher loan losses experienced by Santander Consumer in bond deals that it has sold in recent years…

 Source: Bloomberg

Santander only verified income on just 8% of autoloans. Put another way, on more than 9 out of every 10 autoloans, Santander didn’t even check if the person had a job.

Pretty horrific.

However, the story also notes that even the more diligent lender AmeriCredit verified income on only 64% of loans.

So… two of the largest autoloan lenders basically were signing off on loans without proving the person even had a JOB either roughly half the time or roughly ALL the time.

And this is on a $1.0 TRILLION debt bubble.

Meanwhile, stocks are flirting with all time highs.

GPC52317

Sounds a bit like late 2007 doesn’t it?

A Crash is coming… it’s going to horrific.

And smart investors will use it to make literal fortunes from it.

If you’re looking for a means to profit from this we’ve already alerted our Private Wealth Advisory subscribers to FIVE trades that could produce triple digit winners as the market plunges.

As I write this, ALL of them are up.

And we’re just getting started.

If you’d to join us, I strongly urge you to try out our weekly market advisory, Private Wealth Advisory.

Private Wealth Advisory uses stocks and ETFs to help individual investors profit from the markets.

Does it work?

Over the last two years, we’ve maintained a success rate of 86%, meaning we’ve made money on more than EIGHT out of every ten trades we make.

Yes, this includes all losers and every trade we make. If you followed our investment recommendations, you’d have beaten the market by a MASSIVE margin.

However, if you’d like to join us, you better move fast…

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Best Regards

Graham Summers
Chief Market Strategist
Phoenix Capital Research

 

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Debt Bomb, stock collapse?
THREE Charts That Tell Us the Next Financial Crisis is Closer Than Most Think

The election night bull market trendline is about to break. The only reason stocks have held up is hype and hope for Trump’s economic agenda. With the entire MSM, establishment shills, and deep state operatives trying to derail this, the market is about to lose this prop.

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More worrisome for the financial system: the long-term bull market trendline for long bonds is in danger of breaking. How will that $199 TRILLION in debt adjust to higher interest rates? Not well.

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Finally, Oil never reclaimed its long-term bull market trendline. The global growth stork since 1999 is over. Oil has called BS on all claims that we’re in a long-term growth cycle.
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We offer a FREE investment report outlining when the bubble will burst as well as what investments will pay out massive returns to investors when this happens. It’s called The Biggest Bubble of All Time (and three investment strategies to profit from it).

We made 1,000 copies to the general public.

As I write this a mere 27 are left.

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Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Debt Bomb, It's a Bull Market, stock collapse?

Janet Yellen is playing with matches next to a $20 Trillion Debt Bomb.

During her speech at the Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy in Michigan, Yellen stated that the biggest risk to monetary policy is for the Fed to “get behind the curve” regarding inflation.

To that end, the Yellen Fed has already raised interest rates twice in the last six months.  And it is pushing for yet another rate hike in June.

However, Yellen as usual is missing the bigger issue: the risk of DEBT deflation triggered by the Fed’s rate hikes.

Since the 2008 Crisis, the US has been on a debt binge unlike anything we’ve ever seen before. Thanks to seven years of ZIRP and $3.5 TRILLION in QE, the US’s debt load has nearly doubled, bringing our Debt to GDP ratio well over 100%.

fredgraph

Now Yellen wants to raise rates even more, in her hopes of catching up with inflation…

But what happens to the US’s massive debt pile as the Fed keep’s raisings rates, making the debt MORE expensive to pay off?

In 2016, when rates were still 0.5%, the average US interest payment was already 1.9%. What happens to this when the Fed keeps raising rates, pushing the yield on the debt even higher?

The markets are already “smelling” this.

Already the 30-Year US Treasury bond has dropped sharply to critical support (the blue line). And that’s before the Fed even raises rates in June, let alone pushes to start shrinking its balance sheet later this year.

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Truth be told, we’re not that far off from a debt crisis. Greece’s Debt to GDP was 109% when it first began imploding in 2010. We’re only a hair’s breadth away from that now. And given the Fed’s track record with asset bubbles (the Tech Crash in 2000, the Housing Crash in 2008), what are the odds the Fed’s going to blow the system up once again, due to mismanagement of OBVIOUS risks?

We are already preparing our clients for how to make money from this. If you’d like to learn three simple investment strategies on how to navigate the coming US debt bomb, you can pick up a free Investment Report here:

http://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/bondbubble2.html

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Debt Bomb, It's a Bull Market
Did the $100 TRILLION Bond Bubble Just Burst?

Did the $100 TRILLION Bond Bubble Just Burst?

Globally bonds are collapsing.

Germany’s 10-Year Bund has seen yields spike out of their downtrend.
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As have Japan’s 10-Year Government Bonds.

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Long-Term US Treasuries have taken out their trendline.

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As have Junk Bonds.

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Folks, the bond markets are flashing DANGER DANGER.

Globally the bond bubble is now well over $100 Trillion. And to top it off, ther’s another $555 TRILLION in derivatives trading based on bond prices!

Another Crisis is brewing… the time to prepare is now.

Smart investors, however, are preparing for what’s to come.

On that note, we are already preparing our clients for this with a 21-page investment report titled the Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

In it, we outline the coming crash will unfold…which investments will perform best… and how to take out “crash” insurance trades that will pay out huge returns during a market collapse.

We are giving away just 1,000 copies of this report for FREE to the public.

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Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Debt Bomb

Japan is Officially in the End Game

For over six years, the markets have been moving based on Central Banker actions and words.

The first phase (2009 to 2013) was dominated by action (ZIRP and QE).

The second phase (2013 to the present) was increasingly reliant on words (verbal intervention) as most Central Banks had by then used up 90% of their ammo.

As former Fed Chair Bernanke himself noted in his recent memoirs:

“Monetary policy is 98% talk and 2% action, especially when short term rates are near zero”

However, we are now reaching the point at which even actions AND words are losing their effect on the markets.

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On January 29 2016, the Bank of Japan introduced Negative Interest Rates or NIRP. The ensuing rally in the Nikkei lasted roughly 30 minutes before reversing all of its gains. It was only through concerted manipulation by the Bank of Japan that the Nikkei finished the day in the green.

Indeed, the rally was so weak that only three days later, the head of the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda was already promising to engage in even more NIRP if needed. He stressed there was “no limit” to monetary easing measures.

Yes, this took place only a few days later.

So… the Bank of Japan launches NIRP for the first time in its history. And within THREE trading days is already promising to do MORE, going so far as to say that it has “no limit” on what it will try.

This is what it looks like when a Central Bank loses control= total desperation.

Bear in mind, the Bank of Japan has been at the forefront for ALL monetary policy for decades. The US Federal Reserve launched its first QE program in 2008. The European Central Bank launched its first QE program in 2015.

The Bank of Japan first launched QE back in 2001.

In short, the Bank of Japan has two decades of experience with QE AND ZIRP. It has launched the single largest QE program in history (an amount equal to over 20% of Japan’s GDP). And it has expanded its balance sheet to over 65% of Japan’s GDP.

In short, the Bank of Japan has gone “all in” to attempt to reflate its financial system. It has completely failed. And now it is so desperate that it is promising to do even MORE only three days after its latest monetary surprise.

The End Game for Central Banks has officially begun.

Another Crisis is coming. Smart investors are preparing now.

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Best Regards

Graham Summers

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted by Phoenix Capital Research in Debt Bomb