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Category Archives: Recession Watch
The Trade Wars Just Claimed Their First Major Victim
By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist The trade wars just claimed their first victim: Nvidia (NVDA). NVDA is one of the most important companies in the stock market. The reason for this is that NVDA produces the chips/ … Continue reading
Posted in Recession Watch, stock collapse?
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By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist The stock market is in a free-fall as Wall Street realizes that the Trump administration is serious about restructuring the global economy. For decades, the dominant theme in trade and macroeconomics was … Continue reading
April 4, 2025
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The Tariffs Will Unleash a Market Bloodbath
The tariff wars have officially arrived. And the markets don’t like it. Crypto currencies are perhaps the best liquidity/ risk on indicators in the financial system. And as I write this, they’re a sea of red. Bitcoin is down almost … Continue reading
Posted in Central Bank Insanity, Recession Watch, stock collapse?
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Warning: This Hasn’t Been Wrong in 40 Years…
By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist One of our proprietary measures for the economy is signaling a recession is at hand. That measure is the Target (TGT): Walmart (WMT) ratio. Target and Walmart are big box retailers with … Continue reading
Posted in Recession Watch
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This Hasn’t Happened Since the 2020 Crash!
By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist Deflation and recession fears are on the rise. Economically sensitive commodities like copper and oil have erased all of their 2024 gains and are now declining rapidly. Defensive sectors like utilities are … Continue reading
Posted in Recession Watch, stock collapse?
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Are the Lows In?
By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist The Bank of Japan (BoJ) just “blinked.” This mini-crisis was triggered by the BoJ raising rates for the first time since 2007, which in turn, blew up the Yen carry trade. I … Continue reading
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This is the Only Thing You Need to Know About the Economy Today…
By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist If you’re looking for a reason why the U.S. hasn’t slipped into recession yet, the answer is simple… Uncle Sam is propping up the economy. And it’s working… for now Some items … Continue reading
Posted in It IS different this time., It's a Bull Market, Recession Watch
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The “Fix” is In For the Economy
By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist The Fed just confirmed my thesis. Over the last week, I’ve noted that Uncle Sam is the economy now. What I mean by this, is that the U.S. government is spending so much … Continue reading
Posted in It IS different this time., It's a Bull Market, Recession Watch
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If You’ve Got Money in Stocks, You NEED to Read This
By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist Yesterday, I noted that Uncle Sam effectively is the economy… for now. What I meant by this is that the government is hiring so many people and spending so much money, that it … Continue reading
Posted in It IS different this time., It's a Bull Market, Recession Watch, stock collapse?
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Why Isn’t the U.S. Rolling Over Into Recession?
By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist The most important thing for investors to understand about the economy is that “it is different this time.” We’ve already assessed how multiple previously accurate recession indicators (yield curve inversion, Sahm Rule … Continue reading
Posted in It IS different this time., It's a Bull Market, Recession Watch
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Are You Worried About a Recession?
By Graham Summers, MBA “Look at this, a recession is about to hit!” Everywhere you look, people are calling for a recession to hit. In fact, many big name investors and gurus have been calling for a recession for most … Continue reading
Posted in It's a Bull Market, Recession Watch
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The Second Wave of Inflation Has Arrived
By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist I warned time and again that the Fed was making a massive policy mistake that would unleash another round of inflation. By quick way of review, the Fed stopped raising interest rates … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Recession Watch, The Markets
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Signs of a Recession Are Growing…
Is the economy just about to roll over? Copper, the commodity with a PhD in economics, has erased all of its year to date gains. It’s currently about 10% off its 2022 lows which marked the low for risk assets … Continue reading
Posted in Recession Watch, stock collapse?
Tagged Recession Watch
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